NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL NOTES, NEWS OPINIONS AND BEST BETS THRU MARCH MADNESS !

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 4

Monday’s 5 interesting games
Duke (-5.5) @ NC State
Duke (23-6, 14-4)
KenPom rating: 7
Tempo: 216
Experience: 210
Continuity: 25
Duke won seven of its last eight games.
Blue Devils are 6-3 SU/4-3 ATS as ACC road favorites.
Duke has #17 eFG% in the country.
Blue Devils are 11-4 vs teams in the top 100.


NC State (17-12, 9-9)
KenPom rating: 76
Tempo: 136
Experience: 14
Continuity: 246
NC State lost five of its last seven games.
Wolfpack is 5-4 SU/0-1 ATS as ACC home dogs.
NC State is 1-3 ATS as an underdog this season.
Wolfpack is shooting 47% inside arc in ACC play (#12 of 15)
NC State is 6-12 vs teams in the top 100.


Duke has won four of last five series games.
Blue Devils lost three of last four visits to Raleigh.
ACC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 10-16 ATS.


Texas @ Baylor (-6.5)
Texas (19-10, 8-8)
KenPom rating: 26
Tempo: 221
Experience: 4
Continuity: 153
Texas won three of its last four games.
Longhorns are 4-4 SU/4-3 ATS as Big X road underdogs.
Texas has #55 eFG% in the country.
Longhorns are 5-8 vs teams ranked in the top 50.


Baylor (21-8, 10-6)
KenPom rating: 14
Tempo: 301
Experience: 91
Continuity: 238
Baylor won seven of its last ten games.
Bears are 6-2 SU/4-3 ATS as Big X home favorites.
Baylor is shooting 40.4% on the arc (#3)
Bears are 9-7 vs teams ranked in the top 50.


Texas (-2.5) beat Baylor 75-73 at home January 20.
Baylor won seven of last nine series games.
Longhorns lost their last six visits to Waco.
Big X home favorites of 7 or less points are 21-27 ATS


Weber State (-2.5) @ Montana State
Weber State (20-10, 11-6)
KenPom rating: 138
Tempo: 291
Experience: 50
Continuity: 13
Weber State won eight of its last nine games.
Wildcats are 4-4 SU/0-5 ATS as Big Sky road favorites.
Opponents are shooting 55% inside arc (#345)
Wildcats are 9-4 against teams ranked outside top 200.


Montana State (13-17, 8-9)
KenPom rating: 249
Tempo: 117
Experience: 204
Continuity: 256
Montana State lost six of its last eight games.
Bobcats are 5-3 SU/2-1 ATS as Big Sky home dogs.
Opponents are shooting 54.7% inside arc (#340)
Bobcats are 3-9 vs teams ranked in top 200.


Montana State (+11) lost 86-64 at Weber State December 30.
Bobcats won four of last six series games.
Teams split their last four meetings in Bozeman.
Big Sky home underdogs of 5 or less points are 7-4 ATS


Idaho State @ Montana (-7.5)
Idaho State (12-18, 7-10)
KenPom rating: 256
Tempo: 339
Experience: 282
Continuity: 183
Idaho State lost four of its last five games.
Bengals are 3-5 SU/5-2 ATS as a Big Sky road underdog.
Idaho State has #340 eFG% defense in country.
Bengals are 2-8 vs teams in the top 200.


Montana (20-10, 11-6)
KenPom rating: 157
Tempo: 266
Experience: 30
Continuity: 36
Montana won four of its last five games.
Grizzlies are 6-2 SU/4-4 ATS as Big Sky home favorites.
Montana has #47 eFG% in the country.
Grizzlies are 14-2 vs teams outside the top 200.


Montana (-4.5) won 76-68 at Idaho State December 30
Montana won four in row, 26 of last 27 series games.
Bengals lost their last 13 visits to Missoula.
Big Sky home favorites of 8 or less points are 18-22 ATS


Eastern Washington (-8.5) @ Sacramento State
Eastern Washington (20-10, 14-3)
KenPom rating: 137
Tempo: 47
Experience: 228
Continuity: 137
EWU won seven of its last nine games.
Eagles is 6-2 SU/3-2 ATS as Big Sky road favorites.
EWU has the #6 eFG% in the country.
Eagles are 13-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200.


