SATURDAY SERVICE PLAYS 3/29
- Thread starter GIANTS007
- Start date
WILD BILL
5 units North Carolina -5 1/2
5 units Over 130 Xavier-UCLA
Fairway Jay
Big Drive: Xavier +6
Louisville +5.5
2 Minute Warning
North Carolina
FATJACK
Louisville +5 1/2
Opinion on UCLA under 130
5 units North Carolina -5 1/2
5 units Over 130 Xavier-UCLA
Fairway Jay
Big Drive: Xavier +6
Louisville +5.5
2 Minute Warning
North Carolina
FATJACK
Louisville +5 1/2
Opinion on UCLA under 130
Sebastian
300* UCLA
20* Memphis Grizzlies
50* Chicago Blackhawks
Sebastian Vegas Steam
Play 100* Over 154 NC/Louisville
300* UCLA
20* Memphis Grizzlies
50* Chicago Blackhawks
Sebastian Vegas Steam
Play 100* Over 154 NC/Louisville
Last edited:
:shrug: :director: Marc Lawrence
Game: Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons Mar 29 2008 7:35PM
Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers
Reason: Play On: Cleveland
Note: Pistons take on the Cavs in a Central division duel in the Motor CIty Saturday night. With Cleveland in a funk and Detroit looking to avenge an 89-73 loss earlier this month, the knee-jerk reaction would be to back Pistons. Not so fast, my friend. The Cavs are 10-3 ATS as dogs off a loss this season (7-1 last 8). They are also 14-4 ATS the last 18 games in this series, including 9-0 as dogs of 8 or less points. Take the points with the King and his court here today.
:shrug:
Game: Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons Mar 29 2008 7:35PM
Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers
Reason: Play On: Cleveland
Note: Pistons take on the Cavs in a Central division duel in the Motor CIty Saturday night. With Cleveland in a funk and Detroit looking to avenge an 89-73 loss earlier this month, the knee-jerk reaction would be to back Pistons. Not so fast, my friend. The Cavs are 10-3 ATS as dogs off a loss this season (7-1 last 8). They are also 14-4 ATS the last 18 games in this series, including 9-0 as dogs of 8 or less points. Take the points with the King and his court here today.
:shrug:
Kelso Sturgeon
Chairmans Club
Charlotte 10 units
Best Bet
Golden St 5 units
March Madness
50 unit Xavier
5 unit Louisville
Chairmans Club
Charlotte 10 units
Best Bet
Golden St 5 units
March Madness
50 unit Xavier
5 unit Louisville
Steam Plays
712 LA Clippers -2
710 Portland -5?
702 New Jersey +6?
716 UCLA -6
716 UCLA Over 130
302 LSU -9?
708 Denver -7
712 LA Clippers -2
710 Portland -5?
702 New Jersey +6?
716 UCLA -6
716 UCLA Over 130
302 LSU -9?
708 Denver -7
MIGHTY QUINN
Mighty missed with Stanford ( 2) last night. Today it's UCLA.
The surplus is 480 sirignanos.
Mighty missed with Stanford ( 2) last night. Today it's UCLA.
The surplus is 480 sirignanos.
Insider Sports Report
4* U.C.L.A. -6 over Xavier (NCAAB)
Range -4.5 to -8
3* N. Carolina -5.5 over Louisville (NCAAB)
Range -3.5 to -7.5
3* Phoenix/New Jersey (NBA) UNDER 224
Range 226 to 222
4* U.C.L.A. -6 over Xavier (NCAAB)
Range -4.5 to -8
3* N. Carolina -5.5 over Louisville (NCAAB)
Range -3.5 to -7.5
3* Phoenix/New Jersey (NBA) UNDER 224
Range 226 to 222
JEFF BENTON
For Saturday, play Denver minus the points against the Warriors.
