NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 15
Thursday’s game
Chargers (5-8) @
Raiders (5-8)
— Chargers lost four of last five games, scoring 10-6-7 in last three.
— Chargers are 0-5 TY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
— QB Herbert (finger) is out for year; Easton Stick gets first NFL start here.
— Chargers have two TD’s on their last 33 drives.
— Bolts are 0-4 ATS in last four games as an underdog.
— LA is 1-6 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Chargers have 11 takeaways (+8) in wins, four (minus-8) in losses.
— Opponents are 18-70 (25.7%) on 3rd down in LA wins, 44-103 (42.7%) in losses.
— Under is 9-1-1 in last eleven Charger games.
— Chargers are 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 AFC West road games.
— Team total: under 4-0 last four. Opponents’ team total: under 7-6
— Las Vegas lost its last three games, scoring 13-17-0 points.
— In those games, Raiders were 14-42 on third down.
— Last three games, Raiders were outscored 26-3 in second half.
— Last four games, Raiders scored 4 TD’s on 43 drives.
— Home team won 8 of Raiders’ last 10 games (7-2-1 ATS).
— Las Vegas is 7-3 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite (3-1 TY)
— Raiders are 12-7 ATS in last 19 AFC West home games.
— Under is 10-3 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders are 12-18 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.
— Las Vegas is 4-2 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Team total: under 12-1. Opponents’ team total: under 9-4
— Chargers (-5) beat Raiders 24-17 at home in Week 4.
— Raiders were 1-11 on 3rd down, minus-2 in turnovers that game.
— Chargers won three of last four series games.
— Bolts lost 27-20/35-32 in last two visits to Las Vegas.
— Last four meetings stayed under the total.
Saturday’s games
Vikings (7-6) @
Bengals (7-6)
— 4th-string QB Mullens (5-12 as NFL starter) gets nod here.
— He’ll be Vikings’ 4th starting QB in 14 games this year.
— Vikings lost two of last three games, scoring 20-10-3 points.
— Last two games, Minnesota scored one TD on 21 drives.
— Last seven games, Minnesota is 6-2 SU/6-1-1 ATS
— Minnesota is 6-6 in one-score games this year (11-0 LY)
— Vikings are 6-3 when they allow less than 27 points.
— Minnesota has lost field position battle in 12 of 13 games.
— Vikings are 4-10 ATS in last 14 games coming off a bye
— Under is 9-2 in Minnesota’s last eleven games.
— NFC North road underdogs are 4-8 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 7-6. Opponents’ team total: under 9-3-1
— Backup QB Browning has completed 75.5% of passes (15 TD’s, 6 INT’s)
— Bengals won their last two games, scoring 34-34 points.
— starting QB Burrow is out for the year.
— Bengals are 6-1 giving up 20 or less points, 1-5 allowing more than 2o.
— Last nine games, Bengals are +7 in turnovers. (15-8)
— Cincinnati is 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Cincinnati is 17-10-2 ATS in last 29 home games.
— Bengals are 12-3 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win (3-2 TY).
— Bengals are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games vs NFC opponents.
— Four of Bengals’ last five games went over total.
— Team total: under 8-5. Opponents’ team total: under 7-6
— AFC North home favorites are 12-5-1 ATS outside the division.
— Home team won the five series games over the last 20 years.
— Vikings lost last three visits to Cincinnati, by 29-28-3 points.
— Under was 3-2 in those five games.
Steelers (7-6) @
Colts (7-6)
— Steelers lost three of last four games, scoring 10-16-10-18 points.
— They fired their offensive coordinator two weeks ago.
— Steelers are 3-2 SU/ATS on road this year.
— Steelers are 21-12 ATS last 33 games as a road underdog.
— Last four games, Pittsburgh was outscored 41-16 in first half.
— Last two games, Pittsburgh converted 7-25 on third down.
— Last 12 games, Steelers have a +11 turnover margin.
— Steelers are 13-8 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
— Under is 10-3 in Steeler games.
— Backup QB Trubisky is 31-27 as NFL starter, 2-4 with Pittsburgh.
— AFC North road underdogs are 4-2 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 6-4-3. Opponents’ team total: over 7-6
— Indianapolis won/covered four of last five games.
— Last three games, Colts converted only 8-36 on third down.
