Monday Service Plays 6/30

[the duke]

Teddy Covers

AFL Big Ticket Report (60% AFL Last 4 Yrs): $39
Teddy is crushing the Arena Football League once again staking claim to the Crown of Indoor Football. Get his strongest AFL pick of the week with this Monday Night AFL Big Ticket Report. Just $39 and it must win or Teddy's next AFL play is yours free.

5* CLEVELAND GLADIATORS

 

[the duke]

ER Sports

Monday Daily Card: $49
Wednesday's Daily Card from Erin Rynning includes his MLB O/U Playmaker in National League action and a bonus MLB Total Report, both together for just $49. This must produce a NET Profit or ER's next daily card is yours at no additional cost.


St. Louis Under 8.5 -110

Playmaker: San Francisco Under 8.5 -115

 

[the duke]

Greg Shaker


MLB: Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins

Tigers (Galarraga/Perkins) -113 | 2 Units


Note: We have 2 very hot teams tonight in the Twin Cities but a decided advantage tonight for the visitors as they face a less than average lefty. Detroit has won 17 of 21 but more importantly, they have beat southpaws 41 of the last 59 times. That does include Zito, Wolf and Francis most recently and in those game, the Tigers scored 19 times. Detroit is averaging 41 points higher on the road verses Southpaws, and have maintained a +300 Batting average verses them over the last 22 games. Galarraga has far superior pitching numbers including one of the best Innings/Hits Ratios in either league. He is also throwing well of late with 2 No Runs appearances in his last 3. He is coming off a sub-par performance verses St Louis and we have seen him comeback from those with a solid outing 3 out of 3 times. We do not have the better Pen for this contest, but we do have the advantage over the first 2/3 of the game and we have that in a big way. I will lay the small number.



MLB: Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks

Brewers (Bush/Davis) 114 |2 Units

Note: This is not going to be a popular play today but the fact is, the Brewers love to face lefties. They hit them 32 points higher when on the road and they love to hit Davis. The lefthander, who spent three plus seasons with the Brewers from 2003 to 2006, is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA in three starts against the Brewers since being traded to Arizona before the 2007 season. The Brew Crew know this guy very well and they will plate some runs tonight. Arizona is having trouble plating anything batting right at the .200 mark over the last 10 games and scoring just 24 runs during this stretch. They will face a thrower that has found his groove. Bush has put together two of his best starts of the year in notching back to back victories for the first time since July 6 and 16 of last year. After limiting Toronto to one run and two hits in eight innings of an 8 to 7 win June 19, the right-hander gave up one run and four hits in seven innings of a 4-3 win over Atlanta on Tuesday. He is getting ahead on the count now after some adjustments with his pitching coach. His work verses AZ has been very good, posting a 3.55 ERA in four starts. The DBacks are doing a lot of things wrong right now after a strong start to the year and that includes their Pen which is failing miserably of late. We have some great value here tonight and a good situation for the visitors in many respects.



MLB: New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals

Mets (Maine/Lohse) -102 2 Units

 

[the duke]

Jeff Benton



15 Dime: ASTROS (over Dodgers)

List Oswalt and Stults as the starting pitchers. If either does not start, this play is VOID!


5 Dime: PIRATES (over Reds)

List Maholm as the Pirates' starting pitcher. If Maholm does not start, this play is VOID!


5 Dime: NATIONALS (over Marlins)

List Redding and Tucker as the starting pitchers. If either does not start, this play is VOID!

 

[the duke]

Robert Ferringo


4-Unit Play. Take #958 Houston (-145) over Los Angeles Dodgers (8 p.m., Monday, June 30)
The Dodgers looked like trash over the weekend against the Angels and now limp into Houston with a Triple-A lineup. They also didn?t bring their leadoff man, Juan Pierre, on the trip so they?re down another outfielder. Houston played at a high level over the weekend while taking down the Red Sox and this streaky team should remain on a high note. They smash left-handed pitching and although Eric Stults has been outstanding in his first two starts this year he?s coming off a 116-pitch CG. I like to fade pitchers off a CG and I think this is a great spot to pile on against the Dodgers.

