NFL 2023-2024 Best Bets-OPINIONS-NEWS !
- Thread starter Cnotes53
- Start date
MONDAY, DECEMBER 25
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| LV at KC | 01:00 PM | LV +10.5 O 40.5 | +500 +500 |
| NYG at PHI | 04:30 PM | NYG +13.5 U 42.5 | +500 +500 |
| BAL at SF | 08:15 PM | BAL +6.0 U 46.5 | +500 +500 |
Completed Picks
Past Completed Picks| Date | W-L-T | % | Units | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/25/2023 | 3-3-0 | 50.00% | -150 | Detail |
| 12/24/2023 | 11-8-1 | 57.50% | +1100 | Detail |
| 12/21/2023 | 2-0-0 | 100.00% | +1000 | Detail |
| 12/18/2023 | 1-1-0 | 50.00% | -50 | Detail |
| 12/17/2023 | 13-8-1 | 61.36% | +2100 | Detail |
| 12/16/2023 | 1-4-1 | 25.00% | -1700 | Detail |
| 12/14/2023 | 1-1-0 | 50.00% | -50 | Detail |
| 12/11/2023 | 4-0-0 | 100.00% | +2000 | Detail |
| 12/10/2023 | 9-14-1 | 39.58% | -3200 | Detail |
| 12/07/2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 12/04/2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 12/03/2023 | 10-9-0 | 52.63% | +50 | Detail |
DECEMBER'S NFL BEST BETS !
12/25/2023.................................. 3 - 3......................................50.00%...................- 1.50
12/23/2023..................................9 - 6.......................................60.00%...................+ 12.00
12/21/2023..................................2 - 0.....................................100.00%...................+ 10.00
12/18/2023...................................1 - 1.....................................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/17/2023...................................12 - 7...................................63.17%.....................+ 21.50
12/16/2023....................................1 - 4.....................................20.00%.....................- 17.00
12/14/2023....................................1 - 1.....................................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/11/2023....................................4 - 0...................................100.00%......................+ 20.00
12/10/2023................................... 6 - 13..................................31.57%.......................- 41.50
12/07/2023....................................0 - 2 -0 ..............................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/04/2023....................................0 - 2 - 0...............................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/03/2023....................................7 - 7 - 0...............................50.00%.......................- 3.50
TOTALS.......................................46 - 46 - 0..............................50.00%.......................- 19.00
12/25/2023.................................. 3 - 3......................................50.00%...................- 1.50
12/23/2023..................................9 - 6.......................................60.00%...................+ 12.00
12/21/2023..................................2 - 0.....................................100.00%...................+ 10.00
12/18/2023...................................1 - 1.....................................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/17/2023...................................12 - 7...................................63.17%.....................+ 21.50
12/16/2023....................................1 - 4.....................................20.00%.....................- 17.00
12/14/2023....................................1 - 1.....................................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/11/2023....................................4 - 0...................................100.00%......................+ 20.00
12/10/2023................................... 6 - 13..................................31.57%.......................- 41.50
12/07/2023....................................0 - 2 -0 ..............................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/04/2023....................................0 - 2 - 0...............................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/03/2023....................................7 - 7 - 0...............................50.00%.......................- 3.50
TOTALS.......................................46 - 46 - 0..............................50.00%.......................- 19.00
Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Receiving yardage leaders in the NFL:
1,641— Tyreek Hill, Miami
1,424— CeeDee Lamb, Dallas
1,327— Puka Nacua, Rams
1,314— AJ Brown, Phil
1,281— Amon-Ra St. Brown, Lions
1,250— Amari Cooper, Clev
Quote of the Day
“Could we have done things better? I’m talking about myself and the coaching staff, with regards to, ‘All right, this is our worst-case scenario, now what?’ Absolutely, and it’s something that we will make sure that we do a heck of a lot better with in 2024.”
Jets coach Robert Saleh
Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Lamar Jackson play his college football?
Monday’s quiz
The first time the Denver Broncos played in a Super Bowl, Craig Morton was their QB.
Sunday’s quiz
Giants’ rookie QB Tommy DeVito played college football at Syracuse, Illinois.
*********************************
— Raiders scored two defensive TD’s 0:07 apart in second quarter.
— Not often an NFL team has 48 passing yards and wins, but the Raiders did.
— Last two games, Raiders have scored four defensive TD’s.
— Under is 11-4 in Raider games this season.
— Chiefs are 3-5 in their last eight games, after a 6-1 start.
— In those eight games, Chiefs are minus-9 in turnovers (5-14)
— Chiefs’ first three drives: 11 plays, minus-10 yards, three punts.
— Kansas City lost its last three home games SU.
Eagles 33, Giants 25
— Eagles led this game 20-3 at halftime.
— Giants scored defensive TD late in 3rd quarter to make score 20-18.
— Eagles’ last three drives: 24 plays, 172 yards, 13 points.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 5-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Giants changed QB’s at half; Tyrod Taylor was 7-16/133 in 2nd half.
— Eagles outgained Big Blue, 465-292.
— Giants were held under 300 TY in seven of last eight games.
— Giants are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 NFC East road games.
Lions 30, Vikings 24
— Lions clinch their first division title since 1993.
— Detroit led 17-14 at halftime.
— Lions’ first two drives of 2nd half: 27 plays, 163 yards, two TD’s.
— Detroit is 5-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— Vikings lost four of their last five games (the win was 3-0).
— Minnesota only ran the ball 11 times, for 17 yards.
— Mullens threw for 411 yards, but also threw four INT’s.
— Minnesota is 6-8 in one-score games this year (11-0 LY)
Seahawks 20, Titans 17
— Seattle drove 53 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:57 left.
— Seattle in first half: 27 plays, 93 yards, 3 punts, 3 points.
— Seattle in second half: 34 plays, 180 yards, no punts, 17 points.
— Second week in row Seahawks scored game-winning TD in last 1:00.
— Titans lost six of their last eight games.
— Tennessee averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Titans are 4-1 scoring 27+ points, 1-8 scoring 17 or less.
— Under is 9-4 in Tennessee’s last 13 games.
Packers 33, Panthers 30
— Packers drove 61 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:22 left.
— Packers first 4 drives: 32 plays, 243 yards, no punts, 23 points.
— Packers in second half: 27 plays, 126 yards, 3 punts, 10 points.
— Green Bay outscored last five foes 82-42 in first half.
— Green Bay led 30-16 with 8:00 left in game.
— Panthers had TD drives of 63-70 yards, tied game with 4:15 left.
— Rookie QB Young was 23-35/312 passing, with two TD’s.
— Carolina’s 8.1 yards/pass attempt was by far their best this season.
Jets 30, Commanders 28
— Zuerlein kicked 54-yard FG with 0:10 left for the win.
— Jets’ first three drives: 10 plays, 68 yards, 17 points.
— Jets’ first three drives all started in Washington territory.
— Jets are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Washington lost six in row, 11 of last 13 games (3-6 ATS last nine)
— QB Brissett was 10-13/100 passing off bench, with one TD pass.
— Washington is 3-1 giving up 17 or less points, 1-10 giving up more than 17.
— Last five games, Commanders allowed 35.8 ppg.
Falcons 29, Colts 10
— Colts drove 62 yards for a touchdown on their first drive.
— Rest of game, Colts ran 55 plays, gained 201 yards, scored 3 points.
— Colts are 0-6 giving up 29+ points, 8-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
— Favorite covered the Colts’ last eight games.
— Atlanta scored two TD’s, kicked five FG’s on its drives.
— Falcons ran for 177 yards, outgained Colts 406-262.
— Atlanta scored 28-23-29 points in Heinicke’s three starts.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.
Browns 36, Texans 22
— Flacco threw for 368 yards and three more TD’s.
— WR Cooper caught 11 passes for 265 yards and two TD’s.
— Cleveland won/covered six of last eight games.
— Browns are 6-0 giving up less than 24 points, 3-5 allowing 24+.
— Houston’s first TD was a 98-yard kickoff return by Pierce.
— Texans in first half: 28 plays, 75 yards, 5 punts and an INT.
— Cleveland led the game 22-7 at halftime.
— Texans are 13-16-1 ATS in last 30 games as a home underdog.
Buccaneers 30, Jaguars 12
— Bucs’ first six drives: 56 plays, 289 yards, 30 points.
— Tampa was 10-19 on third down, Jaguars were 3-9.
— Bucs won their last four games, scoring 21-29-34-30 points.
— Tampa Bay covered seven of its last nine games.
— Jacksonville lost its last four games, giving up 34-31-23-30 points.
— Jaguars turned ball over four times, ran for only 37 yards.
— Last five weeks, Jaguars ran ball for only 64.4 yards/game.
— QB Lawrence was already banged up; he hurt his shoulder today.
Bears 27, Cardinals 16
— Bears’ first four drives: 29 plays, 236 yards, 21 points.
— Chicago won/covered four of last six games.
— QB Fields threw for 170 yards, ran for 97 more.
— Bears converted 8-15 third down plays.
— Arizona is 2-10 SU/4-8 ATS in its last dozen games
— Arizona’s first three drives: 15 plays, 36 yards, three punts.
— Last two games, Cardinals are 24-49 on third down.
— Cardinals are 0-10 SU when they score less than 25 points.
Dolphins 22, Cowboys 20
— Miami drove 64 yards, kicked 29-yard FG with 0:02 left.
— Miami scored only one TD; Sanders kicked five FGs, three of them 50+ yards.
— Dolphins won six of last eight games SU, clinched a playoff spot.
— Last five games, Miami converted 34-70 third down plays.
— On their first series, Dallas lost a fumble on the 1-yard line.
— Cowboys have scored 37.2 ppg in wins, 15.8 ppg in losses.
— Cowboys are 6-10 ATS last 16 games as a road dog (0-4 TY).
— Dallas lost five of its last seven road games SU.
Patriots 26, Broncos 23
— New England kicked a 56-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
— Patriots scored two TD’s in a 0:06 span of the third quarter.
— Teams combined to convert 7-26 third down plays.
— Zappe is now 4-2 as an NFL starting QB.
— Denver trailed 23-7 in 4th quarter, tied game on TD drives of 83-88 yards.
— Patriots won/covered four of last five visits to Denver.
— Broncos are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite (1-5 TY).
— Last five weeks, Denver converted only 20-67 on third down.
Sunday’s college basketball:
Temple 55, Portland 54
Owls outscored Portland 15-6 over the final 6:31.
Temple was 10-18 on foul line, Pilots were 4-9.
Owls were +11 in turnovers (7-18)
UMass 87, Old Dominion 65
UMass shot 59.6% inside the arc.
Minutemen are grabbing 36.3% of their missed shots (#26)
Old Dominion lost five of its last six games.
TCU 65, Hawai’i 51
Rainbows shot 33.3% from floor, turned ball over 19 times.
TCU’s three subs all played 20+ minutes.
Horned Frogs improve their record to 10-2.
Nevada 72, Georgia Tech 64
Wolf Pack shoots 61% inside arc, wins the Diamond Head Classic.
Nevada starts four seniors, Georgia Tech doesn’t start any.
Wolf Pack is 12-1; they’ve got the #35 eFG% defense in country.
Receiving yardage leaders in the NFL:
1,641— Tyreek Hill, Miami
1,424— CeeDee Lamb, Dallas
1,327— Puka Nacua, Rams
1,314— AJ Brown, Phil
1,281— Amon-Ra St. Brown, Lions
1,250— Amari Cooper, Clev
Quote of the Day
“Could we have done things better? I’m talking about myself and the coaching staff, with regards to, ‘All right, this is our worst-case scenario, now what?’ Absolutely, and it’s something that we will make sure that we do a heck of a lot better with in 2024.”
Jets coach Robert Saleh
Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Lamar Jackson play his college football?
Monday’s quiz
The first time the Denver Broncos played in a Super Bowl, Craig Morton was their QB.
Sunday’s quiz
Giants’ rookie QB Tommy DeVito played college football at Syracuse, Illinois.
*********************************
Tuesday’s Den: Wrapping up Week 16 in the NFL
Raiders 20, Chiefs 14— Raiders scored two defensive TD’s 0:07 apart in second quarter.
— Not often an NFL team has 48 passing yards and wins, but the Raiders did.
— Last two games, Raiders have scored four defensive TD’s.
— Under is 11-4 in Raider games this season.
— Chiefs are 3-5 in their last eight games, after a 6-1 start.
— In those eight games, Chiefs are minus-9 in turnovers (5-14)
— Chiefs’ first three drives: 11 plays, minus-10 yards, three punts.
— Kansas City lost its last three home games SU.
Eagles 33, Giants 25
— Eagles led this game 20-3 at halftime.
— Giants scored defensive TD late in 3rd quarter to make score 20-18.
— Eagles’ last three drives: 24 plays, 172 yards, 13 points.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 5-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Giants changed QB’s at half; Tyrod Taylor was 7-16/133 in 2nd half.
— Eagles outgained Big Blue, 465-292.
— Giants were held under 300 TY in seven of last eight games.
— Giants are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 NFC East road games.
Lions 30, Vikings 24
— Lions clinch their first division title since 1993.
