Hi everyone - I'm Ax

[BUCSnotYUCKS]

I used to play alot of UNDERS all the time as well. I typically had a few teams I tailed on OVERS and that's it. I've noticed I've chased alot of OVERS this year, but I'm starting to scale back and hope for good results. Thus why I'm so interested in your posts.

Good luck m8

 

[axp59]

thank you. i have to admit i played a NOT under tonight...DET/DAL and also got lucky with the U on ORL/CLE. I have a live ticket for PHI/LAL U unless that's over. This is my rare action junkie evening. I normally play one under a day and nothing else. Finding that gem every night is what i try to do. I usually have a lot of help but I left all my friends behind. I like it here though, it's very quiet.

 

[Charlie_m]

trust me when i say, this guy ax is legit.....he will help you find value.....glad u are over here now ax....be talkin to ya soon

 

[bryanz]

trust me when i say, this guy ax is legit.....he will help you find value.....glad u are over here now ax....be talkin to ya soon

I trust you . yea right !`

 

[axp59]

trust me when i say, this guy ax is legit.....he will help you find value.....glad u are over here now ax....be talkin to ya soon

thank you sir for the kind words. i like it here. very quiet. god, the other place was driving me nuts. if you are the same charie_m from over there then i really appreciate these words. i followed your thread and you are one hell of a capper

 

[axp59]

I trust you . yea right !`

not looking to start any trouble, just a quiet place to discuss some games. not touting anything, no record, no claims, no self promotion. just want to discuss overnight lines...that's it. the admins told me this was a place with minimal bashing. just want to get away from the kiddies and discuss finding value in off numbers.

 

[axp59]

got this from slice

got this from slice

thanks slice hope you don't mind me sharing

Early Accuscore Overnight #'s

Favorite Dog Line O/U Accu Line Accu O/U Differential Line Differential O/U Side O/U
Boston Miami -6.5 193 8.0 189.6 1.5 3.4
Charlotte Sacramento -11 200 9.6 196.6 1.4 3.4
Indiana Portland 0.0 0.0
Knicks Nets -7 216 3.5 219.5 3.5 3.5
Denver Memphis -6 198.5 9.0 196 3.0 2.5
New Orleans Minnesota -12 191.5 11.1 190.5 0.9 1.0
Oklahoma City Chicago -1.5 198.5 2.0 198.4 3.5 0.1
Orlando Milwaukee -5.5 202 9.1 199.5 3.6 2.5
Houston Detroit 0.0 0.0
Phoenix Philly -6.5 228 9.4 224.6 2.9 3.4
Clippers Wizards -7 203.5 3.5 199.5 3.5 4.0

 

[axp59]

sorry about the format...it didn't take...i'm still trying to get used to the new environment

this info will be stale by mid morning when the west coast starts moving.

i should be back by late morning-noon. i hope you guys have you creds to start posting soon. this is not working for me if i'm dong this alone.

 

[axp59]

i noticed that Turc already posted his POD...

all the credit goes to Turc...just pasting this...I'm not sold on this yet. The number looks tight...

SACRAMENTO-CHARLOTTE UNDER 200

Both teams are bad offensive teams as both are in bottom 5 in offensive efficiency. Tempo of this game is important and considering Charlotte's home games rarely go over 200 points, Charlotte usually successful at implementing their slow tempo when playing at home. Also, Sacramento is playing b2b, so don't look for them to increase the tempo very often. Last game ended at 195 and considering this one is played at Charlotte's court, I expect this one to end in lower number than that.

Best of luck.

Thanks Turc

 

[Eagle123]

Hi Ax, I am here.

 

[axp59]

nice to see you eagle, by the time i get back today it will be around midnight your time. I've already posted some of the numbers we should be looking at. you could read those, go get some sleep and join us later when more of the crew gets here. take care eagle!

btw, I'm not sold on Turc's play yet...will run those numbers later.

 

[noropin]

So happy to be here , instead of the other place. I basically watch and lurk , but have been around a long time,
I appreciate your time and effort Ax, really do, will be here everyday, and playing everything that you have as pod, or uod....
will try to contribute when I can

 

[Slicer]

Glad to be somewhere, that has a quiet home feeling to it, alright Ax, let's get to work today and find us a winner.