Sacramento State (8-22, 4-13)
KenPom rating: 322
Tempo: 348
Experience: 287
Continuity: 297
Sac State won its last two games, after an 0-11 skid.
Hornets are 3-5 SU/3-0 ATS as Big Sky home dogs.
Sac State is turning ball over 23.5% of time (#360)
Hornets are 2-10 vs teams ranked in top 200.


Sac State (+9.5) lost 87-61 at Eastern Washington December 30.
Eastern Washington won eight of last nine series games.
Eagles won five of last six visits to Sacramento.
Big Sky home underdogs are 13-9 ATS.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, March 4

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Monday, March 4

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 4

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, MARCH 4​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
JAC at KENN	07:00 PM	KENN -2.0 U 149.0	+500 +500
DUKE at NCST	07:00 PM	NCST +6.0 U 150.0	+500 +500
QNC at FGCU	07:00 PM	FGCU -3.5 U 155.0	+500 +500
SCST at COPP	07:30 PM	SCST -8.0 O 136.0	+500 +500
NCCU at MORG	07:30 PM	NCCU -7.5 U 147.0	+500 +500
DSU at HOW	07:30 PM	HOW -4.5 O 143.5	+500 +500
JKST at PV	07:30 PM	PV +2.5 U 144.0	+500 +500
UMES at NORF	07:30 PM	NORF -11.5 U 134.0	+500 +500
NICH at NWST	07:30 PM	NICH -2.0 U 142.5	+500 +500
SELA at IW	07:30 PM	IW +4.0 U 142.5	+500 +500
LAM at TAMCOM	08:00 PM	LAM -4.5 O 144.5	+500 +500
UNO at AMCC	08:00 PM	UNO +14.0 O 154.5	+500 +500
UNCO at NAU	08:00 PM	NAU +4.0 O 155.0	+500 +500
HCU at MCNS	08:00 PM	HCU +28.5 U 153.0	+500 +500
ALCN at TXSO	08:30 PM	ALCN +4.5 O 139.0	+500 +500
COOK at GRAM	08:30 PM	GRAM -5.5 U 135.0	+500 +500
TEX at BAY	09:00 PM	TEX +7.0 O 146.5	+500 +500
FAMU at SOU	09:00 PM	FAMU +11.0 O 139.0	+500 +500
IDST at MONT	09:00 PM	MONT -9.0 O 138.0	+500 +500
EWU at CSUS	09:00 PM	CSUS +8.0 O 144.0	+500 +500
WEB at MTST	09:00 PM	WEB -4.0 O 145.5	+500 +500
IDHO at PRST	10:00 PM	PRST -6.5 U 139.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Teams who get the highest %age of their points on foul shots:
27.3%- Alabama A&M (9-20)
25.5%- Winthrop (17-14)
25.5%- High Point (24-7)
25.4%- Arkansas (14-15)
24.8%- Rio Grande Valley (6-23)
24.5%- Norfolk State (20-10)

Quote of the Day
“I’ll never forget Nick Foles having the game of his life on the biggest stage possible and the biggest (bleep) on the team, going up to Doug Pederson and asking for the Philly Special. And Doug Pederson having the biggest balls in the stadium, to say ‘Yeah, let’s do it.'”
Eagles center Jason Kelce, who retired Monday

Tuesday’s quiz
Russell Wilson played college football for which two schools?

Monday’s quiz
Chicago Bears split the two Super Bowls they played in; Jim McMahon played QB in the game they won. Rex Grossman played QB in the Super Bowl they lost.

Sunday’s quiz
Duquesne coach Keith Dambrot was Lebron James’ high school coach.

***************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

— Denver Broncos are going to cut QB Russell Wilson next week, take an NFL-record $85M cap hit for next season. Denver signed Wilson to a 5-year, $242.6M contract two years ago, but the Broncos went 11-19 in his starts, and now they’re moving on without him.
Wilson has a career record of 124-79-1, 9-7 in playoff games, 1-1 in Super Bowls. Last three years however, Wilson was 17-27. He turns 36 in November.

— Five biggest salary cap hits in the NFL:
$85M- Russell Wilson, Den, 2024
$40.5M- Matt Ryan, Atl, 2022
$40.3M- Aaron Rodgers, GB, 2023
$35.1M- Tom Brady, TB, 2023
$33.8M- Carson Wentz, Phil, 2021

— Former NFL QB’s Matt/Tim Hasselbeck both used to work for ESPN; next fall, they’ll be coaching high school ball together at The Ensworth School in Nashville.

