Lets have a good weekend starting with another UNDER on the Redwings game. I love the Redwings to win, and would like to take them Puckline, but there is something that i call the Luck Surface area. This is the concept of giving yourself outs, and NOT limiting your options to win money. If i take the Redwings to win by -1.5 goals and i also bet the under 5 goals, then the only way i can win both bets is if Detroit wins the game with the following scores;
2-0
3-0
4-0
3-1
If the Flames score just one goal then the only score that allow me to win both bets is 3-1. There are a few options for a win and a push like 4-1 and 5-0, but basically needing a shut out in order to win both bets severely limits my chances. So because i like the Under more than the side, and because i have been hitting Totals really good in March then i will pass on the Redwings, and take the Under at 3 units.
Luck Surface Area!!!! Keep this in mind the next time you want to take a big favorite PL and the Under.