Week 9
11/2 - 11/6
TNF: 7 pt: Titans +10 & Under 44 - Pickett with a flaq jacket tonight, defensive edge to Titans, Steelers pass "D" gives up tons of yards and yards after the catch, something Hopkins will exploit, Steelers offense has been Dr Jeckyl Mr Hyde all year and played their best game vs Ravens in a total Ravens meltdown dropping passes like madness. Rookie QB has no fear as evidenced vs Atlanta last week, he'll need to keep his head here in a non-divisioin game, but a statement game to get the Titans back into post-season contention in the South Division in the AFC. This line moved by the public back and forth from 3 1/2 to 2 1/2 to 3, someone's trying to middle the game? Nope, this is a pick'em with home field edge to Steelers, but I like Titans Henry to have a night along with Spears and Hopkins will keep Steelers pre-occupied, seems like a 17-14 or 21-18 type game!
Giants +1 1/2 (5 units) - meltdown in LV, as long as Mark Davis owns that team, it's going to be a sub par team!! The Raiders are worth more on the market than they are on the field!! Pretty sad! Tyrod or Daniel Jones I don't care, they are better than O'Connell!! Giants played Bills tough on the road at beat Washington at home by 7 easily!! They should have beaten the J-E-T-S, Jets Jets Jets, if not for shitty coaching in the last 10 minutes of the game!!
Miami +1 1/2 - Chiefs suck people!! Plain and simple. They can't beat Denver yet the Jets beat Denver at Denver? What's the excuse? Andy Reid lost his touch as a HC? Mahomes can't find receivers anymore? Their "D" sucks? I just feel they are over hyped, win on teams' miscues, they have no chemistry, no Wide Out has a TD over 20 yards the last 2 years since Tyreek left, and teams will start keying on Kelce game to game so long as he can't rip a short gainer into a long running reception. Tua has better WR and running backs and overall speed, this will be a test for Dolphins and this is played over seas. Neutral game!! Dog are bust for me
Minnesota +4 1/2 - Falcons suck as bad as the Raiders do people, Vikings acquired Dobbs, to me, he's better than Heinecke and Ridder, Hall will start they say for Vikings, I just like the points as this should be a pick 1/1 line.
Over 42 1/2 Sea/Balt - both teams with very good WRs and Seattle catches Ravens off AZ win, Seattle off 4 point win over Cleveland
Seattle +6 1/2 (5 units) - evenly matched offenses, key will be tall WRs for Seattle and the fact Ravens coming back from Western Trip to Arizona which didn't impress me much after blowing out the Lions.
Rams +3 (5 units) - Stafford or Love? Who ya taking? Stafford, Rams' "D" for me all better than Packers, in the cold and at home I don't care, Rams all day for me.
New England -3 - Patriots can take advantage of Washington letting 2 key DE go and who do they have now to rush Jones? NE starting to play better, still have to establish running attack and that's coming along too, just betting on NE at home and with better overall team and chemistry
Saints -7 - Who ya want? Carr/Winston/Hill or Bagent? Saints "D" just better and maybe they'll win the game on their own!!
Over 46 1/2 Philly/Dallas (5 units) - Hyped game, Dak vs Hurts, etc., AJ Brown can't be stopped people, teams who try 2 on covering AJ get burned by Smith, now Jones a factor, and Goeddert, plus Swift is running lights out between the tackles. Key here will be Eagles front 7 putting pressure on Dak and DBs for Eagles not playing Zone, and put man 2 man on Lamb, Cooks, etc. for Dallas, 31-27 type game?
Cincy -1 1/2 (5 units) - Can't back Bills even with Allen at QB, Bengals are playing better, had 2 games on the left coast, now home, rested and waiting on rematch vs the Bills, taking Jimmy B over Josh Allen here!!
added: 11/5/23
Eagles -3 (5 units) - taking the Eagles "D" over Dallas "O", they'll get onto Dak early and often especially Davis & Carter, Cox should play and Reddick is licking his chops with or without T Smith playing OT for Dallas. Oh and who's the play caller for the Cowboys? Predictable!! Dallas has beaten Eagles 3 of last 4, so taking the double revenge short line angle here. The Eagles also beat the Rams, but they beat the Rams in LA!!
LIVE: Miami +16 1/2 (5 units)
LIVE: Over 41 Miami/KC
7 pt: Chargers +4 & Under 48 1/2 - Chargers just better offensively overall and perhaps Zach Wilson will melt down finally and cough up a cookie to the Chargers' "D". Chargers also 4-1 L5 SU vs Jets, national TV game, 2 weeks in a row and Chargers in must wins every week for post-season. Jets will start to wear down as their "D" has played more minutes than the offense and last week they are coming off an OT win in which they should have lost!!
17-13-1, +2.7, 1 unit sides
13-14-1, -4.3, 1 unit totals
13-15-2, -18.0, 5 unit sides
6-4, +8.0, 5 unit totals
4-0, +6.0, 1 unit, 7 pt teaser:
7-5, +7.5, 5 unit, 7 pt teaser
0-1, -5.5, 5 unit team total
1-1, -.10, 1 unit team total
1-0, +1.2, 1 unit Sweetheart teaser
1-1, +9.3, 5 unit Sweetheart teaser
2-1, +4.5, 2H-5 unit play
1-0, +1.0, 2H-1 unit play
3-1, +9.5, Quarter plays
1-3, -11.5, 5 unit Live plays
0-1, -5.25, 5 unit ML plays
1-0, +1.0, 1 unit Live Play
LOSER, 45 LAC/CHICAGO, LAC 30 CHI 13, 10/29/23, -11.0 units, TOTAL OF YEAR
...........GAME OF YEAR
WON.....72....LOSS.....61....PUSH....4...., -3.95 units, beginning 9/7/23