Turc's- Charlotte U200

Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.
Under is 4-1 in Kings last 5 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater.
Over is 4-1 in Kings last 5 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Kings last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 4-1 in Kings last 5 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater.
Over is 6-2 in Kings last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 5-2 in Kings last 7 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Over is 7-3 in Kings last 10 Wednesday games.
Over is 7-3 in Kings last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
Under is 11-5 in Kings last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.


Charlotte
Over is 4-0 in Bobcats last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Over is 5-1 in Bobcats last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 5-1 in Bobcats last 6 overall.
Over is 5-1 in Bobcats last 6 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-1 in Bobcats last 5 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Bobcats last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 8-3 in Bobcats last 11 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
Over is 5-2 in Bobcats last 7 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Over is 28-13 in Bobcats last 41 vs. NBA Pacific.


Head to HeadHome team is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Kings are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Charlotte.


Sacramento Overall Charlotte
14-53 W/L 29-38
32-35-0 ATS 39-28-0
34-33-0 O/U 31-34-2
99.8 Pts For 93.4
108.6 Pts Against 94.6

Sacramento A/H Charlotte
4-30 W/L 19-16
19-15-0 ATS 21-14-0
17-17-0 O/U 15-19-1
97.8 Pts For 93.5
109.9 Pts Against 91.3

I think this game is solid at 197 total leaving us only a 3pt cushion, granted Charlotte must continue winning to chase down the Bulls, they went out and shot 50% on the Craptors the other night, Atlanta shot 50% against Sac last night and with Sac's tendency to shoot the 3 ball, this could go either way, I might 1/2 unit this play for action but can't pull trigger on full unit.

 

[Eagle123]

nice to see you eagle, by the time i get back today it will be around midnight your time. I've already posted some of the numbers we should be looking at. you could read those, go get some sleep and join us later when more of the crew gets here. take care eagle!

btw, I'm not sold on Turc's play yet...will run those numbers later.

I will wait for you Ax

 

[Slicer]

Interesting side note regarding the Knicks/Nets game. This is 3 games in 3 days for the Nets, an occurrence I haven't found a repeat of this season for them. Also the 5th consecutive road trip game and coming from the west to the east (late late arrival) you have to think the toll will set in. No Devin Harris for the Nets = no floor general, they will be lucky to score in the mid 80's imo.

So this could go two ways, Knicks -7 might be a stellar play and Under 216 has some potential if my guess is correct let's say Nets generate 88 pts, that would mean at least 128 from the knicks.

 

[axp59]

So happy to be here , instead of the other place. I basically watch and lurk , but have been around a long time,
I appreciate your time and effort Ax, really do, will be here everyday, and playing everything that you have as pod, or uod....
will try to contribute when I can

Thanks man, we're going to dig those gems out. If you have a thought about what I already posted for tonight...let us know. Glad you could join us.

 

[axp59]

Glad to be somewhere, that has a quiet home feeling to it, alright Ax, let's get to work today and find us a winner.

Turc's- Charlotte U200

I think this game is solid at 197 total leaving us only a 3pt cushion, granted Charlotte must continue winning to chase down the Bulls, they went out and shot 50% on the Craptors the other night, Atlanta shot 50% against Sac last night and with Sac's tendency to shoot the 3 ball, this could go either way, I might 1/2 unit this play for action but can't pull trigger on full unit.

Slice, you don't like any of the one's I picked out. I didn't even have this game on my radar...to damn tight if you ask me...

 

[axp59]

I will wait for you Ax

I'm back eagle, you didn't already lock turc's play did you?

 

[axp59]

Interesting side note regarding the Knicks/Nets game. This is 3 games in 3 days for the Nets, an occurrence I haven't found a repeat of this season for them. Also the 5th consecutive road trip game and coming from the west to the east (late late arrival) you have to think the toll will set in. No Devin Harris for the Nets = no floor general, they will be lucky to score in the mid 80's imo.

So this could go two ways, Knicks -7 might be a stellar play and Under 216 has some potential if my guess is correct let's say Nets generate 88 pts, that would mean at least 128 from the knicks.

I love this angle. any thought on this NOT going under because of tired legs and no defense at all. I have to trend this out and see how this 3 games in 3 has done in the past. unless you've already done it?

 

[Slicer]

I'll dig deeper on it and see if I can find any occurrences. Haven't gotten around to looking at full card, just going game by game and looking for Referee assignments as well.