— Detroit led 17-14 at halftime.
— Lions’ first two drives of 2nd half: 27 plays, 163 yards, two TD’s.
— Detroit is 5-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— Vikings lost four of their last five games (the win was 3-0).
— Minnesota only ran the ball 11 times, for 17 yards.
— Mullens threw for 411 yards, but also threw four INT’s.
— Minnesota is 6-8 in one-score games this year (11-0 LY)
Seahawks 20, Titans 17
— Seattle drove 53 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:57 left.
— Seattle in first half: 27 plays, 93 yards, 3 punts, 3 points.
— Seattle in second half: 34 plays, 180 yards, no punts, 17 points.
— Second week in row Seahawks scored game-winning TD in last 1:00.
— Titans lost six of their last eight games.
— Tennessee averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Titans are 4-1 scoring 27+ points, 1-8 scoring 17 or less.
— Under is 9-4 in Tennessee’s last 13 games.
Packers 33, Panthers 30
— Packers drove 61 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:22 left.
— Packers first 4 drives: 32 plays, 243 yards, no punts, 23 points.
— Packers in second half: 27 plays, 126 yards, 3 punts, 10 points.
— Green Bay outscored last five foes 82-42 in first half.
— Green Bay led 30-16 with 8:00 left in game.
— Panthers had TD drives of 63-70 yards, tied game with 4:15 left.
— Rookie QB Young was 23-35/312 passing, with two TD’s.
— Carolina’s 8.1 yards/pass attempt was by far their best this season.
Jets 30, Commanders 28
— Zuerlein kicked 54-yard FG with 0:10 left for the win.
— Jets’ first three drives: 10 plays, 68 yards, 17 points.
— Jets’ first three drives all started in Washington territory.
— Jets are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Washington lost six in row, 11 of last 13 games (3-6 ATS last nine)
— QB Brissett was 10-13/100 passing off bench, with one TD pass.
— Washington is 3-1 giving up 17 or less points, 1-10 giving up more than 17.
— Last five games, Commanders allowed 35.8 ppg.
Falcons 29, Colts 10
— Colts drove 62 yards for a touchdown on their first drive.
— Rest of game, Colts ran 55 plays, gained 201 yards, scored 3 points.
— Colts are 0-6 giving up 29+ points, 8-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
— Favorite covered the Colts’ last eight games.
— Atlanta scored two TD’s, kicked five FG’s on its drives.
— Falcons ran for 177 yards, outgained Colts 406-262.
— Atlanta scored 28-23-29 points in Heinicke’s three starts.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.
Browns 36, Texans 22
— Flacco threw for 368 yards and three more TD’s.
— WR Cooper caught 11 passes for 265 yards and two TD’s.
— Cleveland won/covered six of last eight games.
— Browns are 6-0 giving up less than 24 points, 3-5 allowing 24+.
— Houston’s first TD was a 98-yard kickoff return by Pierce.
— Texans in first half: 28 plays, 75 yards, 5 punts and an INT.
— Cleveland led the game 22-7 at halftime.
— Texans are 13-16-1 ATS in last 30 games as a home underdog.
Buccaneers 30, Jaguars 12
— Bucs’ first six drives: 56 plays, 289 yards, 30 points.
— Tampa was 10-19 on third down, Jaguars were 3-9.
— Bucs won their last four games, scoring 21-29-34-30 points.
— Tampa Bay covered seven of its last nine games.
— Jacksonville lost its last four games, giving up 34-31-23-30 points.
— Jaguars turned ball over four times, ran for only 37 yards.
— Last five weeks, Jaguars ran ball for only 64.4 yards/game.
— QB Lawrence was already banged up; he hurt his shoulder today.
Bears 27, Cardinals 16
— Bears’ first four drives: 29 plays, 236 yards, 21 points.
— Chicago won/covered four of last six games.
— QB Fields threw for 170 yards, ran for 97 more.
— Bears converted 8-15 third down plays.
— Arizona is 2-10 SU/4-8 ATS in its last dozen games
— Arizona’s first three drives: 15 plays, 36 yards, three punts.
— Last two games, Cardinals are 24-49 on third down.
— Cardinals are 0-10 SU when they score less than 25 points.
Dolphins 22, Cowboys 20
— Miami drove 64 yards, kicked 29-yard FG with 0:02 left.
— Miami scored only one TD; Sanders kicked five FGs, three of them 50+ yards.
— Dolphins won six of last eight games SU, clinched a playoff spot.
— Last five games, Miami converted 34-70 third down plays.
— On their first series, Dallas lost a fumble on the 1-yard line.
— Cowboys have scored 37.2 ppg in wins, 15.8 ppg in losses.
— Cowboys are 6-10 ATS last 16 games as a road dog (0-4 TY).
— Dallas lost five of its last seven road games SU.
Patriots 26, Broncos 23
— New England kicked a 56-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
— Patriots scored two TD’s in a 0:06 span of the third quarter.
— Teams combined to convert 7-26 third down plays.
— Zappe is now 4-2 as an NFL starting QB.
— Denver trailed 23-7 in 4th quarter, tied game on TD drives of 83-88 yards.
— Patriots won/covered four of last five visits to Denver.
— Broncos are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite (1-5 TY).
— Last five weeks, Denver converted only 20-67 on third down.
Sunday’s college basketball:
Temple 55, Portland 54
Owls outscored Portland 15-6 over the final 6:31.
Temple was 10-18 on foul line, Pilots were 4-9.
Owls were +11 in turnovers (7-18)
UMass 87, Old Dominion 65
UMass shot 59.6% inside the arc.
Minutemen are grabbing 36.3% of their missed shots (#26)
Old Dominion lost five of its last six games.
TCU 65, Hawai’i 51
Rainbows shot 33.3% from floor, turned ball over 19 times.
TCU’s three subs all played 20+ minutes.
Horned Frogs improve their record to 10-2.
Nevada 72, Georgia Tech 64
Wolf Pack shoots 61% inside arc, wins the Diamond Head Classic.
Nevada starts four seniors, Georgia Tech doesn’t start any.
Wolf Pack is 12-1; they’ve got the #35 eFG% defense in country.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,400
- 17
- 38
NFL
Week 17
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Week 17
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- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,400
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- 38
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 17
Thursday’s game
Jets (6-9) @ Browns (10-5)
— Jets won two of last three games, scoring 30-0-31 points.
— Last four games, Jets are minus-9 in turnovers (1-10)
— This season, Jets are 1-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— Jets are 1-8 when they score less than 20 points.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 5-10 ATS as a coming off a win.
— Last 12 games, Jets converted 47-191 (24.6%) third down plays.
— QB Siemian is 14-17 as an NFL starter, for four different teams.
— Last two games, Jets were outscored 27-3 in second half.
— under is 7-3 in their last ten games.
— AFC East underdogs are 8-12 ATS outsize the division.
— Team total: under 9-5-1. Opponents’ team total: under 9-6
— Cleveland won/covered its last three games, by 4-3-14 points.
— Browns are 5-1 ATS as a home favorite TY.
— Flacco has completed 59.4% of passes (10 TD’s, 7 INTs).
— Flacco is 102-82 as NFL starter, 19th NFL QB ever with 100+ wins.
— Browns have started four different QB’s this season.
— Cleveland is 8-3 SU in last 11 games (6-2 ATS in last eight)
— Last six games, Browns were outscored 93-62 in second half.
— Last six weeks, Browns are 27-96 (28.1%) on third down.
— Last three weeks, Cleveland have five TD plays of 30+ yards.
— Browns are 8-14-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— Browns are 7-0 giving up less than 24 points, 3-5 allowing 24+.
— Opponents have converted only 58-203 (28.6%) third down plays.
— over is 4-1 in last five Cleveland games.
— AFC North favorites are 18-10 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 10-3-2. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Jets won seven of last nine series games.
— Jets covered four of last five visits to Cleveland.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 17
Thursday’s game
Jets (6-9) @ Browns (10-5)
— Jets won two of last three games, scoring 30-0-31 points.
— Last four games, Jets are minus-9 in turnovers (1-10)
— This season, Jets are 1-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— Jets are 1-8 when they score less than 20 points.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 5-10 ATS as a coming off a win.
— Last 12 games, Jets converted 47-191 (24.6%) third down plays.
— QB Siemian is 14-17 as an NFL starter, for four different teams.
— Last two games, Jets were outscored 27-3 in second half.
— under is 7-3 in their last ten games.
— AFC East underdogs are 8-12 ATS outsize the division.
— Team total: under 9-5-1. Opponents’ team total: under 9-6
— Cleveland won/covered its last three games, by 4-3-14 points.
— Browns are 5-1 ATS as a home favorite TY.
— Flacco has completed 59.4% of passes (10 TD’s, 7 INTs).
— Flacco is 102-82 as NFL starter, 19th NFL QB ever with 100+ wins.
— Browns have started four different QB’s this season.
— Cleveland is 8-3 SU in last 11 games (6-2 ATS in last eight)
— Last six games, Browns were outscored 93-62 in second half.
— Last six weeks, Browns are 27-96 (28.1%) on third down.
— Last three weeks, Cleveland have five TD plays of 30+ yards.
— Browns are 8-14-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— Browns are 7-0 giving up less than 24 points, 3-5 allowing 24+.
— Opponents have converted only 58-203 (28.6%) third down plays.
— over is 4-1 in last five Cleveland games.
— AFC North favorites are 18-10 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 10-3-2. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Jets won seven of last nine series games.
— Jets covered four of last five visits to Cleveland.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Wednesday’s 6-pack:
New York Mets got a $101M tax bill for 2023, which is more $$ than these team’s entire payrolls:
$96,577,288- Cincinnati
$96,083,853- Kansas City
$93,378,663- Washington
$91,861,627- Cleveland
$79,354,272- Tampa Bay
$75,695,975- Pittsburgh
$71,061,047- Baltimore
$62,243,227- Oakland
Quote of the Day
“Every time you win, you’re reborn……..every time you lose, you die a little.”
George Allen
Wednesday’s quiz
Other than Tom Brady, who is the oldest QB with three consecutive 300+ yard passing games?
(Hint: it isn’t Joe Flacco)
Tuesday’s quiz
Lamar Jackson played his college football at Louisville.
Monday’s quiz
The first time the Denver Broncos played in a Super Bowl, Craig Morton was their QB.
**********************************************
Monday, the Raiders scored two defensive TD’s in a 0:07 span of the third quarter, and that was enough to win.
— Baltimore Ravens are 12-3 this season, with seven wins by 14+ points; all seven of those teams came against teams with winning records.
No team in NFL history has had more than five regular season wins by 14+ points against teams with winning records.
— Chicago Bears signed kicker Cairo Santos for four years, $16M, which is little unusual. Lot of teams don’t like to pay kickers, especially teams with salary cap issues.
— Miami Dolphins haven’t won a playoff game since 2000.
Detroit Lions haven’t won one since 1991.
Since starting up again in 1999 after the original Cleveland Browns moved to Baltimore and became the Ravens, Cleveland is 1-2 in playoff games, with the lone win in 2020.
— Florida State QB Jordan Travis is hurt, won’t be playing in the Semnoles’ bowl game vs Georgia; backup QB Tate Rodemaker is now in the transfer portal, which leaves #3 QB Brock Glenn, a freshman who threw for 55 yards in the Seminoles’ 16-6 win over Louisville in the ACC Championship game.
Five other Seminoles have also hit the transfer portal, not counting Travis, who is also expected to skip town next spring.
— In the last eight Holiday Bowls, Pac-12 teams are 0-8 against the spread.
— In the last six Pinstripe Bowls, Big 14 teams are 6-0 against ACC opponents.
— Arizona Wildcats have won six games in a row, they’re 9-3 and are favored over Oklahoma in their bowl game. Quite a turnaround led by coach Jedd Fisch; from 2018-22, the Wildcats were 14-38.
— Word of the Day: Bibliophile- someone who loves reading books.
— I’m amused that if I leave my house without my phone, my car will tell me about a half-mile down the road, then I turn around and go get my phone.
It would be better if a message came up on my dashboard: “Hey stupid, you forgot your phone!!!”
— Seattle Mariners signed DH/C Mitch Garver for two years, $24M; Garver hit 19 homers and had an .870 OPS for Texas last year- he also won a World Series ring.
— Reliever Joe Kelly wore #17 for the Dodgers last year; his wife suggested that he offer #17 to free agent star Shohei Ohtani. After Ohtani signed with the Dodgers, a Porsche was delivered to the Kelly’s home, for Mrs Kelly, from Ohtani.
— Charlotte Hornets are the only NBA team that has never played on Christmas Day.
— Nets 118, Pistons 112
Detroit loses its 27th consecutive game.
Pistons starters were combined +34; subs were minus-64
Detroit coach Monty Williams makes $13.1M/year, 7th-most of any pro coach in country.
— Minnesota 30, Bowling Green 24
Gophers win their 7th straight bowl game.
Bowling Green led 10-9 at halftime.
RB Taylor ran ball 35 times for 209 yards and a TD.
Gophers ran for 255 yards, threw for only 26.
