Mastercard Colonial

bettingmad

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I think Buckeye means he is tipping David Toms.... so that's another definite mention for David Toms in this weeks forum... that's D-A-V-I-D T-O-M-S

ah well .... one less player for me to worry about this week :D
 

Svengali

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Price to beat McCarron 10/11 @LuvBet - 4pts.
Loving Price at the moment, the guy is just awesome. He hasn't finished outside the top 20 in last 10 and while never looking like winning he must be one of the most consistent on tour this season. Since announcing he was 'probably the number one player in the world right now' after the World Matchplay McCarron has not impressed and has too many significantly above par rounds. Neither has great course form but Price is playing the best he has for a long time.
 

Stanley

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Adding (1 unit):

David Duval to beat Jim Furyk -125 @ Cascade or WIT
Furyk may have had some decent performances on this course, but he is woefully out-of-form at the moment, having missed three cuts in his last five starts and two of those were in the two Texas events so far this year. Duval is not a likely winner this week, but he secured his second top-15 finish of the year last week and has beaten Furyk in each of their last three common events.

Craig Perks to beat Mathew Goggin -143 @ TattsBet
This shouldn't last until the weekend. Perks is 2-for-7 in cuts made in Texan PGA Tour events, while Goggin is 0-for-5. Perks seems to have regained his former game after the shock of winning the Players Championship - after three missed cuts he has made the last two. Looks the better player with Goggin failing to make the cut in two Buy.com events last month.

Davis Love to beat John Huston -110 @ LuvBet
Adding another unit. Once again, can't find much of interest on the PGA Tour, but this one appeals the most.

Scott Verplank to beat Lee Janzen -133 @ Easybets
Last week's 27th place finish was Janzen's best event since the Buick Invitational over three months ago. He has struggled with his game, particularly under the pressure of Sundays, and with his dismal record at the Colonial - just two cuts made in the last six visits - it is hard to see him match last week's performance. Verplank was never on the pace last week, but has been very consistent all season and has an equally consistent record on this course.

Kenny Perry to beat Jerry Kelly -111 @ Sporting Odds
Siding with Perry and course form in this matchup as Kelly has been very consistent all season and Perry only started to show his earlier season form last week, at least until a final round 77 saw him plummet down the leaderboard. Perry has failed to make the weekend just once in the last ten years at the Colonial, whereas Kelly has done so in only half of his six previous visits. Last year he missed the cut when in arguably even better form than at the moment.
 

lostinamerica

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Outrights

David Toms (0.30* e.w. Top 4 @ 16/1 @ Olympic, plus a little more To Win @ 20/1 @ 5dimes)
Can David fell Goliath? Can any champion prove his mettle as the exception to The Rule?

Justin Leonard (0.30* e.w. Top 5 @ 22/1 @ Bet365)
The Texas Tiger "in a rich vein of form."

David Duval (0.30* e.w. Top 4 @ 24/1 @ Olympic)
Duval needed a spark. A flash was visible in the Saturday pairing with his pal Woods. Scored well all week. Blazing conflagration possible.

A few bucks on the B Teamers To Win: Parnevik @ 50/1 @ Olympic (doing enough things well to make it happen); Cink @ 70/1 @ 5dimes (was touting him last week before he withdrew for reasons still unknown to me, but hoping there were circumstances that build a mental edge); Chad Campbell @ 100/1 @ 5dimes (even ranks highly on Stan's Course Compatibility Ratings); Cook @ 85/1 @ 5dimes (will his switch be on?); and Daly @ 40/1 confronting Tiger @ Bet365 (a change of scenery has become a moment of opportunity).

Matchups and Groups:

Toms(+100) over Singh (72 holes) for 1* @ 5dimes
This line moved to Toms(-115) within a day. I would rate Toms as a live dog this week against anyone in this small field. Singh won going away in Texas the week after his last missed cut (and also won in Florida in 1999 after an early exit). I was lurking and moving on this year's prior bounce back effort before Singh's Friday round of 65; this time the circumstances leading up have a different look and feel, including play in which he hit 14% of his fairways on Thursday and did not make a birdie on Friday.