— Colts are 0-6 giving up 29+ points, 7-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
— QB Minshew is 13-20 as an NFL starter, 5-4 TY.
— Colts are 2-4 ATS in last six games as a home favorite.
— In its last five games, Indy was +6 in turnovers (10-4)
— Colts are 11-13 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Over is 6-2 in Indy’s last eight games.
— Colts are 38-23-2 ATS in last 63 games coming off a loss.
— This is 7th year in row Colts have a different #1 QB
— AFC South home teams are 8-7-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 9-3-1. Opponents’ team total: over 7-6
— Patriots won last eight series games (6-2 ATS)
— New England won last three visits to Indiana, by 21-3-7 points.
— Last three meetings went over the total.
Broncos (7-6) @
Lions (9-4)
— Broncos are 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
— Three of those six wins were by 1 or 2 points.
— Last six games, Denver is +9 in turnovers.
— Broncos outscored last six opponents 74-46 in first half.
— Denver is 3-3 SU/2-4 ATS on road this season.
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— Last four weeks, Denver converted only 16-54 on third down.
— Broncos are 7-14 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— Denver is 18-14-1 ATS last 33 games as a road underdog.
— Detroit is 3-6 ATS in last nine games vs NFC opponents.
— Seven of last eight Bronco games stayed under the total.
— Russell Wilson is 124-77-1 as an NFL starter, 11-17 with Denver.
— AFC West underdogs are 3-7 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 7-6. Opponents’ team total: under 8-5
— Lions lost two of last three games, after an 8-2 start.
— Lions gave up 37-38-29-28 points in their four losses.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 7-4 ATS as home favorite (3-3 TY).
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 15-9 ATS coming off a loss (3-0 TY).
— Under Campbell, Lions are 31-15-1 ATS overall.
— Last three games, Detroit is minus-6 in turnovers (4-10)
— Last five games, Lions ran ball for 158 yards/game.
— Opponents converted 16 of last 37 third down plays (43.2%).
— Goff is 65-52-1 as an NFL starter, 21-21-1 with the Lions.
— over is 7-3 in their last ten games.
— Lions are 9-5 ATS in last 14 games vs AFC opponents.
— NFC North favorites are 7-5 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 7-6. Opponents’ team total: over 8-5
— Denver won last three series games, by 12-10-28 points.
— Broncos split last two visits to Detroit; last one was in 2015.
— Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Sunday’s games
Falcons (6-7) @
Panthers (1-12)
— Falcons lost four of their last six games.
— Last two games, Atlanta converted 9-27 on third down.
— underdogs covered eight of Atlanta’s last nine games.
— Atlanta is 2-4 SU/ATS on the road this season.
— under Smith, Falcons are 4-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last four games, Falcons were 30-67 (44.8%) on third down.
— Last three games, Atlanta is +3 in turnovers (6-3)
— Atlanta is 18-24-3 in last 45 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Falcons are 5-2 ATS in last seven NFC South road games.
— Ridder is 8-7 as an NFL starting QB.
— Over is 4-2 in last six Atlanta games.
— Team total: under 6-6-1. Opponents’ team total: over 6-5-2
— Carolina lost its last six games (2-4 ATS)
— Panthers fired their coach and two assistants two weeks ago.
— Carolina is 1-4 SU/1-3-1 ATS at home, losing by 3-8-14-23 points.
— Last nine games, Panthers were outscored 140-52 in first half.
— In seven post-bye games, Panthers scored six TD’s on 71 drives.
— In seven post-bye games, Carolina scored 12.1 ppg.
— Carolina is 10-20-1 ATS in last 31 games following a loss.
— Young’s nine starts (1-11), Carolina averaged 5+ yards/pass attempt once.
— Panthers scored 27 points in game veteran QB Dalton started (5.5 ypa)
— Carolina gained 303 yards LW, its most since Week 5 (ran for 204 yards).
— Panthers are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven NFC South home games.
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— League-wise, divisional home underdogs are 10-13-2 ATS.
— Team total: under 9-4. Opponents’ team total: over 8-5
— Falcons (-3.5) beat Carolina 24-10 at home way back in Week 1.
— Teams split last six series games, after a 10-2 Atlanta run.
— Falcons are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Charlotte.
— under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Bears (5-8) @
Browns (8-5)
— Chicago won/covered three of last four games.
— Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last ten games.
— Last five games, Bears ran ball for 144.4 yards/game.
— Chicago is 2-7 when it scores less than 28 points
— In Fields starts, Bears are 51-124 (41.1%) on third down.
— Fields is 8-26 as an NFL starter.
— Bears haven’t led at halftime since Week 7 vs Las Vegas.
— last 2+ years, Bears are 14-33 SU/19-26-2 ATS.
— Chicago is 4-3 ATS as road underdogs TY.
— Chicago is 3-9 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
— Five of their six games stayed under the total.
— Bears are 8-5-1 ATS in last 14 games vs AFC opponents.
— Team total: under 7-6. Opponents’ team total: over 7-6
— Flacco has completed 55.1% of passes (5 TD’s, 2 INTs).
— Flacco is 100-82 as NFL starter, 19th NFL QB ever with 100+ wins.
— Browns have started four different QB’s this season.
— Cleveland is 6-3 SU in last nine games (4-2 ATS in last six)
— Last four games, Browns were outscored 68-35 in second half.
— Last four weeks, Browns 17-64 (26.6%) on third down.
— Last week, Cleveland had three TD plays of 30+ yards.
— Browns are 6-14-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— Browns are 5-0 giving up less than 24 points, 3-5 allowing 24+.
— Cleveland won/covered six of seven home games TY.
— Opponents have converted only 49-169 (29.0%) third down plays.
— over is 6-2 in last eight Cleveland games.
— AFC North teams are 21-15-1 outside the division.
— Team total: over 9-3-1. Opponents’ team total: over 7-6
— Chicago won four of last six series games.
— Bears lost two of last three visits to Cleveland.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Buccaneers (6-7) @
Packers (6-7)
— Bucs won/covered three of last five games (5-2 ATS last seven)
— Bucs are 1-6 when they allow more than 18 points.
— Bucs are 5-1 when they allow less than 18 points.
— Tampa Bay is 3-4 SU/6-1 ATS on road this year.
— Bucs have 19 takeaways in 13 games (+6 turnovers)
— Last four games, opponents were 14-51 (27.5%) on third down.
— Buccaneers are 12-10 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
— Over is 3-0 in Tampa Bay’s last three games.
— Last three weeks, Tampa Bay ran ball for 133.7 yards/game.
— Mayfield is 38-46 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— Team total: under 6-6-2. Opponents’ team total: under 7-6-1
— Short week for Packers after Monday night’s loss in New Jersey,
— Packers won four of last six games, after an 0-4 skid.
— Green Bay outscored last three foes 49-19 in first half.
— Last three games, Packers are +4 in turnovers (6-2)
— Packers won/covered their last three home games.
— Last five games, Green Bay is 37-79 (46.8%) on third down.
— Packers are 20-13 ATS last 33 games as a home favorite.
— Jordan Love is 6-8 as an NFL starter.
— Packers are 15-7 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss (2-3 TY).
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Last five weeks, Green Bay gave up 170.4 rushing yards/game.
— Team total: over 7-6. Opponents’ team total: under 8-4-1
— Packers won four of last six series games.
— Buccaneers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Green Bay.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
Texans (7-6) @
Titans (5-8)
— QB Stroud (concussion) was KO’d last week (check status)
— Houston won four of its last six games, but……..
— …..Texans were outscored 30-6 in second half by Jets LW.
— Underdogs covered nine of their last eleven games.
— Houston is 3-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Last three games, Texans are +5 in turnovers (5-0).
— Before LW, Texans had scored 26.6 ppg in previous five games.
— Houston is 3-2 ATS this year coming off a loss.
— QB Stroud is 7-6 as an NFL starter; backup Mills is 5-19-1.
— over is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Houston is 6-1 ATS in last seven AFC South road games.
— Team total: under 8-4-1. Opponents’ team total: under 9-4
— Short week for Tennessee after Monday’s comeback win.
— Titans trailed 27-13 with 3:00 left in Miami, won 28-27.
— Tennessee is 4-1 SU/ATS at home this year.
— since 2019, Titans are 12-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Tennessee fired its special teams coach two weeks ago.
— Titans are 4-1 scoring 27+ points, 1-7 scoring 17 or less.
— Last eight games, Tennessee converted 30-95 (31.6%) on third down.