— Texas State 45, Rice 21
This was Texas State’s first-ever bowl game.
Bobcats outscored Rice 21-0 in second half.
Texas State outgained Rice, 300-197.
Bobcats had good balance; 148 rushing yards, 152 passing.
— Kansas 49, UNLV 36
Kansas in first half: 31 plays, 333 yards, 28 points.
Jayhawks averaged 15.4 yards/pass attempt.
Bean was 19-28/449 passing, with 6 TD’s, 3 INTs.
This was UNLV’s first bowl since 2013.
New York Mets got a $101M tax bill for 2023, which is more $$ than these team’s entire payrolls:
$96,577,288- Cincinnati
$96,083,853- Kansas City
$93,378,663- Washington
$91,861,627- Cleveland
$79,354,272- Tampa Bay
$75,695,975- Pittsburgh
$71,061,047- Baltimore
$62,243,227- Oakland
Quote of the Day
“Every time you win, you’re reborn……..every time you lose, you die a little.”
George Allen
Wednesday’s quiz
Other than Tom Brady, who is the oldest QB with three consecutive 300+ yard passing games?
(Hint: it isn’t Joe Flacco)
Tuesday’s quiz
Lamar Jackson played his college football at Louisville.
Monday’s quiz
The first time the Denver Broncos played in a Super Bowl, Craig Morton was their QB.
**********************************************
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..
— When the Raiders won in Kansas City Monday, they didn’t complete a pass after the first quarter, the first NFL team to do that since the 2000 Bengals, who beat Denver 31-21 that day, when Cincy QB’s Akili Smith and Scott Mitchell were a combined 2-14/34 passing. That day, RB Corey Dillon ran the ball for 278 yards.Monday, the Raiders scored two defensive TD’s in a 0:07 span of the third quarter, and that was enough to win.
— Baltimore Ravens are 12-3 this season, with seven wins by 14+ points; all seven of those teams came against teams with winning records.
No team in NFL history has had more than five regular season wins by 14+ points against teams with winning records.
— Chicago Bears signed kicker Cairo Santos for four years, $16M, which is little unusual. Lot of teams don’t like to pay kickers, especially teams with salary cap issues.
— Miami Dolphins haven’t won a playoff game since 2000.
Detroit Lions haven’t won one since 1991.
Since starting up again in 1999 after the original Cleveland Browns moved to Baltimore and became the Ravens, Cleveland is 1-2 in playoff games, with the lone win in 2020.
— Florida State QB Jordan Travis is hurt, won’t be playing in the Semnoles’ bowl game vs Georgia; backup QB Tate Rodemaker is now in the transfer portal, which leaves #3 QB Brock Glenn, a freshman who threw for 55 yards in the Seminoles’ 16-6 win over Louisville in the ACC Championship game.
Five other Seminoles have also hit the transfer portal, not counting Travis, who is also expected to skip town next spring.
— In the last eight Holiday Bowls, Pac-12 teams are 0-8 against the spread.
— In the last six Pinstripe Bowls, Big 14 teams are 6-0 against ACC opponents.
— Arizona Wildcats have won six games in a row, they’re 9-3 and are favored over Oklahoma in their bowl game. Quite a turnaround led by coach Jedd Fisch; from 2018-22, the Wildcats were 14-38.
— Word of the Day: Bibliophile- someone who loves reading books.
— I’m amused that if I leave my house without my phone, my car will tell me about a half-mile down the road, then I turn around and go get my phone.
It would be better if a message came up on my dashboard: “Hey stupid, you forgot your phone!!!”
— Seattle Mariners signed DH/C Mitch Garver for two years, $24M; Garver hit 19 homers and had an .870 OPS for Texas last year- he also won a World Series ring.
— Reliever Joe Kelly wore #17 for the Dodgers last year; his wife suggested that he offer #17 to free agent star Shohei Ohtani. After Ohtani signed with the Dodgers, a Porsche was delivered to the Kelly’s home, for Mrs Kelly, from Ohtani.
— Charlotte Hornets are the only NBA team that has never played on Christmas Day.
— Nets 118, Pistons 112
Detroit loses its 27th consecutive game.
Pistons starters were combined +34; subs were minus-64
Detroit coach Monty Williams makes $13.1M/year, 7th-most of any pro coach in country.
— Minnesota 30, Bowling Green 24
Gophers win their 7th straight bowl game.
Bowling Green led 10-9 at halftime.
RB Taylor ran ball 35 times for 209 yards and a TD.
Gophers ran for 255 yards, threw for only 26.
— Texas State 45, Rice 21
This was Texas State’s first-ever bowl game.
Bobcats outscored Rice 21-0 in second half.
Texas State outgained Rice, 300-197.
Bobcats had good balance; 148 rushing yards, 152 passing.
— Kansas 49, UNLV 36
Kansas in first half: 31 plays, 333 yards, 28 points.
Jayhawks averaged 15.4 yards/pass attempt.
Bean was 19-28/449 passing, with 6 TD’s, 3 INTs.
This was UNLV’s first bowl since 2013.
Thursday’s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in passing yards:
4,214— Tua Tagovailoa, Miami
4,050— Brock Purdy, SF
3,984— Jared Goff, Det
3,938— Patrick Mahomes, KC
3,892— Dak Prescott, Dal
3,778— Josh Allen, Buff
Quote of the Day
“Nothing’s really changed except my bank account. I feel really good. I think it’s a great partnership. It’s what the team needed on the court and off. I’ll still be overseeing the basketball side of it……..”
Mark Cuban, who sold the Dallas Mavericks this week
Thursday’s quiz
Who coached the Jets when they won their only Super Bowl?
Wednesday’s quiz
Other than Tom Brady, Warren Moon is the oldest QB with three consecutive 300+ yard passing games.
Tuesday’s quiz
Lamar Jackson played his college football at Louisville.
**********************************
NFC East
Divisional home favorites 4-2 ATS
Non-divisional road underdogs 7-9 ATS
Non-divisional road favorites 5-4 ATS
NFC North
Divisional home teams 1-8 ATS (0-4 F, 1-3 U)
Non-divisional home favorites 7-4 ATS
Non-divisional home underdogs 5-2 ATS
NFC South
Underdogs 6-3 ATS in divisional games.
Non-divisional home favorites 3-6 ATS
Non-divisional home underdogs 3-6 ATS
NFC West
Divisional home underdogs 0-3-1 ATS
Non-divisional home underdogs 5-2 ATS
Non-divisional road teams 12-8-1 ATS
AFC East
Divisional favorites 7-2 ATS, 4-0 at home
Non-divisional home favorites 6-8 ATS
Non-divisional underdogs 7-13-1 ATS
AFC North
Divisional favorites 3-7 ATS, 1-4 on road
Non-divisional home favorites 13-6 ATS
Non-divisional road underdogs 5-3-1 ATS
AFC South
Divisional road teams 6-3 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 8-6 ATS
Non-divisional road underdogs 6-7 ATS
AFC West
Divisional home favorites 4-3 ATS
Non-divisional home favorites 6-8 ATS
Non-divisional road teams 8-12 ATS
— starting QB decisions for this week:
Washington will start Jacoby Brissett (18-30 as a starter) vs San Francisco
Giants will start Tyrod Taylor (27-28-1 as a starter) against the Rams
Broncos will start Jarrett Stidham (0-2 as a starter) against the Chargers.
— So Denver is benching Russell Wilson for the last two games; are they trying to get out of his contract?
Wilson is 35; he is currently signed through 2028, but he’s only guaranteed money through 2024. His entire 2025 salary ($37M) is guaranteed if he is still on the Broncos’ roster at the start of the next league year (March 17, 2024).
Put it this way; Denver’s options (trades) remain open, as long as Wilson stays healthy, which is probably why they’re sitting him out the last two games, since their playoff chances for this year are almost nil.
— Movie of the Day- One More Time (2015)- An aging New York City crooner plots his comeback. Christopher Walken plays the singer, Amber Heard is one of his daughters, Oliver Platt is his manager.
— current head coaches/managers who played in the big leagues:
19 of 30 major league managers played in the majors.
8 of 32 NFL head coaches played in the NFL
12 of 30 NBA head coaches played in the NBA.
— USC 42, Louisville 28
3rd-string QB Moss threw for 372 yards, 6 TD’s in his first college start.
First two drives, Trojans punted/missed FG.
On their next seven drives, they scored six touchdowns.
For the game, USC averaged 8.6 yards per play.
— Virginia Tech 41, Tulane 20
Hokies led 17-10 at halftime.
Tulane’s only first half touchdown was scored by their defense.
Tech was 7-14 on third down, Tulane 2-10 on a rainy day.
Hokies ran ball 50 times for 362 yards, 7.2 yards/carry.
— West Virginia 30, North Carolina 10
West Virginia threw a 75-yard TD pass on first play of the game.
West Virginia ran for 164 yards, were +2 in turnovers.
WVU outscored the Tar Heels 13-0 in second half.
Mountaineers won five of last six games, after a 4-3 start.
— Oklahoma State 31, Texas A&M 23
Cowboys led 24-6 at halftime, gaining 345 yards.
QB Bowman threw for 402 yards, two TD’s.
Oklahoma State was 5-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Texas A&M finishes season 7-6.
— When Kansas beat UNLV 49-36 Tuesday night, they did something I’m not sure I’ve seen before; Jayhawks scored 49 points alright, averaging 16 yards/pass attempt, but they also had 18 penalties for 216 yards.
216 penalty yards in one game; not sure I’ve seen that before.
— Tennessee QB Joe Milton isn’t playing in the Vols’ bowl game: freshman Nico Iamaleava will get his first college start, against the staunch Iowa defense.
— NBA’s Atlanta Hawks are 7-30 against the spread this year, the worst ATS start by any NBA team in the last thirty years.
— Denver Nuggets F Aaron Gordon needed 21 stitches after his face and right (shooting) hand were cut while being bitten by a family dog on Christmas. Gordon is averaging 13.6 points and 6.9 rebounds this season.
— Hitting in the major leagues is harder than it used to be, in large part because hitters don’t see pitchers as many times as they used to.
Victor Martinez played 16 years in the major leagues, hit .295 with an .815 OPS; the most times he faced one pitcher? He faced James Shields 62 times in his career. There are three pitchers that he faced 50+ times, not a lot.
Joe Torre played 18 years in the major leagues, hit .297 with an .817 OPS; he faced 15 different pitchers a minimum of 75 times each. You see the same pitcher over and over, hitting is easier.
— How college football conferences are doing in the bowls:
AAC- 2-2 in bowls; all four games were decided by 18+ points.
ACC- 3-3 SU in bowls; underdogs covered four of the six games.
Big 14- 2-0 SU/ATS in first two bowls, winning 14-7/30-24.
Big X- 4-1 SU/ATS in first five bowls, scoring 32.2 ppg.
C-USA- 2-1 SU/ATS in first three bowls, with both wins in OT.
MAC- 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS in first five bowls- they were underdog in all five.
Mountain West- 2-4 SU/ATS in first six bowls (over 4-2).
Pac-12- 2-2 SU/ATS in first four bowls (over 2-2).
SEC- Texas A&M’s 31-23 (-2.5) loss is only SEC bowl so far.
Sun Belt- They had 12 bowls, the most of any league:
Sun Belt teams went 1-7 SU/0-8 ATS in first eight bowls.
Sun Belt teams won/covered their last four bowls.
NFL leaders in passing yards:
4,214— Tua Tagovailoa, Miami
4,050— Brock Purdy, SF
3,984— Jared Goff, Det
3,938— Patrick Mahomes, KC
3,892— Dak Prescott, Dal
3,778— Josh Allen, Buff
Quote of the Day
“Nothing’s really changed except my bank account. I feel really good. I think it’s a great partnership. It’s what the team needed on the court and off. I’ll still be overseeing the basketball side of it……..”
Mark Cuban, who sold the Dallas Mavericks this week
Thursday’s quiz
Who coached the Jets when they won their only Super Bowl?
Wednesday’s quiz
Other than Tom Brady, Warren Moon is the oldest QB with three consecutive 300+ yard passing games.
Tuesday’s quiz
Lamar Jackson played his college football at Louisville.
**********************************
Thursday’s Den: Football trends, and other stuff……..
— NFL divisional trends………NFC East
Divisional home favorites 4-2 ATS
Non-divisional road underdogs 7-9 ATS
Non-divisional road favorites 5-4 ATS
NFC North
Divisional home teams 1-8 ATS (0-4 F, 1-3 U)
Non-divisional home favorites 7-4 ATS
Non-divisional home underdogs 5-2 ATS
NFC South
Underdogs 6-3 ATS in divisional games.
