Maryland

BASON

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Really do not want to do this but have to:

Wisconsin -4 SH

Maryland shot lights out and only up 5 as they were once again horrible the last 3 minutes of the half.

I would still lay 5. I bet it and it was 5 and then changed very quickly to 4 when I went to confirm and then back to 5. It was weird but I did get it at 4.
 

BASON

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Thanks Buckshot, moving slow today, a little under the weather.

Maryland @ Nebraska

I am having a little trouble with this one. Maryland just seems incapable of playing a full 40 minutes, while Nebraska has just been bad since they lost at Maryland. No doubt in my mind that Maryland is the more talented team, just have trouble counting on them playing a complete game. They should dominate Nebraska in the middle as Fernando and Smith killed them in the first game. Maryland had one hell of a time covering Palmer in the fist game. They used multiple defenders on him and they all had trouble as he finished with 26 points. He also had some extra motivation for that game since his hometown is close by. Nebraska is weakened without Copeland and this should play to Maryland's favor as they focus more on Palmer. This is a huge game for both teams. Nebraska has to win to have any chance at a tourney bid and Maryland needs some momentum as their schedule is brutal the rest of the season. Maryland has shown some grit on the road this season, but they simply have collapsed at key moments. They were terrible down the stretch at Purdue and collapsed in the second halves at Michigan State and Wisconsin, but all three of these teams are better than Nebraska. I knew they would not beat Wisky, but I do not feel quite the same tonight.

Maryland +3 -120

If Maryland was looking better this would be a big play for me, but I am taking it easy because I simply do not trust them, especially on the road. But I am going to have some faith in Turgeon and hope they come out strong by pouring it inside (seriously Fernando should touch the ball in almost every possession, if they do not double they are in trouble, if they do, it will create open shots) which will then create open 3's, so all they have to do is hit some 3's. That is a big IF, but I think they can do enough to win this one, but I will take the points since they only won by 2 at home.
 

BASON

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Maryland vs Purdue

Huge home game for the Terps tonight. I really think this is their chance to show they belong at the top of the conference as a red hot Purdue team comes to town. They lost by 2 at Purdue earlier in the season in a game they definitely should have won if they could of executed anything on offense in the last 2 minutes of the game. It was maddening watching the end of that one as MD simply blew every chance they had to win. This time around, however, Purdue is a different team. They are one of the hottest teams in the country and they are scoring in a conference that lacks scoring. Maryland is a very, very good defensive team that can rebound and that is why they stay in and win games despite their offensive woes at times. They are very long at about every position and give teams fits on defense. Their problem is offensive efficiency, execution and consistency. They have failed to score 70 points in their last 5 games. If they do not score 70 tonight I can almost assure you they will lose the game. Cowan has been in a slump and he has to come out of it if they are going to win tonight. Maryland has had almost a week off which I do not like. Coaches may like it, but players do not and I believe not playing at game speed for a week is tough for a team at this point in the season. Another example of the Big 10 not doing them any favors scheduling wise. Maryland has to play a complete game for 40 minutes to beat Purdue. Unfortunately, they have not done this all year long and I think their dry spells will cost them this game. I hope they can put together a full game effort, but until I see it, I simply can not put my money on them:

Purdue -130

I know this is the obvious play and my guess is that it will be a popular play, but sometimes the obvious play is the right one. I thought about a FH bet also, but I am just sticking with the game as I expect some decent runs by both teams in this one. I hope the Terps pull it out, but I will have to see them put together a full 40 before I can bet on it. They will have to shoot the ball really well which is not something you can count on with them. They have Michigan and Iowa up next on the road so this is a really big game for them. I am hoping for a fast paced entertaining game. Enjoy!
 

BASON

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First half is a perfect example of why MD supporters are getting tired of Turgeon. The man can not coach offense. Fernando's first touch on offense comes with 6 minutes in the half!! Yes, that is right, they did not get him the ball the first 14 minutes of the first half. I have no idea what Turgeon is doing with this team offensively. Meanwhile, a poor 3 shooting team just keeps firing 3's and their best 3 point shooter (Wiggins) barely plays. It is no coincidence that they started scoring at the end of the half because they started getting Fernando touches. The man can recruit and coach defense, but he is clueless on offense. Players simply do not get better offensively under his tutelage.

