Odds to be our next President

Smitty

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I'll take the bet if you let me. She isn't the official nominee yet, so any Democrat to win the 2024 presidential election for $1000.
be careful. just remember it took a few sane republican Boards of Elections to do the right thing in 2020. and some of them have been replaced by magas. they are convinced the dems stole that election and won't think twice about cheating to win this one.

although... if trump wins, we're so fucked anyways. i guess $1K here or there ain't gonna matter.

now if anybody wants to bet on the popular vote, hell, i'm in for $5K. hedgehog? you seem pretty cocky about this election. and when i win, i'm just gonna donate that money to planned parenthood.
 
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DOGS THAT BARK

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I'll take the bet if you let me. She isn't the official nominee yet, so any Democrat to win the 2024 presidential election for $1000.
You would be only person down here I would make wager with besides jack. You got bet.
If she isn't nominated you have choice of cancel wager or take the actual nominee at same odds. Fair enough?
I'd prefer a good independent over either.
Made this wager in 9-2023 as was uncertain if either candidate would make it to election.

225729295-1Sep 27, 2023 2:25 pm PSTG1921252 - Politics - / Match / Outright Winner / Republican Party +110
My fav wagers are on Senate races but I got greedy and waited too long for better odds.

I am quite sure you,jack,myself and others share same sentiment ..strange times when we are left the options we have.
 
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WhatsHisNuts

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You would be only person down here I would make wager with besides jack. You got bet.
If she isn't nominated you have choice of cancel wager or take the actual nominee at same odds. Fair enough?
I'd prefer a good independent over either.
Made this wager in 9-2023 as was uncertain if either candidate would make it to election.

225729295-1Sep 27, 2023 2:25 pm PSTG1921252 - Politics - / Match / Outright Winner / Republican Party +110
My fav wagers are on Senate races but I got greedy and waited too long for better odds.

I am quite sure you,jack,myself and others share same sentiment ..strange times when we are left the options we have.
It's a bet.
 

EXTRAPOLATER

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I've been checking Pinnacle (my most recent former). At least since just after the ear graze.
Seemed crazy rich, but Trump vs field was -296 at that peak.
Seen it slowly (then rapidly) tick down. Currently a stunning -105 for Trump.
I don't know shit, but I'd be tempted to pummel that at even money if it happens.
I assume that the God forgive stuff provokes refund, on top of whatever riots.


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EXTRAPOLATER

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Word on line movement over the past month

Pinnacle had that Trump line gradually hit a high of +113.
Started coming down slowly after that, notably after the DNC.
Elon Musk interview appeared to have no effect, btw.
Trump -122 yesterday.
Trump -125 today.
Field +103

If my antique notes are correct, 2020 election had Trump as fave until early June, where eventual winner Biden then became the fave and remained so until election.
Not much of a pattern and probably useless addendum, but it is was what it was.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Refreshing to see someone enter this thread with a non political... statistical slant on subject. My fav wagers are on congress. Will post later.
Looking forward to your views.
 

Goldylock$

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Analyzing line movement on a election is american as fuck
 

kickserv

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Not that anybody gives a shit considering 98 percent of Madjackers live in the USA, but at some Canuck Sportsbooks, you can currently get Harris at around +135 odds to be the next President.

So if any of you Harris backers want to send me an envelope with wads of cash, I'll place the wager for you:kurby
 

kickserv

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I did place a bet on the following.......

2024 turnout percentage to be bigger than 2020 (66.61%) at odds of +175


umm....if there is ever an election where Americans should actually turn up and vote it is this one. I mean you have to figure more than 66.61 percent of potential voters would show up.

+175 odds?.......worth a shot at those odds🤷‍♂️🤷‍♀️🤷‍♂️
 

Smitty

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I did place a bet on the following.......

2024 turnout percentage to be bigger than 2020 (66.61%) at odds of +175


umm....if there is ever an election where Americans should actually turn up and vote it is this one. I mean you have to figure more than 66.61 percent of potential voters would show up.

+175 odds?.......worth a shot at those odds🤷‍♂️🤷‍♀️🤷‍♂️
any time you're relying on americans to turn out for an election, you're asking for trouble. +175 does seem generous.

certainly possible plenty of former trump supporters decide to sit this one out because they've realized how horrible trump is, but, gosh darnit, they just can't vote for a democrat. and the young liberals may decide they're just too darn upset about our support for israel to possibly vote for harris.

the real question... will the votes of millions of illegal immigrants count towards that total? i hear canadians are streaming across the border to cast early votes for harris. caravans of syrup-suckers.
 
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