Non-divisional home favorites 3-6 ATS
Non-divisional home underdogs 3-6 ATS
NFC West
Divisional home underdogs 0-3-1 ATS
Non-divisional home underdogs 5-2 ATS
Non-divisional road teams 12-8-1 ATS
AFC East
Divisional favorites 7-2 ATS, 4-0 at home
Non-divisional home favorites 6-8 ATS
Non-divisional underdogs 7-13-1 ATS
AFC North
Divisional favorites 3-7 ATS, 1-4 on road
Non-divisional home favorites 13-6 ATS
Non-divisional road underdogs 5-3-1 ATS
AFC South
Divisional road teams 6-3 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 8-6 ATS
Non-divisional road underdogs 6-7 ATS
AFC West
Divisional home favorites 4-3 ATS
Non-divisional home favorites 6-8 ATS
Non-divisional road teams 8-12 ATS
— starting QB decisions for this week:
Washington will start Jacoby Brissett (18-30 as a starter) vs San Francisco
Giants will start Tyrod Taylor (27-28-1 as a starter) against the Rams
Broncos will start Jarrett Stidham (0-2 as a starter) against the Chargers.
— So Denver is benching Russell Wilson for the last two games; are they trying to get out of his contract?
Wilson is 35; he is currently signed through 2028, but he’s only guaranteed money through 2024. His entire 2025 salary ($37M) is guaranteed if he is still on the Broncos’ roster at the start of the next league year (March 17, 2024).
Put it this way; Denver’s options (trades) remain open, as long as Wilson stays healthy, which is probably why they’re sitting him out the last two games, since their playoff chances for this year are almost nil.
— Movie of the Day- One More Time (2015)- An aging New York City crooner plots his comeback. Christopher Walken plays the singer, Amber Heard is one of his daughters, Oliver Platt is his manager.
— current head coaches/managers who played in the big leagues:
19 of 30 major league managers played in the majors.
8 of 32 NFL head coaches played in the NFL
12 of 30 NBA head coaches played in the NBA.
— USC 42, Louisville 28
3rd-string QB Moss threw for 372 yards, 6 TD’s in his first college start.
First two drives, Trojans punted/missed FG.
On their next seven drives, they scored six touchdowns.
For the game, USC averaged 8.6 yards per play.
— Virginia Tech 41, Tulane 20
Hokies led 17-10 at halftime.
Tulane’s only first half touchdown was scored by their defense.
Tech was 7-14 on third down, Tulane 2-10 on a rainy day.
Hokies ran ball 50 times for 362 yards, 7.2 yards/carry.
— West Virginia 30, North Carolina 10
West Virginia threw a 75-yard TD pass on first play of the game.
West Virginia ran for 164 yards, were +2 in turnovers.
WVU outscored the Tar Heels 13-0 in second half.
Mountaineers won five of last six games, after a 4-3 start.
— Oklahoma State 31, Texas A&M 23
Cowboys led 24-6 at halftime, gaining 345 yards.
QB Bowman threw for 402 yards, two TD’s.
Oklahoma State was 5-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Texas A&M finishes season 7-6.
— When Kansas beat UNLV 49-36 Tuesday night, they did something I’m not sure I’ve seen before; Jayhawks scored 49 points alright, averaging 16 yards/pass attempt, but they also had 18 penalties for 216 yards.
216 penalty yards in one game; not sure I’ve seen that before.
— Tennessee QB Joe Milton isn’t playing in the Vols’ bowl game: freshman Nico Iamaleava will get his first college start, against the staunch Iowa defense.
— NBA’s Atlanta Hawks are 7-30 against the spread this year, the worst ATS start by any NBA team in the last thirty years.
— Denver Nuggets F Aaron Gordon needed 21 stitches after his face and right (shooting) hand were cut while being bitten by a family dog on Christmas. Gordon is averaging 13.6 points and 6.9 rebounds this season.
— Hitting in the major leagues is harder than it used to be, in large part because hitters don’t see pitchers as many times as they used to.
Victor Martinez played 16 years in the major leagues, hit .295 with an .815 OPS; the most times he faced one pitcher? He faced James Shields 62 times in his career. There are three pitchers that he faced 50+ times, not a lot.
Joe Torre played 18 years in the major leagues, hit .297 with an .817 OPS; he faced 15 different pitchers a minimum of 75 times each. You see the same pitcher over and over, hitting is easier.
— How college football conferences are doing in the bowls:
AAC- 2-2 in bowls; all four games were decided by 18+ points.
ACC- 3-3 SU in bowls; underdogs covered four of the six games.
Big 14- 2-0 SU/ATS in first two bowls, winning 14-7/30-24.
Big X- 4-1 SU/ATS in first five bowls, scoring 32.2 ppg.
C-USA- 2-1 SU/ATS in first three bowls, with both wins in OT.
MAC- 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS in first five bowls- they were underdog in all five.
Mountain West- 2-4 SU/ATS in first six bowls (over 4-2).
Pac-12- 2-2 SU/ATS in first four bowls (over 2-2).
SEC- Texas A&M’s 31-23 (-2.5) loss is only SEC bowl so far.
Sun Belt- They had 12 bowls, the most of any league:
Sun Belt teams went 1-7 SU/0-8 ATS in first eight bowls.
Sun Belt teams won/covered their last four bowls.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 17,400
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 17
Saturday’s game
Lions (11-4) @ Cowboys (1o-5)
— Last week, Lions clinched their first division title since 1993.
— Lions gave up 37-38-29-28 points in their four losses.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 10-7 ATS as road underdog (1-1 TY).
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 12-7 ATS coming off a win (4-5 TY).
— Under Campbell, Lions are 33-15-1 ATS overall.
— Last two games, Detroit is +4 in turnovers (5-1)
— Last seven games, Lions ran ball for 159.7 yards/game.
— Lions are 8-1 when they score 26+ points, 3-3, when they don’t.
— Detroit has 10 TD’s on its last 18 drives.
— Goff is 67-52-1 as an NFL starter, 23-21-1 with the Lions.
— over is 9-3 in their last dozen games.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 9-6
— Dallas has clinched playoff spot, is trying for home field now.
— Cowboys lost last two games, scoring 10-20 at Buffalo/Miami.
— Dallas is 7-0 SU/6-1 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— Last three years, Cowboys are 16-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— Dallas scored 15.8 ppg in losses, 37.2 ppg in wins.
— Cowboys are +14 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
— Dallas is 11-2 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
— QB Prescott is 75-43 as an NFL starter.
— Last two games, Dallas was outscored 34-10 in first half.
— Seven of last nine Dallas games went over the total.
— Team total: over 10-5. Opponents’ team total: under 8-6-1
— Dallas won four in row, nine of last 12 series games.
— Lions are 3-5 ATS in last eight visits to Dallas.
— over is 8-1 in last nine meetings.
Sunday’s games
Patriots (4-11) @ Bills (9-6)
— Patriots won two of last three games, after a 1-8 skid.
— Four of NE’s last five losses were by six or fewer points.
— Patriots are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog (2-3 TY)
— New England is 3-7 ATS in last ten games coming off a win (0-3 TY)
— Patriots are 5-6 ATS in last 11 AFC East road games.
— New England is minus-7 in turnovers this year (+38 from 2019-22).
— Since Brady left, NE is 29-36 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— In his career, Belichick is 84-101 without Brady.
— Zappe is 4-2 as an NFL starting QB, Mac James 18-26.
— Patriots held five of last six opponents under 300 TY.
— Last three New England games went over the total.
— Team total: under 11-4. Opponents’ team total: over 8-6-1
— Buffalo won/covered four of its last five games.
— Buffalo scored 28.2 ppg in five games since firing their OC.
— Bills are 8-0 giving up 20 or less points, 1-6 giving up more than 20.
— Last five games, Buffalo has a +3 turnover ratio (8-5).
— Last six games, Bills ran ball for 164 yards/game.
— Bills are 16-11-1 ATS in last 28 games as home favorite (4-3 TY).
— Buffalo outscored last five foes 82-33 in first half.
— Josh Allen is 56-35 as an NFL starter.
— Bills are 13-14-2 ATS in last 29 games after a win.
— Five of Buffalo’s nine wins were by 10+ points.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Buffalo is 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 AFC East home games.
— Team total: over 7-7. Opponents’ team total: under 7-6-1
— Bills (-8) lost 29-25 in Foxboro in Week 7.
— Bills have still won six of last eight series games.
— Patriots are 7-3 ATS in their last ten visits to Buffalo.
Falcons (7-8) @ Bears (6-9)
— Atlanta scored 28-23-29 points in Heinicke’s three starts.
— Heinicke is 13-14-1 as an NFL starter, 1-2 this year.
— Falcons are 22-45 on 3rd down in Heinicke’s starts.
— Falcons are 3-2 SU/ATS since their bye week.
— Atlanta is 7-14-2 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— underdogs covered nine of Atlanta’s last 11 games.
— Atlanta is 13-10 ATS in last 23 games as a road dog.
— Falcons are 3-9-1 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Last four games, Falcons were 41-93 (44.1%) on third down.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.
— Team total: under 7-7-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-6-2
— Chicago won/covered four of last six games.
— Four of those six games were decided by 5 or less points.
— Bears are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
— Bears are 2-5 in one-score games this season.
— Chicago is 2-8 when it scores less than 27 points
— Bears ran ball for 250 yards LW, their most this season.
— Fields is 9-27 as an NFL starter.
— Bears led at halftime LW for first time since Week 7.
— last 2+ years, Bears are 15-34 SU/20-27-2 ATS.
— Chicago is 1-3-1 ATS in last five games as favorites.
— Chicago is 3-10 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
— Six of their eight games stayed under the total.
— Team total: under 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 7-7-1
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Falcons are 1-2 SU/0-3 ATS in last three visits to Chicago.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.
Raiders (7-8) @ Colts (8-7)
— Raiders are 4-3 SU/5-1-1 ATS since they changed coaches.
— Last two games, Las Vegas scored four defensive touchdowns.
— Raiders outscored last three opponents 59-7 in first half.
— Raiders didn’t scored offensive TD in two of last three games.
— Las Vegas didn’t complete a pass after the first quarter last week.
— Las Vegas is 3-3 ATS as a road underdog TY.
— Raiders are 0-3 ATS on artificial turf this year.
— Raiders are 4-2-1 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Under is 11-3 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders are 16-13 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
— QB O’Connell is 4-4 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: under 12-3. Opponents’ team total: under 10-5
— Indianapolis won/covered five of last seven games.
— Favorites covered their last eight games.
— Colts are 0-7 giving up 29+ points, 8-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
— QB Minshew is 14-21 as an NFL starter, 6-5 TY.
— Colts are 12-14 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or less.
— In its last seven games, Indy was +8 in turnovers (13-5)
— Last five games, Colts converted only 19-65 on third down.
— Over is 7-3 in Indy’s last ten games.
— Colts are 10-9 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
— Colts are 6-7 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
— Team total: over 10-4-1. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Teams split last six series games.
— Raiders covered five of their last six visits to Indiana.
— Five of last six meetings went over the total.
Rams (8-7) @ Giants (5-10)
— Rams are 5-1 SU/ATS last six games, scoring 37-36-31-28-30 in last five.
— Last five weeks, LA gained 432.8 yards/game.
— Rams are 4-0 giving up 16 or less points, 4-7 giving up 19+ points.
— Rams are 7-3 when they run ball for 92+ yards, 1-4 when they don’t.
— Rams were outscored 98-46 in 2nd halves of their losses.
— Last five weeks, LA scored 17.8 ppg in first half, leading all five games.
— Stafford is 27-17 as a starter with the Rams.
— LA is 1-3 SU outdoors this season, scoring 20 ppg.
— under McVay, Rams are 28-34-2 ATS coming off a win, 4-2-1 TY.
— under McVay, Rams are 18-14 ATS as a road favorite, 1-0 TY.
— Four of Rams’ last five games went over the total.
— Team total: over 8-6-1. Opponents’ team total: under 8-6-1
— Giants lost last two games, giving up 24-33 points.
— Last eight weeks, Big Blue was outscored 105-40 in first half.
— Rookie QB DeVito got benched LW; will Tyrod Taylor start?
— DeVito is 3-3 as an NFL starter, Taylor 27-27-1.
— Last four weeks, Giants are 14-52 on third down.
— Giants were held under 300 TY in seven of last eight games.
— Last 11 games, Giants are +14 in turnovers.
— TY, Giants are 4-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— Big Blue is 5-2 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
— Over is 4-2 in last six Giant games.
— Team total: under 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 8-6-1
— Under McVay, Rams are 3-0 vs Giants, winning by combined 106-37
— McVay’s grandfather coached the Giants in the 70’s.
— Rams are 3-3 ATS in last six visits to the Garden State.
— Over is 4-2-2 in last eight series games.
Cardinals (3-12) @ Eagles (11-4)
— Arizona is 2-10 SU/4-8 ATS in its last dozen games
— In 4 of last 5 games, Arizona gave up 21+ points in first half.
— Cardinals are 3-5 ATS as a road dog TY (10-3 in 2021-22).
— Cardinals are 0-10 SU when they score less than 25 points.
— Last seven games, Arizona was outscored 114-60 in first half.
— Last four games, Cardinals gave up 185.5 rushing yards/game.
— Cardinals lost 23 of last 28 games SU (11-14 ATS in last 25).
— Murray is 27-36-1 as an NFL starter.
— Last three games, Cardinals are 24-49 on third down.
— Over is 3-1 in Arizona’s last four games.
— Arizona is 12-11 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 8-6-1
— Eagles are 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS in last four games.
