Monday Service Plays 6/30

[MLBKING]

NICK PARSONS

While the Yankees money line is too expensive to release as a pay play to my clients, there is value with the Yankees on Monday and that is why youre seeing them here! The Yanks were 16-7 in their last 23 games before yesterdays 3-1 loss to the Mets. Note that they send Mike Mussina to the mound tonight and that is a big problem for the Rangers. Not only is Mussina 10-5 with a 3.93 ERA this season, he has also dominated Texas in his recent meetings with them. The Yankees right-hander is 6-0 with a 2.72 ERA in his last nine starts against the Rangers and there is no reason that his dominance should be halted on Monday! Keep in mind that Mussina has won 9 of his last 11 decisions and his last start was halted by rain in the third inning so he is very well rested for tonights start! The Rangers have lost 20 of their last 26 games versus New York and, especially with this pitching match-up tonight, the struggles against the Yankees should continue for Texas. The Rangers send Scott Feldman to the mound and he has not fared well at all on the road in his career. He is 0-7 with a 6.72 ERA in 43 career road games. Overall, Feldman hasnt won a game since May 9th and hes 0-2 with a 4.88 ERA since then. Feldman needed 99 pitches just to get through four innings against Houston in his last start and he wont find Yankee Stadium to be any kinder than Minute Maid Park! Feldman has never made a start at Yankee Stadium before and it can be a tough place for a young hurler. Feldman is only 25 years old and has only made 11 starts in his brief MLB career. Yankees win this one in a rout!

 

[MLBKING]

The Shark's 1st Inning System June 30th

by: Shark Systems
**The System is currently 104-4 in 2008 and is +68.6 total units.

PREMIUM SYSTEM: 42-1(97.6%)
1ST INNING SYSTEM: 104-4(96.2%)
OVERALL FULL GAME (PREMIUM) 33-18-3(64.8%)
**OVER 82 DAYS OF BASEBALL


(1* WAGER) Atlanta @
Bet "YES" There will be a run scored in the 1st inning.

(4* WAGER) Toronto @ Seattle
Bet "YES" There will be a run scored in the 1st inning.

(4* WAGER) New York M @ St. Louis
Bet "YES" There will be a run scored in the 1st inning.

(4* WAGER) Oakland @ Los Angeles
Bet "YES" There will be a run scored in the 1st inning.

(2* WAGER) Oakland @ Los Angeles
Bet "YES" There will be a run scored in the 1st inning

 

[MLBKING]

DSETHI

3 units:

Astros (-145)...Oswalt has been real good lately, Houston can terrorize lefties, who knows how Stults will respond against good lineup on road and throwing highest # of pitches he's thrown in majors last time out

White Sox (-145)...Bats rolling at home, bullpen arguably best in majors, Floyd much better at home, Pitt game was fluke - error in inning Beetlejuiceed him up, Cleveland lineup looks weak and bullpen even weaker, Sowers hasn't gotten his control and command issues figured out yet.

Angels (-125)...A's only team that's hit Garland hard lately, since getting beat up at home in April he's been much more consistent, Smith walks tons of batters and LAA is 16-4 vs. lefties this year.

1 unit:

Rockies (-120)...Like Rockies' bullpen and lineup more than SD's, especially at home. Need this series desperately

 

[White_tiger]

DSETHI

3 units:

Astros (-145)...Oswalt has been real good lately, Houston can terrorize lefties, who knows how Stults will respond against good lineup on road and throwing highest # of pitches he's thrown in majors last time out

White Sox (-145)...Bats rolling at home, bullpen arguably best in majors, Floyd much better at home, Pitt game was fluke - error in inning Beetlejuiceed him up, Cleveland lineup looks weak and bullpen even weaker, Sowers hasn't gotten his control and command issues figured out yet.

Angels (-125)...A's only team that's hit Garland hard lately, since getting beat up at home in April he's been much more consistent, Smith walks tons of batters and LAA is 16-4 vs. lefties this year.

