Parlay Options

[BOXLOCKS]

With all the solid action coming up and dozens of fights already on the board, I figured now would be a good time to start this thread. Will update it weekly and keep it going throughout the year. The purpose of this thread is to discuss the heavy favorites coming up in an attempt to eliminate parlay busters.


gl bl

 

[punchmaster]

With all the solid action coming up and dozens of fights already on the board, I figured now would be a good time to start this thread. Will update it weekly and keep it going throughout the year. The purpose of this thread is to discuss the heavy favorites coming up in an attempt to eliminate parlay busters.


gl bl

Sounds like a good idea, I suppose by noting potential parlay busters, we'll uncover live dogs. I'd be leary of laying the chalk on Samuel Peter, the one that McCline had on the deck like 3 times. I think if Maskaev is injury free with a good camp- he may be able to box well against the limited Peter. Maskaev's back was a mess when he stopped Rahman in 12. Couple of rumors of domestic issues for Peter floating around also.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Looking at these for this week...already played Alvarado straight -200 and have a pending parlay on Valuev strictly as a hedge for Lyak by decision. Which leaves these options...


Rodriguez over Browning -1100.....I'll most likely add Delvin to a parlay later this week. Browning is now 40, no power at all, and a class below Delvin

Mijares over Navarro -390.....I like the favorite here, but haven't added him to anything yet. Navarro has absolutely no power, but he's a very skilled fighter.

Looking for opinions on both of those fights


Down the road options I'm looking at...

Klitschko -500
Guerrero -600
Spinks -550
Cotto -800


Line is dropping on Klitschko. I realize Ibrag is a solid fighter, but he hasn't looked good in his last few fights. I just can't see him winning this fight, unless Klit punches himself out


Thoughts or Opinions?

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Sounds like a good idea, I suppose by noting potential parlay busters, we'll uncover live dogs. I'd be leary of laying the chalk on Samuel Peter, the one that McCline had on the deck like 3 times. I think if Maskaev is injury free with a good camp- he may be able to box well against the limited Peter. Maskaev's back was a mess when he stopped Rahman in 12. Couple of rumors of domestic issues for Peter floating around also.

I agree completely, played Mask at +370 myself

Btw, I decided to ride with you on Terdsak over Lueveno, got down at +560...small play

gl bl

 

[punchmaster]

Looking at these for this week...already played Alvarado straight -200 and have a pending parlay on Valuev strictly as a hedge for Lyak by decision. Which leaves these options...


Rodriguez over Browning -1100.....I'll most likely add Delvin to a parlay later this week. Browning is now 40, no power at all, and a class below Delvin

Mijares over Navarro -390.....I like the favorite here, but haven't added him to anything yet. Navarro has absolutely no power, but he's a very skilled fighter.

Looking for opinions on both of those fights


Down the road options I'm looking at...

Klitschko -500
Guerrero -600
Spinks -550
Cotto -800


Line is dropping on Klitschko. I realize Ibrag is a solid fighter, but he hasn't looked good in his last few fights. I just can't see him winning this fight, unless Klit punches himself out


Thoughts or Opinions?

I always thought the value in the Klit-Ibragimov fight was in the over, especially since it's been close to +200. Ibragimov is defensive-minded, particulary with Jeff Mayweather at the controls, of course is a southpaw with handspeed and good movement, and like Klit- does not like to get hit. He's got a fast straight left hand that I hope reaches Klit's chin- keeps him honest. If Klit gets tagged good, his strategy changes towards safety. I'd love the upset and will put a small play on Ibragimov, aware that Klit is right in his prime and a physical marvel. The over is what I'm after in that one.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

I always thought the value in the Klit-Ibragimov fight was in the over, especially since it's been close to +200. Ibragimov is defensive-minded, particulary with Jeff Mayweather at the controls, of course is a southpaw with handspeed and good movement, and like Klit- does not like to get hit. He's got a fast straight left hand that I hope reaches Klit's chin- keeps him honest. If Klit gets tagged good, his strategy changes towards safety. I'd love the upset and will put a small play on Ibragimov, aware that Klit is right in his prime and a physical marvel. The over is what I'm after in that one.

