nFl 2023-24
- Thread starter WildBillPicks7
- Start date
Wild Will!! I was bottom feeding all day with some big live bets getting lots of points. I missed much of this magic swimming in the murky waters..
That Daniel Jones is one tough SOB. That's a kill zone he's playing behind.
14-2-1, +31.8 units in week 4? OMG!! And Week 5's card for me absolutely sucks but a couple very good scenarios happening so I'll concentrate on those plays.
11-8, +2.2, 1 unit sides
8-9-1, -1.9, 1 unit totals
9-7-1, +6.5, 5 unit sides
1-1, -.5, 5 unit totals
3-0, +5.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser:
4-2, +9.50, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser
0-1, -5.5, 5 unit team total
1-1, -.10, 1 unit team total
1-0, +1.2, 1 unit Sweetheart teaser
0-1, -5.0, 5 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-0, +5.0, 2H-5 unit play
1-0, +1.0, 2H-1 unit play
1-1, -.50, 5 unit Live plays
0-1, -5.25, 5 unit ML plays
...........TOTAL OF YEAR
...........GAME OF YEAR
WON.....41....LOSS.....32....PUSH....2...., +11.65 units, beginning 9/7/23
11-8, +2.2, 1 unit sides
8-9-1, -1.9, 1 unit totals
9-7-1, +6.5, 5 unit sides
1-1, -.5, 5 unit totals
3-0, +5.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser:
4-2, +9.50, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser
0-1, -5.5, 5 unit team total
1-1, -.10, 1 unit team total
1-0, +1.2, 1 unit Sweetheart teaser
0-1, -5.0, 5 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-0, +5.0, 2H-5 unit play
1-0, +1.0, 2H-1 unit play
1-1, -.50, 5 unit Live plays
0-1, -5.25, 5 unit ML plays
...........TOTAL OF YEAR
...........GAME OF YEAR
WON.....41....LOSS.....32....PUSH....2...., +11.65 units, beginning 9/7/23
Week 5
7 pt: Washington +1 & Over 37 1/2 (5 units) - angle here, both teams off OT losses, Bears had a14 pt lead at one time, Wash had a 7 pt lead at the half vs Philly, last year score 12-7 in favor of Washington w/a different QB mind you. Tonight's game will all depend on field position and who can run the ball effectively LOSER
Two Quarter plays tonight:
2Q- Over 12 1/2 (5 units) WINNER
4Q- Over 13 1/2 (5 units) WINNER
Jags +5 1/2 - Bills got their big "W" exploiting Miami at home last week now travel overseas where the Jags are familiar with the territory and Lawrence needs to use last week as a stepping up stone to take down the Bills
Over 44 1/2 Car/Det (5 units) - doesn't matter who's at QB for Carolina, they stink, Detroit is gelling and Carolina can't stop the run, so Gybbs will have a field day toting the rock along with St Brown getting looks, Detroit also gives up big plays.
Carolina +10 (5 units) - Detroit as a DD fav at home? Didn't they lose to Seattle at home in OT? I ain't giving up that many points even with Dalton or Young at QB for the Panthers. Carolina is 0-4 SU, they played NO well at home and they should be able to hang under the number here on the road.
Tenn -2 - Henry & Mears should be able to tote the rock, Titans "D" should contain Richardson, Indy is 0-5 vs Tenn L5 and lost 24-17 at home LY, similar type game here
New England +1 (5 units) - Patriots QB woes continued at Dallas last week, now back at home, Jones in the doghouse, Zappe a start here? He can't do any worse, they are at home and it's time for running game to eat a bit. Saints QB Carr still gimpy
Over 39 NO/NE
Balt -3 (5 units) - Ravens run game & Lamar will be too much for Pittsburgh who'll be going to Mitch Trubisky here, Ravens off big road win vs Cleveland last week, Pittsburgh spiraling in the wrong direction have to count on their "D" to win games, public backing Pittsburgh at 75% yet the line keeps moving up!!
Over 44 1/2 Cincy/AZ
Philly -4 1/2 - Stafford hobbled a bit last week and had the win in OT just as the Eagles did last week, Rams "D" giving up large runs per play which the Eagles love in this matchup, look for Swift to have a good day vs front 7 of Rams and Brown/Smith combo to get their catches.