1 unit:

Rockies (-120)...Like Rockies' bullpen and lineup more than SD's, especially at home. Need this series desperately

 

[MLBKING]

MLB
Write-up


Monday, June 30

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Hot Pitchers
-- Maine is 2-0, 2.84 in his last two starts.
-- Pirates won five of last six Maholm starts.
-- Washington is 6-0 in Redding road starts; they won his last nine starts overall.
-- Stults is 2-0, 1.80 in his first two starts this season.
-- Bush is 2-0, 1.20 in last two starts, but Brewers lost five of his six road starts.
-- Davis has a 1.80 RA in his last three starts.
-- Cubs won last four Lilly starts, scoring 28 runs.

-- Greinke is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three starts, but Royals are 2-6 in his last eight road outings.
-- Bronx is 8-1 with Mussina if they score four or more runs.
-- Red Sox won five of last six Masterson starts (4-1, 3.75). Rays won last three Shields home starts (7-1 in his '08 home starts).
-- Tigers won last five Galarraga starts, scoring 31 runs. Twins won last three Perkins starts, scoring nine runs in each.

Cold Pitchers
-- Lohse has an 8.38 RA in his last four starts.
-- Harang is 1-5, 7.75 in his last seven starts.
-- Tucker is 1-2, 7.20 in his last three starts.
-- Oswalt is 2-5, 5.33 in his last eight starts.
-- Maddux is 0-2, 6.26 in his last three starts; Padres won his last six no-decisons. de la Rosa has 7.29 RA in his four home starts.
-- Giants are 0-8 in Aito home starts this season.
-- Burres has 8.69 RA in his last four starts, but Orioles won his last three outings, scoring 22 runs.
-- Feldman is 0-2, 5.63 in his last eight starts.
-- Sowers is 0-3, 6.49 in his last five starts. Floyd has an 8.31 RA in his last three starts, but White Sox won his last four home starts, and seven of eight overall.
-- Garland has 5.30 RA in his last three starts, but Angels won five of his last seven outings, overall. Smith is 1-2, 6.00 in his last five starts.
-- Dickey is 0-2, 20.26 in his last two starts. Toronto lost the last three Halladay starts (0-1, 5.30).

Hot Teams
-- Mets won five of their last seven road games.
-- Nationals won three of their last four games.
-- Astros won five of their last seven games.

-- Orioles won six of their last seven games. Royals won last five road games, six of last eight overall.
-- Rays won five of their last six games.
-- Detroit won five in row, 17 of last 21 games. Twins are 11-1 in their last twelve games.
-- White Sox are 20-4 in their last 24 home games.
-- Oakland won five of its last seven road games.
-- Mariners won five of their last six games. Toronto won five of its last seven games, but is 2-9 in last eleven on the road.

Cold Teams
-- Cardinals lost five of last seven road games.
-- Reds lost last five home games, scoring ten runs. Pirates lost five of their last six road games.
-- Marlins lost five of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers scored seven runs in last four games, have total of three hits in their last two games.
-- Colorado lost its last seven games, outscored 40-21. Padres lost last eight games and 11 of last 12.
-- Arizona lost four of its last five games. Brewers lost three of their last four contests.
-- Cubs lost their last six road games. Giants lost seven of last eight home games.

-- Bronx is 4-5 in last nine games, 1-3 in last four at home. Texas is 1-7 in the game after its last eight wins.
-- Red Sox lost six of last seven series openers.
-- Indians lost five of their last seven games.
-- Angels lost three of last four games, scoring five runs.

Totals
-- Four of last five St Louis home games stayed under total.
-- Over is 28-7-2 in Pittsburgh road games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Florida home games.
-- Last seven Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in Colorado's last eleven games.
-- Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Arizona games.
-- Over is 8-3 in Cubs' last eleven games overall.

