I LOVE OVERS VOL 2. 2021-2022 ...

Crookity

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That was easy, 20 minute rocking chair winner! This has been a crazy run. I put in a 7 gamer with pretty much everything I put out the last 2 days with the exception of the West Ham/Everton game, not sure why I did that lol but it worked out. I need the Juve/Roma ov2.5 for a 7 gamer :popcorn2
 

Crookity

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Well that was a fun 2 week run! I cooled off a bit dropping 2 of 3 yesterday. I hedged back a bit on the big parlay, but I really wanted that Roma game for the 7 gamer cherry on top. I am digging into UCL, unlike some other Match weeks there wasn't anything I fell in love with at first sight. There are several matchups I like but the 2.5 is pretty costly. I am waiting for my full menu of plays, as my alternate lines haven't been released yet.

Back soon.
 

Crookity

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I have dug in a bit on tomorrow's card, for some reason my full menu of odds is still not available which is unusual. As I said a bunch of these 2.5 lines are juiced up past my liking. I might take a handful of these and box them into a round robin if I go that route I will let you guys know. I am focusing on the handful of these 2.5's that aren't steamed up to -200 or more.

This one is intriguing I am going OVER in this one, I just don't know yet how I am going to do it.

BESIKTAS/SPORTING OVER
Both of these teams are bottom of the group, and they hungry for a win. This sets up nicely because both teams are definitely going to feel as though this is a winnable game. As such, we should have both teams going for it which in theory could open things up. A close look shows why I think there is value in this # that is currently + money. Besiktas has a leaky defense, these guys have given up 2 or more goal in 6 of their last 7 games! On the flip side, they consistently find the net. Outside of the clean sheet @ Ajax the team from Turkey have scored in 9 of their last 10. Besiktas comes into this one after giving up 3 goals vs Instanbul Basasksehir on the weekend in their Domestic League. Sporting on the other side of the pitch are going to feel good about themselves rolling into this match, they just won 4-0 on the weekend. Sporting is prolific when it comes to finding the net. They have scored in 25 of their last 26 games, the only clean sheet was vs Dortmund in Germany a few weeks ago. Since that loss they have had 2 multi goal games, and 2 wins. Both of these teams have really failed to impress in UCL, and I think this is their chance to get it right. Sporting played against Ajax, and BVB, and Besiktas has faced Ajax and Dortmund, most teams in Europe would come away battered and bruised from those affairs. I think Sporting's propensity to score, and Besiktas defensive woes make this a worthy play. I also see this at 2.5 +105 which I am very close to biting on, and if I can get a favorable 2, 2 1/2 line I will evaluate.

Back soon as others become more clear to me.
 

Crookity

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Here is another one I am going to play , probably take a position now, and see where the line goes from there. I will post how I go about it.

PORTO/ACM OVER
This is another match with the 2 bottom teams playing each other, desperately needing 3 points to stay in the mix. These are 2 very prolific offenses as well. Milan is a little banged up. But they still have big time talent up front with Zlatan, Giroud, Leao etc..I watch a ton of Serie A ball, I am a big fan of ACM, and when they have Zlatan in there they are a different squad. The team is elite as is, but every time Zlatan is on the pitch they are extra dangerous. I don't know if he will be starting, but expect him to get at least 30 minutes of action in this one? ACM has scored in 11 straight contest, and they have 2 goals or more in 4 of their last 5 games. They come into this one off a 3-2 come from behind win vs Verona on Saturday. They have been giving up goals at the back lately, are missing their starting keeper, and have leaked 2 goals in 3 straight games. All of this gets my attention! Porto is very consistent on the offensive side of the ball that's for sure. I took a look and they found the net in 24 of their last 25 games, the only clean sheet was against Atletico. Given Milan's problems at the back I think Portugal at home is definitely going to be capable of finding the net. They are in good form. They just smashed a team 5-0 in the Domestic Cup game, and have scored 2 or more in 4 of their last 5. Both teams are going to want to come out of this with all 3 pts, I see an open game here.
 

Crookity

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Wow I'm reading Ajax is down to 37 year old journey man keeper, have fun with that lol . Haaland and BVB are going to be licking their chops. The 2.5 line is-220 , waiting on my price for 3 but using this game in a parlay for sure. I also think the Sheriff comes to Italy in the San Siro and gets shot. They aren't sneaking up on anyone after their first 2 wins. They proved they can score and are a formidable opponent. With that said , Inter is a whole different animal especially at home. Inter needs this game badly to stay in the race, I think we see them at their best ,and they score a bunch. This one is around -250 as well and looks like a solid probability for goals. I am waiting on final lines but that's basically my take for tomorrow as far as totals go. I will put up my plays when I'm done sorting out the lines.
 