— Tennessee is 0-4 ATS this season coming off a win.
— Titans are minus-7 in turnovers (9-16) so far this season.
— Rookie QB Levis is 3-4 as an NFL starter.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Team total: under 8-5. Opponents’ team total: over 6-4-3
— Titans won six of last nine series games.
— Texans are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Nashville.
— Last three meetings stayed under the total.
Giants (5-8) @
Saints (6-7)
— Giants won their last three games, scoring 21.7 points/game.
— Last six weeks, Big Blue was outscored 78-31 in first half.
— Rookie QB DeVito won three of his first four NFL starts.
— Last two weeks, Giants are 7-23 on third down.
— Giants gained 367 yards Monday, their most since Week 2.
— Last nine games, Giants are +14 in turnovers.
— Giants are 7-4-1 ATS last 12 games coming off a win.
— since 2018, Big Blue is 11-20-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Over is 3-1 in Giant last four games.
— NFC East road teams are 11-8 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 8-5. Opponents’ team total: over 6-6-1
— Saints lost three of their last four games.
— Saints are 3-3 SU/1-5 ATS at home this season.
— NO is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite (1-4 TY)
— Saints outscored last two opponents 35-12 in second half.
— New Orleans is 5-2 scoring 20+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 20.
— Saints are 6-13-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
— Last four games, New Orleans is minus-3 in turnovers.
— Last three games, Saints were 15-36 (41.7%) on third down.
— Last five games, Saints gave up 171 rushing yards/game.
— under is 9-4 in Saints’ games this year, 4-2 at home.
— NFC South favorites are 6-9-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 8-5. Opponents’ team total: over 7-6
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Favorites are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven series games.
— Giants are 1-3-1 ATS in last five visits to New Orleans.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Jets (5-8) @
Dolphins (9-4)
— Jets lost five of last six games, scoring 15.0 ppg.
— Last week was only 2nd game this year Jets scored 2+ TD’s.
— Last four games, Jets were outscored 43-17 in first half.
— Jets are 1-7 when they score less than 20 points.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 7-10 ATS as a road underdog.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 16-23 ATS as an underdog
— Last 11 games, Jets converted 38-162 (23.5%) third down plays.
— Last two games, Jets allowed only two TD’s on 24 drives.
— Zach Wilson is 12-20 as an NFL starter.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 5-9 ATS coming off a win.
— Jets are 2-9 ATS in last 11 AFC East road games.
— NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 20-18 ATS.
— Team total: under 8-4-1. Opponents’ team total: under 9-4
— Short week for Miami after their loss Monday night.
— Dolphins won four of their last six games overall.
— Miami led 27-13 with 3:00 left Monday, lost 28-27.
— Favorites are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games.
— Miami scored 31+ points in seven of nine wins; 20-17-14-27 in losses.
— Last nine games, Miami is minus-4 in turnovers (13-17).
— Overall, Dolphins have scored 50 TD’s on 137 drives.
— Last three games, Miami converted 22-42 third down plays.
— Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in last ten AFC East home games.
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 8-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 5-5 ATS coming off a loss (2-0 TY).
— over is 3-0 in their last three games.
— Tagovailoa is 30-17 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 7-6. Opponents’ team total: under 8-5
— Dolphins (-9) won 34-13 at the Jets three weeks ago.
— Miami ran for 167 yards, converted 11-16 on third down.
— Dolphins won seven of last eight series games (6-2 ATS)
— Jets covered once in their last five visits to Miami.
Chiefs (8-5) @
Patriots (3-10)
— Chiefs lost four of last six games, after a 6-1 start.
— Last six games, Chiefs were outscored 60-40 in second half.
— In those six games, Chiefs are minus-6 in turnovers (4-10)
— KC has outscored opponents 199-108 in first half.
— Chiefs are 12-16-1 ATS in last 29 games as road favorite (3-3 TY).
— Chiefs held nine of last 11 foes under 5.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last four games, KC converted 26-55 third down plays (49.1%)
— Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.
— Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in last seven games coming off a loss.
— Mahomes is 83-24 SU as an NFL starter.
— AFC West teams are 13-20-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 10-3. Opponents’ team total: under 10-3
— Patriots lost five of six, eight of last ten games (2-8 ATS).
— Patriots won last Thursday, had some extra prep time here.