— Last two games, Eagles ran ball for 178-170 yards.
— Last two games, Eagles outscored foes 30-6 in first half.
— Last three games, Philly is minus-4 in turnovers.
— Eagles are 11-5-2 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite (2-2-2 TY).
— Eagles scored 21+ points in all of their wins, 14-19-13-17 in losses.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 36-17 SU.
— This year, Eagles are 3-3-3 ATS coming off a win.
— Hurts is 36-17 as an NFL starter.
— Over is 6-1 in Eagles’ home games.
— Eagles were minus-8 in turnovers in their losses (+2 in wins).
— Team total: over 8-6-1. Opponents’ team total: over 6-2 last eight
— Arizona is 7-4 in last 11 series games.
— Cardinals are 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Philly.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Saints (7-8) @ Buccaneers (8-7)
— Saints lost four of their last six games (2-5 ATS last seven).
— Last two games, opponents are 6-28 on third down.
— Saints are 7-8, but have been an underdog in only 3 of 14 games.
— Saints outscored last four opponents 67-25 in second half.
— New Orleans is 6-3 scoring 20+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 20.
— Saints are 18-14-1 ATS in last 33 games coming off a loss.
— since 2018, New Orleans is 13-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last seven games, Saints gave up 149.7 rushing yards/game.
— New Orleans scored 13 TD’s on its last 43 drives.
— over is 3-1 in Saints’ last four road games.
— Saints are 1-3-1 ATS in last five NFC South road games.
— Team total: under 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Bucs won their last four games, scoring 21-29-34-30 points.
— Tampa Bay covered seven of its last nine games.
— Bucs are 2-6 when they allow more than 18 points.
— Bucs are 6-1 when they allow less than 18 points.
— Tampa Bay is 4-3 SU/3-4 ATS at home this year.
— Bucs have 24 takeaways in 14 games (+10 turnovers)
— Last four games, opponents were 23-72 (31.9%) on third down.
— Buccaneers are 14-10 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
— Over is 4-1 in Tampa Bay’s last five games.
— Last 2 weeks, Mayfield averaged 10.7/7.2 yards/pass attempt.
— Mayfield is 40-46 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— Bucs are 1-4 ATS in last five NFC South home games.
— Team total: over 7-6-2. Opponents’ team total: under 8-6-1
— Bucs (+3) won 26-9 at New Orleans in Week 4.
— Tampa Bay won last three meetings, giving up 11.7 ppg.
— Saints are 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS in last five visits to Tampa.
— Four of last five series games stayed under the total.
49ers (11-4) @ Commanders (4-11)
— SF is 6-1 since its bye week (4-3 ATS), scoring 32.3 ppg.
— 49ers scored 27+ points in wins, 17-17-17-19 in losses.
— 49ers were minus-5 in turnovers LW; Purdy threw four INTs.
— 49ers have outscored opponents 202-128 in 2nd half.
— SF ran for 168.6 yards/game in their last five games.
— 49ers are 5-2-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— SF is 7-6 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss (0-2 TY).
— Last five weeks, 49ers have 21 TD’s on 50 drives.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 18-5 as NFL starter.
— Team total: over 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 9-6
— Washington lost six in row, 11 of last 13 games (3-6 ATS last nine)
— unclear if Howell/Brissett will start at QB.
— Commanders fired their defensive coordinator last month.
— Since then, Washington allowed 31-45-45-28-30 points.
— Washington is 1-10 giving up more than 17 points, 3-1 giving up 17 or less.
— Last seven games, Commanders are minus-7 in turnovers (5-12).
— Washington is 11-16 ATS last 27 games coming off a loss.
— Last 13 games, Commanders were outscored 215-89 in 1st half.
— six of their last eight games went over the total.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 6-10 as NFL starter; Brissett is 18-30.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 12-3
— 49ers won six of last eight series games.
— San Francisco won/covered three of last four visits here.
— Shanahan’s father used to coach the Redskins/Commanders.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Steelers (8-7) @ Seahawks (8-7)
— QB Rudolph (6-4-1 as NFL starter) was 17-27/290 passing last week.
— Steelers scored 34 points LW, 13.4 ppg in previous five games.
— They fired their offensive coordinator four weeks ago.
— Steelers are 14-10 ATS in last 24 games as a road dog (2-2 TY)
— Steelers are 9-12-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
— Pittsburgh is 6-3 ATS in last nine games vs NFC teams.
— In their last three road games, Pittsburgh scored 10-16-13 points.
— Last four games, opponents are 26-58 (44.8%) on third down.
— Last week was only 4th time in 15 games Steelers led at halftime.
— Last three Steeler games went over the total.
— AFC North road underdogs are 5-3-1 ATS.
— Team total: under 7-5-3. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Seattle won its last two games, both in last minute.
— Seahawks are 5-3 in one-score games this season.
— Seahawks are 8-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-6 scoring less than 20.
— Seahawks were outscored 115-36 in second half of their losses.
— Last two games, Seattle converted 13-27 third down plays.
— Seattle is 12-17 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
— Seahawks are 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games as a home favorite.
— Smith is 29-35 as an NFL starter; Lock is 9-14.
— Seahawks are 6-0 if they run for 100+ yards, 2-7 if they don’t.
— Seattle’s last three games stayed under the total.
— NFC West home favorites are 6-5-1 ATS outside their division.
— Team total: under 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 7-7-1
— Pittsburgh won four of last six series games.
— Steelers lost 39-30/23-16 in last two visits to Seattle.
— Under is 4-2-1 in last seven meetings.
Panthers (2-13) @ Jaguars (8-7)
— Carolina lost seven of its last eight games (3-1 ATS last four).
— Panthers scored 30 points LW (no TD’s on 22 drives/previous two games)
— Carolina allowed 13-7 points in its two wins.
— Panthers fired their coach and two assistants four weeks ago.
— Carolina is 2-6 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Last three years, Panthers are 8-14 as a road underdog
— Last six games, Panthers were outscored 85-25 in first half.
— Carolina is 2-7-1 ATS this year in games following a loss.
— last 3 years, Panthers are 10-20-1 ATS in games following a loss.
— Last 2 games, Carolina averaged 5.7/8.1 yards/pass attempt, an improvement.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Panthers are 5-9 ATS in last 14 games vs AFC opponents.
— Team total: under 10-5. Opponents’ team total: over 9-6
— Jacksonville lost last four games, giving up 29.5 ppg.
— QB Lawrence is banged up (concussion/shoulder; check status)
— Jaguars are 4-12 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite (2-2 TY)
— Jaguars are 14-27-1 ATS in last 42 games coming off loss (2-4 TY).
— under Pederson, Jaguars are 6-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last five weeks, Jaguars ran ball for only 64.4 yards/game.
— Jaguars are minus-11 in turnovers in their losses (+4 in wins).
— Pederson is 64-55-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Lawrence is 20-29 as an NFL starter.
— Backup QB Beathard is 2-10 as an NFL starter (last start, 2020)
— Four of Jaguars’ last six games went over the total.
— Team total: over 7-7-1. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Carolina won four of last five series games.
— Favorites covered the last four meetings.
— Over is 3-2 in last five series games.
Dolphins (11-4) @ Ravens (12-3)
— Dolphins won five of their last six games SU.
— Miami is 1-3 SU vs teams that currently have winning record.
— Favorites are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games.
— Miami scored 30+ points in eight of 11 wins; 20-17-14-27 in losses.
— Last three games, Miami is +7 in turnovers (8-1).
— Dolphins averaged 7+ yards/pass attempt in five of last six games.
— Last 5 games, Miami converted 34-70 third down plays (48.6%).
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 9-11 ATS as an underdog (0-3 TY).
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 11-7 ATS coming off a win.
— over is 3-1 in their last four true road games.
— Tagovailoa is 32-17 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 9-6
— Ravens won four in row, eight of last nine games.
— Last eight games, Baltimore scored 24 TD’s on 81 drives.
— Last five games, they ran ball for 168 yards/game.
— Last 12 games, Ravens outscored foes 199-73 in first half.
— Baltimore is 4-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— since 2018, Ravens are 17-24-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Ravens are 12-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
— Baltimore is 13-15 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is minus-6 in TO’s in its losses, +12 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 58-22 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— over is 6-3 in Baltimore’s last nine games.
— Team total: over 10-5. Opponents’ team total: under 10-4-1
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Dolphins are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to Baltimore.
— Four of last five series games went over the total.
Titans (5-10) @ Texans (8-7)
— Titans lost six of their last eight games.
— Their last four games were all decided by 3 or fewer points
— Tennessee is 2-4 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— since 2020, Titans are 11-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Tennessee fired its special teams coach four weeks ago.
— Titans are 4-1 scoring 27+ points, 1-9 scoring 17 or less.
— Tennessee is 16-13-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.
— Titans are minus-7 in turnovers (10-17) so far this season.
— QB Tannehill is 82-73 as an NFL starter.
— Under is 9-4 in Tennessee’s last 13 games.
— Titans are 9-5 ATS in last 14 AFC South road games (0-2 TY).
— Team total: under 10-5. Opponents’ team total: over 7-5-3
— Check status: which QB starts, Stroud (concussion)/Keenum/Mills?
— Keenum is 30-35 as a starter, Mills 5-19-1, Stroud 7-6.
— Houston lost three of its last five games SU.
— Underdogs covered 10 of their last 13 games.
— Houston is 1-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— Texans are 3-11 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Last five games, Texans are +5 in turnovers (8-3).
— Houston is 4-2 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
— Texas are 2-6 when they allow 20+ points.
— over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Texans are 5-9 ATS in last 14 AFC South home games.
— Team total: under 8-6-1. Opponents’ team total: under 10-5
— Texans (+3) won 19-16 in OT at Tennessee two weeks ago.
— Texans won three of last four series games.
— Titans are 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
— Last four meetings stayed under the total.
Chargers (5-10) @ Broncos (7-8)
— Chargers lost six of their last seven games.
— Chargers fired their coach/GM two weeks ago.
— Chargers are 0-6 TY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
— QB Stick is 59-89/649 passing in his first two NFL starts.
— Chargers allowed 13 TD’s on opponents’ last 35 drives.
— Bolts are 1-5 ATS in last six games as an underdog.
— LA is 14-10-1 ATS in last 25 games as a road dog (0-2 TY).
— Chargers have 11 takeaways (+8) in wins, six (minus-10) in losses.
— Opponents are 18-70 (25.7%) on 3rd down in LA wins, 58-129 (45%) in losses.
— Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Charger games.
— Chargers are 2-5-1 ATS in last eight AFC West road games.
— Team total: under 4-2 last six. Opponents’ team total: under 8-7
— Denver has benched QB Wilson for their last two games.
— Backup QB Stidham (0-2 as an NFL starter) gets nod here.
— Broncos lost three of their last four games.
— Last four games, Denver is minus-4 in turnovers.
— Last four games, Broncos were outscored 37-20 in first half.
— Denver is 1-5 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— since 2017, Broncos are 8-20-3 ATS as a home favorite
— Last five weeks, Denver converted only 20-67 on third down.
— Broncos are 12-15-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a loss.
— Seven of last ten Bronco games stayed under the total.
— Denver is 7-9-1 ATS in last 17 AFC West home games.
— Team total: under 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 8-7
— Denver (+3) beat Chargers 24-7 in SoFi three weeks ago.
— Broncos won seven of last ten series games.
— Chargers are 0-3-1 ATS in last four visits to Denver.
— Under is 8-5 in last 13 meetings.
Bengals (8-7) @ Chiefs (9-6)
— Bengals won three of last four games, with two OT wins.
— Last two weeks, Cincy was outscored 31-3 in first half.
— Over is 6-1 in Bengals’ last seven games.
— Bengals are 6-1 giving up 20 or less points, 2-6 allowing more than 2o.
— Last four games, Bengals are minus-3 in turnovers (3-6).
— Cincinnati is 6-2-1 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
— Cincinnati is 2-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Bengals are 2-3-1 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
— Backup QB Browning is completing 72% of passes (8 TD’s, 6 INTs)
— Browning is 3-2 as an NFL starter.
— Six of Bengals’ last seven games went over total.
— Team total: under 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Chiefs lost five of last eight games, after a 6-1 start.
— KC gave up two defensive TD’s in 0:07 span vs Raiders Monday.
— Chiefs haven’t had a plus turnover game since Week 6.
— In last eight games, Chiefs are minus-9 in turnovers (5-14)
— Chiefs are 13-17 ATS in last 30 games as home favorite (3-4 TY).
— Kansas City lost its last three home games SU.
— Chiefs held 11 of last 13 foes under 5.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last four games, KC converted 36-81 third down plays (44.4%)
— Under is 7-3-1 in their last eleven games.
— Chiefs are 12-6 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss (4-1 TY).
— Mahomes is 84-25 SU as an NFL starter.
— Team total: under 11-3. Opponents’ team total: under 10-4
— Bengals won seven of last nine series games, but……..
— …….they lost 23-20 at Arrowhead in last year’s playoffs.