— Tampa Bay Bucs re-signed WR Mike Evans with a 2-year, $52M deal; $35M of that money is guaranteed. He’s had 1,000+ receiving yards in all ten of his seasons in the NFL.

— Philadelphia Phillies re-signed P Zack Wheeler with a 3-year, $126M deal; in four years with the Phillies, Wheeler is 43-25, 3.06 in 101 starts.

— Most starting pitchers used last season: A’s 24, Royals 23
Fewest starting pitchers used last season: Giants, Nationals, Blue Jays, all with 8.

— Word of the Day: Discombobulate- to confuse or disorient someone.

— When you’re filling out your brackets in two weeks, some things to think about:
Last six years, 18 of the 24 Final Four teams were in the top 35 in country in eFG%, either offense or defense. Making shots/forcing missed shots is very important.
One of the six teams that wasn’t in either top 35 was North Carolina in 2017, but they were #1 in country on the offensive boards; it helps to be great at something.

#1-seed won seven of last 10 NCAA Tournaments.
Five of the last six years, a #7-seed or lower made it to the Final Four.

Two stats that don’t appear to mean much:
1) Bench minutes- TV timeouts are longer in NCAA’s, depth seems less important. Two years ago, all four Final Four teams were outside the top 300 in bench minutes.

2) % of points scored on foul line- Last six years, only one of the 24 Final Four teams was ranked about #96 in this category, and they were a fluke-ish #7-seed.

— Pacific fired basketball coach Leonard Perry, who went 29-65 in three years with the Tigers, 10-36 in WCC games. Pacific has had one winning season the last 10 years; their last NCAA Tournament appearance was in 2013.

— Marquette G Tyler Kolek won’t play in the Golden Eagles’ last two regular season games; he has an oblique injury, and will be reevaluated before next week’s Big East tournament.

— Famous birthdays on March 5th:
Rocky Bleier, 78
Rob Reiner, 77
Kent Tekulve, 77
Scott Skiles, 60
Michael Irvin, 58
Connie Britton, 57
Wally Szczerbiak, 47
Bo Bichette, 26
Justin Fields, 25

Atlantic Sun tournament:
— Jacksonville 92, Kennesaw State 86
Dolphins made an astounding 13-21 on the arc.
Kennesaw won A-Sun last year, but lost 10 of their last 12 games this year.

— Queens 69, Florida Gulf Coast 63
Queens was 18-22 on the foul line, FGCU 7-14.
Royals made 11-25 on arc; they’ve won four of last five games.
Both higher-seeded teams lost in the A-Sun Tournament games Monday.
Winners get to play again Tuesday night.

— Duke 79, NC State 64
NC State led 9-0; it was all downhill from there.
Duke shot 33% from floor in first half, 63% in second half.

— Baylor 93, Texas 85
Longhorns led 48-40 at halftime.
Baylor was 34-42 on foul line, Texas 16-21

— RIP to Ed Ott, the former major league catcher, who died at age 72. Ott played eight years in the majors, mostly for the Pirates- he was on their 1979 World Series championship team.

RIP to UL Washington, the former major league shortstop, who died at age 70. Washington played 11 years in the majors, mostly for Kansas City; he stole 40 bases for the Royals in 1983.

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 5

Tuesday’s 5 interesting games
Purdue @ Illinois (-1.5)
Purdue (26-3, 15-3)
KenPom rating: 3
Tempo: 170
Experience: 67
Continuity: 9
Purdue won 12 of its last 13 games.
Boilers are 6-3 SU on Big 14 road.
Purdue is 1-0 ATS as an underdog this season.
Purdue has #13 eFG% in the country.
Boilers are 12-2 vs teams in the top 50.


Illinois (22-7, 13-5)
KenPom rating: 12
Tempo: 57
Experience: 10
Continuity: 148
Illinois won eight of its last nine games.
Illini is 8-1 SU/4-5 ATS as Big 14 home favorites.
Illini is shooting 55% inside arc (#30)
Illinois is 7-6 vs teams in the top 50.


Illinois (+10) lost 83-78 at Purdue January 5.
Purdue won the last four series games.
Teams split their last four meetings in Illinois.
Big 14 home favorites of 4 or less points are 15-10 ATS.