-- Over is 8-3 in Orioles' last eleven games.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Bronx home games.
-- Six of last seven Red Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five games at the Metrodome.
-- Over is 5-1 in White Sox' last six home games.
-- Seven of last nine Angel games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Seattle games.

 

[White_tiger]

PlusLineSports Daily Baseball Selection

THERE ARE TWO GAMES TODAY

Monday June 30, 2008 MLB Daily Selection

Game #1

Texas(Feldman) vs. NYY(Mussina)

NYY-1.5(+115) Moneyline (-175)

Line Origin: Pinnacle @ 10:15pm CST June 29

Game Time: June 30 @ 6:05 pm CST

Game #2

Cleveland(Sowers) vs. CWS(Floyd)

Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+138) Moneyline -147

Line Origin: Pinnacle @ 10:15 pm. CST June 29

Game Time: June 30 @ 7:11 pm CST

 

[MLBKING]

Big Al:

At 9:05pm our selection is on the Colorado Rockies over the San Diego Padres. How bad have things gotten for San Diego? How about getting swept in their last interleague series of the season at the hands of the absolute worst team in the American League? Seattle didn't just beat the Padres over the past three days, they embarrassed them in front of their home crowd at Petco. The final tally for the three-game series was Seatte 18 runs vs. San Diego 6. I'd like to say that the problems for the Pads recently is that interleague play simply doesn't agree with them, and that certainly is true when you look at the fact that this team only won three of eighteen games vs. the AL, the worst IL record in the Majors. But it's more than that as San Diego simply has one of the most anemic offenses in recent memory. Even during their successful run against NL teams in early June prior to the Interleague schedule, there was a stretch where the Padres scored only 2 runs per game in five of six contests (although they actually won four of those games). Part of this lackluster performance is due to injuries (San Diego has had plenty) and part is just a plain old lack of talent. This is the type of offense that is tailor-made for a young, hard-throwing lefty like Colorado's Jorge De La Rosa. De La Rosa has 22 K's in his last three games, including a ten strikeout performance on June 19 against the Indians. The Padres' hitters are even worse against southpaws this season, batting a pathetic .238 against them. Take the Rockies. As always, good luck...Al B!G @L.

At 8:10pm our selection is on the Detroit Tigers over the Minnesota Twins. What a way to begin the next phase of American League play just before the All-Star break with two of the AL's hottest teams in a key division series. The Tigers emerge from play vs. the National League almost looking like a completely different team, having won seventeen of their last twenty-two overall, while the Twins just had their ten-game winning streak snapped on Saturday, but came back Sunday with an Interleague-finale shutout against the Brewers and have now won thirteen of their last fifteen games. You could never tell from the record of Tigers righthanded starter Armando Galarraga that Detroit did so poorly in much of the first half of the season. Not only is Galarraga 7-2 with an ERA of 3.32 and only 55 hits allowed in his 76 innings, but perhaps most impressive is the fact that his team is now 10-2, 83%, in games which he's started. Regardless of what happens from here out, if the Tigers end up making the playoffs, nobody deserves more credit than this 26-year-old Venezuelan for the job he did up to this point to keep Detroit in the hunt. The Tigers have also recently gotten a big boost on offense from the return of veteran DH Gary Sheffield. The Twins will send 25-year-old lefty Glen Perkins to the mound, and although he has won his last two starts, they have come against the absolute worst offenses in baseball in San Diego and Washington. Look for the Tiger batters to feast against this inexperienced southpaw as they are hitting a scorching .297 vs. lefties this season. Take Detroit. As always, good luck...Al B!G @L.

