Tuesday 11/7
11 pt: (5 units) Over 33 Ball State/ Northern Illinois, Over 47 CMU/WMU, Over 32 1/2 Ohio/Buff
LOSER
Over 44 B St/NIU (5 units) LOSER, 20 points at the half?
Over 58 CMU/WMU
WINNER
Over 43 Ohio/Buff
LOSER
Ballz St +9 1/2 - NIU too inconsistent especially since beating BC on the road the opening week, they've been just blah since, Ball St running game could keep this game within a TD
WINNER
CMU +3 1/2 - Chips better overall record and SOS, also play well at Kalamazoo
LOSER
Ohio -7 - Bobcats "D" much better overall than Buffalo who got spanked by Rockets last week
WINNER
3-4, -5.5 units
Wed, 11/8
13 pt Sweetheart, ties lose: -120 to win 100 (5 units) WINNER
- Miami Ohio -4.5, Over 27 Bowling Green @ (110) Kent State, Toledo -7, Bowling Green +2.5
2H Over 20 BG/Kent (5 units) WINNER
5-5, +4.5 units week to date!!
Thurs, 11/9
ULL -10 1/2 - So Miss got their win last week, ULL can run the ball and score averaging 31 ppg while S Miss gives up 36
LOSER
ULL now at -8, bought the hook (5 units) LOSER
2H Over 22 1/2 Va/Ville
WINNER
6-7, -1.1 units week to date 11/9/23
Fri, 11/10
Saturday 11/11
Fla Atl -9 1/2 - FA is simply better and ECU HC on the firing squad
Miami-F +14 1/2 (5 units) - Canes rivalry instate game, Noles have been dominant at home, this will be their best "D" they've faced, Canes "O" will need to make every play count as Noles have +11 turnover margin, 31-20 type game!
Vandy +14 - SC barely beat Jax St last week at home now face conference opponent, this should be a 7 pt game
LOSER
UNC -10 - Duke banged up, they can't score, UNC smartin over their losses, Maye will have a day vs Duke secondary, UNC +14 turnover margin
Under 50 1/2 VT/BC - BC QB Castellanos is a playmaker, he's quick and fast, VT on the road are just blah but can play "D" on occasion
LOSER
Penn St +5 1/2 - Happy valley home edge here, I don't care about off field distractions, this game comes down to both "D" and how the QBs handle the pressure, Nittany Lions have +7 turnover margin, that's the difference
LOSER
Liberty -13 1/2 - Flames have a talented QB, they are still undefeated and they have a +8 turnover margin vs Monarchs
BYU +7 - BYU home dog after ISU couldn't handle Kansas at home LW!
Over 56 Nev/Utah St - Aggie "D" will be tested although Wolfpack only score 17 ppg, USU went into OT vs SD St last week with a win, now at home scoring 35 ppg, this one should go over, USU 38 Nevad 21
Utah +10 - Utes "D" should be able to stick it to Wash even on the road, Huskies barely beat ASU at home, QB for Utes will have to have ball control to stick with Huskies and Utes "D" needs to play their best game here, they are capable as they did at USC.
Over 46 ASU/UCLA - ASU giving up 30 ppg, UCLA gives up 16 and scoring 28, Chip Kelly will not relent in this home game, UCLA 38 ASU 24
USC +14 1/2 - Trojans haven't given up on the season yet and Caleb Williams wants a big win, he can get it at Oregon, there's a home edge yet, but USC aerial game can stick it to the Ducks. New DC for USC, it's too late in the season to use that as a scapegoat as the HC Lincoln Riley should own that, Ducks will give up points ppl and USC can score, This looks like a 42-37 type game to me!!
Over 74 USC/Oregon - read above
Over 42 Illini/Ind - both teams "D" are rubber duckies, you squeeze them in the tub until the water is all out right? Indiana beat Wisky last week, they are scoring just <20 ppg but give up 28, Illini scoring 21 ppg and give up 27, this one should end up around 45-48 points.
WINNER
Over 59 1/2 Tenn/Mo - Vols really want a quality win and on the road, Mizzou off battle in Athens last week, do they have enough at home here? I have Tenn scoring at 35 ppg and Mo putting up 32 ppg, both "D" can give up the big play, it's a pick'em line anyways, UT 37 MO 34
Over 49 1/2 Aub/Ark - Arkansas & Miss St scored a total of 10 pts at Fayetteville however, Arkansas getting healthier and Auburn is 8-1 L9 over with Arkansas, WarEagles can score averaging 27 ppg while Hogs are putting up 28 ppg and off road win at Fla in OT.
Fla +13 - Gators picked a bad HC in Billy Napier, this is the SEC and the Gators lost emabarassingly to Hogs last week, no way they should have lost at home, Boosters are up in arms and rumors stating they'll buy out Billy and go after Urban Meyer to gain some respectibility in the SEC and get the recruits they are losing to the Canes, Noles and all other SEC teams out of their home state!! LSU off hard fought battle, Daniels was banged in the coconut so concussion protol, however, Gators will give what they have, LSU at best is a 13 point edge, however, Daniels may not play if he does, Gators can still bring some pressure, LSU 31 FLA 21
Oklahoma -13 - Sooners could have a 3 game losing streak, lucky to win vs UCF, embarassed in Bedlam and lost to KU, now at home facing the Mountaineers, I see Gabriel and Sooners coming back big here and win by 17 or more!! OU 49 WV 28.
