Odds to be our next President

kickserv

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I took Trump +200 last August, and middle off with Kamala +157 shortly after Biden was kicked to the curb by pelosi

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Revolutionary Intentions

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I realize that polls and pinnacle sports are both leaning more towards Trump at this time, but I don’t really see a path for Trump to win this election. No one is going to convince me that Pennsylvania will go red. I will say this, the only reason Trump has any chance is that Kamala Picked that creep from Minnesota as her VP. Pennsylvania governor, Shapiro, is easily my favorite Democrat and it’s not even close. I feel this cat has an excellent chance to be Potus in 4 to 12 years.

In fact, if he were the Democratic presidential candidate in this election, I would give him a very hard look. The concern I would have with Shapiro is I don’t want either party to control the White House and both chambers. That’s very important to me. In fact, I will not vote for Trump. If it appears leading up to the race that Republicans are going to control both chambers, even with a simple majority.
 

EXTRAPOLATER

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from Pinnacle:
Trump -130 yesterday
Trump -129 just pre-debate
Trump -119 about an hour (little less) post-debate
No 'Field', but now Harris -133, Trump +105, about 3 hours post-debate.
 
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Revolutionary Intentions

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Trump performed like trump. Kamala came off better than she typically does. I wondered why Trump didn’t ask her how she expected to pay for the 25k to new homeowners, 6k child tax credit and the 50k entrepreneurial grants.

As it might’ve mentioned here yesterday, I just don’t see a way that Trump wins this election. I simply can’t fathom him winning Pennsylvania.
 

Smitty

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Trump performed like trump. Kamala came off better than she typically does. I wondered why Trump didn’t ask her how she expected to pay for the 25k to new homeowners, 6k child tax credit and the 50k entrepreneurial grants.

As it might’ve mentioned here yesterday, I just don’t see a way that Trump wins this election. I simply can’t fathom him winning Pennsylvania.
she was certainly vulnerable on some things, but he simply isn't disciplined enough to hammer her on those.

after 9 years of this, does he really lose a single vote after last night?

and maga's plan to win the election hasn't changed. they're going to cheat, cheat, and cheat. maga has taken over a lot of local boards of elections. they're going to refuse to certify... demand recounts... demand investigations... everything and anything to delay the certification of the election. in their minds, they simply can't comprehend the fact that they're going to lose. just like donny. so if the dems are winning, the magas are going to assume it's because the dems cheated. which, in their minds, justifies THEM cheating.
 
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EXTRAPOLATER

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Less than 48 hours ago I was seeing,
Trump -120
Harris +100

Currently I see,
Trump -143
Harris +118

I confess to personally finding Kamala Harris repulsive (even more so than Donald Trump).
I also confess to seeing value in that +118, whether hallucination or othewise.

Good Random to All


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Revolutionary Intentions

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Less than 48 hours ago I was seeing,
Trump -120
Harris +100

Currently I see,
Trump -143
Harris +118

I confess to personally finding Kamala Harris repulsive (even more so than Donald Trump).
I also confess to seeing value in that +118, whether hallucination or othewise.

Good Random to All


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For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
I agree 100% with all of this. She’s even worse than him, and I’m not buying that Trump has a chance here.

No action for me going forward on this because I took Trump +200 last August and I covered it up with Harris +136 after pelosi kicked Biden to the curb
 

Revolutionary Intentions

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Almost all polls have Harris in front.
I was watching something yesterday breaking down polls. Final realclearpolitics polling average in 2016 was Hillary +6. She won by 2, and on 2020 Biden was +10 and he won by 4.

If the RCP averages skewed left by 4 to 6 points this year, then Trump walks with popular vote and 300+ electoral votes

That’s said, I just don’t see something like that happening. I just can’t wrap my head around Trump winning Pennsylvania or Michigan .

Mind you, had Kamala picked best candidate for vice president instead of avoiding the Jew to satisfy the far left, Pennsylvania would not be in play.
 

Revolutionary Intentions

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Fantastically done, dogs! A legend of the political board. Sharp as a razor blade, to boot. . Picks up DJT -110.

Pinny has it sitting at cool -164.
 

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DOGS THAT BARK

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Things getting interesting per our wager Gary .Never let emotions dictate actions.
I'm making wager $600 today at BetUS on Harris to win at +160. .
Per our wager I will break even or make $500+ ...A situation I would like always, however not at your expense.


US Politics​



Follow
Markets (+1)
3001
Kamala Harris

+160


3002
Donald Trump Sr.

-185
 

EXTRAPOLATER

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Looks like the only successful hits on Trump this month have involved people's mouse clicks.
Coin-toss 'Vegas polling' has slowly gone askew, creeping its way to a current:
Trump -185
Harris +161

Maybe there is a God in this simulation.
 

MadJack

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Something screwy about the odds.

At BOL....

Trump -180
Harris +155

Election winner to lose popular vote:
NO -170
YES +130

President popular vote winner:
Harris -210
Trump +175

Somebody please explain that to me.
 

kickserv

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I did place a bet on the following.......

2024 turnout percentage to be bigger than 2020 (66.61%) at odds of +175

adding.......


2024 USA Presidential Election Winner

Kamala Harris +175



ok.....umm.....American democracy is on the line, 67 percent gotta show up and vote, I mean how could you not show up and vote? Literally the biggest election in USA history by far, and 67 percent won't show up? I mean come on, gotta be higher than 66.61 percent, it just gotta be!

And no matter how big the Trump cult is, when people step into the voting booth and know there is a dude on the ballot that wants to destroy America, they will vote for Harris. In other words in public they'll say they are for Trump, but when it gets right down to it and they are in the privacy of a voting booth, they'll vote for America.

Now that ladies and gentleman is what we call kick ass handicapping, even hammer1 is jealous:smilies1

Two +175 odds winners coming up for kickserv.........mark it down now :smilies19
 
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