— Bengals are 3-4 ATS in last seven visits to Arrowhead.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Packers (7-8) @ Vikings (7-8)
— Green Bay lost two of last three games, giving up 29.3 ppg.
— Packers lost five of their last seven road games.
— Green Bay outscored last five foes 82-42 in first half.
— Last five games, Packers are +4 in turnovers (7-3)
— Packers are 5-5 TY in one-score games.
— Last six games, Green Bay is 51-105 (48.6%) on third down.
— Packers are 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog (2-3 TY).
— Jordan Love is 7-9 as an NFL starter.
— Packers are 2-4 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
— Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.
— Last seven weeks, Green Bay gave up 149.6 rushing yards/game.
— Packers are 7-5 ATS in last 12 NFC North road games.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 8-6-1
— 4th-string QB Mullens (5-14 as NFL starter) gets nod here.
— Mullens is 57-82/797 passing (4 TD’s, 6 INTs)
— He is Vikings’ 4th starting QB in 15 games this year.
— Vikings lost four of last five games (the win was 3-0).
— Last four games, Minnesota scored seven TD’s on 41 drives.
— Minnesota is 6-8 in one-score games this year (11-0 LY)
— Vikings are 6-3 when they allow less than 27 points.
— Vikings are 10-14-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss
— Last six games, Vikings outscored foes 58-35 in first half.
— Under is 5-2 in Minnesota’s home games.
— Vikings are 4-7 ATS in last ten NFC North home games.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 9-5-1
— Vikings (even) won 24-10 at Green Bay in Week 8.
— Packers won six of last nine series games.
— Green Bay is 2-5 SU/ATS in last seven visits to Minnesota
— Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 17
Saturday’s game
Lions (11-4) @ Cowboys (1o-5)
— Last week, Lions clinched their first division title since 1993.
— Lions gave up 37-38-29-28 points in their four losses.
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 10-7 ATS as road underdog (1-1 TY).
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 12-7 ATS coming off a win (4-5 TY).
— Under Campbell, Lions are 33-15-1 ATS overall.
— Last two games, Detroit is +4 in turnovers (5-1)
— Last seven games, Lions ran ball for 159.7 yards/game.
— Lions are 8-1 when they score 26+ points, 3-3, when they don’t.
— Detroit has 10 TD’s on its last 18 drives.
— Goff is 67-52-1 as an NFL starter, 23-21-1 with the Lions.
— over is 9-3 in their last dozen games.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 9-6
— Dallas has clinched playoff spot, is trying for home field now.
— Cowboys lost last two games, scoring 10-20 at Buffalo/Miami.
— Dallas is 7-0 SU/6-1 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— Last three years, Cowboys are 16-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— Dallas scored 15.8 ppg in losses, 37.2 ppg in wins.
— Cowboys are +14 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses.
— Dallas is 11-2 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
— QB Prescott is 75-43 as an NFL starter.
— Last two games, Dallas was outscored 34-10 in first half.
— Seven of last nine Dallas games went over the total.
— Team total: over 10-5. Opponents’ team total: under 8-6-1
— Dallas won four in row, nine of last 12 series games.
— Lions are 3-5 ATS in last eight visits to Dallas.
— over is 8-1 in last nine meetings.
Sunday’s games
Patriots (4-11) @ Bills (9-6)
— Patriots won two of last three games, after a 1-8 skid.
— Four of NE’s last five losses were by six or fewer points.
— Patriots are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog (2-3 TY)
— New England is 3-7 ATS in last ten games coming off a win (0-3 TY)
— Patriots are 5-6 ATS in last 11 AFC East road games.
— New England is minus-7 in turnovers this year (+38 from 2019-22).
— Since Brady left, NE is 29-36 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— In his career, Belichick is 84-101 without Brady.
— Zappe is 4-2 as an NFL starting QB, Mac James 18-26.
— Patriots held five of last six opponents under 300 TY.
— Last three New England games went over the total.
— Team total: under 11-4. Opponents’ team total: over 8-6-1
— Buffalo won/covered four of its last five games.
— Buffalo scored 28.2 ppg in five games since firing their OC.
— Bills are 8-0 giving up 20 or less points, 1-6 giving up more than 20.
— Last five games, Buffalo has a +3 turnover ratio (8-5).
— Last six games, Bills ran ball for 164 yards/game.
— Bills are 16-11-1 ATS in last 28 games as home favorite (4-3 TY).
— Buffalo outscored last five foes 82-33 in first half.
— Josh Allen is 56-35 as an NFL starter.
— Bills are 13-14-2 ATS in last 29 games after a win.
— Five of Buffalo’s nine wins were by 10+ points.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Buffalo is 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 AFC East home games.
— Team total: over 7-7. Opponents’ team total: under 7-6-1
— Bills (-8) lost 29-25 in Foxboro in Week 7.
— Bills have still won six of last eight series games.
— Patriots are 7-3 ATS in their last ten visits to Buffalo.
Falcons (7-8) @ Bears (6-9)
— Atlanta scored 28-23-29 points in Heinicke’s three starts.
— Heinicke is 13-14-1 as an NFL starter, 1-2 this year.
— Falcons are 22-45 on 3rd down in Heinicke’s starts.
— Falcons are 3-2 SU/ATS since their bye week.
— Atlanta is 7-14-2 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— underdogs covered nine of Atlanta’s last 11 games.
— Atlanta is 13-10 ATS in last 23 games as a road dog.
— Falcons are 3-9-1 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Last four games, Falcons were 41-93 (44.1%) on third down.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.
— Team total: under 7-7-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-6-2
— Chicago won/covered four of last six games.
— Four of those six games were decided by 5 or less points.
— Bears are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
— Bears are 2-5 in one-score games this season.
— Chicago is 2-8 when it scores less than 27 points
— Bears ran ball for 250 yards LW, their most this season.
— Fields is 9-27 as an NFL starter.
— Bears led at halftime LW for first time since Week 7.
— last 2+ years, Bears are 15-34 SU/20-27-2 ATS.
— Chicago is 1-3-1 ATS in last five games as favorites.
— Chicago is 3-10 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
— Six of their eight games stayed under the total.
— Team total: under 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 7-7-1
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Falcons are 1-2 SU/0-3 ATS in last three visits to Chicago.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.
Raiders (7-8) @ Colts (8-7)
— Raiders are 4-3 SU/5-1-1 ATS since they changed coaches.
— Last two games, Las Vegas scored four defensive touchdowns.
— Raiders outscored last three opponents 59-7 in first half.
— Raiders didn’t scored offensive TD in two of last three games.
— Las Vegas didn’t complete a pass after the first quarter last week.
— Las Vegas is 3-3 ATS as a road underdog TY.
— Raiders are 0-3 ATS on artificial turf this year.
— Raiders are 4-2-1 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Under is 11-3 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders are 16-13 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
— QB O’Connell is 4-4 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: under 12-3. Opponents’ team total: under 10-5
— Indianapolis won/covered five of last seven games.
— Favorites covered their last eight games.
— Colts are 0-7 giving up 29+ points, 8-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
— QB Minshew is 14-21 as an NFL starter, 6-5 TY.
— Colts are 12-14 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or less.
— In its last seven games, Indy was +8 in turnovers (13-5)
— Last five games, Colts converted only 19-65 on third down.
— Over is 7-3 in Indy’s last ten games.
— Colts are 10-9 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
— Colts are 6-7 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
— Team total: over 10-4-1. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Teams split last six series games.
— Raiders covered five of their last six visits to Indiana.
— Five of last six meetings went over the total.
Rams (8-7) @ Giants (5-10)
— Rams are 5-1 SU/ATS last six games, scoring 37-36-31-28-30 in last five.
— Last five weeks, LA gained 432.8 yards/game.
— Rams are 4-0 giving up 16 or less points, 4-7 giving up 19+ points.
— Rams are 7-3 when they run ball for 92+ yards, 1-4 when they don’t.
— Rams were outscored 98-46 in 2nd halves of their losses.
— Last five weeks, LA scored 17.8 ppg in first half, leading all five games.
— Stafford is 27-17 as a starter with the Rams.
— LA is 1-3 SU outdoors this season, scoring 20 ppg.
— under McVay, Rams are 28-34-2 ATS coming off a win, 4-2-1 TY.
— under McVay, Rams are 18-14 ATS as a road favorite, 1-0 TY.
— Four of Rams’ last five games went over the total.
— Team total: over 8-6-1. Opponents’ team total: under 8-6-1
— Giants lost last two games, giving up 24-33 points.
— Last eight weeks, Big Blue was outscored 105-40 in first half.
— Rookie QB DeVito got benched LW; will Tyrod Taylor start?
— DeVito is 3-3 as an NFL starter, Taylor 27-27-1.
— Last four weeks, Giants are 14-52 on third down.
— Giants were held under 300 TY in seven of last eight games.
— Last 11 games, Giants are +14 in turnovers.
— TY, Giants are 4-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— Big Blue is 5-2 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
— Over is 4-2 in last six Giant games.
— Team total: under 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 8-6-1
— Under McVay, Rams are 3-0 vs Giants, winning by combined 106-37
— McVay’s grandfather coached the Giants in the 70’s.
— Rams are 3-3 ATS in last six visits to the Garden State.
— Over is 4-2-2 in last eight series games.
Cardinals (3-12) @ Eagles (11-4)
— Arizona is 2-10 SU/4-8 ATS in its last dozen games
— In 4 of last 5 games, Arizona gave up 21+ points in first half.
— Cardinals are 3-5 ATS as a road dog TY (10-3 in 2021-22).
— Cardinals are 0-10 SU when they score less than 25 points.
— Last seven games, Arizona was outscored 114-60 in first half.
— Last four games, Cardinals gave up 185.5 rushing yards/game.
— Cardinals lost 23 of last 28 games SU (11-14 ATS in last 25).
— Murray is 27-36-1 as an NFL starter.
— Last three games, Cardinals are 24-49 on third down.
— Over is 3-1 in Arizona’s last four games.
— Arizona is 12-11 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 8-6-1
— Eagles are 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS in last four games.
— Last two games, Eagles ran ball for 178-170 yards.
— Last two games, Eagles outscored foes 30-6 in first half.
— Last three games, Philly is minus-4 in turnovers.
— Eagles are 11-5-2 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite (2-2-2 TY).
— Eagles scored 21+ points in all of their wins, 14-19-13-17 in losses.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 36-17 SU.
— This year, Eagles are 3-3-3 ATS coming off a win.
— Hurts is 36-17 as an NFL starter.
— Over is 6-1 in Eagles’ home games.
— Eagles were minus-8 in turnovers in their losses (+2 in wins).
— Team total: over 8-6-1. Opponents’ team total: over 6-2 last eight
— Arizona is 7-4 in last 11 series games.
— Cardinals are 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Philly.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Saints (7-8) @ Buccaneers (8-7)
— Saints lost four of their last six games (2-5 ATS last seven).
— Last two games, opponents are 6-28 on third down.
— Saints are 7-8, but have been an underdog in only 3 of 14 games.
— Saints outscored last four opponents 67-25 in second half.
— New Orleans is 6-3 scoring 20+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 20.
— Saints are 18-14-1 ATS in last 33 games coming off a loss.
— since 2018, New Orleans is 13-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last seven games, Saints gave up 149.7 rushing yards/game.
— New Orleans scored 13 TD’s on its last 43 drives.
— over is 3-1 in Saints’ last four road games.
— Saints are 1-3-1 ATS in last five NFC South road games.
— Team total: under 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Bucs won their last four games, scoring 21-29-34-30 points.
— Tampa Bay covered seven of its last nine games.
— Bucs are 2-6 when they allow more than 18 points.
— Bucs are 6-1 when they allow less than 18 points.
— Tampa Bay is 4-3 SU/3-4 ATS at home this year.
— Bucs have 24 takeaways in 14 games (+10 turnovers)
— Last four games, opponents were 23-72 (31.9%) on third down.
— Buccaneers are 14-10 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
— Over is 4-1 in Tampa Bay’s last five games.
— Last 2 weeks, Mayfield averaged 10.7/7.2 yards/pass attempt.
— Mayfield is 40-46 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— Bucs are 1-4 ATS in last five NFC South home games.
— Team total: over 7-6-2. Opponents’ team total: under 8-6-1
— Bucs (+3) won 26-9 at New Orleans in Week 4.
— Tampa Bay won last three meetings, giving up 11.7 ppg.
— Saints are 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS in last five visits to Tampa.
— Four of last five series games stayed under the total.
49ers (11-4) @ Commanders (4-11)
— SF is 6-1 since its bye week (4-3 ATS), scoring 32.3 ppg.
— 49ers scored 27+ points in wins, 17-17-17-19 in losses.
— 49ers were minus-5 in turnovers LW; Purdy threw four INTs.
— 49ers have outscored opponents 202-128 in 2nd half.
— SF ran for 168.6 yards/game in their last five games.
— 49ers are 5-2-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— SF is 7-6 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss (0-2 TY).
— Last five weeks, 49ers have 21 TD’s on 50 drives.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 18-5 as NFL starter.
— Team total: over 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 9-6
— Washington lost six in row, 11 of last 13 games (3-6 ATS last nine)
— unclear if Howell/Brissett will start at QB.
