EPL
CHELSEA- TOTTENHAM OVER 2 - 175 :0074
I usually am pretty disciplined with the prices I will pay on the totals. For the most part I try to keep it at -150 or under. I am pretty comfortable laying the juice on this short total.
Dog shit game, Tottenham sucks they looked awful. I figured Chelsea would get 2 themselves, and they sure had chances to do it. I used to do a lot of my damage in EPL, now I am finding it increasingly more difficult to navigate. Going to take another stab though.
EPL
MAN UTD / EVERTON OVER 2.5 - 150
SERIE A
JUVE/ROMA OVER 2.5/3 - 130
I will probably find another play or two sitting just under .500 on the week so far, looking to get back in the green this weekend.
Adding
SERIE A
SASS/SPEZIA OVER 2.5 - 120
I think both teams are going to feel like they can get a win from this game. Sass has really cooled off, but I think this is a good spot for them to find the net. Spezia is at the bottom of the league in defensive efficiency away from home. In their last two away games they have given up 8 goals. A look at the schedule log shows Spezia has give up a ALOT of multi goal games to opponents when they hit the road. Spezia did get blanked last game out against Udinese but they found the net 11 times in the 3 games (all competitions) before that so they are capable. Sass has notched in 9 in a row, I feel we see at least 3 here. Not my favorite play of the week, and I generally don't play totals with teams near the bottom of the standings because they are generally pretty shitty. With that said I will take a stab here, its a gut play if anything.
SERIE A
ROMA/JUVENTUS OVER 2.5/3 - 130
This one sets up nicely. Huge tilt in Serie A with both teams chasing the top of table, and right up each others ass in the standings. Juventus rolls in scoring 2 goals or more in their last 4 matches. Roma's most recent form is nice as well as they have scored 7 in their last 2 times out. Two weeks ago they hit a roadblock and were clean sheeted in back to back games, other wise Roma have been money as far as scoring and overs are concerned. Their matches have seen 3 or more goals in the last 6 games. We have two teams near the top of 5 in many scoring metrics that matter to me, shots, shots on target, goals, and crosses. These teams average over 4 goals a game guys, I see value in the line when you add it all up. Recent history is also showing that there have been 3 goals or more in the last 3 matches between these two, they like to open it.
EPL
MAN UTD/EVERTON OVER 2.5 - 150
Like I said earlier in the week, I used to do a lot of damage in the EPL, but I have found the last few weeks to be increasingly difficult to navigate. I like this one though, LOTS of front end scoring talent in this match. I feel for all the talent Everton has they lack consistency, and tend underwhelm in a lot of performances. They have strung 2 multi goal games together in a row, and I am counting on the trend to continue. I think I can count on Everton for at least a goal here if not 2 , they do average over 1.5 per game. On the flip side, Man Utd just shredded Southampton who had to play 89 min down a man. Man UTD is now the #1 scoring team in the EPL, and #1 in shots on target. I like the chances of 3 goals in this one.
There you have it, let's see where this goes, I am just under .500 on the week so far.