Denver -1 1/2 (5 units) - hard to back Denver, even with public outburst from Payton about Jets Hackett, Jets improved last week and covered vs KC however, now they go into Rocky Mountain HIGH with Denver off big come from behind win in OT vs daBears, now Wilson has to up his game and running game for Broncs difference here at home, public 70% on the Jets
Over 52 KC/Minn
SF -3 1/2 (5 units) - Niners "D" too much along with McCaffrey running the ball and Ayiuk back to go with Samuel on the wideouts, Niners have owned Dallas in post-season and continue dominance here.
Green Bay -1 - check status of Garropolo, McDaniels sucks as a HC in the NFL, that's his 2nd chance and he's proven he's a better second fiddle than the lead fiddler, Love can find his tall WRs and running game should eat up Raiders on the road.
11-8, +2.2, 1 unit sides
8-9-1, -1.9, 1 unit totals
9-7-1, +6.5, 5 unit sides
1-1, -.5, 5 unit totals
3-0, +5.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser:
4-2, +9.50, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser
0-1, -5.5, 5 unit team total
1-1, -.10, 1 unit team total
1-0, +1.2, 1 unit Sweetheart teaser
0-1, -5.0, 5 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-0, +5.0, 2H-5 unit play
1-0, +1.0, 2H-1 unit play
1-1, -.50, 5 unit Live plays
0-1, -5.25, 5 unit ML plays
...........TOTAL OF YEAR
...........GAME OF YEAR
WON.....41....LOSS.....32....PUSH....2...., +11.65 units, beginning 9/7/23
7 pt: Washington +1 & Over 37 1/2 (5 units) - angle here, both teams off OT losses, Bears had a14 pt lead at one time, Wash had a 7 pt lead at the half vs Philly, last year score 12-7 in favor of Washington w/a different QB mind you. Tonight's game will all depend on field position and who can run the ball effectively LOSER
Two Quarter plays tonight:
2Q- Over 12 1/2 (5 units) WINNER
4Q- Over 13 1/2 (5 units) WINNER
Jags +5 1/2 - Bills got their big "W" exploiting Miami at home last week now travel overseas where the Jags are familiar with the territory and Lawrence needs to use last week as a stepping up stone to take down the Bills
Over 44 1/2 Car/Det (5 units) - doesn't matter who's at QB for Carolina, they stink, Detroit is gelling and Carolina can't stop the run, so Gybbs will have a field day toting the rock along with St Brown getting looks, Detroit also gives up big plays.
Carolina +10 (5 units) - Detroit as a DD fav at home? Didn't they lose to Seattle at home in OT? I ain't giving up that many points even with Dalton or Young at QB for the Panthers. Carolina is 0-4 SU, they played NO well at home and they should be able to hang under the number here on the road.
Tenn -2 - Henry & Mears should be able to tote the rock, Titans "D" should contain Richardson, Indy is 0-5 vs Tenn L5 and lost 24-17 at home LY, similar type game here
New England +1 (5 units) - Patriots QB woes continued at Dallas last week, now back at home, Jones in the doghouse, Zappe a start here? He can't do any worse, they are at home and it's time for running game to eat a bit. Saints QB Carr still gimpy
Over 39 NO/NE
Balt -3 (5 units) - Ravens run game & Lamar will be too much for Pittsburgh who'll be going to Mitch Trubisky here, Ravens off big road win vs Cleveland last week, Pittsburgh spiraling in the wrong direction have to count on their "D" to win games, public backing Pittsburgh at 75% yet the line keeps moving up!!
Over 44 1/2 Cincy/AZ
Philly -4 1/2 - Stafford hobbled a bit last week and had the win in OT just as the Eagles did last week, Rams "D" giving up large runs per play which the Eagles love in this matchup, look for Swift to have a good day vs front 7 of Rams and Brown/Smith combo to get their catches.
Denver -1 1/2 (5 units) - hard to back Denver, even with public outburst from Payton about Jets Hackett, Jets improved last week and covered vs KC however, now they go into Rocky Mountain HIGH with Denver off big come from behind win in OT vs daBears, now Wilson has to up his game and running game for Broncs difference here at home, public 70% on the Jets
Over 52 KC/Minn
SF -3 1/2 (5 units) - Niners "D" too much along with McCaffrey running the ball and Ayiuk back to go with Samuel on the wideouts, Niners have owned Dallas in post-season and continue dominance here.
