Football Service Thread 2015-16

The Mover

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SEPTEMBER 19, 2015 VOLUME 46, NUMBER 13
California 40 - TEXAS 20 - (7:30 EDT - FOX) -- Line opened at California minus 1?, and is now minus 6?. Of course,
we don't like such a large line move, which contributed to us leaving the Bears off of our Pointwise
Rated Plays. However, with obvious demise of the Longhorns, coupled with a similar rise in respect
for Cal, it can no longer be tabled. In Steers' seemingly comfy win over Rice last week, they had stat
deficits of 31-11 in FDs, & 462-277 in total yds, & that on the heels of being totally dominated by
NotreDame (30-8 in FDs, & 527-163 in TYs). Cal, with 17 starters back from LY's explosive squad,
have beefed up its "D": only way to go.
RATING: CALIFORNIA 89
NAVY 45 - East Carolina 24 - (3:30 - CBSC) -- Line opened at pick-em, and is now Navy minus 3?. As our readers
are well aware, the Pirates have been one of our "go-to" teams recently, & as it turned out in '14,
much to our chagrin, as they never duplicated their early-season success: upset of VaTech, & 70-42
blowout of NoCaro (17-pt & 27-pt covers), paying off on only 1 of their succeeding 9 games, by 9?
pts vs lowly Tulane. That EC firepower, led by record-breaking QB Carden, is now departed. Check
minus 13 RYs in LY's revenge failure vs Florida. Middies rested, & return brilliant QB Reynolds.
RATING: NAVY 89
Georgia Tech 41 - NOTRE DAME 27 - (3:30 - NBC) -- Line opened at GeorgiaTech minus 1, and is now minus 2?.
Minimum line move keeps this one from being set aside. The Irish, as home dogs, of course are a
bit of concern, but the fact is that NoDame, which looked absolutely unstoppable in its opening romp
over Texas, has sustained yet another setback, with the loss of stellar QB Zaire, who opened with a
stellar 19-of-22 for 313 yds & 3/0 vs the 'Horns. Backup signal caller Kizer was solid in LW's narrow
win over Virginia (TD pass in last 0:15). GT a purring machine: 8-0 ATS (+174 pts): at 347.5 RYpg.
RATING: GEORGIA TECH 88
GEORGIA 33 South Carolina 24 - (6:00) -- Line opened at Georgia minus 15?, and is now minus 17. As written on
the WisePoints column of Pointwise, this series is the epitome of "barnburner", with such recent
scores of 41-37, 45-42, 41-30,& 38-35, thus not having a spread of this size since '05, when the
'Dawgs went off as 18-pt chalks, winning 17-15. No question that the "Ol Ball Coach has an uphill
climb this season, with the loss of 7 offensive starters, & enters off an upset loss to Kentucky.
However, the Bulldogs managed just 2 offensive TDs at Vandy, winning mainly because of a 3-0 TO
edge. Just can't ignore such a foreign spot.
RATING: SOUTH CAROLINA 88
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 24 - Stanford 23 - (8:00 - ABC) -- Line opened at SouthernCal minus 8, and is now minus
10. Once again, we refer to WisePoints for this call, as the dog in this annual war has covered the
last 7 between 'em. No question that the Card aren't up to their usual standards, with their 2-FG
effort in losing to Northwestern, 17-7, which could have been much worse (225-85 RY deficit). But
righted their ship with rout of CFla (491-181 yd edge). Trojans #6 in nation, deservedly so, behind
Kessler & Co, but lopsided final here will shock.
RATING: STANFORD 88
GREEN BAY 34 - Seattle 20 - (8:30 - NBC) -- Line opened at GreenBay minus 3, and is still minus 3. This one marks
just the 18th time in the last 3? years, in which Seahawks have been installed at dogs, & so far
they've responded with a spread record of 16-2 in that role. Thus, this hardly seems a sane choice,
in bucking such a powerful run. However, you would have to live in a cave not to be aware of the
revenge factor here, as the Pack experienced one of the most brutal losses ever, in their NFC Title
match vs Seattle. 'Hawks were stung for 34 pts in their opener, matched only once in their last 66
games, but Rodgers (18-of-23, & 3/0 vs the Bears) & mates are more than ready.
RATING: GREEN BAY 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Alabama, LSU, TexTech, Minnesota - NFL: Indianapolis, Buffalo, Wash

RATINGS: 89 & ABOVE: SUPERIOR PLAY
88 & BELOW: ABOVE AVERAGE PLAY
RED SHEET



TOTALS TIP SHEET

AZ O/ BB
NO U/ BB
INDY U/44 3 *
Miami U/45 3 *
Cincy U/ 43 2 *
 

WildBillPicks7

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RAS YTD 9/18-9/19 Picks

RAS YTD 9/18-9/19 Picks

I know RAS put out their plays to their paying clientele - those plays usually get posted across the street in other service threads so use your due diligence to find them.



