New Picks Thread (all sports)

GoldenTaint

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ledger: (+926) [carried over from World Cup thread, the wager i had treated as loss, spain winning corners, has been graded a win, reflected in ledger]

Starting new thread, now that the World Cup has ended. This thread will contain lots of tennis picks, some golf picks (mostly tails), and some baseball picks - and other random picks as they present themselves. I will also throw in links to interesting, relevant articles I come across, and offer bits of labeled analysis.
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: 3parlay:

Craybas -135 (Amanmuradova)
WIN
Kanepi -515 (de los Rios)
WIN
Pironkova -800 (Floris)
WIN

risking 300 to win 402
:0074

ledger: (+1328)
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: Rus +3' games (Peng) +105, risking 300 to win 315 CANCELED (Peng apparently withdrew)
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: 3parlay:

Cipolla -210 (Kravchuk)
WIN
Young -350 (Jones)
WIN
Ram -160 (Matosevic)
LOSS

risking 250 to win 520
:sadwave:

ledger: (+1078)
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: 2parlay:

Chardy -220 (Gimeno-Traver)
LOSS
Kohlschreiber -330 (Mayer)
LOSS

risking 300 to win 270
:sadwave:

ledger: (+778)
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: 4parlay:

Simon -475 (Brown) WIN
Garrigues -585 vs (Pliskova)
WIN
Errani -615 (Koryttseva)
WIN
Rezai -365 (Halep)
WIN

risking 300 to win 330
:0074
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: Vives -155 (Groenefeld), risking 465 to win 300 :0074

Pick: Pivovarova -120 (Olaru) risking 360 to win 300 :sadwave:

Pick: Lucic -105 (Parmentier) risking 315 to win 300 :0074

Pick: Sevastova +3 games (Safarova) -115, risking 345 to win 300 :sadwave:

Pick: Diyas +5' games (Schnyder) -135, risking 675 to win 500 :sadwave:

Pick: Diyas +363 (Schnyder), risking 200 to win 726 :sadwave:

Pick: Zeballos +136 (Beck), risking 300 to win 408 :0074

NOTE: will edit this post to add new picks as they come along, and to post results. Most of these picks are tails, some are my own. As these tournaments develop, will find spots to hammer some larger bets.

POST-analysis: extreme bad beat on diyas. she wins first set, ends up losing match by six games, failing to cover by 1/2 game. turned a big profit day into a break even or small loss.

ledger: (+536)
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: 4parlay:

Errani -660 (Koryttseva)
WIN
Massu -320 (Struvay)
LOSS
Falla -370 (Capdeville)
LOSS
Bogdanovic -175 (Bloomfield)
WIN

risking 200 to win 400
:sadwave:

ledger: (+336)
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: American +3 (National) -390, risking 780 to win 200 :0074

Pick: American-National 13' under -655, risking 655 to win 100 :0074

ledger: (+636)

More tennis tomorrow...
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: Greul-Simon 22 games over -125, risking 375 to win 300 PUSH

Pick: Zeballos +4 games (Ferrero) -130, risking 390 to win 300 PUSH
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: 3parlay:

Soderling -1800 (Vinciguerra)
WIN
Pennetta -1150 (Voracova)
WIN
Goerges -240 (Dentoni)
WIN

risking 320 to win 200
:0074
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: Brianti +125 (Vives), risking 300 to win 375 :sadwave:

Pick: Zeballos-Ferrero 21' games over -110, risking 330 to win 300 :0074

Pick: Soderling-Vinciguerra 18' games over -145, risking 435 to win 300 :0074

ledger: (+1136)
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: (golf) FIRST ROUND Singh -110 (Dubuisson), risking 330 to win 300 :0074

Pick: (golf) FIRST ROUND Cambell -115 (Rollins), risking 345 to win 300 :0074

why: tail (Stanley)

NOTE: in golf, pay attention to what you're actually betting. it is easy accidentally to bet the TOURNAMENT matchup between two players when you mean to bet the round. before round 1, they're usually listed right on top of each other

ledger: (+1736)
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: 3parlay:

Davydenko -460 (Gimeno-Traver)
LOSS
Monfils -391 (Andujar)
WIN
Verdasco -661 (Robert)
WIN

risking 500 to win 380
:sadwave:

why: sleepytime parlay. possible one of these favs loses the plot, but all three are distinctly better than their opponents. that's fair for a nearly even return

ledger: (+1236)
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: Phau -108 (Chiudinelli), risking 216 to win 200 :sadwave:

Pick: Lucic-Errani 19 games over -115, risking 345 to win 300 PUSH

Pick: Andujar +4 games (Monfils) -125, risking 250 to win 200 :0074

Pick: Mayer-Garcia-Lopez 22' games over -125, risking 500 to win 400 :sadwave:

Pick: Santonja/Varicova -210 (Pivovarova/Rus), risking 525 to win 250 :sadwave:

Pick: 3parlay:
Monfils -335 (Andujar)
WIN
Mayer -125 (Garcia-Lopez)
WIN
Kanepi -360 (Olaru)
WIN
risking 200 to win 397
:0074

Pick: 2parlay:
Monfils -350 (Andujar)
WIN
Oprandi - 340 (Peskiric)
WIN
risking 400 to win 266
:0074
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: Olympiakos-Besa Kavaje 3 goals under -127, risking 381 to win 300 :sadwave:
 
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GoldenTaint

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POST-analysis: disgusting day. had several that should have been wins turn into pushes. And a couple too many, too weak bets. More tonight, but better.
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: 2parlay:

(Los Angeles) +2' St. Louis -335
WIN
(Mets) +2' San Francisco -550
WIN

risking 400 to win 212
:0074

ledger: (+26)
 
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GoldenTaint

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Pick: 2parlay:
Greul +4 games (Ferrero) -125
LOSS
Verdasco -320 (Robredo)
LOSS
risking 400 to win 544
:sadwave:

Pick: 2parlay:
Strycova -255 (Larsson)
WIN
Pennetta -650 (Vives)
WIN
risking 500 to win 303
:0074

Pick: 3parlay:
Chiudinelli +3 games (Gimeno-Traver) +105
LOSS
Monfils +110 (Mayer)
WIN
Kanepi -2 games (Errani) -113
WIN
risking 200 to win 1423
:sadwave:

Pick: Greul +4 games (Ferrero) -125, risking 500 to win 400 :sadwave:

Pick: Oprandi +4' games (Rezai) -125, risking 500 to win 400 :0074

Pick: Craybas +3 games (Goerges) -118, risking 472 to win 400 :sadwave:

Pick: Chiudinelli +3 games (Gimeno-Traver) +105, risking 300 to win 315 :sadwave:

ledger: (-1143)
 
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