Ace Ace/Allen Eastman
3-Unit Play. #211 Fresno State (+5) over Rutgers (4 p.m., Monday, Sept. 1)-107
Pointwise
4-Fresno State (+5 1/2) over Rutgers 27-24
Red Sheet
88--Fresno State (+5 1/2) over Rutgers 27-24
88--UCLA (+7) over Tennessee 25-22
CKO
11* Fresno State
Gold Sheet
Key Release
UCLA by 3 over Tennessee (Mon., Sept. 1)
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1
Fresno State 31 - RUTGERS 30--Departure of record-setting RB Rice (along with increasing scrutiny from the financially-strapped state of New Jersey into money being spent on Scarlet Knights' football program) might signal an end to HC Schiano's honeymoon at resurgent Rutgers. On the other hand, pugnacious Pat Hill's Fresno squad appears ready to rise, with many TGS SCOUT s pegging veteran Bulldogs as the team to beat in WAC. Sure, Knights' strong-armed sr. QB Teel will get his. But FSU sr. QB Brandstater has enough composure to burn Rutgers' constant blitzes for big plays. Upset alert. TV--ESPN
(FIRST MEETING)
*UCLA 20 - Tennessee 17--With top two projected QBs unavailable and banged-up OL looking like a disaster area in preseason camp, Rick Neuheisel's debut at UCLA has already had to take some detours. But before dismissing Bruins, remember that quick-footed "D" should be ornery once more for respected d.c. Walker, and who better than sage, vet o.c. Norm Chow to smooth out the rough spots for juco QB Craft (who started five games at San Diego State in '06)? UT in adjustment phase, too, as 1st-year o.c. Dave Clawson (ex-Richmond HC) trying to get new QB Crompton comfy as Vols debut their own West Coast attack. Note Bruins have covered their last 10 as a dog, and "short" was very profitable role for Neuheisel in previous career stops at Colorado and Washington. CABLE TV--ESPN (DNP...SR: Tennessee 7-4-2)
MARC LAWRENCE
PLAYBOOK CFB 2-MINUTE HANDICAP - WEEK 1
MON, SEPT 1st
Fresno St 4-1 in August? 6-2 Game One? 10-3 as non conf RD?s 3 > pts? 0-6 on Weekdays
RUTGERS 3-0 in August? 6-1 as non conf favs? 6-1 Game one? 5-1 on weekdays? 10-2 in 1st of BB HG
Tennessee 3-0 on Weekdays? 1-5 vs Pac 10 opp? 2-5 away bef BB HG? 3-7 away vs non conf opp
UCLA 5-0 vs SEC opp? 2-0 on Weekdays? 4-0 bef BYU? *4-0 as non conf HF?s 12 < pts? 9-1 Game One?
SCOTT FERRALL
BEST IN BOLD
Texas -165 over Seattle--Harrison over Silva
Cliff Lee -170 and the Tribe over the White Sox at the Jake
Atlanta +150 and Mike Hampton goes back to Florida and says remember me to the Marlins and Josh Johnson
Colorado -170 over San Fran in the Rockies--De La Rosa over Sanchez
WILD BILL
Rutgers -5 1/2 (5 units)
Ucla +6 (5 units)
Jim Feist
My free pick of the day is the game between (965) NYY Yankees and (966) DET Tigers. Take "(966) DET Tigers". The Yankees are winding up their worst season in years. They've had injuries and the pitching staff has been a near-disaster. It's certainly running out of steam down the stretch. Alex Rodriguez failed to deliver in the ninth again and the bullpen was sloppy in a crushing 7-6 loss to the Blue Jays. They have a losing record on the road and face hard throwing Justin Verlander, a guy who has turned his season around. Verlander is 2-1 his last three starts with a 2.41 ERA. In that time he's fanned 20 in 18 innings. The high heat is back and he's 3-0 in his career against NY. Detroit is 4-1 this season against NY, feasting on the weak Yankee arms. Play the Tigers.
Hey guys they won yesterday and 6-0 last two days, lets see if its a fluke or they can stay hot!!!
Fresno +4
Tennessee +7 (buy the hook)
Sports Advisors
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Fresno State at Rutgers
Rutgers opens the 2008 campaign at home in Piscataway, N.J., against the Bulldogs, who will make their longest road trip since 2000, when they got belted 43-10 at Ohio State.
The Scarlet Knights, under eighth-year coach Greg Schiano, followed their breakthrough 11-2 season in 2006 by going just 8-5 last year (6-6 ATS), but they did finish up with a 52-30 victory over Ball State in the International Bowl as an 11-point favorite. Prior to that easy spread-cover, Rutgers was on a 1-4 ATS slide.
Fresno State, with coach Pat Hill entering his 12th season, is coming off a solid 9-4 season (7-5 ATS) that included a 40-28 victory over Georgia Tech in the Humanitarian Bowl. After failing to cover in two of their first three games last year, the Bulldogs went 6-3 ATS the rest of the season, putting behind their nightmarish 1-10-1 ATS effort of 2006.
The Scarlet Knights have 15 starters back from last year, but they must find a way to replace running back Ray Rice, who racked up an eye-popping 2,012 rushing yards in 2007. QB Mike Teel (3,147 yards passing, 20 TDs, 13 INTs last year) returns for his third year as the starter, and Rutgers also has all of its top receivers returning. Rutgers averaged 32.8 ppg last year, while allowing 22.5.
