King Creole
NFL Total
double-dime bet ATL / NOS Over 43.0
8:30pm ET / NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ ATLANTA FALCONS
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
Whenever the Saints take to the road in the role of FAVORITE, they've delivered solid OVER Results (9-2 O/U last 11 as road favs since 2002). The exact opposite holds true for the Falcons. Atlanta is 8-1 O/U since 2005 whenver installed as home Underdogs. That's a good start for tonight's handicapping, but we can do much better when we query applicable Systems and Situations in regards to tonight's game.
The first thing I looked at is the OU results so far this year for teams like ATLANTA who are off 3 straight losses in a row. And the numbers are godd for our OVER. So far in 2007, NFL teams off BBB SU and ATS losses in a row are 23-11 O/U (68%). When the OU line is grater than (>) 42 points (like tonight), the results improve to 11-3 O/U (79%). And UNDERDOGS in this situation (like the FALCONS) are a PERFECT 8-0 O/U since the beginning of October.
On the Saints side, I ran a query based on their losing last week as a home favorite against the Tampa Bay Bucs. Since the 2001 season, DECEMBER division favorites who are playing off a SU home favorite loss (SAINTS) are 8-1 O/U.
New Orleans is also playing in their 3rd STRAIGHT division game, as they played the Bucs and Panthers in each of the last 2 weeks. In a hot very RECENT System, we note that since the beginning of November.... NFL teams playing in their third STRAIGHT division game (SAINTS) are a PERFECT 5-0 O/U.
I also like checking teams who are currently on an OU 'streak'. That's certainly the case for the Falcons, who have gone OVER the Total in each of their last 3 games. In the last 12 months of NFL action, home underdogs who have gone OVER the total in their last 3 games (FALCONS) have gone 9-3-1 O/U. In just the 2007 season alone, these teams have gone a profitable 3-1-1 O/U.
In an 'offshoot', I also queried how teams perform who allowed a LOT of points in each of their last three games. Atlanta has given up 28, 31, and 31 points in thier last 3 (vs St Louis, Indianapolis, and Tampa Bay). Check out the eye-opening OU results: Since the 2002 season, division UNDERDOGS who allowed 28 or more points in EACH of their last three games (FALCONS) have gone a PERFECT 8-0 O/U!