Kemper Open

Stanley

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Preview & outright plays:

Famous for its first-time winners, the Kemper Open is not particularly high on most players' agendas this week; at least not since the event moved from the Congressional Country Club in 1987. Only two of the top-25 on the world rankings tee it up this week, though the most notable of these is Phil Mickelson. Surely, in this worst field of the year, Mickelson can win a tournament? Having blown final leads in two of his last three events, Coral Eurobet are offering an interesting prop, called 'Phil the choker?'. Blunt!

With the move north to Maryland after a couple of months in the South, it is not surprising that this event throws up surprising winners (Rich Beem won in 1999 @ 500/1). The conditions will be somewhat different to recent weeks. It is a return home though for Fred Funk who is local pro and has his own fan club 'Funk's Punks'. He is yet to win this event and has contributed to this event's history of people avoiding victory at all costs ... cue Phil Mickelson
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The course is short and requires accuracy over power. With the Bentgrass greens being small, a feature of winners here has been good scrambling ability.

The outright selections this week are Scott Hoch, Kirk Triplett and Brian Gay. With the reasons for Hoch pre-tournament withdrawal last week still unclear, this is rather a gamble that he is not injured. If fit, then he should have a very good chance this week. He has finished in the top-10 in six of his last ten starts here and comes into the event in great form with the Greater Greensboro Open title under his belt. Incidentally, he ranks 3rd behind two players absent this week (Price and Woods), so if fit, he should go very close.

Triplett's game fits the bill this week also. A short hitter, but with good accuracy and decent putting stats he should be able to at least match his 10th place finish of last year. There is evidence that his game is improving after a difficult start to the year; he finished 6th at the Masters, was 15th last week and was in the top-half of the leaderboard in each event in between. Could be one to grind Mickelson down.

Brian Gay's form of late has been worthy of note. In the last three weeks he has scored in the 60s in eleven of those twelve rounds and the other one was a 70! He finished 5th at the Byron Nelson and 2nd last week and should be at a lower price with this weakened field. Just as with the other two selections, accuracy is the hallmark of his game and he ranks 3rd in putting average as well. He closed with a 64 last year (one shot outside the course record) to finish 20th and on current form, such a finishing position would be a major disappointment this year!

Outright plays:

Scott Hoch to win 20/1 e.w. @ Bet247
Kirk Triplett to win 40/1 e.w. @ Surrey, Victor Chandler or Bet247
Brian Gay to win 40/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler or Bet247
 

ormond80

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You did not mention j. leonard. I feel certain he would be a great pick to win, maybe he pulled out? As always thank you for all your research!
 

Stanley

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No, Justin Leonard hasn't pulled out. Yes, he's in great form - 4th, 6th and 5th in his last three events, but I could only find 12/1 for him and that was just too low for me. He is still #2 on my rankings, but I just preferred 20/1 on Hoch instead.
 

ormond80

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HERE WE GO FOR ANOTHER FINE WEEK I HOPE.
72 HOLES STRICKER -125 V. FUNK @EASYBETS
LEONARD 12/1 TO WIN @EASYBETS
LEONARD 4.5/1 TOP 4.@EASYBETS
HOCH 18/1 @MILLINIUM

HAPPY GAMING!
 

coldbeer4soul

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After my lousy picks I'll play a flyer:
Billy Mayfair 33/1
Also CNN-SI is reporting:
BEAVERCREEK, Ohio -- The proposed made-for-TV prime-time golf event teaming Tiger Woods and Annika Sorenstam against David Duval and Karrie Webb has a date and is close to being a done deal.

According to the top two players on the LPGA, this mixed-team competition will be held on July 30 at Bighorn Golf Club in Palm Desert, Calif. The only holdup appears to be Woods needing to work out an endorsement deal with Disney. According to a source close to the situation, officials at Nike, one of Woods' major sponsors, have voiced concerns about him signing with Disney, which owns ABC, the most likely network outlet for the event.
 

booman

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Kemper Field Changes - Nothing Major:

OUT: Fulton Allem and RUSS Cochran

IN: Paul Dickinson, Eric Egloff, Joey Guillion, Anthony Painter, Del Ponchok, Mike Springer, Willie Wood

Who are (most of) those guys...LOL

More Later - The BooMan
 

Cartman88

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Went ok last week with 2-0 on matchups but Mickelson let me down with another poor final round effort. Here is the plan of attack for this week.

Outrights:
Leonard 16-1 (GC Sports)
Hoch 20-1 (NSW Tab)
Lowery 50-1 (Surrey)
Maggert 80-1 (Centrebet)

Matchups:
Lowery $1.90 vs Roberts (GC Sports)
Baddeley @ $1.80 vs Daly (Centrebet)

I am finding more and more every week that you need to be very quick to find good value particularly on matchups.

Good luck to everyone.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Am transferring these that were posted early under "Food for thought" thread

One early play for Kemper @WSEX
Dimarco -110 over Flesch
=============================================couple more early ones I think will move just released @ 5 Dimes
Lowery +115 over Roberts
Stricker +100 over C Perry
=============================================
outright 1/2 unit E/W at Surrey
Lowery 50/1
Made cut 12 of 13 with 2 top 5's this year,tied for 2nd here last year.Gonna give him a shot at those odds.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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I see lines are still not back up at 5Dimes
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They were taken down shortly after betting this morning.I doubt if they will be same lines when they are released again so to confirm they were actual lines here are wagers that were placed including a parlay.