The Bulldogs are favored to win the Western Athletic Conference in 2008 thanks to 17 returning starters returning, including running backs Lonyae Miller, Ryan Matthews and Anthony Harding, who combined for 1,924 rushing yards and 25 TDs last season. Also returning is QB Tom Brandstater, who threw for 15 TDs against just five INTs last year. However, Fresno State is looking for big improvement on defense after ranking 73rd in the nation last year, allowing more than 400 yards per game.
The Knights are on a 12-2 SU tear in their last 14 non-conference games, winning by an average of 28 points, but they are a mediocre 8-9 ATS in their last 17 starts as a home chalk (2-3 ATS last year in that role) and they?re 2-6 ATS as a single-digit favorite since 2005. The Bulldogs, meanwhile, have been solid against the number as a non-conference ?dog, going 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games in that role, and they cashed in four of their final five on the road in 2007.
The over for Rutgers is on runs of 11-5-1 overall and 7-3-1 at home, and the over for Fresno State is on streaks of 4-0 in non-conference play, 5-2 in roadies and 14-6 in September.
ATS ADVANTAGE: FRESNO STATE and OVER
(1Cool Tennessee at UCLA
The Bruins open the Rick Neuheisel era with a tough non-conference clash against Tennessee at the Rose Bowl.
Neuheisel, a former UCLA quarterback who has had head-coaching stops at Colorado and Washington, inherits a squad that went a disappointing 6-7 last year (9-4 ATS). Despite a .500 record, the Bruins snuck into the Las Vegas Bowl, where they lost to BYU 17-16, though they covered as a six-point underdog even though coach Karl Dorrell was fired as coach after the regular season. In the spread-cover versus BYU, UCLA enters this season on a 4-0 ATS roll.
Phil Fulmer, who took over for Johnny Majors midway through the 1992 season, is entering his 17th year as head coach at Tennessee, which went 10-4 last year (9-4-1 ATS). The Vols hit their stride down the stretch, winning six of their last seven games (5-1-1 ATS), including a 21-17 New Year?s Day victory over Wisconsin as a 2?-point favorite in the Outback Bowl.
UCLA is already thin at QB, with Pat Cowan (knee) out for the season and Ben Olson (foot) likely out until midseason, leaving Neuheisel with junior college transfer Kevin Craft under center. The Bruins have just nine returning starters from a team that struggled to score last year, being held to 16 points or less six times, including four games in single digits. In fact, UCLA barely outscored its opponents last season, averaging 22.4 ppg while allowing of 22.3.
As with UCLA, Tennessee will have a first-year starter at QB in Jonathan Crompton, but 1,000-yard rusher Arian Foster and 1,000-yard receiver Lucas Taylor return, as do four of five offensive linemen. The Vols, playing in the perennially tough SEC, averaged 32.5 ppg last year while allowing just a few points less at 27.3.
The Bruins are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games at the Rose Bowl, and they are on further positive pointspread runs of 6-0 as a home ?dog, 4-0 against the SEC, 13-2-1 overall as a pup since 2004 and 19-7-1 in September. The Volunteers are 14-2 SU in their last 16 season openers, but both losses came in West Coast road games, at UCLA in 1994 and at California last year. Tennessee sports ATS streaks of 4-0 in non-SEC play and 5-2 in September.
For UCLA, the under is on runs of 4-0 overall, 4-0 at home and 6-2 in non-conference action. The total also stayed low in six of Tennessee?s final seven games in 2007.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UCLA and UNDER
NATIONAL LEAGUE
N.Y. Mets (76-61) at Milwaukee (80-56)
The N.L. East-leading Mets hand the ball to southpaw Johan Santana (12-7, 2.70 ERA) at Miller Park to open a three-game set against the Brewers, who will counter with right-hander Ben Sheets (12-7, 3.05).
New York beat Florida 6-2 on the road Sunday to take two of three from the Marlins. The Mets have won three of their last four games and are on further streaks of 5-0 behind Santana, 5-1 in series openers, 8-3 on the highway and 13-5 overall.
Milwaukee, which leads the N.L. wild-card race, pounded Pittsburgh 7-0 Sunday behind a one-hitter from CC Sabathia to complete a sweep of the three-game series. The Brew Crew has won 19 of 26 and eight of its last nine overall and sports additional runs of 4-0 at home, 23-7 against lefty starters and 8-1 with Sheets facing an N.L. East team.
This is just the second series of the season between these two teams, with Milwaukee having taken two of three at New York in April. The Mets are 9-4 in the last 13 clashes at Miller Park, but the Brewers are 4-1 in Sheets? last five outings against New York.
The Mets are 5-0 in Santana?s last five starts, including a come-from-behind 6-3 victory at Philadelphia on Wednesday, in which Santana allowed three runs on five hits in six innings. Over his last eight starts, Santana has allowed just 12 earned runs in 59 1/3 innings, for a minuscule 1.82 ERA.
Sheets snapped a 1-4 slide over his previous five starts with a solid effort in a 12-0 rout Tuesday at St. Louis. He scattered five hits in six shutout innings.
Santana is 6-4 with a 3.12 ERA in 15 road starts this season, and he?s 3-2 with a 3.61 ERA in 10 career appearances (six starts) against Milwaukee. Sheets is 5-4 with a 3.52 ERA in 10 home starts this year, and he?s 4-2 in seven career starts against New York, despite an inflated 5.10 ERA.
