This write up is not mine but this is how it is.
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Ravens win 30 - 20.
The difference of the Chiefs past wins was because of the defense allowing Mahomes to score early, which made Lamar make mistakes trying to play catch up.
Steve Spagnuolo ( DC for Chiefs) will jam receivers at the line and call a weak side blitz to force Lamar to make a turnover. Now, Steve is pretty good but G Ro had some questionable calls. I watched some old film and on 3rd and 10, he would call a QB run, then try to go for it on 4&2 and fail. That would leave Mahomes with a short field to work with. That’s asking for disaster.
Kelce is a problem due to his understanding of finding the soft spots in a defense. If I am Macdonald I would press him every play at the line to throw off the timing. Yesterday, he caught an easy TD due to busted coverage, but hasn’t been as effective.
Bills defense was severely wounded with 3 All Pros out and using 3rd string and practice squad players to step up (which they did an amazing job). Pacheco is a decent running back, however watching film from when the Broncos played them. Pacheco loves to deliver the blow but if you hit him good (Roquan smith) he starts to slow down. I would definitely use Pierce big body to stop the run.
In the past Wink loved blitzing almost every play, so if the blitz didn’t work then someone was open for the one on one. Macdonald is smart and not a heavy blitz guy, more of a zone and counter blitz will slow some of those “creative plays” that Mahomes make. PQ has to start hot this game, he was not the best against Texans TE Shultz. He was out of place in the zone but made up for it. Hamilton almost had an easy pick he definitely has to hold on to that going against Mahomes. That is the difference maker.
Josh Allen lost because he is truly cocky. Tom Brady compared Allen to his son while giving him advice. Josh Allen pretty much told Brady “I’m good,” while Lamar took the advice and started preparing for games better. Josh Allen had check downs but wanted big plays. Lamar will utilize the short yards heavy this game.
Zay Flowers is great, however he has to run North. He tries to make a juke instead of running to the end zone (he even stated he has to be more aware).
Chiefs will use a lot of misdirection on the Ravens and will utilize the running backs more. I watched the AFC game from 21, Bengals won due to Burrow moving in the pocket buying time and the defense forced a few turnovers, 21 - 3 was the score until the Bengals adjusted. No big plays or TDs will keep the Ravens in it. Mahomes has to be uncomfortable.
Chiefs have a young offense and not a lot of weapons. Ravens are discipline and don’t get fooled by exotic looks. I see Mahomes throwing a pick to Marcus or Stone.
In terms of Mark Andrews, remember this is not Madden. You can’t rush a player out there and think he will be the same. Likely needs to remain the starter, while Andrews is involved in some packages. Marlo if not 100% needs to sit this game out as well.
Sneed is physical so I would involve OBJ early. Stout has to punt higher and not straight to the returner. Another key note, Chiefs have not played the Ravens since 2021. They look different and Tee Martin ( QB coach for Ravens) have allowed Lamar to look stellar in the pocket. He seems more in control and has a lot of confidence in his arm. I see him having a similar day against the Chiefs.
Dalvin Cook will be special this game. I expect him to get more carries and a few screen plays that go for big gains like how they did Mitchell.
I do believe Ravens did have some rust and they were cold. I don’t think this will be a factor this game for them.
Lamar never had good WRs against the Chiefs
- Snead
- Boykin
- Robinson
- Moore
2023
- OBJ
- Flowers
- Bateman ( he didn’t play in 2021 due to injury)
- Aghlor
- Likely
- Cook
There is no way the Ravens lose, unless they FAIL to execute
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Ravens win 30 - 20.
The difference of the Chiefs past wins was because of the defense allowing Mahomes to score early, which made Lamar make mistakes trying to play catch up.
Steve Spagnuolo ( DC for Chiefs) will jam receivers at the line and call a weak side blitz to force Lamar to make a turnover. Now, Steve is pretty good but G Ro had some questionable calls. I watched some old film and on 3rd and 10, he would call a QB run, then try to go for it on 4&2 and fail. That would leave Mahomes with a short field to work with. That’s asking for disaster.
Kelce is a problem due to his understanding of finding the soft spots in a defense. If I am Macdonald I would press him every play at the line to throw off the timing. Yesterday, he caught an easy TD due to busted coverage, but hasn’t been as effective.
Bills defense was severely wounded with 3 All Pros out and using 3rd string and practice squad players to step up (which they did an amazing job). Pacheco is a decent running back, however watching film from when the Broncos played them. Pacheco loves to deliver the blow but if you hit him good (Roquan smith) he starts to slow down. I would definitely use Pierce big body to stop the run.
In the past Wink loved blitzing almost every play, so if the blitz didn’t work then someone was open for the one on one. Macdonald is smart and not a heavy blitz guy, more of a zone and counter blitz will slow some of those “creative plays” that Mahomes make. PQ has to start hot this game, he was not the best against Texans TE Shultz. He was out of place in the zone but made up for it. Hamilton almost had an easy pick he definitely has to hold on to that going against Mahomes. That is the difference maker.
Josh Allen lost because he is truly cocky. Tom Brady compared Allen to his son while giving him advice. Josh Allen pretty much told Brady “I’m good,” while Lamar took the advice and started preparing for games better. Josh Allen had check downs but wanted big plays. Lamar will utilize the short yards heavy this game.
Zay Flowers is great, however he has to run North. He tries to make a juke instead of running to the end zone (he even stated he has to be more aware).
Chiefs will use a lot of misdirection on the Ravens and will utilize the running backs more. I watched the AFC game from 21, Bengals won due to Burrow moving in the pocket buying time and the defense forced a few turnovers, 21 - 3 was the score until the Bengals adjusted. No big plays or TDs will keep the Ravens in it. Mahomes has to be uncomfortable.
Chiefs have a young offense and not a lot of weapons. Ravens are discipline and don’t get fooled by exotic looks. I see Mahomes throwing a pick to Marcus or Stone.
In terms of Mark Andrews, remember this is not Madden. You can’t rush a player out there and think he will be the same. Likely needs to remain the starter, while Andrews is involved in some packages. Marlo if not 100% needs to sit this game out as well.
Sneed is physical so I would involve OBJ early. Stout has to punt higher and not straight to the returner. Another key note, Chiefs have not played the Ravens since 2021. They look different and Tee Martin ( QB coach for Ravens) have allowed Lamar to look stellar in the pocket. He seems more in control and has a lot of confidence in his arm. I see him having a similar day against the Chiefs.
Dalvin Cook will be special this game. I expect him to get more carries and a few screen plays that go for big gains like how they did Mitchell.
I do believe Ravens did have some rust and they were cold. I don’t think this will be a factor this game for them.
Lamar never had good WRs against the Chiefs
- Snead
- Boykin
- Robinson
- Moore
2023
- OBJ
- Flowers
- Bateman ( he didn’t play in 2021 due to injury)
- Aghlor
- Likely
- Cook
There is no way the Ravens lose, unless they FAIL to execute