Monday Service Plays 10-20-08

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Mon, 10/20/08 - 8:35 PMMatty O'Shea | NFL Total
triple-dime bet432 NEP / 431 DEN Under 49.0 SportBet
Analysis: The Patriots have little chance to win a shootout against the Broncos, so look for them to stay conservative on offense like they did in their first two wins of the season against the Chiefs and Jets. This is the highest posted total for a New England game since the Super Bowl, and we all know how that turned out with Tom Brady on the field. With Matt Cassel continuing to lead the Patriots offense, I expect them rely on the running game and short passes to move the ball and control the clock. I also think New England head coach Bill Belichick will figure out a way to hold Denver QB Jay Cutler in check. The Broncos have seen their last two games go UNDER by a combined 25 points, and their last three meetings with the Pats have all totaled 48 points or less. Bet the UNDER to cash again here as my Triple Dime MNF AFC Total Play O' the Year
 
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Vegas Sports Experts

The VSE NFL Football Power Play for Monday is:

10* Take New England (-3) over Denver (NFL Power Play)
8:30 PM EST

Denver
? 1-14 ATS when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points
? 2-8 ATS coming off an upset loss as a favorite
? 5-15 ATS when playing in the 1st half of the season
? 4-14 ATS coming off a home game the last 3 seasons
 
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Mon, 10/20/08 - 8:35 PMStephen Nover | NFL Side
double-dime bet432 NEP -3.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 431 DEN
Analysis:
Patriots -3

Analysis: Don't get put off by what you saw Sunday night when the Chargers destroyed the Patriots.

The Chargers' drubbing actually works in New England's favor because it keeps the spread down for this matchup.

The Patriots aren't a serious Super Bowl contender minus Tom Brady. But they are much better than what they showed Sunday night. They still are a legitimate division contender with the potential to win a playoff game or two.

Bill Belichick is that good of a coach. Look for him to have the right defensive game plan to confuse young Jay Cutler, who probably will be missing some of his skill position weapons.

The Broncos are weak defensively. Their interior is small and their safeties slow and weak in coverage. Denver only has covered two of its past 10 road games.

The Patriots' running attack is solid enough to take advantage and Matt Cassel has good targets with Randy Moss, Wes Welker and a healthy tight end Ben Watson to put up the needed points against such a weak defense.
 
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Mon, 10/20/08 - 8:35 PMKing Creole | NFL Side
double-dime bet432 NEP -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 431 DEN
Analysis: 8:35pm ET / Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots
2** Play on: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Despite the fact that our weekend TOTALS PLAYS went 6-1 overall, we'll pass on the Over / Under in tonight's Broncos-Patriots game. But if you DO decide to play an Over / Under tonight, don't forget that all MONDAY games are already a PERFECT 7-0 O/U so far this season. That's not a recommendation, it's just a fact.

I much prefer some of the great ATS Systems in regards to tonight's SIDE PLAY.

MONDAY night non-div home favs of -5 < points (PATRIOTS) are 20-6 ATS since 1999 when taking on an opponent off a SUATS loss (broncos).... and 17-5 ATS versus and .500 > opponent.

Denver comes into tonight's game on an ATS tailspin as they have dropped FOUR games in a row against the spread.
NFL road teams with a .666 > winning percentage are 5-17 ATS since 2000 when playing off 3 or more straight ATS losses (broncos)... and 1-7 ATS in the last 3 years.

Let's expand our query by one more game:
0-6 ATS since 2000 for ALL road teams off 4 straight ATS losses in which they were favored by -3 or more points in ALL four games (broncos).

After scoring ton of points to start the season, the offense has dried up for Denver in their last 3 games... as they have scored only 19, 16, and 17 points.
0-5 ATS since 1992 for ALL NFL teams who scored 30+ points in 3 straight games... and then 20 < points in their last 3 games (broncos).

The Pats are glad to return home after struggling to put up points last week against the Chargers on Sunday night.
8-1 ATS in the last 4 years: NFL home teams who scored 13 < points last week... 30+ points in the game before that... and 13 < points in the game before that (PATRIOTS).

NEW ENGLAND is a great team to play 'ON: after they shit the bed on offense. The Patriots are 10-2-1 ATS since 2000 after scoring 10 or less points in a game... and a PERFECT 4-0 ATS since 2003.

One would think that when Denver is off a home FAVORITE loss, that they are a great "play ON". That's not the case.
DENVER is a PERFECT 0-4 ATS in the last 3 years when playing off a SU home FAVORITE loss.
 
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Lenny Del Genio | NFL Side
double-dime bet432 NEP -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 431 DEN
Analysis:

Play on New England at 8:30 ET. Denver allegedly has New England?s ?number? having won 5 of the last 8 series meetings (since 2000) and covering 9 of the previous 12, but this is a banged up team at the skill positions. This is New England?s first home game in 30 days and maybe the Pats needed the break. They have failed to cover five straight here at Gillette Stadium. Thus, they are due. Denver is a terrible pointspread team, having failed to cash in their last five games and they are just 1-6 ATS their last seven as road dogs. Those injuries at the skill positions negate what edge the Broncos could have had here. They are 0-6 ATS vs. teams that allow 64% passing attempts or more to be completed per game anyways. New England bounces back just like they always do. New England is our NFL Oddsmakers Mismatch.
 
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Analyst: Eddie Roman
50,000 Unit Monday Night Lock

50,000 UNIT MONDAY NIGHT
BREAK THE BANK
GAME OF MY CAREER
Denver +3 over New England
 
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Handicapper: John Ryan
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Boston Bruins (NHL) - 7:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -121 Boston Bruins Play Title: Bruins
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Boston (NHL) ? Supporting this graded play are a series of strong angles. Boston is 14-5 against the money line (+12.0 Units) against penalty prone teams averaging >=4.7 power plays/game over the last 2 seasons; 18-9 against the money line (+11.3 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opposition over the last 3 seasons; 7-9 against the money line (+9.8 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Pittsburgh in a weak role for a road win tonight noting they are 5-14 against the money line (-11.9 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. Bruins Savard and Ryder are off to great starts scoring 5 and 4 goals respectively in just 4 games. Boston had struggled on defense for the first three games, but they held Ottawa to just 2 goals Saturday. I expect that momentum to carry over into this game. Crosby finally go going offensively with a line change, but Boston will be able to contain him and minimize shots on goal. Take Boston
 
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RAYMOND'S 5* NHL O/U GAME OF THE WEEK
Pick # 1 Dallas Stars / New York Rangers Under 5.5 -140
 
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Dallas/NY Rangers Under 5 1/2 -1.31 (2.5 Unit Play)

Florida/Montreal Under 5 1/2 -1.09 (3.5 Unit Play)

Colorado -1.17 (3 Unit Play)



Oscarxena Sports
 
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Budin has a 25 Dime play on NE - 3. Confirmed from another site.
 
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icemike23

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BUDINS 25 DIME RELEASE

CALI-CARTEL

1st NFL release (4-1 with college

NEW ENGLAND -3
 
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