For New York, the over is on streaks of 5-2-1 overall, 8-1-2 on Mondays and 18-8-2 against the N.L. Central, and the over is 12-4-1 in Milwaukee?s last 17 home games against lefties. Finally, in this rivalry, the over is on runs of 40-17-5 overall, 10-1-1 at Miller Park and 5-0 with Sheets starting against New York.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
Houston (71-66) at Chicago Cubs (85-52)
The Cubs, with the second-best record in baseball behind Tampa Bay, send Jason Marquis (9-7, 4.52 ERA) to the hill at Wrigley Field to open a three-game series against the Astros and ace Roy Oswalt (12-9, 4.11).
Chicago has followed a seven-game winning streak with two straight home losses to Philadelphia, including Sunday?s 5-3 setback. But the Cubs are still on a bevy of positive runs, including 35-18 overall, 50-18 at home, 11-4 against winning teams and 21-8 when Marquis toes the rubber at Wrigley.
Houston shut out St. Louis 3-0 Sunday to post its fifth straight victory and seventh in the last nine games. The Astros are 6-1 in Oswalt?s last seven starts overall, but they are a paltry 4-10 in his last 14 road starts.
These two N.L. Central rivals have split 12 meetings this season, with Chicago taking two of three at home in their most recent series Aug. 4-6. The Cubs are 4-0 in Marquis? last four home starts against the Astros and 5-1 the last six times they?ve faced Oswalt.
The Cubs have won three of their last four behind Marquis, including a 2-0 victory at Pittsburgh on Wednesday. In that outing, Marquis allowed five hits in seven shutout innings.
Oswalt allowed one run on five hits in seven innings in Wednesday?s 4-1 home victory over Cincinnati, his fourth win in his last five starts. The right-hander has gone at least seven innings in all five of those outings.
Marquis is 4-4 with a 5.76 ERA in 13 home starts this season, and he?s 9-5 with a 5.22 ERA in 25 career appearances (20 starts) against Houston. Oswalt is 4-6 with a 3.93 ERA in 12 road starts this year, and he?s an even 11-11 with a 4.09 ERA in 25 career appearances (24 starts) against Chicago.
The over for the Cubs is on runs of 10-5 against winning teams, 5-1 in series openers, 6-2 behind Marquis at home and 9-4 against Oswalt. On the flip side, the under is on a 5-1 overall tear for the Astros and is on additional runs of 10-4 on the road behind Oswalt and 37-17-1 in the last 55 meetings between these two teams.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CHICAGO CUBS
Marc Lawrence
Game: New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers
Prediction: Detroit Tigers
Tigers host the Yankees in a one-game series on Labor Day when Justin Verlander takes on the Pinstripes in the Motor City. Verlander has rounded into decent form with wins in 8 of his last 13 team starts. He's also 4-0 in his MLB career team starts against the Yanks. With New York 1-8 in its last nine games on Mondays, including 0-5 their last five on the road on Mondays, look for the Yankees troubles to continue here this afternoon.
=========================================================
Jimmy The Moose
Game: San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: San Diego Padres
Nothing much has really gone right for the Padres this season and you know that the team can't wait for this season to end. San Diego has been playing better recenty and have now won 5 of their last 6 games. The Padres have won 5 of their last 6 vs. NL West opponents. SD is 14-5 in Youngs last 19 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. With last night's win the Dodgers are now 2-8 in their last 10 games. The Dodgers send Maddux to the mound tonight and they have lost his two starts. LA has lost 3 of the last 4 meetings between the clubs. Play on the San Diego Padres +.
rocky2 is online now Reply With Quote
rocky2
View Public Profile
Find More Posts by rocky2
Old 09-01-2008, 02:19 AM #16
rocky2
** Member
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Florida
Posts: 586
Default
Frank Jordan
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers
Greg Maddux got sent over just a couple of weeks ago from San Diego back to the Dodgers. Look for Maddux and the LA Dodgers to win their 3rd in a row and start September off with a big win. Play LA Dodgers
Gator
e-Report 70% Super Situation:
Monday: Play Against MLB (AL) road teams with a team that averages <=4.2 runs per game against a starting pitcher whose ERA= 4.70 to 5.70, with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season, 42-14 SU since 1997
PLAY: Texas Rangers -160
e-Report Top Angle
Monday: SAN DIEGO is 2-16 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 this season
Bobby Maxwell
Fresno State +4? at RUTGERS
Now 51-44 with our last 95 FREE selections and today our comp winner comes on Fresno State as the Bulldogs travel across the country to take on Rutgers.
There's talk in the college football world that this Fresno State team has a chance to reach a BCS bowl game if it can run the table. Its strength of schedule and talent give it a chance to go all the way this season in what a lot of folks are calling coach Pat Hill's best team ever.
Hill is in his 12th season with Fresno State and coming off a 9-4 season that included a 40-28 win over Georgia Tech in the Humanitarian Bowl. The Bulldogs went 6-3 ATS down the stretch last season and they've got 17 returning starters.
Back for Fresno is RBs Lonyae Miller, Ryan Matthews and Anthony Harding who combined for 1,924 yards and 25 TDs. Also back is QB Tom Brandstater who tossed 15 TDs and just five INTs a season ago. The Bulldogs have got to be better on defense after giving up more than 400 yards a game.
Rutgers is missing a big chunk of its offense after losing Ray Rice to the NFL. Third-year starter Mike Teel is back but not much else. The Knights are just 8-9 ATS in their last 17 starts as a home favorite and just 2-6 as a single-digit favorite since 2005.