GLE!

September 2015 Picks: 28-21 | Units: +3.80 | Win Rate: 57.14%

Date Matchup Rating Score Result Close CLV
09/19/15 Mississippi/Alabama Over 51 1.00 MISS 43-37 (80) WIN 52 +1.0
09/19/15 UTEP vs. New Mexico State +3 1.00 UTEP 50-47* PUSH +2.5 +0.5
09/19/15 Texas Tech/Arkansas Over 67 1.00 TTU 35-24 (59) LOSS 69 +2.0
09/19/15 Texas Tech vs. Arkansas -9.5 1.00 TTU 35-24 LOSS -9.5 0.0
09/19/15 Charlotte/Mid Tennessee State Over 62.5 1.00 MTSU 73-14 (87) WIN 66 +3.5
09/19/15 Furman +30 vs. Central Florida 1.00 FUR 16-15 WIN +24.0 +6.0
09/19/15 Louisiana Tech/Kansas State Under 24.5 2H 1.00 KSU 33-23* (56) LOSS
09/19/15 Tulsa +30.5 vs. Oklahoma 1.00 OKLA 52-38 WIN +32.5 -2.0
09/18/15 Florida State/Boston College Under 49 1.00 FSU 14-0 (14) WIN 47.5 +1.5
 

WildBillPicks7

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Wild Bill,

Northcoast 5* goes this Saturday! I hope you can land it cuz I'm a glutton for punishment! :142smilie

They've lost their last 2 plays on 5*. Playbook lost their's last yr as well.

I have the code and will call on Saturday am!!

GL!!

Computers boys came out on top last week and are slightly over plus for the season on equal unit management laying -110 to win 100.

This week this is what they're on early (Billy W/Computer Geeks):

San Jose -3 1/2
Memphis -7 now -10 1/2 (Middle set up)
Under 53 UVA/Boise, now 49
Texas St +16, went to +14 1/2, now back to +16 1/2
U Conn +9, now +6 (middle set up)
Bowling Green +2 now -2, (middle set up)
Over 72 BG/Purdue went to 79, now 74
Ga Tech -7 1/2
Vandy +27, now +24
Baylor -33, now -34 1/2
LSU -23 1/2 now -25 (my number is 15 on this one)
Over 45 Syr/LSU moved to 47, now 46 1/2
Miss St +3 1/2, now +1 1/2
TCU -7 moved to -8 1/2, now -6 1/2
Utah +14 now +11
Oklahoma St -3 moved to -4 now -3
Under 64 AZ/UCLA moved to 63, now 66

Pitt +1 now -1, line has been up/down last 3 days
San Diego +3, now +2 1/2
Jets +2 now -2 1/2
Cleveland -4 now -3 1/2
San Fran +6 1/2 to +6 now back to +6 1/2
KC +7 now +6 1/2

GLE!!
 

WildBillPicks7

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Kelso

25* Memphis
25* NY Giants

25* Parlay - Memphis & NY Giants

Brandon Lang


50 Dime - Redskins / Giants Under 44 :0053

NorthCoast

Top Opinions:

Thursday College Marquee: Memphis (-10) over Cincinnati 7:30 pm ESPN
Thursday NFL Marquee: NY Giants (-3) over Washington 8:25 pm CBS/NFL Network

Wiseguy Insider

WISEGUY-NFL New York Giants -3.5
WISEGUY-NCAAF Cincinnati +10
WISEGUY-MLB Boston Red Sox -120

Brad Wilton

BIGGEST NFL RELEASE EVER


150 Dime NFC East Game of My Career


NY Giants -3

Marc Lawrence
phone plays. NY giants
- Also 3* Best Bet in Playbook newsletter

Cajun Sports CFB 7* Black Label TNF Marquee Insider Ol' buddy from AOL days, Rodney

