New Picks Thread (all sports)

[CapMan]

just looked up that Simon is 4-0 lifetime vs Troicki and has never dropped a set...in an interview Troicki didn't sound very confident either. Troicki does commit a lot of unforced errors and that is death vs Simon. I WANT Troicki to win, I just don't know if he can play a clean game long enough. I will never forget watching Troicki basically dominate Nadal last year and give the match away with errors on simple shots..probably play all chalk tonight, Nalby, Simon and Groth.

 

[GoldenTaint]

just looked up that Simon is 4-0 lifetime vs Troicki and has never dropped a set...in an interview Troicki didn't sound very confident either. Troicki does commit a lot of unforced errors and that is death vs Simon. I WANT Troicki to win, I just don't know if he can play a clean game long enough. I will never forget watching Troicki basically dominate Nadal last year and give the match away with errors on simple shots..probably play all chalk tonight, Nalby, Simon and Groth.

well that explains the line for sure. i dont know...it would really surprise me if troicki cant take a set from simon. just watching them, troicki seems better.

 

[CapMan]

Nalby is now -165 so the money is coming in on Ferrer. Ricky Dimon picks Nalby..hmmmmm

I feel like I'm watching the snake and the mongoose battle..with Ferrer playing the role of mongoose..

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Saturday 1/15/11 picks in this post)

(ledger: +10,062)

Pick: Groth -141 (Mattek), risking 2820 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: Groth-Mattek 21' under -135, risking 2700 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: Troicki-Simon 23' under -125, risking 2500 to win 2000 :sadwave:

Pick: Troicki +108 (Simon), risking 3000 to win 3240 :sadwave:

POST-analysis: all credit to simon, some astonishingly good play.

Pick: PROPOSITION: Baltimore-Pittsburgh: No team 2 straight scores +3500, risking 300 to win 10,500 :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Baltimore-Pittsburgh 36' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (0-0 1q 12:22) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Baltimore-Pittsburgh 40' under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (0-7 1q 5m) :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Baltimore-Pittsburgh 49 under -135, risking 1350 to win 1000 (21-14 3q 3:29) :sadwave:

Pick: PROPOSITION: Baltimore-Pittsburgh: No team 4 straight scores -315, risking 3150 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: 2teaser (8 points):
Green Bay +8
Green Bay-Atlanta 36 over
risking 2000 to win 1333 :0074

Pick: LIVE: Green Bay +125 (Atlanta), risking 1000 to win 1250 (0-0 1q 8:55) :0074

(ledger: +6,795)

 

[CapMan]

Troicki still cracks in the big spots..serving for the 2nd set he falls behind 0-40. Sad

 

[GoldenTaint]

Troicki still cracks in the big spots..serving for the 2nd set he falls behind 0-40. Sad

yeah i guess, but in his defense, simon came up with some incredible shots. troicki didn't lose (like gulbis), simon beat him. you were right about simon, he's definitely better than i thought he was.

 

[CapMan]

Troicki's 2nd serve is very weak. Simon does have a wicked backhand.

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Sunday 1/16/11 picks in this post)

(ledger: +6,795)

Pick: CHICAGO -460 (Seattle), risking 2300 to win 500 :0074

Pick: LIVE: CHICAGO -13' (Seattle) -125, risking 2500 to win 2000 (0-7 1q 12:08) :sadwave:

Pick: CHICAGO -11 (Seattle) +105, risking 2000 to win 2100 PUSH

Pick: 2parlay:
CHICAGO -485 (Seattle) WIN
NEW ENGLAND -410 (Jets)
risking 2000 to win 1001 :sadwave:

Pick: Jets-New England 52' under -250, risking 2500 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: NEW ENGLAND -9 (Jets) -102, risking 3060 to win 3000 :sadwave:

Pick: Jets-New England 37 under -1100, risking 2200 to win 2000 (0-3 2q 12:20) :sadwave:

Pick: Fognini-Nishikori 38 under -105, risking 2100 to win 2000 :sadwave:

Pick: Kamke +6 (Kohlschreiber) -146, risking 2920 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: Kamke +255 (Kohlschreiber), risking 1000 to win 2550 :sadwave:

(ledger: -2565)

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Monday 1/17/11 picks in this post)

(ledger: -2565)

Pick: Chicago-Memphis 187 under -107, risking 1070 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: LIVE: Chicago-Memphis 179 under -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 (34-21 2q) :sadwave:

Pick: Villa-Connecticut 146 under -105, risking 2100 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: 3parlay:
Nadal -13500 (Daniel)
Isner -410 (Serra)
Stepanek -645 (Gremelmayr)
risking 2000 to win 894 :0074

Pick: Zakopalova-Oudin 21 under -115, risking 2300 to win 2000 :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Orlando-Boston 194 under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (22-27 2q start) :sadwave:

(ledger: -4272)

 

[CapMan]

Did you see Mayer beat Davy! Told you that guy is on the way up and you get a great price with him most times!