Green Bay -1 - check status of Garropolo, McDaniels sucks as a HC in the NFL, that's his 2nd chance and he's proven he's a better second fiddle than the lead fiddler, Love can find his tall WRs and running game should eat up Raiders on the road.
11-8, +2.2, 1 unit sides
8-9-1, -1.9, 1 unit totals
9-7-1, +6.5, 5 unit sides
1-1, -.5, 5 unit totals
3-0, +5.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser:
4-2, +9.50, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser
0-1, -5.5, 5 unit team total
1-1, -.10, 1 unit team total
1-0, +1.2, 1 unit Sweetheart teaser
0-1, -5.0, 5 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-0, +5.0, 2H-5 unit play
1-0, +1.0, 2H-1 unit play
1-1, -.50, 5 unit Live plays
0-1, -5.25, 5 unit ML plays
...........TOTAL OF YEAR
...........GAME OF YEAR
WON.....41....LOSS.....32....PUSH....2...., +11.65 units, beginning 9/7/23
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OVER 47 1/2 NYG/Miami (5 units) - So the Giants can't stop any one from scoring and Miami scoring at close to 40 ppg!! GLE!!
7-12 overall in Week 5, -24.4 units!!
Week 6, 10/12-10/16
7 pt: KC -3 1/2 & Under 54 1/2 (5 units) - KC not a good DD Fav cover, Denver can't cover shit either and blew so many chances at home vs the Jets in the Hackett return game!! Chiefs "D" will put pressure on Wilson who's been scrambling better of late, thanks to escape routes in the collapsing pocket, the Broncos running game as well not doing so well, yet Denver has been able to score points, just not in KC. Denver's running "D" and passing "D" allow way more than the average yards per game, evidenced vs Wilson & Jets last week, vs Chicago and got totally blown out for 70 pts vs the Dolphins. I don't see that trend changing too much on TNF in KC vs Mahomes, Pacheco and the other receivers KC has other than Kelce. It's also a short week! WINNER
Baltimore -4 - taking Ravens once again, they can't blow a game like they did again vs the Steelers here vs the Titans can they? I think they bounce back as Tannehill's magic is wearing down and Colts "D" stymied Titans last week, which not too many teams have done. Ravens by a TD in London!!
SF -5, -9 1/2 (5 units) - Niners one of two undefeateds with the best on paper "D" face another tough "D" with a ? mark at QB for the Brownies, Ford should be back for Browns, but key here is Purdy and his weapons which for me are at least a TD better than the Browns.
Miami -13 1/2 - Dolphins can name their score vs an "O" that stinks evidenced by their loss at Detroit last week so 2 straight weeks on the road, the Dolphins are missing Achane so Mostert & Wilson will fill in along with the WRs weapons for Tua
LV -3 - can't back the Patriots anymore this year
Jags -4 (5 units) - one of the first matchups where both teams faced each other already in their conference and division, Jags off 2 straight games in London now face Indy with Minshew at the helm for Indy and Taylor in the fold at RB but don't tell Moss who had a breakout day last week vs Tennessee, Jags have Indy's number and should win this one by 6 or more
Philly -6 1/2 (5 units) - Eagles go from West to East now face Jets who won their media game for Hackett last week in Denver of all places, Wilson & the Jet offense are playing better but they've not faced a "D" line like what Philly has and of course Hurts is a mobile QB and Jets DBs will get challenge, D Smith for Eagles has been quiet thus far and it's time for a breakout game for him because Brown has been on FIRE for the Eagles and Jets will concentrate on him while Goeddert and the other receivers get their targets, special teams also a factor here, I have Eagles winning by 10!
Buffalo -15 1/2 (5 units) - Bills smarting a bit for oversleeping their flight into London last week, tried the comeback vs Jags, now are home and catch the Giants limping and going to 2nd string QB at home, may be some wind in this game so I'll side with running style and "D" of Bills to cover over the Giants, as I have Bills winning by 34?