CFB: 7* PLAY Memphis Tigers -10 vs. Cincinnati Bearcats 7:30PM EST
The Cincinnati Bearcats QB Gunner Kiel suffered a concussion in their game versus Miami-Ohio and is currently listed as probable. We do not feel even if plays they are good enough to stay within the number because defensively the Bearcats are horrible. The Bearcats defense has allowed an average of 435 yards the last two weeks including 220 yards rushing to the Miami-Ohio Redhawks who are terrible. Memphis on the other hand has QB Paxton Lynch who has completed 77 percent of his passes with six touchdown passes and not a single INT so far this season. The Bearcats defensive secondary is much like the rest of their defense, leaving a lot to be desired when it comes to keeping the opponent out of their endzone. Lynch and company should have another big night setting the Bearcats ablaze with his pinpoint passes. Last year in this matchup in the Queen City Lynch threw for 311 yards and four touchdowns as the Tigers easily destroyed Tommy Tubs and his team of Bearcats winning 41 to 14. The Tigers have been cashing tickets for their backers at a rate of 10-4-2 against the spread since last season. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 17.08 points. The MM projects a point differential of 8.91 points with a current line range of -10.0 to -12.5. The SIM Matrix has the Memphis Tigers with a 72.46 percent advantage against the spread in tonights contest. A check of our powerful database reveals a league-wide system that tells us to Play ON CFB teams that scored forty or more points in their last three games, 52-39 ATS for 57.1 percent winners. The critical indicators along with all technical elements point to one side in this contest so we will back the Memphis Tigers again on Thursday night. Memphis Tigers

80% of most services are on Washington +3 1/2 tonight - the ones that are hitting 60% or better on their plays are on the Giants -3 to -3 1/2.

80% on the Under - the sharper touts are playing "OVER".

Pick and choose your poison and GL!
 

JTB

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Phill steele

Phill steele

Thanks for all you do WildBill!
No problem if you don't get him & won't bother you again. Was just wondering if you had his pics. Thanks again sir.
 

WildBillPicks7

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Thanks for all you do WildBill!
No problem if you don't get him & won't bother you again. Was just wondering if you had his pics. Thanks again sir.

Tonight his "Inside the Press Box", he likes Memphis up to 13 pts. Line is -7 to -8 at most houses currently.

I don't like the game personally. Total has jumped all over the place, Thursday nights are typically "UNDER" nights!

GL!
 

JTB

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Thanks WB.

Thanks WB.

Tonight his "Inside the Press Box", he likes Memphis up to 13 pts. Line is -7 to -8 at most houses currently.

I don't like the game personally. Total has jumped all over the place, Thursday nights are typically "UNDER" nights!

GL!

Appreciate it. :0008
 

WildBillPicks7

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Spartan: SEC GOY - Kentucky -2 1/2

Dr Bob Not as good as he once was, he's got a few years on himself now "Toby Keith" Song

2* Baylor
2* Ohio State
1* Houston
1* Bowling Green

Strong opinions
(311) Army (+2)
(325) Virginia Tech (-9 ?)
(346) Iowa (-24 ?)
(398) Northwestern (-19 ?)

Fezzik (Great fade)

3* Marshall vs. Kent St.
UNDER 50 1/2

Nelly's


COLLEGE KEY SELECTIONS
**********************************************************************
RATING 5 SAN JOSE STATE (-3?) over Fresno State
RATING 4 MASSACHUSETTS (+27?) over Notre Dame
RATING 3 APPALACHIAN STATE (-7?) over Old Dominion
RATING 2 BOWLING GREEN (PK) over Purdue
RATING 2 ARKANSAS STATE (+8) over Toledo
RATING 1 ILLINOIS (-6?) over Middle Tennessee State
RATING 1 NORTH TEXAS (+25?) over Iowa

NFL KEY SELECTIONS
**********************************************************************
RATING 5 CAROLINA (-3) over New Orleans Line is up to -8 now, Brees listed OUT
RATING 4 BUFFALO (+3) over Miami
RATING 3 PITTSBURGH (-1) over St. Louis
RATING 2 BALTIMORE (-2?) over Cincinnati
RATING 1 SAN FRANCISCO (+6) over Arizona