Alabama @ Florida (-1.5)
Alabama (20-9, 12-4)
KenPom rating: 8
Tempo: 13
Experience: 150
Continuity: 277
Alabama is 4-3 SU in its last seven games.
Crimson Tide is 5-3 SU/1-3 ATS as SEC road underdogs.
Alabama has #8 eFG% in the country.
Crimson Tide is 6-8 vs teams ranked in the top 50.


Florida (20-9, 10-6)
KenPom rating: 31
Tempo: 33
Experience: 78
Continuity: 283
Florida won five of its last seven games.
Gators are 6-1 SU/2-5 ATS as SEC home favorites.
Florida is #3 team in country on the offensive boards.
Gators are 4-6 vs teams ranked in the top 50.


Florida (+8) lost 98-93 in OT at Alabama February 21.
Alabama won last four series games.
Crimson Tide won three of its last four visits to Gainesville.
SEC home favorites of 3 or less points are 6-4 ATS


Syracuse @ Clemson (-9.5)
Syracuse (20-10, 11-8)
KenPom rating: 79
Tempo: 35
Experience: 289
Continuity: 92
Syracuse won its last four games.
Orangemen are 3-6 SU/2-5 ATS as ACC road dogs.
Syracuse has #288 eFG% defense in country.
Orangemen are 10-9 against teams ranked in top 100.


Clemson (20-9, 10-8)
KenPom rating: 25
Tempo: 246
Experience: 29
Continuity: 62
Clemson won six of its last eight games.
Tigers are 5-4 SU/3-3 ATS as ACC home favorites.
Clemson has #47 eFG% in country.
Tigers are 12-7 vs teams ranked in top 100.
Clemson G Girard played four years with Syracuse.


Clemson (-4) won 77-68 at Syracuse February 10
Clemson won five of last seven series games.
Syracuse lost its last four visits to Littlejohn.
ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-4 ATS


San Diego State (-1.5) @ UNLV
San Diego State (22-7, 11-5)
KenPom rating: 19
Tempo: 240
Experience: 51
Continuity: 122
San Diego State won six of its last eight games.
Aztecs are 3-5 SU/2-1 ATS as MW road favorites.
San Diego State has #39 eFG% defense in country.
Aztecs are 9-7 vs teams in the top 100.


UNLV (20-10, 11-6)
KenPom rating: 77
Tempo: 302
Experience: 87
Continuity: 258
UNLV won nine of its last ten games.
Rebels are 5-3 SU/2-0 ATS as MW home dogs.
UNLV is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
UNLV is shooting 52.9% inside the arc (#82)
Rebels are 5-7 vs teams in the top 100.


UNLV (+8.5) lost 72-61 at Viejas January 6.
San Diego State won 6 in row, 22 of last 24 series games.
Aztecs won last six meetings in Las Vegas.
MW home dogs of less than 5 points are 4-1 ATS


Nevada @ Boise State (-5.5)
Nevada (24-6, 11-5)
KenPom rating: 41
Tempo: 243
Experience: 7
Continuity: 43
Nevada won 5 in row, eight of its last nine games.
Wolf Pack is 5-3 SU/3-2 ATS as MW road dogs.
Nevada gets 23.3% of its points on foul line (#17)
Wolf Pack is 7-5 vs teams ranked in top 100.


Boise State (21-8, 12-4)
KenPom rating: 35
Tempo: 231
Experience: 131
Continuity: 66
Boise State won/covered its last five games.
Broncos are 6-2 SU/4-2-1 ATS as MW home favorites.
Boise State is #7 team in country on defensive boards.
Broncos are 9-8 vs teams ranked in top 100.


Boise State (+6.5) won 64-56 in Reno January 12.
Broncos won five of last six series games.
Nevada lost its last three visits to Boise.
MW home favorites of 6 or less points are 16-14 ATS.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 5