Leonard(-137) over Maruyama @ 5dimes
Nothing exotic in favoring the reliable Texan over the emotionally tapped winner from last week.

Parlay @ 22.5/1 (I believe) for 0.25* @ Bet365
Parnevik(4/1) over Maruyama/Verplank/Love/Howell; and
Cink(7/2) over Lehman/Appleby/Weir/Faxon
Looking for an opportunity to do some damage on the cheap.

GL
 

Myron

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Since I'm on a bit of a roll here are my picks.

3 units to win on Sergio Garcia at 12-1
2 units e/w on Mike Weir at 50-1
1 unit e/w on Jim Furyk at 50-1
 

TexasBC6

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good luck guys, dont cap golf but always watch some of byron nelson and colonial, been to the nelson a couple of times--anyway a little more on the Colonial course--

from dallasnews
FORT WORTH ? In this era of juiced-up golf balls and titanium drivers, Colonial Country Club stands as a beacon to the past.

The old-fashioned course along the Trinity River has withstood the advances in technology, presenting a refreshing challenge to tour players with its tree-lined doglegs and small greens.

The cozy layout, so rich in tradition, remains a thinking man's course, one that requires even the longest drivers to be creative and hit most of the clubs in their bags.
"It doesn't have nearly enough length to compete against all of the technology out there and the strength of the players," said Austin's Tom Kite, making his 30th start here. "But it's still a test. It's one of the few courses where you have to shape the ball. It's got plenty of tightness that forces you to hit quality shots, and if you don't hit quality shots you're going to get penalized."

Many courses have gone to great lengths to avoid getting outgrown by technology. Colonial, with virtually no room to grow, has primarily used the elements to keep up; keeping the fairways firm, the greens fast and letting the wind take care of the rest.

It made its most dramatic revisions in 2000, when it redid the greens and bunkers, added 68 trees and reworked six tee boxes. But only 70 yards were added, going from 7,010 to 7,080.

The primary focus of that project was to restore the greens and bunkers to the original aesthetics.

"You don't find the members here talking about how they're going to lengthen this hole and change this hole and move this green back so they can lengthen this tee box, as you do at a number of other courses," 2000 champion Phil Mickelson said. "That says a lot about what kind of golf course this is. It's held up better than most."

Mickelson and Sergio Garcia, the defending champion, are long hitters. But none of the winners in the 1990s, such as Nick Price in 1994, Tom Lehman in 1995 and Tom Watson in 1998, were known for their length.

Shot making is still the key element at Colonial.

"I can't think of one hole where you can just step up and swing as hard as you can," said David Toms, who finished fourth and eighth the past two years. "Every hole has something that you have to pay attention to. A lot of courses we play, you just hit it high and long and it just kind of stops where it lands. It's a different type of golf. We just don't get to play many courses like this."

Scores show the course adapting well to equipment improvements. Mickelson won with a 12-under 268, the same score shot by 1978 champion Lee Trevino.

Fulton Allem set the tournament record of 264 in 1993, the same year Keith Clearwater and Lee Janzen posted course-record rounds of 61.

Good scores are out there, but overly aggressive play can lead to trouble.

Mickelson said that long players can overpower Colonial if they keep their ball out of the rough. On the par-4 18th, which players used to reach with 5-irons, Mickelson usually hits pitching wedge or sand wedge.

"To play this course most effectively, you need to hit driver," he said. "With the fairways being fast, it's difficult to hit fairways with drivers. But if I'm driving well, I'd like to be aggressive on this course, see if I can get wedges in and make some birdies."

Under normal conditions, players can struggle with the firm fairways because balls will roll through them and into the rough. If it rains, Colonial has little defense because the fairways get soft. Wind makes the layout extremely difficult.

"You go from hitting a lot of drivers to hitting a lot of 2-irons off the tee and stuff like that," Garcia said. "It makes you think a lot. I think the good players stand out here."