?OVER?/?UNDER?s OF THE WEEK
NCAA: ?OVER? Florida International at Louisiana Tech
These teams combined to score only 30 points in the last meeting in 2013 but both
offenses have made great strides in that time. In four Conference USA home games
last season the Bulldogs posted over 54 points per game. FIU?s low scoring opener
could keep the totals in check for a few more weeks.
NCAA: ?UNDER? Middle Tennessee State at Illinois
With the Blue Raiders posting 73 points on their own last week and Illinois allowing 48
points this total might be bumped higher than it should be. MTSU only won once on
the road last season and Illinois held two of Conference USA?s best offensive teams
below their season averages last season.
NFL: ?OVER 44? Atlanta at Dallas
Tony Romo being out puts a big dent in this total as the last two Cowboys games have
been priced in the 50s. Atlanta is 2-0 but the defense has not shown huge signs of
improvement considering what the two offenses that the Falcons have faced did in
their other games. In 20 of the last 25 at home Dallas has allowed at least 20 points.
NFL: ?UNDER 44?? Buffalo at Miami
This series has been very low scoring in Miami in recent years and the Dolphins now
have just 37 points through two weeks. The Buffalo defense that has very high
expectations this season should bounce back and most of the points for the Bills came
late in the game. Neither team has hit 30 in the last three years in this series.
SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
NCAA: Downgraded to Dog
PLAY ON: Any NCAA underdog that lost S/U in the
previous game and has failed ATS in back-to-back games
as a home favorite in both instances.
60-38, 61.2% since 1994
PLAY ON: Arkansas
Tighten It: If the team is dogged by fewer than 10 points
36-20, 64.3% since 1994 ? Fits: Arkansas
NFL: Disrespected Perfect Start
PLAY ON: Any 2-0 NFL home underdog in Game 3.
12-5, 70.6% since 1984
PLAY ON: Dallas Cowboys (Jets could also apply w/ win Monday)
Tighten It: If the team?s last win came as an underdog.
8-3, 72.7% since 1984 ? Fits: Dallas Cowboys (Jets could also apply)
ANNUAL PSP SELECTIONS
REVENGE SPOT: Cincinnati over Memphis - QB injury?
ROAD TRIP: Northwestern over Ball State - still lean to Northwestern
HISTORICALLY SPEAKING: Wake Forest over Indiana - QB injury?
LOOK-AHEAD: Texas Tech over TCU - prefer to pass
LETDOWN: Central Florida over South Carolina - still lean to UCF
WEEKLY OVERREACTION
PLAY ON MINNESOTA: The Gophers barely beat Kent State last week with a
10-7 result but it was a flat effort coming off big games the first two weeks. Ohio is a good
team but they don?t rate two touchdowns superior to Kent as this week?s line suggests.
MISLEADING FINAL OF THE WEEK
PLAY ON TEXAS SAN ANTONIO:
The Roadrunners lost by 55 last week but
they were out-gained by fewer than 200 yards as seven turnovers played a big role. UTSA
played right with Arizona and Kansas State in the first two weeks before running out of gas.
TRENDS OF THE WEEK
NCAA: Florida is 16-7-1 vs. Tennessee since 1991
 

WildBillPicks7

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Maddux


20* Florida Atlantic -10
10* Massachusetts/Notre Dame over 58.5
10* Oklahoma State/Texas over 58.5
10* Penn State -13.5
10* Arkansas State +8
10* Missouri +3
10* Central Michigan +28
10* Appalachian State -7.5
10* Ohio State -31

marc lawrence

late phones ARIZONA

playbook dataplay texas tech
 

WildBillPicks7

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They've lost their last 2 plays on 5*. Playbook lost their's last yr as well.

I have the code and will call on Saturday am!!

GL!!

Computers boys came out on top last week and are slightly over plus for the season on equal unit management laying -110 to win 100.