Fresno State is 15-5-1 ATS in its last 21 as a non-conference 'dog and they cashed in four of their last five on the road last season.
This one has the makings of a great opener but we see Fresno holding on down the stretch for a close win. Play the Bulldogs.
2* FRESNO STATE
The Prez
8:00PM ET CFB 5* Best Tennessee (-7.5 / -110) vs UCLA
LT Profits
4:00PM ET CFB 2* Action Fresno State (5.0 / -110) vs Rutgers
Ben Lewis
8:00PM ET CFB 3* Action UCLA (8.0 / -110) vs Tennessee
Bob Akmens
4:00PM ET CFB 4* Action Rutgers (-4.0 / -110) vs Fresno State
Westcoast Sports Member's Plays:
Tennessee -7 (-115)
Fresno State +4
kodiak
10 fresno st
Dominic Brando's Inner Circle 2008-09 NFL/NCAA Football Records Grid:
2008 NCAA Regular Season 0-0 for +/-0.00 Units (Top 100 Units 0-0, Regular 50 Units 0-0)
2008 NFL Regular Season 0-0 for +/-0.00 Units (Top 100 Units 0-0, Regular 50 Units 0-0)
NFL/NCAA Teaser Club 1-0 for +100.00 Units (Top 100 Units 0-0, Regular 50 Units 0-0)
Sunday August 31st, 2008 NCAA College Football Executive Report:
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Underdog Game of the Week: #211 FRESNO STATE +5/-115 over Rutgers
NCAA Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #211 FRESNO STATE ML +180 over Rutgers
*** Please Note that Fresno State/Rutgers Kicks Off on Labor Day Monday September 1st at 4 PM ET
POINTWISE PHONES
2 Fresno
Doc's
3* Fresno St
SPORTS INSIGHTS
2-0 ON SAT
Tennessee vs UCLA (9/1 - 8P)
Traditional powerhouse Tennessee travels to LA to welcome Rick Neuheisel back to college football. Neuheisel returns to his alma mater and brings offensive mastermind Norm Chow with him as offensive coordinator. The Bruins lost starting QB Ben Olson to a season-ending foot injury early in fall camp, and JC transfer Kevin Craft gets the opening start. UCLA's defense finished last season ranked 14th in the nation against the run, and they will have to have a good day against Volunteers RB Adrian Foster and a strong offensive line. The Vols defense was up-and-down last season, but they finished the year with two strong showings against top 25 teams.
The intrigue in this game comes from the public backing the away Volunteers and pushing the line in that direction. We like home dogs at Sports Insights, especially when when they're receiving more than a touchdown in the spread. Tennessee opened as -7 favorites at Pinnacle and other books, but are currently sitting at -7.5 at most books due to receiving over 75% of public bets. We're looking for Rick Neuheisel and Norm Chow to keep it close and maybe sneak out a win at home, so we're taking the Bruins +7.5.
UCLA +7.5
So, here?s a wrap-up of **************.com analysis for this week?s Games to Watch for NCAA Football Week 1.
UCLA +7.5
Colin Cowherd:
Tennessee
Ben Burns Main Event
Fresno St./Rutgers Over the total
Hondo
The Metamucils came through for Hondo yester day, flowing past the Fish to increase his collection of dead presidents to 595 willeys.
Today, the price is right on the money for Sheets - 10 units on the Brewers to deregulate the Meta mucils.
Insider Sports Report
St. Louis/Arizona (MLB) UNDER 9
JIMMY THE MOOSE
Game: San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: San Diego Padres
Nothing much has really gone right for the Padres this season and you know that the team can't wait for this season to end. San Diego has been playing better recenty and have now won 5 of their last 6 games. The Padres have won 5 of their last 6 vs. NL West opponents. SD is 14-5 in Youngs last 19 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. With last night's win the Dodgers are now 2-8 in their last 10 games. The Dodgers send Maddux to the mound tonight and they have lost his two starts. LA has lost 3 of the last 4 meetings between the clubs. Play on the San Diego Padres +.
CAPPERS ACCESS
Mon (CFB) Rutgers
Mon (MLB) Cubs
MIGHTY QUINN
Mighty had no play Sunday and likes the Mets Monday.
The surplus is 390 sirignanos.
ARMVIN SPORTS
CFB
9/1/2008 FRESNO STATE at RUTGERS Under 61
MJP
CFB
9/1/2008 RUTGERS -5
9/1/2008 TENNESSEE at UCLA Under 46
MLB
9/1/2008 MILWAUKEE BREWERS 106
9/1/2008 HOUSTON ASTROS 120
9/1/2008 SEATTLE MARINERS 156
ARTHUR RALPH Free Play
Mon L A Dodgers
Lance's Lock
Overall record: 658-550-23
Current streak: 3 wins
Todays play: Rutgers -4
THE VEGAS STEAMLINE
Take SEATTLE/TEXAS UNDER the total of 12
DCI
Monday, September 1, 2008
FBS Non-Conference
RUTGERS 38, Fresno State 31
Tennessee vs. UCLA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DAVE COKIN
My free pick of the day is the game between (969) CHW White Sox and (970) CLE Indians. Take
"(970) CLE Indians".
The price keeps going up, but the results stay the same. Cliff Lee takes the mound for Cleveland and the Indians win. The Tribe got cooled off by Seattle this weekend, but I look for them to be focused as Lee goes for #20, and I'll take my shot against White Sox rookie lefty Richard. The Indians are the choice.