— Commanders fired their defensive coordinator last month.
— Since then, Washington allowed 31-45-45-28-30 points.
— Washington is 1-10 giving up more than 17 points, 3-1 giving up 17 or less.
— Last seven games, Commanders are minus-7 in turnovers (5-12).
— Washington is 11-16 ATS last 27 games coming off a loss.
— Last 13 games, Commanders were outscored 215-89 in 1st half.
— six of their last eight games went over the total.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 6-10 as NFL starter; Brissett is 18-30.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 12-3
— 49ers won six of last eight series games.
— San Francisco won/covered three of last four visits here.
— Shanahan’s father used to coach the Redskins/Commanders.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Steelers (8-7) @ Seahawks (8-7)
— QB Rudolph (6-4-1 as NFL starter) was 17-27/290 passing last week.
— Steelers scored 34 points LW, 13.4 ppg in previous five games.
— They fired their offensive coordinator four weeks ago.
— Steelers are 14-10 ATS in last 24 games as a road dog (2-2 TY)
— Steelers are 9-12-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
— Pittsburgh is 6-3 ATS in last nine games vs NFC teams.
— In their last three road games, Pittsburgh scored 10-16-13 points.
— Last four games, opponents are 26-58 (44.8%) on third down.
— Last week was only 4th time in 15 games Steelers led at halftime.
— Last three Steeler games went over the total.
— AFC North road underdogs are 5-3-1 ATS.
— Team total: under 7-5-3. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Seattle won its last two games, both in last minute.
— Seahawks are 5-3 in one-score games this season.
— Seahawks are 8-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-6 scoring less than 20.
— Seahawks were outscored 115-36 in second half of their losses.
— Last two games, Seattle converted 13-27 third down plays.
— Seattle is 12-17 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
— Seahawks are 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games as a home favorite.
— Smith is 29-35 as an NFL starter; Lock is 9-14.
— Seahawks are 6-0 if they run for 100+ yards, 2-7 if they don’t.
— Seattle’s last three games stayed under the total.
— NFC West home favorites are 6-5-1 ATS outside their division.
— Team total: under 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 7-7-1
— Pittsburgh won four of last six series games.
— Steelers lost 39-30/23-16 in last two visits to Seattle.
— Under is 4-2-1 in last seven meetings.
Panthers (2-13) @ Jaguars (8-7)
— Carolina lost seven of its last eight games (3-1 ATS last four).
— Panthers scored 30 points LW (no TD’s on 22 drives/previous two games)
— Carolina allowed 13-7 points in its two wins.
— Panthers fired their coach and two assistants four weeks ago.
— Carolina is 2-6 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Last three years, Panthers are 8-14 as a road underdog
— Last six games, Panthers were outscored 85-25 in first half.
— Carolina is 2-7-1 ATS this year in games following a loss.
— last 3 years, Panthers are 10-20-1 ATS in games following a loss.
— Last 2 games, Carolina averaged 5.7/8.1 yards/pass attempt, an improvement.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Panthers are 5-9 ATS in last 14 games vs AFC opponents.
— Team total: under 10-5. Opponents’ team total: over 9-6
— Jacksonville lost last four games, giving up 29.5 ppg.
— QB Lawrence is banged up (concussion/shoulder; check status)
— Jaguars are 4-12 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite (2-2 TY)
— Jaguars are 14-27-1 ATS in last 42 games coming off loss (2-4 TY).
— under Pederson, Jaguars are 6-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last five weeks, Jaguars ran ball for only 64.4 yards/game.
— Jaguars are minus-11 in turnovers in their losses (+4 in wins).
— Pederson is 64-55-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Lawrence is 20-29 as an NFL starter.
— Backup QB Beathard is 2-10 as an NFL starter (last start, 2020)
— Four of Jaguars’ last six games went over the total.
— Team total: over 7-7-1. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Carolina won four of last five series games.
— Favorites covered the last four meetings.
— Over is 3-2 in last five series games.
Dolphins (11-4) @ Ravens (12-3)
— Dolphins won five of their last six games SU.
— Miami is 1-3 SU vs teams that currently have winning record.
— Favorites are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games.
— Miami scored 30+ points in eight of 11 wins; 20-17-14-27 in losses.
— Last three games, Miami is +7 in turnovers (8-1).
— Dolphins averaged 7+ yards/pass attempt in five of last six games.
— Last 5 games, Miami converted 34-70 third down plays (48.6%).
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 9-11 ATS as an underdog (0-3 TY).
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 11-7 ATS coming off a win.
— over is 3-1 in their last four true road games.
— Tagovailoa is 32-17 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 9-6
— Ravens won four in row, eight of last nine games.
— Last eight games, Baltimore scored 24 TD’s on 81 drives.
— Last five games, they ran ball for 168 yards/game.
— Last 12 games, Ravens outscored foes 199-73 in first half.
— Baltimore is 4-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— since 2018, Ravens are 17-24-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Ravens are 12-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
— Baltimore is 13-15 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is minus-6 in TO’s in its losses, +12 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 58-22 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— over is 6-3 in Baltimore’s last nine games.
— Team total: over 10-5. Opponents’ team total: under 10-4-1
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Dolphins are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to Baltimore.
— Four of last five series games went over the total.
Titans (5-10) @ Texans (8-7)
— Titans lost six of their last eight games.
— Their last four games were all decided by 3 or fewer points
— Tennessee is 2-4 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— since 2020, Titans are 11-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Tennessee fired its special teams coach four weeks ago.
— Titans are 4-1 scoring 27+ points, 1-9 scoring 17 or less.
— Tennessee is 16-13-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.
— Titans are minus-7 in turnovers (10-17) so far this season.
— QB Tannehill is 82-73 as an NFL starter.
— Under is 9-4 in Tennessee’s last 13 games.
— Titans are 9-5 ATS in last 14 AFC South road games (0-2 TY).
— Team total: under 10-5. Opponents’ team total: over 7-5-3
— Check status: which QB starts, Stroud (concussion)/Keenum/Mills?
— Keenum is 30-35 as a starter, Mills 5-19-1, Stroud 7-6.
— Houston lost three of its last five games SU.
— Underdogs covered 10 of their last 13 games.
— Houston is 1-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— Texans are 3-11 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Last five games, Texans are +5 in turnovers (8-3).
— Houston is 4-2 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
— Texas are 2-6 when they allow 20+ points.
— over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Texans are 5-9 ATS in last 14 AFC South home games.
— Team total: under 8-6-1. Opponents’ team total: under 10-5
— Texans (+3) won 19-16 in OT at Tennessee two weeks ago.
— Texans won three of last four series games.
— Titans are 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
— Last four meetings stayed under the total.
Chargers (5-10) @ Broncos (7-8)
— Chargers lost six of their last seven games.
— Chargers fired their coach/GM two weeks ago.
— Chargers are 0-6 TY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
— QB Stick is 59-89/649 passing in his first two NFL starts.
— Chargers allowed 13 TD’s on opponents’ last 35 drives.
— Bolts are 1-5 ATS in last six games as an underdog.
— LA is 14-10-1 ATS in last 25 games as a road dog (0-2 TY).
— Chargers have 11 takeaways (+8) in wins, six (minus-10) in losses.
— Opponents are 18-70 (25.7%) on 3rd down in LA wins, 58-129 (45%) in losses.
— Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Charger games.
— Chargers are 2-5-1 ATS in last eight AFC West road games.
— Team total: under 4-2 last six. Opponents’ team total: under 8-7
— Denver has benched QB Wilson for their last two games.
— Backup QB Stidham (0-2 as an NFL starter) gets nod here.
— Broncos lost three of their last four games.
— Last four games, Denver is minus-4 in turnovers.
— Last four games, Broncos were outscored 37-20 in first half.
— Denver is 1-5 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— since 2017, Broncos are 8-20-3 ATS as a home favorite
— Last five weeks, Denver converted only 20-67 on third down.
— Broncos are 12-15-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a loss.
— Seven of last ten Bronco games stayed under the total.
— Denver is 7-9-1 ATS in last 17 AFC West home games.
— Team total: under 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 8-7
— Denver (+3) beat Chargers 24-7 in SoFi three weeks ago.
— Broncos won seven of last ten series games.
— Chargers are 0-3-1 ATS in last four visits to Denver.
— Under is 8-5 in last 13 meetings.
Bengals (8-7) @ Chiefs (9-6)
— Bengals won three of last four games, with two OT wins.
— Last two weeks, Cincy was outscored 31-3 in first half.
— Over is 6-1 in Bengals’ last seven games.
— Bengals are 6-1 giving up 20 or less points, 2-6 allowing more than 2o.
— Last four games, Bengals are minus-3 in turnovers (3-6).
— Cincinnati is 6-2-1 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
— Cincinnati is 2-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Bengals are 2-3-1 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
— Backup QB Browning is completing 72% of passes (8 TD’s, 6 INTs)
— Browning is 3-2 as an NFL starter.
— Six of Bengals’ last seven games went over total.
— Team total: under 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Chiefs lost five of last eight games, after a 6-1 start.
— KC gave up two defensive TD’s in 0:07 span vs Raiders Monday.
— Chiefs haven’t had a plus turnover game since Week 6.
— In last eight games, Chiefs are minus-9 in turnovers (5-14)
— Chiefs are 13-17 ATS in last 30 games as home favorite (3-4 TY).
— Kansas City lost its last three home games SU.
— Chiefs held 11 of last 13 foes under 5.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last four games, KC converted 36-81 third down plays (44.4%)
— Under is 7-3-1 in their last eleven games.
— Chiefs are 12-6 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss (4-1 TY).
— Mahomes is 84-25 SU as an NFL starter.
— Team total: under 11-3. Opponents’ team total: under 10-4
— Bengals won seven of last nine series games, but……..
— …….they lost 23-20 at Arrowhead in last year’s playoffs.
— Bengals are 3-4 ATS in last seven visits to Arrowhead.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Packers (7-8) @ Vikings (7-8)
— Green Bay lost two of last three games, giving up 29.3 ppg.
— Packers lost five of their last seven road games.
— Green Bay outscored last five foes 82-42 in first half.
— Last five games, Packers are +4 in turnovers (7-3)
— Packers are 5-5 TY in one-score games.
— Last six games, Green Bay is 51-105 (48.6%) on third down.
— Packers are 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog (2-3 TY).
— Jordan Love is 7-9 as an NFL starter.
— Packers are 2-4 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
— Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.
— Last seven weeks, Green Bay gave up 149.6 rushing yards/game.
— Packers are 7-5 ATS in last 12 NFC North road games.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 8-6-1
— 4th-string QB Mullens (5-14 as NFL starter) gets nod here.
— Mullens is 57-82/797 passing (4 TD’s, 6 INTs)
— He is Vikings’ 4th starting QB in 15 games this year.
— Vikings lost four of last five games (the win was 3-0).
— Last four games, Minnesota scored seven TD’s on 41 drives.
— Minnesota is 6-8 in one-score games this year (11-0 LY)
— Vikings are 6-3 when they allow less than 27 points.
— Vikings are 10-14-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss
— Last six games, Vikings outscored foes 58-35 in first half.
— Under is 5-2 in Minnesota’s home games.
— Vikings are 4-7 ATS in last ten NFC North home games.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 9-5-1
— Vikings (even) won 24-10 at Green Bay in Week 8.
— Packers won six of last nine series games.
— Green Bay is 2-5 SU/ATS in last seven visits to Minnesota
— Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Completed Picks
Past Completed Picks| Date | W-L-T | % | Units | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/28/2023 | 2-0-0 | 100.00% | +1000 | Detail |
| 12/25/2023 | 3-3-0 | 50.00% | -150 | Detail |
| 12/24/2023 | 11-8-1 | 57.50% | +1100 | Detail |
| 12/21/2023 | 2-0-0 | 100.00% | +1000 | Detail |
| 12/18/2023 | 1-1-0 | 50.00% | -50 | Detail |
| 12/17/2023 | 13-8-1 | 61.36% | +2100 | Detail |
| 12/16/2023 | 1-4-1 | 25.00% | -1700 | Detail |
| 12/14/2023 | 1-1-0 | 50.00% | -50 | Detail |
| 12/11/2023 | 4-0-0 | 100.00% | +2000 | Detail |
| 12/10/2023 | 9-14-1 | 39.58% | -3200 | Detail |
| 12/07/2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 12/04/2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 12/03/2023 | 10-9-0 | 52.63% | +50 | Detail |
DECEMBER'S NFL BEST BETS !