Nothing has changed my mind in this one, MD simply can not score enough to win. Think we have the winning bet so no need to play halftime.
 

BASON

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Wow, tale of two halves. I guess I talked Maryland into a win (and they got to 70). Purdue's second half could not have been worse, but Maryland played some serious defense. Morsell's defensive effort on Edwards was simply fantastic. Sure, Edwards scored 24 points by he was 8-27 from the field and never had any space. Talked myself out of the MD SH middle bet (as well as Purdue FH). Oh well, I hate losing money, but was good to see a strong second half (sparked a lot by Wiggins who finally got some more minutes) comeback by MD. If they can shoot 50% they will win many more.
 

BASON

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Maryland vs Michigan

I have struggled to handicap this one because I think Michigan is a very overrated team. They got off to a great start, but I have watched them a few times and never come away impressed. The early schedule was full of home games where they have yet to lose, but they have shown a lot of vulnerability on the road. Where they excel is on defense especially at home. The 7 home conference games have averaged 125 points per game (that includes a 140 point blowout with Northwestern) while the road games average 131 points per game. In conference they are 2 and 3 in scoring defense for a combined average of 123.8 per game. All of this is hard to ignore, so I am going with the obvious play:

Under 130 -130

I bought it up a little to be safe. I expect a highly competitive ugly game dominated by both defenses. If Maryland can limit the turnovers I actually think they have a shot in this game. They are better in conference in most statistical categories versus Michigan. If you simply looked at the conference stats you would never think that Michigan is in first place, but they are, and it is because of their defense. Maryland can definitely struggle against strong defensive teams but you can count on them to be strong defensively also. They absolutely smothered Purdue in the second half of that game. If Maryland can keep this one close it should go under the total.
 

bryanz

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Maryland vs Michigan

I have struggled to handicap this one because I think Michigan is a very overrated team. They got off to a great start, but I have watched them a few times and never come away impressed. The early schedule was full of home games where they have yet to lose, but they have shown a lot of vulnerability on the road. Where they excel is on defense especially at home. The 7 home conference games have averaged 125 points per game (that includes a 140 point blowout with Northwestern) while the road games average 131 points per game. In conference they are 2 and 3 in scoring defense for a combined average of 123.8 per game. All of this is hard to ignore, so I am going with the obvious play:

Under 130 -130

I bought it up a little to be safe. I expect a highly competitive ugly game dominated by both defenses. If Maryland can limit the turnovers I actually think they have a shot in this game. They are better in conference in most statistical categories versus Michigan. If you simply looked at the conference stats you would never think that Michigan is in first place, but they are, and it is because of their defense. Maryland can definitely struggle against strong defensive teams but you can count on them to be strong defensively also. They absolutely smothered Purdue in the second half of that game. If Maryland can keep this one close it should go under the total.

Nice call on the under, MD took to many 3's. Mich was ripe inside, could of had them . Thanks
 

BASON

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Maryland vs Iowa

Keeping this simple.

Iowa -130

This line was a bit of a surprise as I thought it would be a little higher. Until Turgeon can prove he can get his team to beat a ranked team on the road (he has never done so!) you have to continue to play against them especially when you get a good priced money line. Cowan has been bad lately and the offense continues to bomb threes rather than pounding the ball inside. I actually think they match up well with Iowa and can give them fits defensively, but I just do not trust them on offense on the road to win. If they pound it inside and try to get Cook and Garza in foul trouble, they can win this game, but I doubt they do that. My guess is that they will have to light it up from 3 to win this and I doubt they can do that on the road. This is a key game for the big 10 standings as the winner keeps alive their top 4 hopes.
 

Keith 1

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Maryland vs Iowa

Keeping this simple.