3-Unit Play. #211 Fresno State (+5) over Rutgers (4 p.m., Monday, Sept. 1)-107
Pointwise
4-Fresno State (+5 1/2) over Rutgers 27-24
Red Sheet
88--Fresno State (+5 1/2) over Rutgers 27-24
88--UCLA (+7) over Tennessee 25-22
CKO
11* Fresno State
Gold Sheet
Key Release
UCLA by 3 over Tennessee (Mon., Sept. 1)
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1
Fresno State 31 - RUTGERS 30--Departure of record-setting RB Rice (along with increasing scrutiny from the financially-strapped state of New Jersey into money being spent on Scarlet Knights' football program) might signal an end to HC Schiano's honeymoon at resurgent Rutgers. On the other hand, pugnacious Pat Hill's Fresno squad appears ready to rise, with many TGS SCOUT s pegging veteran Bulldogs as the team to beat in WAC. Sure, Knights' strong-armed sr. QB Teel will get his. But FSU sr. QB Brandstater has enough composure to burn Rutgers' constant blitzes for big plays. Upset alert. TV--ESPN
(FIRST MEETING)
*UCLA 20 - Tennessee 17--With top two projected QBs unavailable and banged-up OL looking like a disaster area in preseason camp, Rick Neuheisel's debut at UCLA has already had to take some detours. But before dismissing Bruins, remember that quick-footed "D" should be ornery once more for respected d.c. Walker, and who better than sage, vet o.c. Norm Chow to smooth out the rough spots for juco QB Craft (who started five games at San Diego State in '06)? UT in adjustment phase, too, as 1st-year o.c. Dave Clawson (ex-Richmond HC) trying to get new QB Crompton comfy as Vols debut their own West Coast attack. Note Bruins have covered their last 10 as a dog, and "short" was very profitable role for Neuheisel in previous career stops at Colorado and Washington. CABLE TV--ESPN (DNP...SR: Tennessee 7-4-2)
MARC LAWRENCE
PLAYBOOK CFB 2-MINUTE HANDICAP - WEEK 1
MON, SEPT 1st
Fresno St 4-1 in August? 6-2 Game One? 10-3 as non conf RD?s 3 > pts? 0-6 on Weekdays
RUTGERS 3-0 in August? 6-1 as non conf favs? 6-1 Game one? 5-1 on weekdays? 10-2 in 1st of BB HG
Tennessee 3-0 on Weekdays? 1-5 vs Pac 10 opp? 2-5 away bef BB HG? 3-7 away vs non conf opp
UCLA 5-0 vs SEC opp? 2-0 on Weekdays? 4-0 bef BYU? *4-0 as non conf HF?s 12 < pts? 9-1 Game One?
SCOTT FERRALL
BEST IN BOLD
Texas -165 over Seattle--Harrison over Silva
Cliff Lee -170 and the Tribe over the White Sox at the Jake
Atlanta +150 and Mike Hampton goes back to Florida and says remember me to the Marlins and Josh Johnson
Colorado -170 over San Fran in the Rockies--De La Rosa over Sanchez
WILD BILL
Rutgers -5 1/2 (5 units)
Ucla +6 (5 units)
Jim Feist
My free pick of the day is the game between (965) NYY Yankees and (966) DET Tigers. Take "(966) DET Tigers". The Yankees are winding up their worst season in years. They've had injuries and the pitching staff has been a near-disaster. It's certainly running out of steam down the stretch. Alex Rodriguez failed to deliver in the ninth again and the bullpen was sloppy in a crushing 7-6 loss to the Blue Jays. They have a losing record on the road and face hard throwing Justin Verlander, a guy who has turned his season around. Verlander is 2-1 his last three starts with a 2.41 ERA. In that time he's fanned 20 in 18 innings. The high heat is back and he's 3-0 in his career against NY. Detroit is 4-1 this season against NY, feasting on the weak Yankee arms. Play the Tigers.
Hey guys they won yesterday and 6-0 last two days, lets see if its a fluke or they can stay hot!!!
Fresno +4
Tennessee +7 (buy the hook)
Sports Advisors
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Fresno State at Rutgers
Rutgers opens the 2008 campaign at home in Piscataway, N.J., against the Bulldogs, who will make their longest road trip since 2000, when they got belted 43-10 at Ohio State.
The Scarlet Knights, under eighth-year coach Greg Schiano, followed their breakthrough 11-2 season in 2006 by going just 8-5 last year (6-6 ATS), but they did finish up with a 52-30 victory over Ball State in the International Bowl as an 11-point favorite. Prior to that easy spread-cover, Rutgers was on a 1-4 ATS slide.
Fresno State, with coach Pat Hill entering his 12th season, is coming off a solid 9-4 season (7-5 ATS) that included a 40-28 victory over Georgia Tech in the Humanitarian Bowl. After failing to cover in two of their first three games last year, the Bulldogs went 6-3 ATS the rest of the season, putting behind their nightmarish 1-10-1 ATS effort of 2006.
The Scarlet Knights have 15 starters back from last year, but they must find a way to replace running back Ray Rice, who racked up an eye-popping 2,012 rushing yards in 2007. QB Mike Teel (3,147 yards passing, 20 TDs, 13 INTs last year) returns for his third year as the starter, and Rutgers also has all of its top receivers returning. Rutgers averaged 32.8 ppg last year, while allowing 22.5.