 

[GoldenTaint]

Did you see Mayer beat Davy! Told you that guy is on the way up and you get a great price with him most times!

yeah, saw that. mayer is good. too many matches right now, i tend to screw up with too many choices, waiting for it to calm down to make more picks.

 

[CapMan]

same here, have to be very selective

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Tuesday 1/18/11 picks in this post)

(ledger: -4272)

Pick: F. Mayer -225 (Nishikori), risking 2250 to win 1000 :sadwave:

POST-analysis: i put too much pork on the stork, and now mah belly hurt.

Pick: Almagro -190 (Andreev), risking 1900 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: 6parlay:
Wozniacki -1850 (King)
Bartoli -833 (Manasieva)
Henin -2221 (Baltacha)
Kuznetsova -961 (Rus)
Petkovic -763 (Keothavong)
Azarenka -2667 (Hlavackova)
risking 2000 to win 1195 :sadwave:

(ledger: -7522)

 

[CapMan]

I'm playing against Venus every round..+1000 is ridiculous, she could flame out at any moment and has health concerns.

 

[GoldenTaint]

sounds smart, maybe some on games too. i am sucking lately, need to start doing better.

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Wednesday 1/19/11 picks in this post)

(ledger: -7522)

Pick: 2parlay:
Clijsters -4980 (Navarro)
A. Kleybanova -970 (Halep)
risking 1072 to win 134 :sadwave:

Pick: LIVE: Lakers-Dallas 186' under -110, risking 2200 to win 2000 (13-8 1q 5:54) :sadwave:

Pick: Tomic-F. Lopez 40' under -118, risking 1180 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: Isner-Stepanek 42' under +100, risking 2000 to win 2000 :0074

Pick: Zakopalova-Safarova 21' under +105, risking 2000 to win 2100 :sadwave:

(ledger: -9,794)

 

[Ghost Kid]

What do you think about this Georges against Sharapova tomorrow? Does she have a shot? I know she was money for you guys a few weeks back.

 

[GoldenTaint]

What do you think about this Georges against Sharapova tomorrow? Does she have a shot? I know she was money for you guys a few weeks back.

Certainly has a shot. It all comes down to how many errors Sharapova makes. If she hits the lines, she wins. But I wouldn't take her at the price. Would lean Goerges +games and over. For some reason that particular price range -200 to -300 is just lethal for betting favorites. Goerges plays well pretty much every time out these days, and I would not be surprised if she covered, and not much surprised if she won outright. If Sharapova is on, she'll win. If not, Goerges will cover or win. Sharapova hasn't played a lot lately, that's one reason I would not back her in this match. If she wins, it's very likely it's a drawn-out affair, and the over cashes. But I don't bet overs much. The least likely thing I foresee is Sharapova crushing Goerges.

 

[GoldenTaint]

(all Thursday 1/20/11 picks in this post)

(ledger: -9,794)

Pick: Wozniacki -432 (Cibulkova), risking 2160 to win 500 :0074

Pick: Almagro -104 (Ljubicic), risking 2080 to win 2000 :0074

why: really like Almagro. he might lose, but he'll be in this, he doesn't give up. have a feeling ljub might tire

Pick: Strycova +521 (Li), risking 1000 to win 5210 :sadwave:

Pick: Strycova +5' (Li) -110, risking 1100 to win 1000 :sadwave:

Pick: Stakhovsky -136 (Robredo), risking 2720 to win 2000 :sadwave:

Pick: Verdasco -205 (Nishikori), risking 2050 to win 1000 :0074

Pick: Wawrinka -2 (Monfils) -123, risking 2460 to win 2000 :0074

(ledger: -9,114)

 

[CapMan]

seems like a lot of overs would be hitting this tournament. Seems like these guys get complacent and just give sets away.