— NE’s last four losses were all by six or fewer points.
— Last four games, Patriots scored four TD’s on 43 drives.
— New England is minus-9 in turnovers this year.
— Since Brady left, NE is 28-35 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— In his career, Belichick is 83-100 without Brady.
— Zappe is 3-1 as an NFL starting QB, Mac James 18-26.
— Last four games, Patriots held opponents to 264-220-241-264 yards.
— Under is 9-3-1 in New England games this season.
— AFC East underdogs are 7-9 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 11-2. Opponents’ team total: 6-6-1
— Kansas City won four of last six series games.
— Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in last six visits to Foxboro.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
49ers (10-3) @
Cardinals (3-10)
— SF won its last five games (3-2 ATS), scoring 32.4 ppg.
— 49ers scored 27+ points in wins, 17-17-17 in losses.
— Last five weeks, 49ers were +6 in turnovers (8-2)
— 49ers have outscored opponents 171-95 in 2nd half.
— SF ran ball for 169-146-173 yards in their last three games.
— 49ers are 5-2 SU/4-2-1 ATS as a road favorite TY.
— SF is 14-13 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
— 49ers are 13-10-1 ATS in last 24 games as a road favorite.
— SF is 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 NFC West road games.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 17-4 as NFL starter.
— Team total: over 8-5. Opponents’ team total: over 7-6
— Arizona is 2-8 SU/4-6 ATS in its last ten games
— Cardinals are 4-2 ATS as a home underdog TY.
— Last five games, Arizona was outscored 72-40 in first half.
— Last game was first time TY Cardinals won field position.
— Arizona ran for 150 yards in win at Pittsburgh, its most since Week 3.
— Cardinals lost 21 of last 26 games SU (11-12 ATS in last 23).
— Murray is 27-34-1 as an NFL starter.
— Last three games, Cardinals are +4 in turnovers (5-1).
— Over is 6-0 in Arizona’s home games this year.
— Arizona is 3-10 ATS in last 13 NFC West home games.
— Team total: over 7-6. Opponents’ team total: over 6-6-1
— 49ers (-14) beat Arizona 35-16 at home, back in Week 4.
— San Francisco won six of last nine series games.
— 49ers are 3-5 ATS in last eight visits to Arizona.
— Four of last five meetings went over the total.
Commanders (4-9) @
Rams (6-7)
— Washington lost four in row, nine of last 11 games (2-5 ATS last seven)
— Commanders fired their defensive coordinator three weeks ago.
— Since then, Washington allowed 31-45-45 points.
— Last two games, Washington allowed 10.3/11.3 yards per pass attempt.
— Washington is 1-8 giving up more than 17 points, 3-1 giving up 17 or less.
— Last five games, Commanders are minus-9 in turnovers (1-10).
— Last five games, Commanders are 41-86 (47.7%) on third down.
— Washington is 2-8 ATS in its last ten post-bye games.
— Last 11 games, Commanders were outscored 175-82 in 1st half.
— five of their last six games went over the total.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 5-9 as NFL starter.
— NFC East road underdogs are 6-4 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 7-6. Opponents’ team total: over 10-3
— Rams are 3-1 in last four games SU/ATS, scoring 37-36-31 last three weeks.
— LA is in a 5-way tie for last playoff spot in NFC.
— Rams are 4-0 giving up 16 or less points, 2-7 giving up 19+ points.
— Rams are 5-3 when they run ball for 92+ yards, 1-4 when they don’t.
— Rams were outscored 98-46 in 2nd halves of their losses.
— Last three weeks, LA scored 18 ppg in first half, leading all three games.
— Stafford is 25-17 as a starter with the Rams.
— LA is 5-9 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite (2-2 TY)
— under McVay, Rams are 22-15-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Rams’ last three games went over the total.
— NFC West favorites are 8-5 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 6-6-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-5-1
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Washington is 4-3 ATS in last seven road series games.
— Underdogs are 6-3 ATS in last nine series games.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Cowboys (1o-3) @
Bills (7-6)
— Cowboys won seven of last eight games (6-2 ATS).
— Last five weeks, Dallas scored 40.2 points/game.
— Dallas scored 16-10-23 points in losses, 37.2 ppg in wins.
— Dallas is 3-3 SU on road TY (favorites 5-1 ATS).