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 5

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 5

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, MARCH 5​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
HC at ARMY	06:00 PM	ARMY -5.0 U 130.0	+500 +500
UMASS at ME	06:00 PM	ME +4.0 O 140.5	+500 +500
CCU at ULM	06:00 PM	ULM -2.0 U 144.5	+500 +500
EMU at AKR	07:00 PM	AKR -22.0 U 132.0	+500 +500
TOL at M-OH	07:00 PM	TOL -2.0 O 151.5	+500 +500
DUQ at VCU	07:00 PM	DUQ +5.5 O 137.5	+500 +500
TULN at USF	07:00 PM	USF -7.0 U 156.0	+500 +500
OHIO at BUFF	07:00 PM	OHIO -11.0 U 152.0	+500 +500
L-MD at NAVY	07:00 PM	L-MD +6.5 U 132.5	+500 +500
BGSU at WMU	07:00 PM	BGSU +1.5 O 143.5	+500 +500
HARV at DART	07:00 PM	DART +6.5 U 138.0	+500 +500
KENT at BALL	07:00 PM	KENT -2.0 U 142.5	+500 +500
RMU at PFW	07:00 PM	PFW -10.5 O 147.5	+500 +500
LIB at MTU	07:00 PM	LIB -5.0 O 136.0	+500 +500
SYR at CLEM	07:00 PM	SYR +10.0 O 153.0	+500 +500
INDPU at CLEVST	07:00 PM	INDPU +16.5 O 146.0	+500 +500
VT at LOU	07:00 PM	VT -8.0 U 152.0	+500 +500
PROV at GTWN	07:00 PM	GTWN +8.0 U 147.0	+500 +500
PUR at ILL	07:00 PM	PUR +2.0 U 164.0	+500 +500
MISS at UGA	07:00 PM	UGA -2.0 U 149.0	+500 +500
UVM at UNH	07:00 PM	UVM -8.5 O 140.5	+500 +500
QNC at STET	07:00 PM	QNC +6.0 U 159.5	+500 +500
ALA at FLA	07:00 PM	ALA +2.5 U 176.0	+500 +500
BING at UMBC	07:00 PM	UMBC -2.5 U 153.5	+500 +500
ND at UNC	07:00 PM	ND +16.5 U 138.0	+500 +500
JAC at EKY	07:00 PM	JAC +9.0 O 144.5	+500 +500
ALBY at BRY	07:00 PM	BRY -8.5 U 168.0	+500 +500
CIN at OKLA	08:00 PM	OKLA -5.5 U 137.5	+500 +500
TTU at OKST	08:00 PM	TTU -2.5 O 145.5	+500 +500
UNF at PEAY	08:00 PM	UNF +3.0 U 144.0	+500 +500
CMU at NIU	08:00 PM	NIU +2.5 O 135.0	+500 +500
DETU at MILW	08:00 PM	DETU +11.5 U 154.0	+500 +500
NORAL at LIP	08:00 PM	NORAL +7.0 U 157.5	+500 +500
ODU at TXST	08:30 PM	TXST -4.0 U 136.5	+500 +500
AFA at WYO	08:30 PM	WYO -6.5 U 136.5	+500 +500
KSU at KU	09:00 PM	KSU +12.0 O 143.5	+500 +500
SJU at DEP	09:00 PM	DEP +19.5 O 152.5	+500 +500
DAY at SLU	09:00 PM	DAY -9.5 U 151.0	+500 +500
AUB at MIZZ	09:00 PM	AUB -11.5 U 150.0	+500 +500
FSU at PITT	09:00 PM	FSU +7.5 O 148.0	+500 +500
GT at WAKE	09:00 PM	GT +13.5 U 151.5	+500 +500
NEV at BSU	11:00 PM	NEV +5.5 U 141.5	+500 +500
SDSU at UNLV	11:00 PM	SDSU -2.0 O 135.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Cavaliers 105, Celtics 104- Boston’s 11-game win streak comes to an end.
— Nets 112, 76ers 107- Nets were +29 in 30:00 with Walker on floor.
— Heat 118, Pistons 110- Butler had 26 points, eight assists.
— Pacers 137, Mavericks 120- Pacers outscored Dallas 32-18 in 3rd quarter.
— Rockets 114, Spurs 101- Houston was 22-60 LY; they’re 27-34 this year.
— Suns 117, Nuggets 107 OT- Grayson Allen was 8-12 on the arc.

Quote of the Day
“It’s imperative that we realize there was some luck involved last year and we got hot at the right time. I don’t want this to be a one-and-out type of thing.”
Diamondbacks’ pitching coach Brent Strom

Wednesday’s quiz
Who has scored the most points in Boston Celtics’ history?

Tuesday’s quiz
Russell Wilson played college football at NC State, Wisconsin.

Monday’s quiz
Chicago Bears split the two Super Bowls they played in; Jim McMahon played QB in the game they won. Rex Grossman played QB in the Super Bowl they lost.

