Kemper Open

[ZigZag]

Alright - who do you guys need to hack it up tomorrow.

I will be out at the Kemper and will gladly heckle - whoops I mean follow a golfer or two

On a serious note - I like Mickleson over Leonard at -175 the price is a bit high, but Mickleson is pissed after last week and he is really focused on getting another chance to finish out on Sunday. He will skip the Memorial so a bad showing here would not taste good on his 2/3 weeks off.

Also, the rough is pretty nasty out there with all the recent rain and Mickleson has a huge advantage with his distance over Leonard. I don't expect Leonard to see as much of the rough as Mick, but at least Mick will have short irons out of the thick stuff instead of the long iron that Leonard will have on any missed fairways.

Another plus - the 2nd hole is 600 Phil can get there Justin can't. The 6th a short par 5 for Phil not an easy reach for Justin. Same goes with the 13. Huge par 5 advant for Phil.

 

[booman]

Kemper Pic 7:
Chalmers, DiMarco, Durant, Langham, Leonard, Mickelson, Triplett with a snift at Funk

72 Matchups:
Durant-125 vs Janzen
Leonard-130 vs Roberts

YTD 14-7-1

GL2A...

 

[AussieVamp2]

Gay is out? Interesting, when looking at sportingodds a couple of days ago they did not have him - how did they know first?

 

[AussieVamp2]

The correct odds blokes have Barlow listed at about 75 Dogs, so almost DYM on him, sounds reasonable that.

 

[AussieVamp2]

so if Gay is out, on their next bracked of duded with 'value'

Baddeley, Paulsen, Pavin, Sposa?

or the bolter as Boris would say Tommy who is he Tolles at 200, rated 95

 

[Stanley]

Sorry Anders!

My take: Good odds on Leonard, but this is one that is decided by Mickelson. If he wants to win this event and can ignore the voices, he will win it. I have a play on Perry, but it is more a leap of faith than valid reasoning so I wouldn't bother with hime against Stricker. The one that appeals to me most is Lowery over Roberts. Neither in the form of their life, but at Roberts' age then the drive can be missing when the game is missing. He also does not have a great recent record here, whereas Lowery was 2nd last year.

 

[Stanley]

1st round plays:

Fred Funk to beat Robert Allenby -105 @ Moneyplays
Chris Perry to beat Stephen Ames -105 @ Five Dimes or Moneyplays
Steve Flesch to beat Paul Stankowski -125 @ Five Dimes or Moneyplays
Steve Flesch to beat Esteban Toledo -145 @ Five Dimes
Lee Janzen to beat Billy Mayfair -115 @ Carib

 

[Clive]

See Racing Post has Baddeley as the headline selection in the Kemper, which is strange for them as they usually go for players around the 10/1 mark!!
Baddeley is not a player I want to oppose. I was very impressed with him at the Belfry.

Simon Bold have mysteriously lost the Ames/Gamez match up!

 

[Anders]

Cheers Stan - if i'd looked a little closer I would have seen my answers in the plays from your and DTB anyway

GL all for the four days ahead

 

[Stanley]

Not surprising from Simon Bold, but at least Five Dimes offer a line for every matchup I list on my site [except for the European Tour], though they do tend to be closer to the 'true' line!

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

adding one final 1st rounder and siding with Stan on Perry -105 over Ames @ 5dimes
Hate to have both 1st rounders opposing same player but even with Perrys poor late form he is 2nd out of gate today and Ames go off late.Mediocre round should put him in the ballpark.

 

[AussieVamp2]

had already put a beer each way on Baddeley, so that 10/1 thing is interesting!

 

[Ian]

Just back in time to have a bit on Sposa at 66-1, I might get time later to see how you have all been doing

 

[Clive]

Now that you're married do you expect to have more time or less time!!?

 

[Stanley]

1st round update: 4-1-0 and +2.95 units

Good start to the week with only Funk losing from today's matches: he lost by two to Allenby. The winners were Perry over Ames by seven, Flesch over Stankowski by three and over Toledo by two, and Janzen over Mayfair by two. The 72-hole matches stand 3-5-0 after 18 holes: Ames/Gamez 3 down; Triplett/Appleby 4 down; Howell/Baddeley 1 down; Quigley/Baddeley 1 up; Carter/Daly 1 up; Funk/Herron 2 down; Lowery/Herron 1 up; and Perry/Herron 3 down. With both Hoch and Triplett very much in contention, there have been worse starts to the week!

Welcome back Ian

And we all know the answer to that question

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

round 1 results todays mtches 2-0
Sposa/Ames win by 9
Perry/Ames win by 7

72 hole standings
Sposa/Ames 9 up
Dimarco/Flesch 3up
Lowery/Roberts 2 up
Striker/Perry all square
Watts/Quigley 3 down

Good question Clive.Have an idea his capping in evenings will be coming to a halt (temporarily)
Nice to have you back Ian.By the way the ole saying married people live longer is a myth.Just seems longer

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

early 2nd rounder up @ $plays
Lickliter -130 over Brooks
Hate laying those odds but Brooks hit every fairway today and they tied at -2,can't see him repeating that effort.

 

[Stanley]

2nd round plays:

Stephen Ames to beat Chris Perry +100 @ Five Dimes [2 units]
Stephen Ames to beat Mike Sposa -103 @ Five Dimes [3 units]
Steve Lowery to beat Stuart Appleby +110 @ Sportfanatik
Kirk Triplett to beat Stuart Appleby +105 @ Five Dimes
Brian Watts to beat Brett Quigley +105 @ Five Dimes

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

2nd round: adding
Triplett -105 over Appleby

40% chance of rain in afternoon leaving lots

will throw 3ball combo for 1/2 unit @ S.B.
Sposa-Triplett-Watts-Lowery $10 for $323
1st 3 are morning pairings. If they come through will hedge afternoon Lowery 3ball by placing 3 units each on Dimarco and Carter.

 

[Cartman88]

Does anyone know what happened with Stephen Ames this morning??

I'm not sure if he even teed off today but his name has disappeared off the leaderboard.