2-Unit Play. Take #974 Chicago White Sox (-155) over Cleveland (8 p.m., Monday, June 30)
Hey, stay hot. The White Sox were sharp over the weekend at home against their rivals and with a sizeable pitching mismatch in their favor today I don?t see why they can?t keep it rolling. The Indians really are a disaster. Jeremy Sowers has an ERA of nearly 6.00 and has lost seven of his last 10 starts. The Sox are 37-17 at home and 13-4 in divisional games. Gavin Floyd likely has a bounceback start in him, as he?s been great at home and Chicago is 5-1 in his last six outings.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #976 Los Angeles Angels (-130) over Oakland (10 p.m., Monday, June 30)
I still see the Angels as an automatic play against left-handed pitchers. They are 16-5 overall against southpaws and 8-2 at home against a lefty starter. After a fantastic start, Greg Smith has come down a couple notches over the last month. He?s had an ERA of 6.00 in June while losing three of four starts.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #962 Arizona (-120) over Milwaukee (9:40 p.m., Monday, June 30)
Dave Bush is 7-21 on the road and 5-21 as a road underdog. Conversely, Doug Davis is 18-5 at home and 11-2 as a home favorite. The D-Backs are a disaster right now, but there?s no denying that they?ve been better at home and I don?t see a second sweep of the Snakes by the Brew Crew.

1-Unit Play. Take #954 Cincinnati,(-145) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Monday, June 30)
Let?s buy low with Aaron Harang. The big righty has been a sinkhole for cash this year, but he?s still 11-4 in his career against the Pirates. His counterpart, Paul Maholm, is 1-4 with a 6.15 ERA on the road this year and is 0-2 with a 5.46 ERA in his career in Cincinnati. The Reds have won two of three series here and could be picking it up.

 

[the duke]

Matty O'Shea

Triple Dime AL Total Play O' the Month (10-3 L13)!

Price: $15.00

Matty is coming off a TOUGH LOSS on Sunday night but remains a HOT 15-6 (71%) on his last 21 MLB plays overall including FPBE selections. He is also 10-3 (77%) on his last 13 total plays in MLB and ready to unleash his BIGGEST AL TOTAL PLAY O' THE MONTH!

SEATTLE / TORONTO Under 8

 

[the duke]

NICK PARSONS

#1 UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH *13-5 GOM RUN

Nick Parsons is a DOMINATING 13-5 (72%) his last 18 Game of the Month selections! Monday offers a MAMMOTH of a WINNER! The UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH for The BookieKiller! You have cashed in all month long with Parsons GOM picks; dont let the STRONGEST DOG of June pass you by. This DOG will DOMINATE THEIR OPPONENT!
Price: $17.50

CLEVELAND INDIANS +138

 

[the duke]

Wunderdog


Game: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 PM Eastern)

Pick: 4 units on Boston +136 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 5.4)

Ok, so the oddsmakers are now saying that Tampa Bay is for real, but let's not forget that so are the Red Sox. After slipping behind the Rays in the standings, we have to think the Sox will come into this series with a very focused mindest. Justin Masterson has given the Sox good outings in which he has yet to allow more than four runs and the Sox are 5-2 in his seven starts. James Shields has allowed four runs or more in four of his last 10 starts, and has failed to get out of the fourth inning in his last two appearances against the Sox this season, where he has pitched to a 21.20 ERA. The Sox always have value playing as a dog, and we like them in this spot.


Game: Cleveland at Chicago (8:10 PM Eastern)

Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 9.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Due to injuries and team slumps, the Indians have been punchless this season. They have already amassed a total of 52 games played scoring four runs or less. Facing Gavin Floyd won't make it much easier as Floyd has allowed more than four runs in just two of 15 starts. The White Sox may be a little flat here after pounding the Cubs over the weekend. Jeremy Sowers has made six starts and just one produced runs higher than this total. UNDER is the way to go in this one.


Game: Toronto at Seattle (10:05 PM Eastern)

Pick: 3 units on Seattle +143 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 4.3)

Even bad teams get on a little roll. The Mariners come home feeling good about themselves as they have now won five of their last six. Bats that were sleeping for most of the year have now produced six runs per game in these last six. The road has been a struggle for the Jays where they have posted wins in just two of their last 11 and the offense continues to struggle as they have been shutout six times already this season. Roy Halladay hasn't been the cure either, as the Jays have dropped his last three starts and are just 9-8 on the season with him on the hill. Seattle shows signs of being much closer to the team everyone expected, and this is a good spot as a valued home dog.