Under 51 1/2 Dallas/LAC (5 units)
12-9, +2.1, 1 unit sides
10-12-1, -3.2, 1 unit totals
10-11-1, -10.5, 5 unit sides
2-2, -1.0, 5 unit totals
3-0, +5.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser:
4-4, -1.5, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser
0-1, -5.5, 5 unit team total
1-1, -.10, 1 unit team total
1-0, +1.2, 1 unit Sweetheart teaser
0-1, -5.0, 5 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-0, +5.0, 2H-5 unit play
1-0, +1.0, 2H-1 unit play
2-0, +10.0, Quarter plays
1-2, -6.0, 5 unit Live plays
0-1, -5.25, 5 unit ML plays
...........TOTAL OF YEAR
...........GAME OF YEAR
WON.....48....LOSS.....44....PUSH....2...., -13.75 units, beginning 9/7/23
Week 6, 10/12-10/16
7 pt: KC -3 1/2 & Under 54 1/2 (5 units) - KC not a good DD Fav cover, Denver can't cover shit either and blew so many chances at home vs the Jets in the Hackett return game!! Chiefs "D" will put pressure on Wilson who's been scrambling better of late, thanks to escape routes in the collapsing pocket, the Broncos running game as well not doing so well, yet Denver has been able to score points, just not in KC. Denver's running "D" and passing "D" allow way more than the average yards per game, evidenced vs Wilson & Jets last week, vs Chicago and got totally blown out for 70 pts vs the Dolphins. I don't see that trend changing too much on TNF in KC vs Mahomes, Pacheco and the other receivers KC has other than Kelce. It's also a short week! WINNER
Baltimore -4 - taking Ravens once again, they can't blow a game like they did again vs the Steelers here vs the Titans can they? I think they bounce back as Tannehill's magic is wearing down and Colts "D" stymied Titans last week, which not too many teams have done. Ravens by a TD in London!!
SF -5, -9 1/2 (5 units) - Niners one of two undefeateds with the best on paper "D" face another tough "D" with a ? mark at QB for the Brownies, Ford should be back for Browns, but key here is Purdy and his weapons which for me are at least a TD better than the Browns.
Miami -13 1/2 - Dolphins can name their score vs an "O" that stinks evidenced by their loss at Detroit last week so 2 straight weeks on the road, the Dolphins are missing Achane so Mostert & Wilson will fill in along with the WRs weapons for Tua
LV -3 - can't back the Patriots anymore this year
Jags -4 (5 units) - one of the first matchups where both teams faced each other already in their conference and division, Jags off 2 straight games in London now face Indy with Minshew at the helm for Indy and Taylor in the fold at RB but don't tell Moss who had a breakout day last week vs Tennessee, Jags have Indy's number and should win this one by 6 or more
Philly -6 1/2 (5 units) - Eagles go from West to East now face Jets who won their media game for Hackett last week in Denver of all places, Wilson & the Jet offense are playing better but they've not faced a "D" line like what Philly has and of course Hurts is a mobile QB and Jets DBs will get challenge, D Smith for Eagles has been quiet thus far and it's time for a breakout game for him because Brown has been on FIRE for the Eagles and Jets will concentrate on him while Goeddert and the other receivers get their targets, special teams also a factor here, I have Eagles winning by 10!
Buffalo -15 1/2 (5 units) - Bills smarting a bit for oversleeping their flight into London last week, tried the comeback vs Jags, now are home and catch the Giants limping and going to 2nd string QB at home, may be some wind in this game so I'll side with running style and "D" of Bills to cover over the Giants, as I have Bills winning by 34?
Under 51 1/2 Dallas/LAC (5 units)
12-9, +2.1, 1 unit sides
10-12-1, -3.2, 1 unit totals
10-11-1, -10.5, 5 unit sides
2-2, -1.0, 5 unit totals
3-0, +5.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser:
4-4, -1.5, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser
0-1, -5.5, 5 unit team total
1-1, -.10, 1 unit team total
1-0, +1.2, 1 unit Sweetheart teaser
0-1, -5.0, 5 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-0, +5.0, 2H-5 unit play
1-0, +1.0, 2H-1 unit play
2-0, +10.0, Quarter plays
1-2, -6.0, 5 unit Live plays
0-1, -5.25, 5 unit ML plays
...........TOTAL OF YEAR
...........GAME OF YEAR
WON.....48....LOSS.....44....PUSH....2...., -13.75 units, beginning 9/7/23
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