— Cowboys are 6-8 ATS last 14 games as a road dog (0-2 TY).
— Cowboys are +14 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
— Dallas is 18-13 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
— QB Prescott is 74-42 as an NFL starter.
— Last five games, Cowboys are 36-68 on third down.
— Dallas is 7-2 ATS in last nine games vs AFC opponents.
— Six of last seven Dallas games went over the total.
— Team total: over 10-3. Opponents’ team total: under 7-5-1
— Buffalo won/covered its last three games.
— Buffalo scored 28.7 ppg in three games since firing their OC.
— Bills are 7-0 giving up 20 or less points, 0-6 giving up more than 20.
— Last three games, Buffalo has a +4 turnover ratio (7-3).
— Bills are 15-11-1 ATS in last 27 games as a home favorite.
— Buffalo outscored last three foes 47-20 in first half.
— Josh Allen is 54-35 as an NFL starter.
— Bills are 12-13-2 ATS in last 27 games after a win.
— Buffalo is 3-5-1 ATS in last nine games vs NFC opponents.
— Buffalo is 3-6 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Seven of their last nine games stayed under the total.
— Team total: over 7-6. Opponents’ team total: under 7-5-1
— Bills won last two series games, 26-15/16-6
— Teams split last two meetings played in Buffalo.
— Under is 3-2 in last five series games.
Ravens (10-3) @
Jaguars (8-5)
— Ravens won seven of last eight games (5-3 ATS).
— Last six games, Baltimore scored 20 TD’s on 64 drives.
— Last five games, they ran ball for 178.4 yards/game.
— Last ten games, Ravens outscored foes 173-61 in first half.
— Baltimore is 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS on road this year (dogs 4-1 ATS).
— Ravens are 10-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
— Baltimore is 11-15 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is minus-6 in TO’s in its losses, +6 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 56-22 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— over is 5-2 in Baltimore’s last seven games.
— AFC North teams are 21-15-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 9-4. Opponents’ team total: under 8-4-1
— Jacksonville lost its last two games, giving up 34-31 points.
— QB Lawrence has high ankle sprain (check status)
— Jaguars lost four of six games SU in Jacksonville TY.
— Jaguars are 6-1 SU/ATS outside Jacksonville.
— under Pederson, Jags are 4-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Pederson, Jaguars are 6-6 ATS coming off a loss.
— Jaguars are minus-6 in turnovers in their losses (+4 in wins).
— Pederson is 64-53-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Lawrence is 20-27 as an NFL starter.
— Backup QB Beathard is 2-10 as an NFL starter (last start, 2020)
— Jaguars’ last four games went over the total.
— Team total: over 7-5-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-6
— Teams split their last ten meetings SU.
— Ravens are 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in last five visits to Jacksonville.
— Last three meetings stayed over the total.
Monday’s game
Eagles (10-3) @
Seahawks (6-7)
— Eagles lost last two games, giving up 42-33 points.
— Last four games, Eagles were outscored 72-26 in first half.
— Philly didn’t score an offensive TD last week; their defense had one.
— Last nine games, Philly is minus-8 in turnovers.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 7-8-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Eagles scored 21+ points in all of their wins, 14-19-13 in losses.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 35-16 SU.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 5-6 ATS coming off a loss.
— Hurts is 35-16 as an NFL starter.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Eagles were minus-6 in turnovers in their losses (+2 in wins).
— Team total: over 7-5-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-1 last six
— Check status on whether Smith or Lock starts at QB.
— Seattle lost last four games, giving up 17-31-41-28 points.
— Seahawks are 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-6 scoring less than 20.
— Seahawks were outscored 115-36 in second half of their losses.
— Last six games, Seattle converted 23-89 (25.8%) third down plays.
— Seattle is 17-13 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.
— Seattle is 5-3 ATS in its last eight games as a road underdog.
— Smith is 28-35 as an NFL starter; Lock is 8-14.
— Seahawks are 5-0 if they run for 100+ yards, 1-7 if they don’t.
— Seattle is 3-3 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Over is 3-2 in Seattle’s last five games.
— Team total: under 7-6. Opponents’ team total: over 7-5-1
— Seahawks won last six series games (5-1 ATS)
— Eagles are 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Seattle.
— Eagles’ last visit to Seattle was in 2017.
— Last six meetings stayed under the total.