Ticket Number Ticket Date Bet Type Game Date Selection Line Opponent Wager To Win
620387 05/22/01 S 05/24/01 C.DIMARCO (TOURN) + 110 S.HOCH (TOURN) $50.00 $55.00
620386 05/22/01 P 05/24/01 S.LOWERY (TOURN) + 115 L.ROBERTS (TOURN) $20.00 $587.76
05/24/01 K.TRIPLETT (TOURN) -115 S.APPLEBY (TOURN)
05/24/01 S.STRICKER (TOURN) + 100 CHRIS PERRY (TOURN)
05/24/01 C.DIMARCO (TOURN) + 110 S.HOCH (TOURN)
05/24/01 J.DURANT (TOURN) -125 L.JANZEN (TOURN)
620379 05/22/01 S 05/24/01 S.LOWERY (TOURN) + 115 L.ROBERTS (TOURN) $50.00 $57.50
05/24/01 S.STRICKER (TOURN) + 100 CHRIS PERRY (TOURN) $50.00 $50.00
05/24/01 J.DURANT (TOURN) -125 L.JANZEN (TOURN) $62.50 $50.00
Totals: $232.50 $800.26
 

Anders

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Hmm, so Gay is OUT??!! LMFAO
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Weekly greetings, fine gentlemen
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Considering these at GCS; would, as always, appreciate your thoughts...

Leonard +170 over Mick
Lowery +105 over Roberts
Stricker -105 over Perry

Thanx in anticipation
cool.gif
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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adding to outrights:
Will put a place wager 1/2 unit on Durant when they release them.Their win odds are currently 24/1 which should put place at 6/1.
I may be sounding like broken record on Durant weekly but from a statistical standpoint according to my #'s he ranks 3rd behind Woods and Mick in top 5's per event with 4 out of 14 (28%).
also going to try a very dark horse this week.1/2 unit E/W @ Surrey on C Barlow
@ 125/1.Past years are speckled with cuts prior and after Kemper but somehow plays respectable here,14/34/20 last 3.Given the weak field and a little luck he may get a smell.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Adding 72 hole
Sposa -108 over Ames @ Pinnacle
1st round play
Sposa -110 over Ames @ 5dimes.

Oly released place odds and Durant is 6/1
which I played however in future after studing interactives @ Wsex for several weeks I believe that is superior way to play a player in leau of place only wager and this will probably be last week of place only wagers unless player is not offered in initial interactive roster.I contibuted $30 in intial interactives with 3 contracts on Durant @$3 each,3 contracts on Lowery @ $4 each and 3 on Lickliter at $3 each.
Saw today where Direcbet is offering 3balls also a few small scalps avaiable incorporating Pinnacles 16 cent lines.
Still no lowdown on Hoch?
 

doonhamer

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A poor field with everyone out to oppose Mickelson after last weeks horror show I would not be surprised if he blew them away but he cannot be considered @ 5/1 I do not really see the need to pick the winner at this stage and think it would be better waiting for the cut [Garcia was 50/1 after 3 rounds last week ] however Loren Roberts is overpriced @ 66/1 with Bet 24/7 and he is a speculative selection Doonhamer
 

Stanley

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72-hole plays:

Stephen Ames to beat Robert Gamez -111 @ Simon Bold [2 units]
Dependable Ames has missed the cut in just one of his last fourteen starts. By contrast, Gamez has missed the cut here in both of the last two years and in 20 of his last 30 events and is easily opposed

Kirk Triplett to beat Stuart Appleby +110 @ Sportfanatik
Appleby has a great record on this course and hence he is the favorite in this matchup. But his current form is very poor: he has just one top-25 finish in his last 13 events

Charles Howell to beat Aaron Baddeley -111 @ UKBetting
Baddeley may have finished 19th in the Benson & Hedges two weeks ago in England, but he continues to struggle on the PGA Tour having missed four of his previous five cuts and finished 61st in the other. Howell is also prone to missing cuts, but at least he has had two top-10 finishes in his last four events

Brett Quigley to beat Aaron Baddeley -111 @ Simon Bold [2 units]
No course form to boast about, but in the past month Quigley has won a Buy.com Tour event and finished 2nd and 5th in two PGA Tour events. On any PGA Tour course, Baddeley cannot compete with that

Jim Carter to beat John Daly -111 @ Simon Bold
Not quite the easy money of previous years, but opposing Daly is always profitable. His record in this event is poor and he comes off a missed cut in the Byron Nelson having played in Macau the week before. Carter has been steady of late making his last five cuts and that's all we require this week

Fred Funk to beat Tim Herron -110 @ Stanley
Funk has disappointed in front of his home crowd in recent years, but his game has been steady of late. This is more a play against Herron who, bar the 11th place finish at the Byron Nelson, has been struggling to make cuts of late

Steve Lowery to beat Tim Herron -111 @ UKBetting
Three top-10 finishes and just one missed cut all year indicates that Lowery is in decent shape to relive some of the form that took him to 2nd here last year. Against a struggling Herron, a top-30 finish should be enough

Chris Perry to beat Tim Herron -115 @ Intertops [2 units]
Perry has struggled since returning back from injury and he missed the cut last week, but before that break he appeared to be rediscovering his form of 1999 and this is simply a statement of belief that he is too good a player to carry on missing cuts
 
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