**************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….​

Atlantic Sun tournament:
— Jacksonville 67, Eastern Kentucky 65
So this year, the first #1-seed to play in a conference tournament loses its first game, against a team that played last night. EKU was only 14-14 against Division I teams this season.

— Northern Alabama 77, Lipscomb 75
The first #3-seed to play in a conference tournament also loses its first game; chances are, the winner of this tournament is heading to Dayton for a play-in game.
Kid on Northern Alabama hit a 20-foot runner for the win at the buzzer, after Lipscomb had tied the game with a 3-pointer.

— Stetson 83, Queens 71- Hatters are the #2-seed in the A-Sun; now they’re the favorite to win this tournament, and get to the NCAA’s for the
first time. Stetson is one of 45 D-I teams that has never played in March Madness.

Horizon tournament:
— Higher seed won all three games; Detroit finishes its horrific season 1-31 with an 83-79 loss at Milwaukee.

Patriot League tournament:
— Holy Cross 84, Army 68- Back in the late 70’s, when the Big East was first being formed, Holy Cross was really good in basketball; they turned down a chance to join the original Big East.
Over the last 45 years, how much $$$ you think that cost their school/athletic department?

Sun Belt tournament:
— Texas State 92, Old Dominion 83 OT
Old Dominion led by 11 points in second half.
Texas State won its last four games, the last two in OT.
Elsewhere in the world……..

— Purdue 77, Illinois 71
Illinois led this game 40-34 at halftime.
Purdue shot 8-10 on the arc in the second half.

— Georgia Tech 70, Wake Forest 69
Georgia Tech’s big guy hit a jumper with 0:00.4 left for the win.
Tech led this game, 26-4.
Terrible loss for Wake Forest, which is squarely on the bubble.

— Oklahoma 74, Cincinnati 71 OT
Sooners were 28-34 on foul line, Cincinnati 9-11
Both teams shot under 40% from the floor.

— UNLV 62, San Diego State 58
UNLV has won 10 of its last 11 games.
San Diego State started game 2-27 from the floor.
Aztecs had beaten UNLV eight times in a row in Las Vegas.

— Nevada 76, Boise State 66
Wolf Pack won their last six games.
Boise’s loss puts Utah State in first place, for now.

— Word of the Day: Imbecile— a stupid person.

— Gonzaga/Saint Mary’s domination of the WCC has cost lot of other coaches their jobs; this week Pepperdine fired basketball coach Lorenzo Romar, who went 75-112 the last six years, 29-64 in WCC games. He previously had gone 42-44 in three years at Pepperdine in the late 90’s, and also coached at Saint Louis/Washington.
Romar went 298-195 in 16 years at Washington, making three Sweet 16’s in the NCAA’s.

— Cardinals 5, Twins 4- Paul Goldschmidt hit a home run for the St Louis, the Cardinals’ first home run in nine exhibition games.

— NBA’s Milwaukee Bucks won their last six games, all of which stayed under the total.

— In the NHL, New Jersey Devils have trailed 1-0 in 45 of their 62 games; Devils are 30-32 this season, so they’ve bounced back well after usually falling behind early.

— Famous birthdays on March 6th:
Sleepy Floyd, 63
Shaquille O’Neal, 52
Michael Finley, 49
Jake Arrieta, 38

— Stumbled across a station on Pluto that shows the old game show Hollywood Squares 24 hours a day; not the original Peter Marshall version, but one that ran from 1998-2004.
Martin Mull, Gabe Kaplan, Eartha Kitt, Brad Garrett, Rita Rudner, Jeffrey Tambor. Good stuff.
I’m a big game show fan; think that daytime TV these days would be better with more game shows and fewer contrived discussion/argument shows.

— Red Sox signed P Lucas Giolito for two years, $38.5M; now he has an elbow injury and might be out for the entire 2024 season.
Jeff Montgomery/Blake Snell are still out there on the free agent market.

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 6

Wednesday’s 5 interesting games
Villanova @ Seton Hall (-1.5)
Villanova (17-12, 10-8)
KenPom rating: 24
Tempo: 347
Experience: 15
Continuity: 143
Villanova won five of its last six games.
Wildcats are 4-5 SU/3-4 ATS as Big East road dogs.
Villanova has #60 eFG% defense in the country.
Wildcats are 10-9 vs teams in the top 100.