Game: Toronto at Seattle (10:10 PM Eastern)

Pick: 3 units on Seattle +1.5 runs -119 (runline) (risk 3 to win 2.5)

Roy Halladay is a good pitcher on a team with a bad offense and spotting a team +1.5 runs has not been working. Halladay has pitched in nine games this season where the Jays have won, but in five of those nine wins, there has been no margin for error as they won by just one run. That leaves the Jays at 4-13 in his 17 starts, playing to the -1.5 runline, so with the M's playing much better, they also get the call on the runline.


Game: Chicago at San Francisco (10:15 PM Eastern)

Pick: 3 units on San Francisco +126 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.8)

You gotta wonder what happened to Barry Zito landing in the NL and the Giants losing his first nine starts. Things have been a bit different results wise, as they are now 4-3 in his last seven starts, and he has had success against this Cubs' lineup pitching to a 3.15 ERA over his career. The Giants have been a much better team than the way they started, as they have now actually played over .500 baseball for 40 games. For the first time all season the Cubs have gone into a slide. They have dropped four straight games and are just 4-8 over their last 12. It hasn't been the best of years for Ted Lilly either, as he pitches to an ERA of close to five. Good opportunity for the Giants to steal one at home.


Game: Chicago at San Francisco (10:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on San Francisco +1.5 runs -135 (runline) (risk 4 to win 3)

We also like the value on the San Francisco run line. Despite their overall success this season the Cubs are just 9-16 against the run line on the road after two straight road games. And, Zito is 28-18 at home to the run line vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5+ runs per game. With the Cubbies in the slide they are on, getting +1.5 on the home team at this small price is nice.

 

[the duke]

Ethan Law


MLB Total Single-Dime Bet
968 NYY / 967 TEX Over 10 Bodog +100

Texas Rangers TEX: RHP Scott Feldman (1-3, 4.60 ERA) at New York Yankees NYY: RHP Mike Mussina (10-5, 3.93 ERA)


PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON YANKEES/RANGERS OVER 10 +$100


MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
978 SEA (+135) BetUS vs 977 TOR

Toronto Blue Jays TOR: RHP Roy Halladay (8-6, 3.12 ERA) at Seattle Mariners SEA: RHP R.A. Dickey (2-3, 4.79 ERA)

PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON SEATTLE +$135

 

[MLBKING]

King Creole | MLB Total
double-dime bet954 CIN / 953 PIT Over 8.5 BetUS
Analysis: 7:10pm ET / PITTSBURGH PIRATES with Maholm @ CINCINNATI REDS with Harang

2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

There's only ONE team in Major League BASEBALL that's 20 game or more over .500 in their O/U results for the 2008 season. And that's the PITTSBURGH PIRATES, who are the BEST 'Over' team in the league at 48-28 O/U on the year. That includes an 'unreal' 27-8 O/U in ALL road games. This is also a pretty high-scoring series, as the Reds and Pirates have gone 12-5-1 O/U in their last 18 games vs each other... including 6-1-1 O/U in the last 8 played IN Cincinnati (2-0-1 O/U THIS season).

PAUL MAHOLM's road starts in 2008 are highlighted by a very high ERA of 6.15 and opponent team batting average of .364 (and 71% OVER the Total). On a more recent note, Pittsburgh tends to score a lot of runs behind him in terms of offensive support. His last 6 starts have seen the Buccos average 7.2 runs per game. His career numbers "In THIS Park" are pretty over-whelming as well. In 5 starts dating back to the 2006 season, his ERA here is 7.07 with an OU record of 4-1 O/U. He's also 6-0-1 O/U in his last 7 starts vs losing teams... 4-1-1 O/U in Game One of a series... and 12-4 O/U vs fellow NL Central opponents.

