monday service plays

the duke

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Sebastian

NFL

50* Atlanta

NHL
20* Toronto

NBA
20* Milwaukee Over
10* Phoenix
 

the duke

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Charlies Sports

nfl. new orleans @ atlanta under 43 (500* )

nfl. new orleans-3' (30*)

nba. knicks+5 (20*)

nba. dallas @ knicks over 201 (20*)

nba. sacramento-3' (10*)

nba. orlando-9 (10*) free play
 

the duke

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Frank Rosenthal

NBA

702 MAGIC9.5 SB
704 76ERS+6.5 SB
708 SUNS-11 SB+
OVER 215 SB+





NFL WEEK # 14
SAINTS VS FALCONS
131 SAINTS-3-115 SB+
UNDER 43.5 SB
 
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the duke

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King Creole

NFL Total
double-dime bet ATL / NOS Over 43.0

8:30pm ET / NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ ATLANTA FALCONS

2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

Whenever the Saints take to the road in the role of FAVORITE, they've delivered solid OVER Results (9-2 O/U last 11 as road favs since 2002). The exact opposite holds true for the Falcons. Atlanta is 8-1 O/U since 2005 whenver installed as home Underdogs. That's a good start for tonight's handicapping, but we can do much better when we query applicable Systems and Situations in regards to tonight's game.

The first thing I looked at is the OU results so far this year for teams like ATLANTA who are off 3 straight losses in a row. And the numbers are godd for our OVER. So far in 2007, NFL teams off BBB SU and ATS losses in a row are 23-11 O/U (68%). When the OU line is grater than (>) 42 points (like tonight), the results improve to 11-3 O/U (79%). And UNDERDOGS in this situation (like the FALCONS) are a PERFECT 8-0 O/U since the beginning of October.

On the Saints side, I ran a query based on their losing last week as a home favorite against the Tampa Bay Bucs. Since the 2001 season, DECEMBER division favorites who are playing off a SU home favorite loss (SAINTS) are 8-1 O/U.

New Orleans is also playing in their 3rd STRAIGHT division game, as they played the Bucs and Panthers in each of the last 2 weeks. In a hot very RECENT System, we note that since the beginning of November.... NFL teams playing in their third STRAIGHT division game (SAINTS) are a PERFECT 5-0 O/U.

I also like checking teams who are currently on an OU 'streak'. That's certainly the case for the Falcons, who have gone OVER the Total in each of their last 3 games. In the last 12 months of NFL action, home underdogs who have gone OVER the total in their last 3 games (FALCONS) have gone 9-3-1 O/U. In just the 2007 season alone, these teams have gone a profitable 3-1-1 O/U.

In an 'offshoot', I also queried how teams perform who allowed a LOT of points in each of their last three games. Atlanta has given up 28, 31, and 31 points in thier last 3 (vs St Louis, Indianapolis, and Tampa Bay). Check out the eye-opening OU results: Since the 2002 season, division UNDERDOGS who allowed 28 or more points in EACH of their last three games (FALCONS) have gone a PERFECT 8-0 O/U!
 

Packer

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Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic - Monday December 10, 2007 7:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 194.5 (-110) (Normal)


I have consistently tracked the Atlanta Hawks progression and their unders and they have now hit the under 9 of their last 10 games. With the terrible game against the Pacers, the Magic are going to be looking specifically to improve their defense as Keyon Dooling stated to the AP and Stan Van Gundy wants more efficient basketball with less turnovers so I expect a slower pace today. My Hawks are not a very good road team when playing the better teams in the league and they do have trouble scoring such as not scoring 80 at Chicago. The Hawks are a solid defensive team but at the same time go through their respective scoring lulls in the 3rd quarter to aid the under as well. Rather, than the side, I will take the under as the under is 4-0 for the Hawks in their last 4 road games and the under is 4-0 for the Magic following a straight up loss.
 
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