 

[MLBKING]

Matt Fargo:

New York Mets vs. St Louis Cardinals (MLB)
Jun 30, 2008 7:05 PM EDT

Play: St Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals were able to take the final two games in Kansas City and come home with a successful 5-4 record during the recent roadtrip. St. Louis is the only team in baseball with at least 23 wins at both home and on the road. It was swept by the Royals in its last home series so it comes in with some momentum this time around. The Cardinals offense is leading the charge, hitting .292 over the last 10 games while averaging 5.4 rpg over that span. St. Louis is also hitting .280 at home against right-handed pitching.
The Mets were not swept by the Yankees over the weekend but they were swept at home sop they come in on a big downer and a three-game losing skid. New York is five games under .500 on the road and the offense can be to blame as has been the case recently. The Mets are hitting .254 on the road this season and over the last 10 games they are hitting only .248. They have scored three runs or fewer in seven of those games and have averaged just 4.1 rpg over that 10-game stretch and that includes a 15-run game.

Kyle Lohse has had a very solid recent stretch. Lohse had tossed three straight quality starts prior to his last outing and has done so in six of his last eight games, posting a 3.07 ERA over that span. One non-quality start was due to lack of innings as he allowed just one run in five innings. He has been solid at home, going 4-1 with a 3.10 ERA in nine starts at Busch Stadium. Add to that, Lohse is 5-0 with a 2.84 ERA in eight nighttime starts.

John Maine has put together two straight quality outings but he has not had three straight since mid-May. Through May 13th, his ERA was at 2.81 and it has gone up nearly a full run since then as his ERA over his last eight starts is a very below average 4.70. He has had better success on the road than at home but the Mets are just 4-4 in his eight away starts. He has only pitched more than 6.2 innings once all season yet has gone over 100 pitches in seven straight starts. Walks are a problem as proven by his 1.43 road WHIP. Play St. Louis Cardinals 1.5 Units

 

[White_tiger]

SAPKOWSKI 81-48
8-2 premium picks run
Premium43-23 L66, Yesterday 1-1 (CHI White Sox"W",CLE Indians"L")
WAS Nationals
CHI White Sox
Free picks38-25 L61, 0-2 Yesterday (BOS Red Sox"L",BAL Orioles"L")
COL Rockies
DET Tigers

 

[White_tiger]

KARL GARRETT

Back to regular league play tonight, and this Kansas City-Baltimore meeting has the G-Man jumping for joy.
Not too many teams have been as dominant as Baltimore has been against Kansas City, as the Orioles are already off to a 3-1 start in this year's season series. Dating back to the 2006 campaign, the O's are a monster 15-2 against the Royals, and are a perfect 7-0 in games played at Camden Yards!
Now that is "dominance".
I see it going Baltimore's way once again, as the Royals come in having dropped their last pair, and are just 18-24 away from home.
Baltimore starter Brian Burres is 2-0 his last 2 times to the mound, and the Orioles are a positive 22-12 at home this year.
The dominance continues, take the O's.

3♦ BALTIMORE

 

[MLBKING]

BEN BURNS

Today's Pick: HOUSTON ASTROS

 

[White_tiger]

***************

 

[MLBKING]

Lance's Lock

Overall record: 624-524-23

Todays play: The Mets at a pick

 

[White_tiger]

88888888

 

[MLBKING]

Jeff Scott Sports:


2 UNIT PLAY

LA Dodgers/ HOUSTON under 8.5: The Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 during game 1 of a series and 5-1 in Oswalts last 6 starts overall, while the Under is 7-0 in Dodgers last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 12-3 in Dodgers last 15 vs. National League Central. The LA Dodgers are having really problems at the plate right now as they come in hitting just .198 and scoring just 2.5 rpg in their last 8 games. Those 8 games averaged just 4.8 total rpg. For the year the Dodgers score just 4.1 rpg overall and 3.8 rpg vs righties. Today they take on Roy Oswalt who seems to be getting his act together a bit. Roy comes in with a solid 3.34 ERA in his last 5 starts, including a 3.20 ERA in his last 3 home starts, plus he has a 3.86 ERA in 6 career starts vs LA, including a 1.46 ERA in his last 2 home starts vs them. Erik Stultz has made only 2 starts for the Dodgers this year and they have been pretty good one as he has an 0.60 ERA in those starts, allowing just 10 hits and 2 walks in 15 innings of work. In his last start, vs the White Sox, he pitched a complete game shutout, allowing just 4 hits and 1 walk in the 9 innings. Like LA, The Astros have been struggling to score lately, as they come in scoring just 4 rpg in their last 11 games, plus on the year they average just 4.4 rpg overall and 4.4 rpg at night. With neither team hitting the ball much right now and with a solid pitching matchup on the mound, I'll look for this game to put about 5 or 6 runs on the board, giving me a nice solid play on the Under.