Iowa -130

This line was a bit of a surprise as I thought it would be a little higher. Until Turgeon can prove he can get his team to beat a ranked team on the road (he has never done so!) you have to continue to play against them especially when you get a good priced money line. Cowan has been bad lately and the offense continues to bomb threes rather than pounding the ball inside. I actually think they match up well with Iowa and can give them fits defensively, but I just do not trust them on offense on the road to win. If they pound it inside and try to get Cook and Garza in foul trouble, they can win this game, but I doubt they do that. My guess is that they will have to light it up from 3 to win this and I doubt they can do that on the road. This is a key game for the big 10 standings as the winner keeps alive their top 4 hopes.


literally came down to the last shot. Get 'em next time Bason.
 

BASON

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Sorry, I just got home from a week long trip. Thought I was going to be back in time but missed it. Liked the FH Under, but does not matter now. I will see if there is a halftime play. Tough spot for MD tonight in my opinion.
 

BASON

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Worst FH of basketball Maryland has played all year. Completely pathetic on offense, not rebounding and once again turning it over. Just looks like they do not want to be there. And of course Turgeon just sits back and watches doing nothing to change things up (Cowan has to be benched when he decides not to play the FH!). Not sure they are going to wake up, but they can not play any worse against a team much less talented than they are. They get a huge break with Wisconsin losing last night and come out and choke it up tonight. Lets see if Turgeon can motivate this team and not get thoroughly embarrassed. Should see some points in the second half but given the deficit have to go with:

Maryland -4.5 SH
 

BASON

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Thanks!

Definitely had to sweat that one out. Knew this was going to be a tough spot for MD, but was too busy drinking bourbon in KY to get a write up posted. I took a much needed week off and now am ready to bear down for the home stretch. Will continue to post MD games and will likely start posting some of the FH Unders I play in the tournaments, especially once the NCAA starts.
 

BASON

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Maryland vs Michigan

This is a huge game for Maryland. They are coming home off their worst game of the season and really need a win to help secure 4th place in the league. More importantly, this is an important game for this team's mentality moving forward. I think we will see a much better effort from Maryland but I am not sure it will be enough. Maryland simply turns the ball over too much to trust them to win so I am staying away from the game and focusing on the total. The under is the obvious play given how great both teams are defensively but I am going against the grain on this one:

Maryland Ov 129

If Turgeon is any kind of a coach he has to be focused on offensive execution and reducing turnovers, so I am hoping for a better offensive effort in this one and hopefully a faster paced game. This game is sold out and the crowd will be fired up so it should also help. Maybe it is wishful thinking but I am looking for more points than expected in this one.
 

BASON

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Wasn't easy, but a winner is a winner.

I have lost my patience with Turgeon. He is just clueless on offense. He never changes anything he does. Cowan sucks, leave him in no matter what. He is getting worse and worse as the season progresses. He and Ayala need to play less together as they had 3 assists combined today. That is pathetic. Wiggins is their best offensive player and does not play nearly enough. Why, because Turgeon does not like his defensive effort. Well Mark, you have to score to win no matter how good your defense is. Trust me, Turgeon's stubbornness is starting to wear on influential MD alum.
 

BASON

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Maryland Vs Nebraska

Maryland has beaten them twice and completely dominated them at Nebraska last time out. Nebraska simply can not match the size of Fernando and Smith inside and they should dominate if MD gets them the ball. Palmer killed MD in the first game, but Morsell shut him down in the second game. He is the key to beating Nebraska as they only seem to win when he has a great game (he had 34 of their 68 yesterday). You shut him down they lose. Maryland has not won a tournament game in two years. They are going to be up for this game and have had plenty of time to prepare. The long layoff usually portends to a slow start. Couple that with playing in a unfamiliar arena:

FH Un 63

I was surprised the total was 134.5 so I am laying off it for the game, but I think we may see a slow start so I will play the fh under I definitely think Maryland wins this game as they are the better team and they should be motivated, but I am a little concerned about a slow start especially since Nebraska played yesterday. If Maryland is losing at the half or even tied, I will be playing them in the second half. I should be around to post it, but rather than playing the game I think I will wait for halftime.
 
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