I put a little on Klit by 12rd decision at +475, just a small value play. GL on the Over...nice odds for sure

 

[Zerwas]

I'm on Klitschko by decision too!

 

[The Sponge]

Mijares over Navarro -390.....I like the favorite here, but haven't added him to anything yet. Navarro has absolutely no power, but he's a very skilled fighter.

Just love the way this kid Mijares fights. How he has lost three with two draws is mind boggling to me. Looks like he hasn't lost in close to six years. If you guys want to bet the other side to knock down the odds a little for me i would appreciate it.:SIB

 

[weepaul]

Looking at these for this week...already played Alvarado straight -200 and have a pending parlay on Valuev strictly as a hedge for Lyak by decision. Which leaves these options...


Rodriguez over Browning -1100.....I'll most likely add Delvin to a parlay later this week. Browning is now 40, no power at all, and a class below Delvin

Mijares over Navarro -390.....I like the favorite here, but haven't added him to anything yet. Navarro has absolutely no power, but he's a very skilled fighter.

Looking for opinions on both of those fights


Down the road options I'm looking at...

Klitschko -500
Guerrero -600
Spinks -550
Cotto -800


Line is dropping on Klitschko. I realize Ibrag is a solid fighter, but he hasn't looked good in his last few fights. I just can't see him winning this fight, unless Klit punches himself out


Thoughts or Opinions?

I like all your picks except Guerrero. I think Jason is being vastly underated. I expect Guerrero to win but I will bet on Jason. He has skill and a huge heart. That counts for something with me.

Good luck.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

I like all your picks except Guerrero. I think Jason is being vastly underated. I expect Guerrero to win but I will bet on Jason. He has skill and a huge heart. That counts for something with me.

Good luck.

Litzua is a talented kid, very fun to watch, but I don't think he's ready for this. His lack of defense and experience going deap into tough fights are serious problems. I believe this is a 12 rounder, a huge factor as Litzua has stamina issues and he'll be nervous in this fight for sure. Don't get me wrong, I expect Jason to be very competitive while it lasts, I just can't see him lasting 12 rounds the way he fights. Guerrero is a monster these days, his punching power has increased imo, I think he'll take over in the mid to late rounds.

However, I still haven't used Geurrero in anythiing yet, so maybe you're on to something. Interested in more opinions for this

Either way it'll be a good action fight

gl bl

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Rodriguez over Browning -1100.....I'll most likely add Delvin to a parlay later this week. Browning is now 40, no power at all, and a class below Delvin

Mijares over Navarro -390.....I like the favorite here, but haven't added him to anything yet. Navarro has absolutely no power, but he's a very skilled fighter.

Decided against Rodriguez for now, still think he'll win decisively but the line is too high to be worth the risk

Mijares is a go, already put him in one parlay and will add one more after the Valuev result tomarrow. Might end up putting alot on Mijares in parlays as I can always hedge with the Over and Navarrro by decision +630


gl bl

 

[nj]

I mentuioned this in another thread as well, but Spinks over at -330 looks like a good partner.

 

[nj]

Here's a neat one: Pavlik vs Taylor, no points deducted by referee -540. I love that play.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

I mentuioned this in another thread as well, but Spinks over at -330 looks like a good partner.

I responded to that play in my thread, how 'bout these...

Mayweather-DLH Over.....and.....Calzaghe-Hopkins Over

gl bl

 

[nj]

Mayweather/DLH over should cash, he landed clean shots on a smaller man with a poorer chin and worse defense than DLH and it took 9.5 rounds to get him out of there. With Mayweather Sr. I'm expecting DLH to just pressure with his jab and win rounds on volume punching alone, aiming at the shoulders and body, with no real intention of taking risks. DLH's defense and chin are good enough to go 12, quite frankly I think they are friendly outside of the ring and agreed to a 20$M exhibition. Mayweather saves his KO for Cotto.