Crookity

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Here are the prices I played on the 2 games posted above:

PORTO/ACM OVER 2.5 +100

BESIKTAS/SPORTING OVER 2.5 + 100



The Ajax/BVB line is steaming big time, I tied that O2.5 yesterday with Inter/Sheriff and another with Bayern/Benfica tomorrow. I am not a big parlay guy, and don't track them when I am tallying up weekly wins/loses, but being transparent for those that may be interested :0003
 

Crookity

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ahhhhhh so satisfying when the 'capping/analysis is bang on, never in doubt. I am going to go make lunch.


:firing::firing::firing:
 

Crookity

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Here are the prices I played on the 2 games posted above:

PORTO/ACM OVER 2.5 +100

BESIKTAS/SPORTING OVER 2.5 + 100



The Ajax/BVB line is steaming big time, I tied that O2.5 yesterday with Inter/Sheriff and another with Bayern/Benfica tomorrow. I am not a big parlay guy, and don't track them when I am tallying up weekly wins/loses, but being transparent for those that may be interested :0003


Wow ACM really stunk it up today, they looked toothless. There were a lot of chances in that one, but I expected more from Milan. In the end if you followed above you made profit. The early game was easy, and both Ajax/BVB and Inter/Sheriff flew over for an easy double. I have now set myself up nicely for tomorrow, as I tied up both these Ajax/Inter Overs with Bayern Over 2.5, and I have one that needs Man United Over to close out. I feel pretty good that I will come out of that with at least one cashing which would ensure profit. If I play anything on its own tomorrow I will post it.
 

Crookity

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I haven't found anything else that I am going to play today, so I will be pulling for the MANU O2.5 and the BAYERN O2.5 to close out some tickets that I referenced yesterday. I did look ahead at Europa matchups for tomorrow, and 2 plays stood out. I did a little digging, and have compelling reasons to play both of these games Over the total. I will get to these later. Good luck to everyone today that is playing UCL !

EUROPA LEAGUE

PSV/MONACO OVER 2.5 - 125


BAYER LEVERKUSEN/REAL BETIS OVER 2.5/3 - 115
 

Crookity

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What a beautiful match week that was in UCL, I took down a total 4 - 2 team parlays, which gave the bankroll another nice pop. I see Bason is in agreement on these plays below which is always nice, and he is trending hot right now as well. I like the situational , and the statistics on these:

REAL BETIS/BAYER LEVERKUSEN OVER 2.5/3 -115
This line has caught some major steam, the price above is around -140 now, the 2.5 is juiced to -175. From a situational play we get 2 teams fighting for the top spot in the group. Bayer comes into this after getting pasted 5-1 by Bayern Munich in Bundesliga. I think they will be eager to get back on the pitch. I don't care if its pick up sticks, or professional football, when you get smashed like that you want to right your wrongs quickly! Sometimes these Europa matches are tough as you don't know the motivation levels of the teams , and how much they care. I don't see that issue in this one. Bayer has found the net in 13 straight games in all competitions, with 8 of those games being multi goal games. In total 8 of the last 9 games featured at least 3 goals. Real Betis has scored in 7 of their last 8 contests, scoring 17 goals in that time frame. During that same period they have given up a total of 10 goals, and have only kept 2 clean sheets. Both teams play free flowing, attacking football. In the Europa League this matchup pits the #1 (Betis) and #2 (Lev) ranked goal scoring teams, and they are #1 (Lev) & #4 (Betis) in Shots on Target. Given the attacking propensity of these teams, and their goal scoring consistency I think we will have plenty of chances of them finding the net!

PSV/MONACO OVER 2.5 - 125
This is getting bought up as well, the number is up to -138. I am a fan of PSV, they are very nice on the eyes as far as style goes, and are a fun team to watch. The team from Eindhoven has scored in 17 of their last 18 games, they have 2 goals or more in 7 of their last 9 games, and all 9 of these games have gone over the total of 2.5. Over this period, PSV alone has 22 goals scored. One can't overlook the home supremacy of the Dutch squad, they have only lost 1 game at home since January of 2021, they have built a fortress at their home park. Now Monaco comes to town , a team that doesn't travel well, and is not in the best form. Monaco may be at the top of the Europa group, but they have been piss poor in their domestic league sitting in 10th place. At least 3 goals have been scored in 4 of the last 5 Monaco games, and Monaco has let in at least 1 goal in 12 of their last 14 games played. This pits the top 2 teams in the group fighting for the lead. I think PSV finds the net in bunches in this one, and Monaco is capable of pitching in for the cause with 1 as well. This has the makings of a 3-1 game to me.


GOOD LUCK , LETS KEEP MAKING MONEY!
 

Crookity

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not getting the bounces in this early game, even the commentators were lost for words as to how this is scoreless as they broke for HT. Going to need a big second half I think there are goals still to come here, but not sure if we see 3. I also see the PSV Under got hit very hard, .40C drop in the last few hours.:0corn
 

tt boy

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yeah..I;m on 4 games and all 4 scoreless at the half... can't make this shit up:mj07:
 
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