Seton Hall (18-11, 11-7)
KenPom rating: 60
Tempo: 263
Experience: 12
Continuity: 195
Seton Hall lost its last two games, scoring 64-61 points.
Pirates are 6-2 SU/2-2 ATS as Big East home favorites.
Seton Hall is #19 team on offensive boards.
Pirates are 8-11 vs teams in the top 100.


Villanova (-6) pounded Seton Hall 80-54 February 11.
Villanova won the last eight series games.
Wildcats won their last four visits to Seton Hall.
Big East home favorites of 3 or less points are 5-5 ATS.


Houston (-8.5) @ Central Florida
Houston (22-7, 11-5)
KenPom rating: 1
Tempo: 346
Experience: 98
Continuity: 124
Houston won seven in row, 12 of its last 13 games.
Cougars are 5-3 SU/2-6 ATS as Big X road favorites.
Houston has #2 eFG% defense in country.
Houston forces turnovers 24.6% of time (#3)
Cougars are 15-3 vs teams in the top 100.


Central Florida (15-13, 6-10)
KenPom rating: 64
Tempo: 114
Experience: 119
Continuity: 334
UCF lost seven of its last ten games.
Knights are 4-4 SU/3-2 ATS as Big X home dogs.
UCF has #293 eFG% in country.
Knights are 4-8 vs teams in the top 50.


Houston (-17) beat UCF 57-42 at home January 20.
Knights shot 7-44 from floor (15.9%) in that game.
That was teams’ first meeting as Big X rivals.
Big X home underdogs of 5+ points are 8-3 ATS


Tennessee (-5.5) @ South Carolina
Tennessee (20-9, 12-4)
KenPom rating: 8
Tempo: 13
Experience: 150
Continuity: 277
Tennessee won its last six games (5-1 ATS).
Vols are 6-2 SU/2-5 ATS as SEC road favorites.
Tennessee has #3 eFG% defense in the country.
Vols are 7-5 vs teams ranked in the top 50.


South Carolina (20-9, 10-6)
KenPom rating: 45
Tempo: 354
Experience: 25
Continuity: 176
South Carolina won 10 of its last 12 games.
Gamecocks are 6-2 SU in SEC home games.
South Carolina is 11-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
South Carolina has #37 eFG% defense in country.
Gamecocks are 4-4 vs teams ranked in the top 50.


Gamecocks (+13) won 63-59 at Tennessee January 30.
Tennessee won 10 of last 12 series games.
Vols won four of last five visits to Columbia.
SEC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 9-13 ATS


Florida Atlantic (-1.5) @ North Texas
Florida Atlantic (22-7, 12-4)
KenPom rating: 40
Tempo: 178
Experience: 42
Continuity: 1
FAU is 4-3 in its last seven games.
Owls are 4-4 SU/2-6 ATS as AAC road favorites.
FAU has #27 eFG% in the country.
Owls are 8-3 against teams ranked in top 100.


North Texas (16-12, 9-7)
KenPom rating: 79
Tempo: 361
Experience: 121
Continuity: 223
North Texas split its last six games.
Mean Green is 5-3 SU/1-0 ATS as AAC home dogs.
North Texas is 3-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
North Texas has #32 eFG% defense in country.
Mean Green is 2-7 vs teams ranked in top 100.


FAU (-8) beat North Texas 66-63 January 28.
FAU won last three meetings, by 4-4-3 points.
Owls split their last four visits to Denton.
AAC home underdog of 3 or less points are 6-3 ATS


BYU @ Iowa State (-6.5)
BYU (21-8, 9-7)
KenPom rating: 16
Tempo: 90
Experience: 133
Continuity: 28
BYU won five of its last seven games.
Cougars are 3-5 SU/1-4 ATS as Big X road dogs.
BYU is shooting 58.3% inside arc (#8)
Cougars are 6-6 vs teams ranked in top 50.


Iowa State (23-6, 12-4)
KenPom rating: 10
Tempo: 170
Experience: 124
Continuity: 199
Iowa State won seven of its last eight games.
Cyclones are 8-0 SU/5-2 ATS as Big X home favorites.
Iowa State is forcing turnovers 26.1% of time (#2)
Cyclones are 9-4 vs teams ranked in top 50.


Iowa State (+4.5) lost 87-72 at BYU January 16.
Cougars shot 64% inside arc in that game.
That was teams’ first meeting as Big X rivals.
Big X home favorites of 7 or less points are 21-28 ATS.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 6

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 6

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 6