TCU +10 1/2 - Horns may have Ewers back, however, fill in QB said to be starting, he can run and Horns at home off some big games now face in-state Horntoads wanting a quality win and will give Texas all they can handle at home, Texas 31 TCU 27
Over 51 Tulane/Tulsa (5 units) - Tulsa is a mess, giving up 35 ppg while Tulane finally getting healthy 29 ppg while giving up 19 and they have +9 turnover margin
LOSER
Pitt -1 - Not taking Cuse anymore this year, their season is done and Babers could be on the way out with no progression in the program and with portal players leaving he recruited, that's a bad statement on the program and Pitt just better overall on paper. They are 2-7 and favored at Syracuse who is 4-5? I'll take the Panthers
Under 47 1/2 SDST/CSU - SD St lost in OT last week to USU, CSU lost at Wyoming, both offenses score 20 & 24 respectively, weather could play in this and Aztecs have a +3 turnover margin, this could be a struggle in the trenches in the redzone, FG type game SDSU 20 CSU 17
Over 46 1/2 Sparty/Buckeyes - Sparty got a big home win vs Huskers in one of the worse officiated games I've seen on TV with no calls that were blatant, now they go into the Shoe where the Buckeyes need some quality blowouts and are getting way too much love, their "D" is stellar but their "O" has sucked, this time they break out vs Sparty, 38-14!
Michigan St +31 - see above
Hawaii +18 1/2 - Flyboys exposed last week vs Army now fly across country to the Island, Hawaii usually plays AF tough and this smells like a line screw up as it opened at -17 1/2 AF steamed up and holding, I have AF winning 31-21.
added -
Maryland -2 1/2 (5 units) - Terps need wins to get to a decent bowl game, Bugeaters disgruntled at their loss last week at Sparty, better overall "O" for Terps, turnover machine for Bugeaters, I'll take the Terps w/baby Tagoviola even at Bugeater Stadium!!
WINNER
Clemson -14 (5 units) - hate to back Dabo but GT is a scoring machine of late beating UNC & Virginia, now go into Death Valley with a hyped up coach who's taking things personal and the Tigers are off a win home win over the Irish, GT won't lay down so Tigers need to get out in front quickly, I have Clemson winning 35-17!!
WINNER
Cincy +3 1/2 (5 units) - Bearcats catch home team off yet another OT game vs Baylor, Bearcats off a close battle at UCF offensively should hang with Houston, Cougars giving up 31 ppg on "D" and Cincy "D" giving up just 28, both with decent SOS, I'll take the small road dog here facing the winner of an OT game as a fav.
added 11/11
Colorado +10 1/2 (5 units) - Zona has been hot, Prime has not, DD Dogs at home, Buffaloes still want a bowl game, QB & Special Teams talent edge to Colorado, Arizona with a big win on the road at Wazoo, that's all folks, also an anti public pick as over 60% on Zona pushing the line up,
Colorado +275 (5 units)
Fresno St +2 1/2 (5 units) - Bulldogs getting no love, much better record than San Jose' and turnover edge, I have Fresno winning by 4-7 SU!! GL
Minneshitty -2 (5 units) - Gophers HC on the hot seat, Purdue battling for identity don't have enough offense to keep up with Gophers, Gophers 4-2 as favs on the road less than <3 pts, Purdue is 1-4 SU as home dogs getting less than 7 pts!!
Over 41 ISU/BYU - very low line where the Cougars could get 35 by themself!!
W Kentucky -3 1/2 (5 units) - WK at home, small fav vs a team who's stellar vs teams with a losing record, and they lost on the road at U Mass in the N Mex Aggies!!
2H Over 24 GT/Clem (5 units) WINNER
2H pick Maryland (5 units) LOSER
First team total played this season, always value when you find the right teams:
Fresno St Over 26 1/2 vs San Jose (1 unit)
2H Memphis -6 (5 units)
2H Colorado +4 (5 units)
49-46-3,-1.8, 1 unit sides play
27-25, -.50, 1 unit totals play
16-17, -13.5, 5 unit sides play
20-24-2, -32.0, 5 unit totals play
4-3, -2.45, 1 unit 7 pt teaser play
3-5, -16.5, 5 unit 7 pt teaser play
9-6-1, +12.0, 5 unit LIVE plays
3-3, -.30, 1 unit LIVE Plays
1-0, +5.0, 5 unit 1H Plays
18-7, +51.5, 5 unit 2H Plays
1-0, +5.0, 1Q 5 unit plays
4-7, -3.7, 1 unit 2H Plays
3-0-1, +30.0, 10 unit Live
0-0-1, 0.0, 10 unit 2H Plays
0-3, -7.0, MONEYLINE
0-4, -4.0, Sweetheart Teaser
0-1, LOSS, Colorado +21 1/2, 9/23/23, ORE 45 COL 6, -11.0...Game of the Year
0-1, LOSS, Over 40, Nebraska/NW, 10/21/23, score NEB 17 NW 9, -11.0, Total of the Year
1-0, +10.0 units, Over 56 S Miss/App St, 10/28/23, App St 48 S Miss 38
WON.....161.....LOSS...152.....PUSH.....8....., +9.75 units, as of 8/26/23 (units won corrected as of 10/22/23)