The Bulldogs are favored to win the Western Athletic Conference in 2008 thanks to 17 returning starters returning, including running backs Lonyae Miller, Ryan Matthews and Anthony Harding, who combined for 1,924 rushing yards and 25 TDs last season. Also returning is QB Tom Brandstater, who threw for 15 TDs against just five INTs last year. However, Fresno State is looking for big improvement on defense after ranking 73rd in the nation last year, allowing more than 400 yards per game.
The Knights are on a 12-2 SU tear in their last 14 non-conference games, winning by an average of 28 points, but they are a mediocre 8-9 ATS in their last 17 starts as a home chalk (2-3 ATS last year in that role) and they?re 2-6 ATS as a single-digit favorite since 2005. The Bulldogs, meanwhile, have been solid against the number as a non-conference ?dog, going 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games in that role, and they cashed in four of their final five on the road in 2007.
The over for Rutgers is on runs of 11-5-1 overall and 7-3-1 at home, and the over for Fresno State is on streaks of 4-0 in non-conference play, 5-2 in roadies and 14-6 in September.
ATS ADVANTAGE: FRESNO STATE and OVER
(1Cool Tennessee at UCLA
The Bruins open the Rick Neuheisel era with a tough non-conference clash against Tennessee at the Rose Bowl.
Neuheisel, a former UCLA quarterback who has had head-coaching stops at Colorado and Washington, inherits a squad that went a disappointing 6-7 last year (9-4 ATS). Despite a .500 record, the Bruins snuck into the Las Vegas Bowl, where they lost to BYU 17-16, though they covered as a six-point underdog even though coach Karl Dorrell was fired as coach after the regular season. In the spread-cover versus BYU, UCLA enters this season on a 4-0 ATS roll.
Phil Fulmer, who took over for Johnny Majors midway through the 1992 season, is entering his 17th year as head coach at Tennessee, which went 10-4 last year (9-4-1 ATS). The Vols hit their stride down the stretch, winning six of their last seven games (5-1-1 ATS), including a 21-17 New Year?s Day victory over Wisconsin as a 2?-point favorite in the Outback Bowl.
UCLA is already thin at QB, with Pat Cowan (knee) out for the season and Ben Olson (foot) likely out until midseason, leaving Neuheisel with junior college transfer Kevin Craft under center. The Bruins have just nine returning starters from a team that struggled to score last year, being held to 16 points or less six times, including four games in single digits. In fact, UCLA barely outscored its opponents last season, averaging 22.4 ppg while allowing of 22.3.
As with UCLA, Tennessee will have a first-year starter at QB in Jonathan Crompton, but 1,000-yard rusher Arian Foster and 1,000-yard receiver Lucas Taylor return, as do four of five offensive linemen. The Vols, playing in the perennially tough SEC, averaged 32.5 ppg last year while allowing just a few points less at 27.3.
The Bruins are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games at the Rose Bowl, and they are on further positive pointspread runs of 6-0 as a home ?dog, 4-0 against the SEC, 13-2-1 overall as a pup since 2004 and 19-7-1 in September. The Volunteers are 14-2 SU in their last 16 season openers, but both losses came in West Coast road games, at UCLA in 1994 and at California last year. Tennessee sports ATS streaks of 4-0 in non-SEC play and 5-2 in September.
For UCLA, the under is on runs of 4-0 overall, 4-0 at home and 6-2 in non-conference action. The total also stayed low in six of Tennessee?s final seven games in 2007.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UCLA and UNDER
NATIONAL LEAGUE
N.Y. Mets (76-61) at Milwaukee (80-56)
The N.L. East-leading Mets hand the ball to southpaw Johan Santana (12-7, 2.70 ERA) at Miller Park to open a three-game set against the Brewers, who will counter with right-hander Ben Sheets (12-7, 3.05).
New York beat Florida 6-2 on the road Sunday to take two of three from the Marlins. The Mets have won three of their last four games and are on further streaks of 5-0 behind Santana, 5-1 in series openers, 8-3 on the highway and 13-5 overall.
Milwaukee, which leads the N.L. wild-card race, pounded Pittsburgh 7-0 Sunday behind a one-hitter from CC Sabathia to complete a sweep of the three-game series. The Brew Crew has won 19 of 26 and eight of its last nine overall and sports additional runs of 4-0 at home, 23-7 against lefty starters and 8-1 with Sheets facing an N.L. East team.
This is just the second series of the season between these two teams, with Milwaukee having taken two of three at New York in April. The Mets are 9-4 in the last 13 clashes at Miller Park, but the Brewers are 4-1 in Sheets? last five outings against New York.
The Mets are 5-0 in Santana?s last five starts, including a come-from-behind 6-3 victory at Philadelphia on Wednesday, in which Santana allowed three runs on five hits in six innings. Over his last eight starts, Santana has allowed just 12 earned runs in 59 1/3 innings, for a minuscule 1.82 ERA.
Sheets snapped a 1-4 slide over his previous five starts with a solid effort in a 12-0 rout Tuesday at St. Louis. He scattered five hits in six shutout innings.
Santana is 6-4 with a 3.12 ERA in 15 road starts this season, and he?s 3-2 with a 3.61 ERA in 10 career appearances (six starts) against Milwaukee. Sheets is 5-4 with a 3.52 ERA in 10 home starts this year, and he?s 4-2 in seven career starts against New York, despite an inflated 5.10 ERA.