We talked about Calzaghe-Hopkins ov/und earlier, I was hesitant in case Hop falls behind and resorts to headbutts inside, leading to a DQ or early scorecards. I don't know enough about Calzaghe's history of cuts, but I do know Winky Wright had a vagina placed on his eye courtesy of Hop's head. I don't know if its 100% safe, but I do think -300 is a great line.

Sorry for being so inconclusive lol.

 

[gardenweasel]

I responded to that play in my thread, how 'bout these...

Mayweather-DLH Over.....and.....Calzaghe-Hopkins Over

gl bl

i know everyone will think i`m crazy,but,i don`t necessarily think spinks is a lock at over -500 plus vs old verno phillips at 154.....

he`ll be slick,but,if phillips has anything left,he throws lots of punches from all angles and will press the issue....unlike say the russian,who was way to patient with spinks...

granted,it`s in missou...but,spinks just doesn`t have the oomph,especially at 154....and we know he can be hurt... phillips is way quicker and a bit more cagey than mayorga,who telegraphs his shots...

busy,stronger guys like ouma and quartey tend to wear down phillips...that shouldn`t happen here...and this is a 12-er....

i remember phillips seriously hurting the strong chinned quartey and he just stopped teddy reid(granted,reid`s shot).....

i still have some respect for phillips...he`s sneaky dangerous...

 

[nj]

btw ref is Tony Weeks. Both nice guys, no animosity or history of dirty boxing. The only foul I can see taking place is hitting when the other guy is officially down, particularly Pavlik. I doubt they will be close enough for headbutts or elbows or anything.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

i know everyone will think i`m crazy,but,i don`t necessarily think spinks is a lock at over -500 plus vs old verno phillips at 154.....

he`ll be slick,but,if phillips has anything left,he throws lots of punches from all angles and will press the issue....unlike say the russian,who was way to patient with spinks...

granted,it`s in missou...but,spinks just doesn`t have the oomph,especially at 154....and we know he can be hurt... phillips is way quicker and a bit more cagey than mayorga,who telegraphs his shots...

busy,stronger guys like ouma and quartey tend to wear down phillips...that shouldn`t happen here...and this is a 12-er....

i remember phillips seriously hurting the strong chinned quartey and he just stopped teddy reid(granted,reid`s shot).....

i still have some respect for phillips...he`s sneaky dangerous...

Fair enough gw, as of right now I don't have Spinks in any parlays and I may decide to leave it alone. Thats why I started this thread, was looking for opinions and I always appreciate yours.

If they fought 5 years ago I wouldn't touch Spinks in this fight. I have a great deal of respect for Verno, but at 38 I feel his best days are behind him. His last performance against Eddie Sanchez was sluggish at best. Verno fought well in the first half of the fight, and did enough to win, but the mediocre Sanchez came on in the late rounds. Eddie was getting the best of him at the end of the fight and I'm not sure Verno would've made it 12 rounds

Imo, a 13 month layoff for a 38 year old is not the same as a 10 month layoff for a 29 year old. I still expect Phillips to be dangerous early, and competitive throughout, but I don't think he's nearly the same fighter he was 20 years ago. I expect him to fade in the late rounds while the younger/fresher Spinks turns it on. However, the main reason I was considering Spinks for parlays....location and promotion. As mentioned, the fight is in Spinks hometown, but more importantly its promoted by Don King, and I believe Spinks is still a DK fighter. So Verno will have to dominate or stop the defensive minded Spinks to win this fight. Spinks is 2" taller, a slick southpaw with quik feet and good handspeed, he's a very tough fighter to dominate

Looking for more opinions on this one

gl bl

 

[Romi]

I def like spinks by dec. I don't think he has enough pop to get Vernos mother out of there. I agree, a young verno is a VERY tough fight for spinks but the 38 yr old version will be too slow to deal w/spinks quickness. I wouldn't expect good odds on a dec prop. I would think in the neighborhood of -250.

 

[gardenweasel]

well said,b.l. and romi......38 is 38........and that has to be a major consideration,as well as home court.....