Both of these teams are duking it out for the final Western Conference playoff berth, but it?s Denver that comes into this contest playing MUCH better basketball. They?re 11-5 SU over their last 16 games (including a current four-game winning streak), and they?ve cashed in 11 of their last 13 contests (including the last five in a row). Denver, which has been phenomenal at home all season, has won seven straight in its building, going 6-0 ATS in the last six. Going back further, Denver has cashed in 16 of its last 21 at home.
As for the Warriors, they?re 4-4 SU in their last eight games (3-5 ATS), and they?re just 9-14 against the number in their last 23. What?s more, Golden State, which routed Portland in its most recent game on Thursday, is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 after a double-digit win, 8-27 ATS of a victory of any margin and 3-10 ATS in its last 13 against the Western Conference. What?s more, the Warriors are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight trips to Denver.
Throw in the fact that the Nuggets? last nine wins have come by margins of 13, 14, 9, 11, 51, 32, 22, 13 and 13 points, and I gotta lay the chalk here.
For Saturday, play Denver minus the points against the Warriors.
Both of these teams are duking it out for the final Western Conference playoff berth, but it?s Denver that comes into this contest playing MUCH better basketball. They?re 11-5 SU over their last 16 games (including a current four-game winning streak), and they?ve cashed in 11 of their last 13 contests (including the last five in a row). Denver, which has been phenomenal at home all season, has won seven straight in its building, going 6-0 ATS in the last six. Going back further, Denver has cashed in 16 of its last 21 at home.
As for the Warriors, they?re 4-4 SU in their last eight games (3-5 ATS), and they?re just 9-14 against the number in their last 23. What?s more, Golden State, which routed Portland in its most recent game on Thursday, is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 after a double-digit win, 8-27 ATS of a victory of any margin and 3-10 ATS in its last 13 against the Western Conference. What?s more, the Warriors are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight trips to Denver.
Throw in the fact that the Nuggets? last nine wins have come by margins of 13, 14, 9, 11, 51, 32, 22, 13 and 13 points, and I gotta lay the chalk here.
Rob Veno
CBB
UCLA -6
Louisville +5.5
Dominic David
3* Over UCLA/Xavier
Lock of the Day
Louisville first half
Memphis Grizzles
CBB
UCLA -6
Louisville +5.5
Dominic David
3* Over UCLA/Xavier
Lock of the Day
Louisville first half
Memphis Grizzles
The Sports Advisors
(3) Xavier (30-6, 16-16 ATS) vs (1) UCLA (34-3, 20-14-2 ATS)
UCLA was pounding 12th-seeded Western Kentucky 41-20 at halftime Thursday, but the Bruins had to fend off a furious second-half run, eventually prevailing 88-78 but failing to cover as a 12?-point chalk. UCLA notched its 13th straight win, but the Bruins are just 6-7 ATS in that stretch, including 2-5 ATS in their last seven starts.
The Bruins, on track for their third straight Final Four appearance, are 2-0 SU and ATS in Elite Eight games the past two years, edging Memphis 50-45 as a 2?-point favorite in 2006, then eliminating Pitt 64-55 as a three-point chalk last year.
Xavier had to work late Thursday, notching a 79-75 overtime win over seventh-seeded West Virginia as a 1?-point underdog to reach the Elite Eight for the first time since 2004. The Musketeers have now ripped of 16 wins in their last 18 games (9-9 ATS) and have cashed in their last three.
UCLA is on positive ATS streaks of 35-17 after a non-cover and 7-2-1 as a favorite of less than seven points. However, Ben Howland?s team is on negative ATS streaks of 1-4 overall ? all against winning teams at neutral sites, and all with the Bruins favored ? 0-4 on Saturday and 0-4 against teams with a winning percentage above .600.