For New York, the over is on streaks of 5-2-1 overall, 8-1-2 on Mondays and 18-8-2 against the N.L. Central, and the over is 12-4-1 in Milwaukee?s last 17 home games against lefties. Finally, in this rivalry, the over is on runs of 40-17-5 overall, 10-1-1 at Miller Park and 5-0 with Sheets starting against New York.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
Houston (71-66) at Chicago Cubs (85-52)
The Cubs, with the second-best record in baseball behind Tampa Bay, send Jason Marquis (9-7, 4.52 ERA) to the hill at Wrigley Field to open a three-game series against the Astros and ace Roy Oswalt (12-9, 4.11).
Chicago has followed a seven-game winning streak with two straight home losses to Philadelphia, including Sunday?s 5-3 setback. But the Cubs are still on a bevy of positive runs, including 35-18 overall, 50-18 at home, 11-4 against winning teams and 21-8 when Marquis toes the rubber at Wrigley.
Houston shut out St. Louis 3-0 Sunday to post its fifth straight victory and seventh in the last nine games. The Astros are 6-1 in Oswalt?s last seven starts overall, but they are a paltry 4-10 in his last 14 road starts.
These two N.L. Central rivals have split 12 meetings this season, with Chicago taking two of three at home in their most recent series Aug. 4-6. The Cubs are 4-0 in Marquis? last four home starts against the Astros and 5-1 the last six times they?ve faced Oswalt.
The Cubs have won three of their last four behind Marquis, including a 2-0 victory at Pittsburgh on Wednesday. In that outing, Marquis allowed five hits in seven shutout innings.
Oswalt allowed one run on five hits in seven innings in Wednesday?s 4-1 home victory over Cincinnati, his fourth win in his last five starts. The right-hander has gone at least seven innings in all five of those outings.
Marquis is 4-4 with a 5.76 ERA in 13 home starts this season, and he?s 9-5 with a 5.22 ERA in 25 career appearances (20 starts) against Houston. Oswalt is 4-6 with a 3.93 ERA in 12 road starts this year, and he?s an even 11-11 with a 4.09 ERA in 25 career appearances (24 starts) against Chicago.
The over for the Cubs is on runs of 10-5 against winning teams, 5-1 in series openers, 6-2 behind Marquis at home and 9-4 against Oswalt. On the flip side, the under is on a 5-1 overall tear for the Astros and is on additional runs of 10-4 on the road behind Oswalt and 37-17-1 in the last 55 meetings between these two teams.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CHICAGO CUBS
Marc Lawrence
Game: New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers
Prediction: Detroit Tigers
Tigers host the Yankees in a one-game series on Labor Day when Justin Verlander takes on the Pinstripes in the Motor City. Verlander has rounded into decent form with wins in 8 of his last 13 team starts. He's also 4-0 in his MLB career team starts against the Yanks. With New York 1-8 in its last nine games on Mondays, including 0-5 their last five on the road on Mondays, look for the Yankees troubles to continue here this afternoon.
=========================================================
Jimmy The Moose
Game: San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: San Diego Padres
Nothing much has really gone right for the Padres this season and you know that the team can't wait for this season to end. San Diego has been playing better recenty and have now won 5 of their last 6 games. The Padres have won 5 of their last 6 vs. NL West opponents. SD is 14-5 in Youngs last 19 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. With last night's win the Dodgers are now 2-8 in their last 10 games. The Dodgers send Maddux to the mound tonight and they have lost his two starts. LA has lost 3 of the last 4 meetings between the clubs. Play on the San Diego Padres +.
rocky2 is online now Reply With Quote
rocky2
View Public Profile
Find More Posts by rocky2
Old 09-01-2008, 02:19 AM #16
rocky2
** Member
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Florida
Posts: 586
Default
Frank Jordan
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers
Greg Maddux got sent over just a couple of weeks ago from San Diego back to the Dodgers. Look for Maddux and the LA Dodgers to win their 3rd in a row and start September off with a big win. Play LA Dodgers
Gator
e-Report 70% Super Situation:
Monday: Play Against MLB (AL) road teams with a team that averages <=4.2 runs per game against a starting pitcher whose ERA= 4.70 to 5.70, with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season, 42-14 SU since 1997
PLAY: Texas Rangers -160
e-Report Top Angle
Monday: SAN DIEGO is 2-16 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 this season
Bobby Maxwell
Fresno State +4? at RUTGERS
Now 51-44 with our last 95 FREE selections and today our comp winner comes on Fresno State as the Bulldogs travel across the country to take on Rutgers.
There's talk in the college football world that this Fresno State team has a chance to reach a BCS bowl game if it can run the table. Its strength of schedule and talent give it a chance to go all the way this season in what a lot of folks are calling coach Pat Hill's best team ever.
Hill is in his 12th season with Fresno State and coming off a 9-4 season that included a 40-28 win over Georgia Tech in the Humanitarian Bowl. The Bulldogs went 6-3 ATS down the stretch last season and they've got 17 returning starters.
Back for Fresno is RBs Lonyae Miller, Ryan Matthews and Anthony Harding who combined for 1,924 yards and 25 TDs. Also back is QB Tom Brandstater who tossed 15 TDs and just five INTs a season ago. The Bulldogs have got to be better on defense after giving up more than 400 yards a game.
Rutgers is missing a big chunk of its offense after losing Ray Rice to the NFL. Third-year starter Mike Teel is back but not much else. The Knights are just 8-9 ATS in their last 17 starts as a home favorite and just 2-6 as a single-digit favorite since 2005.