This week this is what they're on early (Billy W/Computer Geeks):

San Jose -3 1/2
Memphis -7 now -10 1/2 (Middle set up) LOSS
Under 53 UVA/Boise, now 49
Texas St +16, went to +14 1/2, now back to +16 1/2
U Conn +9, now +6 (middle set up)
Bowling Green +2 now -2, (middle set up)
Over 72 BG/Purdue went to 79, now 74
Ga Tech -7 1/2
Vandy +27, now +24
Baylor -33, now -34 1/2
LSU -23 1/2 now -25 (my number is 15 on this one)
Over 45 Syr/LSU moved to 47, now 46 1/2
Miss St +3 1/2, now +1 1/2
TCU -7 moved to -8 1/2, now -6 1/2
Utah +14 now +11
Oklahoma St -3 moved to -4 now -3
Under 64 AZ/UCLA moved to 63, now 66

Pitt +1 now -1, line has been up/down last 3 days
San Diego +3, now +2 1/2
Jets +2 now -2 1/2
Cleveland -4 now -3 1/2
San Fran +6 1/2 to +6 now back to +6 1/2
KC +7 now +6 1/2

GLE!!

Billy Walters

Major move on SYRACUSE
 

WildBillPicks7

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Pointwise Phone Service

4-Missouri
4-Miss. State
3-No.Illinois
3-Penn State
3-Colorado State
3-Vandy
2-Houston
2-W.Michigan
2-Oregon
2-Ball State

Dr Bob

Added
opinion on Mizz +3 and Marshall Under 49.5

Frank Patron

Must Win 100,000 Unit College Football Lock #2

Arizona State Sun Devils +5.5 over USC

ALATEX 20*

Tenn+1

California sports

4-Missouri +2 1/2
3-Kansas + 14
4- Massachusetts +29
4- under Nevada 56
4- under Marshall no number given
3-under Iowa 54
3- under Tennessee 48
3- over Colorado st 57

ATSWINS Lockclub

9 UL Laf -7.5
9 wyo +3.5

2 parley UL Laf/Wyo

7 Ohio +10
7 Buff +1
6 Arz +3

KING CREOLE 3*** Best Bet is on the Over 81.5 for TCU/Texas Tech Game.

Brandon Lang

My 100 Dime selection is Arizona against UCLA.
The current line on this game is +2 1/2 in Vegas and Offshore.
I advise buying the 1/2 up to +3 and if it's 3, I advise buying up to +3 1/2. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.
 

WildBillPicks7

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NorthCoast:

5* GOM - USC -5 or -5 1/2 (They state, no such thing as a lock)

GLE!

NorthCoast

5* Sept GOM USC -5/-5.5 Arizona St 10:30 pm
4* LSU -24 Syracuse Noon
4* ULM +38/+37.5 Alabama 4 pm
3* Connecticut +7.5/7 Navy Noon
3* UCLA -2 Arizona 8 pm
3* Wisconsin -24.5 Hawaii 8 pm

Top Opinions: Virginia Tech -10 East Carolina Missouri +3 Kentucky

MARQUEE Inside Info Auburn -2 Mississippi St

MARQUEE 900 Play of Day West Virginia -16.35 Maryland Massachusetts +29.5 Notre Dame La Tech -14 FAU Ohio St -31.5 W Michigan Toledo -7.5 Arkanas St Florida Atlantic -10 Charlotte Northcoast

Early Bird: Wisconsin Big Ten: Penn State Pac-12: UCLA ACC: Virginia Tech SEC: LSU AAC (Big East): Houston CUSA: Florida Atlantic Big 12: Rutgers Mountain West: Nevada MAC: Toledo Sun Belt/IND: ULM BIG DOGS: BYU +7 Michigan +230 UConn +7 Navy +245 Arkansas +7.5 Texas A&M +250 Idaho +16 Georgia Southern +570 Akron +8.5 UL Lafayette +295 Old Dominion +8 App St +285 Ohio U +10.5 Minnesota +335
 

JTB

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Thanks WB.

Thanks WB.

Phil Steele Inside the Press Box

He had high scoring for Rutgers/Kansas (LOSS)

Missouri is Upset of the Week
Va Tech by 17
La Tech by 17
Wisconsin by 31
ULM to cover vs Alabama

Glad I missed the Rutgers pic.
I Like Missouri tonight.
 

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Hilton

Hilton

Week 3 SuperContest NFL Picks By Most Contestants
(3-2 Last Week, 8-2 ATS YTD)
1 Carolina -4.5 By 713
2 Indianapolis -3 By 637
3 Buffalo +3 By 440
4 Pittsburgh -1.5 By 439
5 Baltimore -2.5 By 428
 
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