12/28/2023.................................2 - 0..................................... 100.00%..................+ 10.00
12/25/2023..................................3 - 3.......................................50.00%...................- 1.50
12/24/2023..................................9 - 6.......................................60.00%...................+ 12.00
12/21/2023..................................2 - 0.....................................100.00%...................+ 10.00
12/18/2023...................................1 - 1.....................................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/17/2023...................................12 - 7...................................63.17%.....................+ 21.50
12/16/2023....................................1 - 4.....................................20.00%.....................- 17.00
12/14/2023....................................1 - 1.....................................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/11/2023....................................4 - 0...................................100.00%......................+ 20.00
12/10/2023................................... 6 - 13..................................31.57%.......................- 41.50
12/07/2023....................................0 - 2 -0 ..............................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/04/2023....................................0 - 2 - 0...............................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/03/2023....................................7 - 7 - 0...............................50.00%.......................- 3.50
TOTALS.......................................48 - 46 - 0..............................51.06%.......................- 9.00
12/28/2023.................................2 - 0..................................... 100.00%..................+ 10.00
12/25/2023..................................3 - 3.......................................50.00%...................- 1.50
12/24/2023..................................9 - 6.......................................60.00%...................+ 12.00
12/21/2023..................................2 - 0.....................................100.00%...................+ 10.00
12/18/2023...................................1 - 1.....................................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/17/2023...................................12 - 7...................................63.17%.....................+ 21.50
12/16/2023....................................1 - 4.....................................20.00%.....................- 17.00
12/14/2023....................................1 - 1.....................................50.00%......................- 0.50
12/11/2023....................................4 - 0...................................100.00%......................+ 20.00
12/10/2023................................... 6 - 13..................................31.57%.......................- 41.50
12/07/2023....................................0 - 2 -0 ..............................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/04/2023....................................0 - 2 - 0...............................00.00%.......................- 11.00
12/03/2023....................................7 - 7 - 0...............................50.00%.......................- 3.50
TOTALS.......................................48 - 46 - 0..............................51.06%.......................- 9.00
Friday’s 6-pack:
Some college basketball teams getting highest %age of points on 3-pointers:
43.6%- St Joe’s
42.5%- Brigham Young
41.9%- Georgia Southern
41.5%- Oral Roberts
40.9%- Hofstra
40.8%- Chattanooga
Quote of the Day
“They know I’m good, they know how to play us. That’s what it is. But it’s not like they got a superstar on their defense.”
Bengals’ WR Ja’Marr Chase, talking about Kansas City’s secondary
Friday’s quiz
Who was the first kicking specialist inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame?
Thursday’s quiz
Weeb Ewbank coached the Jets when they won their only Super Bowl, 16-7 against the Colts in Super Bowl III.
Wednesday’s quiz
Other than Tom Brady, Warren Moon is the oldest QB with three consecutive 300+ yard passing games.
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Baltimore– won Super Bowl 11 years ago; since then, they’re 2-5 in playoff games, 0-2 at home.
Lamar Jackson is 1-3 in playoff games; Ravens scored 13 ppg in those games.
Buffalo– Buffalo lost four straight Super Bowls (1990-93)
from 1994-2019, Bills were 1-6 in playoff games.
Last three years, Bills are 4-3 in playoff games.
Cleveland (the original Browns are the Ravens now)
Since their rebirth in 1999, Browns are 1-2 in playoff games.
Browns’ one playoff win: 48-37 at Pittsburgh, in 2020.
Last time there was a playoff game in Cleveland? 1989.
Dallas– 28 years ago, Cowboys won their 5th Super Bowl.
Since then, Dallas is 5-12 in playoff games (3-3 in last six at home).
Detroit– are in playoffs this year, for first time since 2016.
In entire Super Bowl era, Lions are 1-12 in playoff games (only win, 1991)
Haven’t played a home playoff game since 1993.
Green Bay– won their last Super Bowl in 2010.
Since then, Packers are 7-9 in playoff games, with two OT losses.
Houston– haven’t made playoff since 2019.
In their history, Texans are 4-2 in home playoff games, 0-4 on road.
Indianapolis– haven’t made playoffs since 2020.
Since Peyton Manning last played for Colts in 2010, there 4-5 in playoff games,
Jacksonville– have an 8-8 record in playoff games, 4-1 at home.
1-4 vs New England in playoff games, 7-4 vs everyone else.
Kansas City– from 2019-22, they’re 10-2 in playoff games, winning two Super Bowls.
From 1994-2018, were 2-11 in playoff games.
LA Rams– under Sean McVay, Rams are 7-3 in playoff games.
Before McVay came to LA in 2017, Rams’ last playoff game was in 2004.
Miami– Dolphins haven’t won a playoff game since 2000 (0-4).
From 1970-84, Miami was 13-8 in playoffs; since 1985, they’re 6-13.
Minnesota– from 1969-76, Vikings went 0-4 in Super Bowls.
Since 1989, Minnesota is 9-16 in the playoffs, 2-5 since 2012.
New Orleans– won their only Super Bowl 14 years ago, beating Colts 31-17.
Since then, Saints are 4-7 in playoff games, losing last three at home.
New Orleans hasn’t made the playoffs since 2020.
Philadelphia– since 2017, Eagles are 6-4 in playoff games.
Andy Reid was 10-9 in playoff games for Eagles, from 1999-2012.
Pittsburgh– haven’t won a playoff game since 2016.
Lost last four playoff games, giving up 36-45-48-42 points.
San Francisco– 49ers haven’t won a Super Bowl since 1994.
Since 2012, 49ers are 10-5 in playoff games, 0-2 in Super Bowls.
Seattle– won Super Bowl in 2014, lost it the next season.
Since then, Seahawks are 3-6 in playoff games.
Tampa Bay– won two Super Bowls, in 2002/2020.
Other than those two years, Buccaneers are 4-11 in playoff games.
Arizona- since 2010, they’re 1-3 in playoff games.
in last 50 years, they’re 4-0 in home playoff games.
Atlanta- haven’t made playoffs since 2017
since 1998, they made playoffs 9 times, went 6-3 in first playoff game that year
Carolina- haven’t made playoffs since 2017
Lost Super Bowl eight years ago; since then, they’re 0-1 in playoff games.
Chicago- since 2011, Bears are 0-2 in playoff games.
haven’t won a road playoff game since 1999
3-4 in last seven home playoff games.
Cincinnati- from 1991-2020, Bengals were 0-7 in playoff games
Last two years, Bengals were 5-2 in playoff games (both losses 23-20 on road).
Denver- won Super Bowl in 2015, haven’t made the playoffs since.
Haven’t played a road playoff game since 2011.
Since 1997, they’re 9-3 in home playoff games.
Las Vegas- 21 years ago, they lost Super Bowl 48-21 to Jon Gruden’s Buccaneers.
in 21 years since then, Raiders are 0-2 in playoff games.
LA Chargers- haven’t played a home playoff game since 2009.
in Super Bowl era: 5-6 in home playoff games, 6-8 on road, 0-1 in Super Bowl
New England- Patriots went 30-11 in playoffs with Tom Brady at QB.
In nine years as a HC without Brady on his team, Bill Belichick is 1-2 in playoff games- the only win was against New England, when Belichick was coaching the Browns.
NJ Giants- won their 4th Super Bowl 12 years ago; since then, they’re 1-2 in playoff games.
Giants are 6-2 in their last eight road playoff games.
NJ Jets- haven’t been in the playoffs since 2010, longest current drought in NFL.
are 5-5 in road playoff games since their last home playoff game, in 2002.
Tennessee- lost their last three home playoff games.
have played in four overtime playoff games, going 2-2.
Titans are 4-8 in playoffs since they lost Super Bowl XXXIV to the Rams.
Washington- Commanders haven’t won a playoff game since 2005.
Washington won 3 Super Bowls with 3 different QB’s: Theismann, Williams, Rypien.
Some college basketball teams getting highest %age of points on 3-pointers:
43.6%- St Joe’s
42.5%- Brigham Young
41.9%- Georgia Southern
41.5%- Oral Roberts
40.9%- Hofstra
40.8%- Chattanooga
Quote of the Day
“They know I’m good, they know how to play us. That’s what it is. But it’s not like they got a superstar on their defense.”
Bengals’ WR Ja’Marr Chase, talking about Kansas City’s secondary
Friday’s quiz
Who was the first kicking specialist inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame?
Thursday’s quiz
Weeb Ewbank coached the Jets when they won their only Super Bowl, 16-7 against the Colts in Super Bowl III.
Wednesday’s quiz
Other than Tom Brady, Warren Moon is the oldest QB with three consecutive 300+ yard passing games.
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Friday’s Den: Playoff trends for NFL teams……..
Playoff trends for NFL teams……..Baltimore– won Super Bowl 11 years ago; since then, they’re 2-5 in playoff games, 0-2 at home.
Lamar Jackson is 1-3 in playoff games; Ravens scored 13 ppg in those games.
Buffalo– Buffalo lost four straight Super Bowls (1990-93)
from 1994-2019, Bills were 1-6 in playoff games.
Last three years, Bills are 4-3 in playoff games.
Cleveland (the original Browns are the Ravens now)
Since their rebirth in 1999, Browns are 1-2 in playoff games.
Browns’ one playoff win: 48-37 at Pittsburgh, in 2020.
Last time there was a playoff game in Cleveland? 1989.
Dallas– 28 years ago, Cowboys won their 5th Super Bowl.
Since then, Dallas is 5-12 in playoff games (3-3 in last six at home).
Detroit– are in playoffs this year, for first time since 2016.
In entire Super Bowl era, Lions are 1-12 in playoff games (only win, 1991)
Haven’t played a home playoff game since 1993.
Green Bay– won their last Super Bowl in 2010.
Since then, Packers are 7-9 in playoff games, with two OT losses.
Houston– haven’t made playoff since 2019.
In their history, Texans are 4-2 in home playoff games, 0-4 on road.
Indianapolis– haven’t made playoffs since 2020.
Since Peyton Manning last played for Colts in 2010, there 4-5 in playoff games,
Jacksonville– have an 8-8 record in playoff games, 4-1 at home.
1-4 vs New England in playoff games, 7-4 vs everyone else.
Kansas City– from 2019-22, they’re 10-2 in playoff games, winning two Super Bowls.
From 1994-2018, were 2-11 in playoff games.
LA Rams– under Sean McVay, Rams are 7-3 in playoff games.
Before McVay came to LA in 2017, Rams’ last playoff game was in 2004.
Miami– Dolphins haven’t won a playoff game since 2000 (0-4).
From 1970-84, Miami was 13-8 in playoffs; since 1985, they’re 6-13.
Minnesota– from 1969-76, Vikings went 0-4 in Super Bowls.
Since 1989, Minnesota is 9-16 in the playoffs, 2-5 since 2012.
New Orleans– won their only Super Bowl 14 years ago, beating Colts 31-17.
Since then, Saints are 4-7 in playoff games, losing last three at home.
New Orleans hasn’t made the playoffs since 2020.
Philadelphia– since 2017, Eagles are 6-4 in playoff games.
Andy Reid was 10-9 in playoff games for Eagles, from 1999-2012.
Pittsburgh– haven’t won a playoff game since 2016.
Lost last four playoff games, giving up 36-45-48-42 points.
San Francisco– 49ers haven’t won a Super Bowl since 1994.
Since 2012, 49ers are 10-5 in playoff games, 0-2 in Super Bowls.
Seattle– won Super Bowl in 2014, lost it the next season.
Since then, Seahawks are 3-6 in playoff games.
Tampa Bay– won two Super Bowls, in 2002/2020.
Other than those two years, Buccaneers are 4-11 in playoff games.
Arizona- since 2010, they’re 1-3 in playoff games.
in last 50 years, they’re 4-0 in home playoff games.
Atlanta- haven’t made playoffs since 2017
since 1998, they made playoffs 9 times, went 6-3 in first playoff game that year
Carolina- haven’t made playoffs since 2017
Lost Super Bowl eight years ago; since then, they’re 0-1 in playoff games.
Chicago- since 2011, Bears are 0-2 in playoff games.
haven’t won a road playoff game since 1999
3-4 in last seven home playoff games.
Cincinnati- from 1991-2020, Bengals were 0-7 in playoff games
Last two years, Bengals were 5-2 in playoff games (both losses 23-20 on road).
Denver- won Super Bowl in 2015, haven’t made the playoffs since.
Haven’t played a road playoff game since 2011.
Since 1997, they’re 9-3 in home playoff games.
Las Vegas- 21 years ago, they lost Super Bowl 48-21 to Jon Gruden’s Buccaneers.
in 21 years since then, Raiders are 0-2 in playoff games.
LA Chargers- haven’t played a home playoff game since 2009.
in Super Bowl era: 5-6 in home playoff games, 6-8 on road, 0-1 in Super Bowl
New England- Patriots went 30-11 in playoffs with Tom Brady at QB.
In nine years as a HC without Brady on his team, Bill Belichick is 1-2 in playoff games- the only win was against New England, when Belichick was coaching the Browns.
NJ Giants- won their 4th Super Bowl 12 years ago; since then, they’re 1-2 in playoff games.
Giants are 6-2 in their last eight road playoff games.
NJ Jets- haven’t been in the playoffs since 2010, longest current drought in NFL.
are 5-5 in road playoff games since their last home playoff game, in 2002.
Tennessee- lost their last three home playoff games.
have played in four overtime playoff games, going 2-2.
Titans are 4-8 in playoffs since they lost Super Bowl XXXIV to the Rams.
Washington- Commanders haven’t won a playoff game since 2005.
Washington won 3 Super Bowls with 3 different QB’s: Theismann, Williams, Rypien.