Fresno State is 15-5-1 ATS in its last 21 as a non-conference 'dog and they cashed in four of their last five on the road last season.
This one has the makings of a great opener but we see Fresno holding on down the stretch for a close win. Play the Bulldogs.
2* FRESNO STATE
The Prez
8:00PM ET CFB 5* Best Tennessee (-7.5 / -110) vs UCLA
LT Profits
4:00PM ET CFB 2* Action Fresno State (5.0 / -110) vs Rutgers
Ben Lewis
8:00PM ET CFB 3* Action UCLA (8.0 / -110) vs Tennessee
Bob Akmens
4:00PM ET CFB 4* Action Rutgers (-4.0 / -110) vs Fresno State
Westcoast Sports Member's Plays:
Tennessee -7 (-115)
Fresno State +4
kodiak
10 fresno st
Dominic Brando's Inner Circle 2008-09 NFL/NCAA Football Records Grid:
2008 NCAA Regular Season 0-0 for +/-0.00 Units (Top 100 Units 0-0, Regular 50 Units 0-0)
2008 NFL Regular Season 0-0 for +/-0.00 Units (Top 100 Units 0-0, Regular 50 Units 0-0)
NFL/NCAA Teaser Club 1-0 for +100.00 Units (Top 100 Units 0-0, Regular 50 Units 0-0)
Sunday August 31st, 2008 NCAA College Football Executive Report:
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Underdog Game of the Week: #211 FRESNO STATE +5/-115 over Rutgers
NCAA Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #211 FRESNO STATE ML +180 over Rutgers
*** Please Note that Fresno State/Rutgers Kicks Off on Labor Day Monday September 1st at 4 PM ET
POINTWISE PHONES
2 Fresno
Doc's
3* Fresno St
SPORTS INSIGHTS
2-0 ON SAT
Tennessee vs UCLA (9/1 - 8P)
Traditional powerhouse Tennessee travels to LA to welcome Rick Neuheisel back to college football. Neuheisel returns to his alma mater and brings offensive mastermind Norm Chow with him as offensive coordinator. The Bruins lost starting QB Ben Olson to a season-ending foot injury early in fall camp, and JC transfer Kevin Craft gets the opening start. UCLA's defense finished last season ranked 14th in the nation against the run, and they will have to have a good day against Volunteers RB Adrian Foster and a strong offensive line. The Vols defense was up-and-down last season, but they finished the year with two strong showings against top 25 teams.
The intrigue in this game comes from the public backing the away Volunteers and pushing the line in that direction. We like home dogs at Sports Insights, especially when when they're receiving more than a touchdown in the spread. Tennessee opened as -7 favorites at Pinnacle and other books, but are currently sitting at -7.5 at most books due to receiving over 75% of public bets. We're looking for Rick Neuheisel and Norm Chow to keep it close and maybe sneak out a win at home, so we're taking the Bruins +7.5.
UCLA +7.5
So, here?s a wrap-up of **************.com analysis for this week?s Games to Watch for NCAA Football Week 1.
UCLA +7.5
Colin Cowherd:
Tennessee
Ben Burns Main Event
Fresno St./Rutgers Over the total
Hondo
The Metamucils came through for Hondo yester day, flowing past the Fish to increase his collection of dead presidents to 595 willeys.
Today, the price is right on the money for Sheets - 10 units on the Brewers to deregulate the Meta mucils.
Insider Sports Report
St. Louis/Arizona (MLB) UNDER 9
JIMMY THE MOOSE
Game: San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: San Diego Padres
Nothing much has really gone right for the Padres this season and you know that the team can't wait for this season to end. San Diego has been playing better recenty and have now won 5 of their last 6 games. The Padres have won 5 of their last 6 vs. NL West opponents. SD is 14-5 in Youngs last 19 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. With last night's win the Dodgers are now 2-8 in their last 10 games. The Dodgers send Maddux to the mound tonight and they have lost his two starts. LA has lost 3 of the last 4 meetings between the clubs. Play on the San Diego Padres +.
CAPPERS ACCESS
Mon (CFB) Rutgers
Mon (MLB) Cubs
MIGHTY QUINN
Mighty had no play Sunday and likes the Mets Monday.
The surplus is 390 sirignanos.
ARMVIN SPORTS
CFB
9/1/2008 FRESNO STATE at RUTGERS Under 61
MJP
CFB
9/1/2008 RUTGERS -5
9/1/2008 TENNESSEE at UCLA Under 46
MLB
9/1/2008 MILWAUKEE BREWERS 106
9/1/2008 HOUSTON ASTROS 120
9/1/2008 SEATTLE MARINERS 156
ARTHUR RALPH Free Play
Mon L A Dodgers
Lance's Lock
Overall record: 658-550-23
Current streak: 3 wins
Todays play: Rutgers -4
THE VEGAS STEAMLINE
Take SEATTLE/TEXAS UNDER the total of 12
DCI
Monday, September 1, 2008
FBS Non-Conference
RUTGERS 38, Fresno State 31
Tennessee vs. UCLA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DAVE COKIN
My free pick of the day is the game between (969) CHW White Sox and (970) CLE Indians. Take
"(970) CLE Indians".
The price keeps going up, but the results stay the same. Cliff Lee takes the mound for Cleveland and the Indians win. The Tribe got cooled off by Seattle this weekend, but I look for them to be focused as Lee goes for #20, and I'll take my shot against White Sox rookie lefty Richard. The Indians are the choice.