 

[MLBKING]

Louie Mayo

MLB
(5*) Reds -135
(3*) Cubs -140
(1*) San Diego +100


AFL
(50*) Arizona -1
(50*) Cleveland -3 1/2

 

[MLBKING]

Michael Cannon (+130 dimes last 9 days)

Monday's Plays...
20 Dime ?

CARDINALS (With Lohse as listed pitcher)

Take the Cardinals as the small home chalk tonight over the Mets.

Kyle Lohse will get the start for St. Louis and he?s been a pleasant surprise to the rotation. The right-hander is 9-2 with a 3.94 ERA on the season after being signed in spring training. He?s won six of his last seven starts and is 6-0 with a 2.87 ERA since May 18. Lohse is also 4-1 with a 3.10 ERA at home this season.

The Mets are still a team under duress and I don?t trust them on the road against a quality opponent, especially one with a pitcher on the verge of his 10th win of the season.

Take the Cardinals as they grab the home win.


10 Dime ?

DODGERS (With Stults as listed pitcher)

Take the Dodgers as the road dog tonight over the Astros.

I know the Dodgers haven?t been hitting lately, but I just can?t overlook the combination of young Eric Stults getting the start against a declining Roy Oswalt.

This isn?t a knock on Oswalt, but he is having trouble adjusting to life as a not-so-powerful pitcher anymore. The right-hander is just 6-8 with a 4.77 ERA on the season after years of dominating the NL.

If anything, his decline and difficulty adjusting to a different kind of pitcher can help awaken the slumbering Dodgers lineup.

If not, Stults certainly has the ability to shut the Astros down. The left-hander has been dominant in his first two starts this year, going 2-0 and allowing just one earned run through 15 innings. Stults is coming off a four-hit shutout over the White Sox on Wednesday, and that?s not exactly a lineup devoid of hitting talent.

The Dodgers pitching staff has made the difference lately, allowing just three runs total over the last five games, including three shutouts.

It wouldn?t surprise me to see it happen again tonight.

Take the Dodgers as the road dog for the win.


TWINS (With Perkins as listed pitcher)

Take the Twins as the tiny home dog tonight over the Tigers.

Detroit is on a roll, but so is Minnesota.

The Twins have won 11 of 12 and allowed just 30 total runs during that span. Glen Perkins will get the start and he?s allowed three runs apiece in his last four starts, winning his last two.

Detroit will send Armando Galarraga to the mound with his 7-2 record and 3.32 ERA. But the Twins are responsible for both of his losses this year and I like them to do it again tonight.

Take the Twins as they grab the home win.

 

[MLBKING]

LT Profits

Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles Under 9.0
Seattle Mariners +140

 

[MLBKING]

Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, June 30, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Today in Baseball we are featuring our 5000* BASEBALL WINNER! You can get this WINNER for just $25 and you are GUARANTEED TO WIN or you will not be charged! We are currently on a REMARKABLE 90-42 run with all of our guaranteed selections including 43-17 our last 60 selections! So far this year in Baseball we are 55-27 for PLUS 19.8 UNITS! 6/30/2008

5000* BASEBALL WINNER
Tampa Bay w/Shields -148 7:10 EST

 

[the duke]

Brandon Lang

15 Dime Astros

5 Dime Giants
5 Dime Mariners

FREE - Washington Nationals