One of Colonial's unique aspects is the Horrible Horeshoe of Nos. 3, 4 and 5.

Players are greeted with one of the most difficult stretches on tour early in their round. No. 3 is a demanding dogleg left that requires a perfect drive; No. 4 is a 246-yard par-3; and No. 5 is a 470-yard par-4.

"If you play those holes even-par for the tournament, then you have a good chance to win the tournament," said 1998 champion Tom Watson said. "Those holes eat most people's lunches. At some courses, it's the late holes that you have to play well. Here, it's the opening holes."
 

wigs

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sorry guys, TexasBC6 is my roommate, i accidently posted under his name, anyway once again good luck with the tourney--:weed:
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Drat Winds already up at 4am and to remain stable rest of day.
Am not liking 1st rd selections near as well. weather channel has been on an off all morning. here is local weather from Fort Worth as of4am central.

Currently: M/CLEAR
Temperature: 71?F
RealFeel Temp: 67?F
Humidity: 68%
Visibility: 10 mi.
Winds: S 18 mph
Pressure: 29.92
 

Cartman88

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My matchups for this week:

Howell -115 vs Kelly @ Canbet
Toms -110 vs Leonard @ Carib
Mediate -130 vs Maruyama @ Carib
Love -110 vs Verplank @ Carib
Allenby -120 vs Beckman @ Carib
Sluman -125 vs Mattiace @ Carib (2 units)
Flesch -125 vs Andrade @ Carib
Flesch -105 vs Funk @ Centrebet
Parnevik -115 vs Choi @ Centrebet
Allenby -120 vs Lonard @ Centrebet
 

Ian

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Wasn't gonna play apart from the regular ?5ew on Beem - this week cut to 150/1! - but having read about the weather and the course will have an interest in Allenby at 50/1
- will be missing as from Monday - DTB - its been a while since one of those Holidays!
 

bettingmad

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DTB,
Hope the winds aren't worse earlier in the day.... my 3 off the tee are all early starters... 2 x 8am & 1 x 8.20am.

David Toms has an afternoon start today.... oooppps another mention for him, must be KOD this week.... and I saw him as a big threat to my men as he was so solid on current and course form :D
 

Monarch

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I see you have reached a great milestone today Stanley.....5000 posts :eek: Which was your favourite one? :D.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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1st rd results 3-1-1

Parny +105 over Price push
Dimarco -102 over Duval loss by 5
Haas +115 over Hart win by 4
Estes -104 over Love win by 5
Johannson -110 over Sposa win by 5

----and let wsex sack this 1st rounder after they grade Tripp:D

05/16/2002 04:23:38 4 Play Parlay: Wagered $10.00 to win $253.05 Unsettled
GP1 1 5/16 CHARLES HOWELL III VS B.GEIBERGER (COLONIAL R1) B.GEIBERGER (+140) (W)
GP1 11 5/16 SCOTT VERPLANK VS ROBERT ALLENBY (COLONIAL R1) SCOTT VERPLANK (-130) (W)
GP1 15 5/16 TOM LEHMAN VS TOM WATSON (COLONIAL R1) TOM WATSON (+195) (W)
GP1 21 5/16 KIRK TRIPLETT VS SHIGEKI MARUYAMA (COLONIAL R1) KIRK TRIPLETT (+110)
 
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DOGS THAT BARK

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adding 2nd rd.
Cook +105 over Kelly @ WSEX
below are morning tees vs noon as 5dimes is only I've seen venture out on these.All others have am vs am and pm vs pm.
Wind is again blowing early but as with yesterday greens get very firm late giving some advantage.
@ 5dimes
Toms -112 vs Singh
Beckman -115 vs Choi
Huston -105 vs Lehman
Tway -112 vs Roberts

Just about made Tway a double as he thumped Roberts by 3 in opposite conditions.

Monarch I have a most memorable post by Stan which I believe was only his 2nd post ever at beginning of Jacks.As a fact it was how we met and was due to most unusual interpetation of terms which I will not go into. Do you remember Stan? :) That has seemed VERY long ago.
 
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