GOALLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
- Thread starter Crookity
- Start date
Futbol is finally back! I hate international break. Now, ancedotally I can say that after the breaks I have traditionally seen lots of games go over, and do quite well. I am not crazy about this card though, and Europe competition lurks for next week. I see alot of infalted prices that are beyond by -150 boundary to play on a single ticket.
With that said I will start with these 2 for the morning slate:
BUNDESLIGA
STUTGART/UNION OVER 2.5 - +105 - this line got duped 30+ cents overnight.
SERIE A
NAPOLI/VERONA OVER 2.5 - 120 - this one is steaming
For what it is worth my 2 favorite games for this weekend are WOLFSBURG/LEVERKUSEN OVER & VILLA/WHU OVER but they are both -175 or greater. I am trying to set up some action for mid week by using these games and playing them together in 2 gamer. I also think we see fireworks in DARMSTADT/LEIPZIG OVER and that line is coming back down as it sits on -175. I will try to tie all these to some Europa action BRIGHTON/AJAX ***, MARSEILLE/AEK are on my radar. Do what you will with it. I will check back in a few hours.
With that said I will start with these 2 for the morning slate:
BUNDESLIGA
STUTGART/UNION OVER 2.5 - +105 - this line got duped 30+ cents overnight.
SERIE A
NAPOLI/VERONA OVER 2.5 - 120 - this one is steaming
For what it is worth my 2 favorite games for this weekend are WOLFSBURG/LEVERKUSEN OVER & VILLA/WHU OVER but they are both -175 or greater. I am trying to set up some action for mid week by using these games and playing them together in 2 gamer. I also think we see fireworks in DARMSTADT/LEIPZIG OVER and that line is coming back down as it sits on -175. I will try to tie all these to some Europa action BRIGHTON/AJAX ***, MARSEILLE/AEK are on my radar. Do what you will with it. I will check back in a few hours.
Nice early sweep to start the day. If you followed these instructions you set the table for mid week. Still have that VILLA/WHU tmrw.
Gonna play one more today.
SERIE A
SASSUOLO/LAZIO OVER 2.5 -138 - line dropped on this one. Lazio been crud but both teams really poor xGA metrics. There should be chances here.
Wow I just realized EVERY game in Serie A , EPL and Bundesliga has gone over to start the day 10-0. Make a mental note guys. The net usually fills up after the break!
- Apr 17, 2017
- 509
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Liverpool went under so I was a game off but just every other game has gone over today so far lol
Nothing else is making my card today except this Villa/Hammers game that I need O2.5 to wrap up the 2 gamer I played with the Leverkusen game. This VILLA game is down to -163 any price less than that would be a buy on its own If I didn't have this ticket to close out.
Ok guys the beloved UEFA and baby brother EUROPA kick off this week. It is key to be an early buyer on some of these Euro games before the prices go up. As I tipped last weekend, I was busy tying games on the weekend to Europa action specifically my 2 key EUROPA games for tomorrow which I now have at + money: BRIGHTON/AJAX OVER 2.5 & MARSEILLE/AEK OVER 2.5.
As for UCL there are alot of expensive overs, and I got creative with these games tying them together in different ways.
<in the order I like them>
GALATASSARY/MUNICH OVER **** was -225 now -275 and climbing tied alot to this
RBL/RED STAR OVER ****
MAN CITY/YOUNG BOYS OVER
MADRID/BRAGA OVER
One single so far that is in my buy zone:
LENS/PSV OVER 2.5 - 143
As for UCL there are alot of expensive overs, and I got creative with these games tying them together in different ways.
<in the order I like them>
GALATASSARY/MUNICH OVER **** was -225 now -275 and climbing tied alot to this
RBL/RED STAR OVER ****
MAN CITY/YOUNG BOYS OVER
MADRID/BRAGA OVER
One single so far that is in my buy zone:
LENS/PSV OVER 2.5 - 143
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Everything has gone to plan and I need 2 more to clear the table and sweep a ton of 2 gamer + money parlays. In full transparency my plans were shared from the weekend onwards. I have these last 2 at + money.
MARSEILLE/AEK OVER 2.5- currently-134
BRIGHTON/AJAX OVER 2.5 - this is juiced beyond belief -330
MARSEILLE/AEK OVER 2.5- currently-134
BRIGHTON/AJAX OVER 2.5 - this is juiced beyond belief -330
made money in the last week but the biggest steamed closing line Brighton/AJax didn't cash! I think that game closed at -350 lol.
I haven't looked ahead too much to the weekend. I had alot out there since last weekend tied to UCL and EUropea parlays. Now that Europe is clear for the week I can start pinning some weekend action, back soon.
I haven't looked ahead too much to the weekend. I had alot out there since last weekend tied to UCL and EUropea parlays. Now that Europe is clear for the week I can start pinning some weekend action, back soon.
I am not enamoured with the card, but will try to make a few things work.
CHELSEA/BRENTFORD OVER 2.5 -120 - I havent relied on Chelsea in some time. They have scored 2 or more in 3 straight games, and showing signs of being on the right track. They have a new coach so its understandable that it took a month or two to figure things out. Brentford has found the net their last 3 times out. They are a better home team, but I think they can contribute to the tally here.
CHELSEA/BRENTFORD OVER 2.5 -120 - I havent relied on Chelsea in some time. They have scored 2 or more in 3 straight games, and showing signs of being on the right track. They have a new coach so its understandable that it took a month or two to figure things out. Brentford has found the net their last 3 times out. They are a better home team, but I think they can contribute to the tally here.
WOLVERAMPTON/NEWCASTLE OVER 2.5 - 125
Newcastle is one of the top scoring teams in the EPL, and rank right at the top in xG. The Wolves while mid pack as far as scoring has notched a goal in 10 games in a row. I think they can help the cause in this one. They also have a problem keeping the ball out their own net. Wolves are bottom 10 in goals conceded and bottom 5 in xGA. I would expect chances in this match.
I am not crazy about this card this week. We got Europe Competitions lurking for next week, and on the look ahead I see a bunch of games of interest that sit in the wheel house. I got a nice ticket to close with HOFF/LEV over which is juiced right now at -275, would consier the Over 3 if I had to play that on its own but even that is at -200! Going to try to pick a few spots here and than hit Europe harder in a few days.
BRENTFORD/WHU OVER 2.5 - 138
BRENTFORD/WHU OVER 2.5 - 138
Yesterday was pretty easy. Let's try another in the EPL.
EPL
N.FOREST/VILLA OVER 2.5 -125 - I was on the fence, but this price is cheap.
BUNDESLIGA
HEIDENHEIM/STUTGART OVER 2.5 -150 - line got beat up in the last few days it can be had now between -150/-160 depending on the shop.
EPL
N.FOREST/VILLA OVER 2.5 -125 - I was on the fence, but this price is cheap.
BUNDESLIGA
HEIDENHEIM/STUTGART OVER 2.5 -150 - line got beat up in the last few days it can be had now between -150/-160 depending on the shop.