AARON HARANG is not in typical Harang form. He's gotten ripped up in his last 2 starts... and in FIVE of his last 7 overall. ERA is 8.44 in his last two... and 7.58 dating back to late May. In 2008 NIGHT starts, his ERA is a full 2 runs HIGHER (5.53) compared to all day starts (3.51). He faced the Buccos once already in 2008, and allowed 6 earned runs (and 10 hits) in only 4 full innings pitched (ERA of 12.50). In 3 HOME starts vs Pittsburgh since the start of last season, his ERA is 6.88 (2-0-1 O/U record). He also 5-1 O/U off a team win... and 6-2-1 O/U at home vs losing teams.

With winds projected to be blowing OUT to right-center field in excess of 15+ MPH... we'll take a bite on the "OVER

 

[MLBKING]

NSA

20* Rays
10* Dodgers
10* Angles
10* Cubs
10* Cards
10* Tigers

 

[MLBKING]

Vernon Croy

Handicapper: Vernon Croy
Washington Nationals vs. Florida Marlins (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -145 Florida Marlins Play Title: 20 Unit MLB NL Bookie Buster of the Week
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
20 Units, Take Florida ML, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Nationals are just 15-24 on the road this season. The Nationals are hitting just .225 as a team over their last 7 games while averaging just 3.0 rpg and Florida is 8-1 against the Nationals this season. I look for Ryan Tucker (2-2, 6.75) to bounce back with a strong outing after a couple of rocky starts since the Nationals have not faced him before. The Nationals are just 4-9 as a road dog of +125 to +150 this season and the Marlins are 32-20 in a game where the posted total is 9 to 9.5. Take the Marlins as my MLB NL Bookie Buster of the Week.

 

[MLBKING]

Handicapper: Jorge Gonzalez
Washington Nationals vs. Florida Marlins (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -145 Florida Marlins Play Title: Jorge Gonzalez?s 21-2 91% National League Game of the Day
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Florida Marlins are chasing the Phillies in the standings. One of the main reasons is that they have already faced the Nationals nine times this season. Overall the Marlins have beaten the Nationals in 10 of their last 11 meetings. The Marlins will look forward to seeing their division rivals. The Nationals have lost their last five games on the road against teams with a winning record and are 1-6 after allowing 2 runs or less in the previous game.

 

[MLBKING]

Paul Leiner --- MJWINS

50* Florida Marlins
25* Yankees/Rangers OVER 10
10* St Louis Cardinals

 

[MLBKING]

Handicapper: John Ryan
Grand Rampage vs. Arizona Rattlers (Arena) - 9:30 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 1/-101 Grand Rampage Play Title: Grand Rapids, the OVER and Parlay
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Grand Rapids ? AiS shows an 85% probability that Grand Rapids will win this game. I also like the OVER in this game as it is graded as a 3* MAJOR. This opens up an opportunity to also play an optional parlay that I would suggest not to exceed 2* units. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 51-27 for 65% over the past 10 seasons. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses. Arizona defense has not played well at all. Note that Arizona is just 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 38 points or more in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons. This also projects to be a high scoring game as well with GR having a 92% probability of scoring 60 or more points. Note that GR is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they score 56 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. GR comes into this game coming off a road win placing them into a very strong role for the OVER. Note that GR is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) in road games off a road win since 1996. GR is also 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) revenging a road loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons. Take GR for 7*, OVER for 3* and an optional 2* parlay of GR and the OVER.

 

[MLBKING]

Tom Stryker
4 2008-06-30
Tom Stryker's 4* NL Power Play of the Year
Pick # 1 Chicago Cubs (-135)

 

[MLBKING]

The Hammer
PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB BASEBALL WINNER [ MLB ]
Date: Monday, June 30, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: The Hammer had an OUTSTANDING year in baseball last year as I was 81-38 for the season +$5210 playing just $100 per game! My DIME PLAYERS made over $50,000 last year with my baseball selections! Today we are featuring our PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB BASEBALL WINNER! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $25 and you will pay only after you win! 41-25 BASEBALL RUN +$1405!!

Chicago White Sox w/ Floyd

 

[MLBKING]

Jimmy Thompson

Afl
Cleveland -3.5

 

[MLBKING]

Frank Rosenthal

951 Nym-105
957 Dodgers Under 8.5
959 Padres Over 9.5
965 Kc Under 9
970 Rays-140
977 Jays-150

 

[MLBKING]

JEFFERSONSPORTS

MLB MONDAY
TORONTO-152
HOUSTON-145