The Musketeers are on a bevy of positive ATS runs, including a sterling 9-1 in the Tournament and 7-0 as a Tournament underdog. In addition, they are 6-0 ATS in non-conference play, 26-7 ATS at neutral venues, 12-2 ATS as a neutral-site pup, 20-8 ATS as an underdog, 7-3 ATS versus winning teams and 45-22-1 ATS against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Two negative notes are Xavier?s 2-6 ATS mark in its last eight games on Saturdays and a 2-4 ATS record in its last six after a SU win.
In the past two Tournaments, underdogs have gone 6-2 ATS in the round of eight, with each of those six ?dogs winning outright to reach the Final Four. However, favorites went 5-3 ATS in the Sweet 16 and are now 34-21-1 ATS for the Tournament.
Xavier has made five fewer field goals than its first three Tournament foes and has just four more total rebounds than those foes. However, the Musketeers are outshooting their opponents 48 percent to 42.3 percent, and they?re averaging 79 points per game.
Despite struggling defensively in the second half against Western Kentucky, UCLA is still just giving up only 52 ppg on 31.7 percent shooting in the Tournament. Offensively, the Bruins average 69.7 ppg on 47.2 percent shooting.
Although Thursday?s game against Western Kentucky flew over the 137-point posted price, UCLA remains on ?under? streaks of 16-5 in the Tournament (2-0 ?under? in the Elite Eight), 10-2 as a Tournament favorite and 4-1 outside the Pac-10. However, for Xavier, the over is on runs of 10-1 in the Tournament (6-0 in the last six), 7-1 in non-conference play and 8-2 at neutral venues.
ATS ADVANTAGE: XAVIER
EAST REGION
(3) Louisville (27-8, 20-12-1 ATS) vs. (1) North Carolina (35-2, 23-11 ATS)
North Carolina flattened fourth-seeded Washington State 68-47 Thursday in its Sweet 16 contest, easily covering the eight-point spread. The Tar Heels have won 14 straight, and they?ve cashed in all three Tournament contests after going 3-7 ATS in the previous 10.
This is the Tar Heels? third trip to the Elite Eight in the last four years, and they went 1-1 SU and ATS in the last two appearances, with the win coming in 2005 on their way to claiming the national title. Last year in this round, Carolina blew a six-point halftime lead and got bounced by Georgetown, losing 96-84 in overtime as a 3?-point chalk.
Louisville beat up second-seeded Tennessee 79-60 Thursday, easily cashing as a two-point favorite, moving to 3-0 ATS in the tourney. The Cardinals, who are in the Elite Eight for the first time since going all the way to the Final Four in 2005, are on a 12-2 SU and ATS tear, going 5-1 ATS in the last six.
These two teams haven?t met since the 1990s, squaring off three years in a row from 1997-99. Carolina went 2-1 in those contests, but Louisville cashed in all three games, all as an underdog.
The pointspread trends are almost all positive for Roy Williams? troops, including 23-10 overall, 5-1 in the Tournament, 8-3 on Saturday, 21-7 against winning teams, 39-14-1 after a spread-cover and 41-17-1 in non-conference play. But the Tar Heels are 3-5 ATS in their last eight as a chalk and 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a favorite of less than seven points.
Like UNC, the Cardinals are on several positive ATS runs, including 18-5-1 overall, 6-2-1 in the Tournament, 4-0 against the ACC, 5-0 in non-conference play, 10-1 after a SU win, 13-3-1 against teams with a winning record, 9-2 after a spread-cover and 6-2-1 as a ?dog. The lone blemish for Louisville is an 0-8 ATS mark as a neutral-site underdog.
Both of these teams have been flat-out dominant statistically through the first three games of the Tournament. North Carolina is averaging 96.3 ppg and shooting a blistering 57.8 percent from the field while holding the opposition to 40.9 percent. Meanwhile, Louisville ? which has scored 79, 78 and 79 points in its first three contests ? is outshooting its opponents 55.8 percent to 40.1 percent, and allowing just 56.3 ppg.
For Carolina, which ranks second in the nation in scoring offense at 89.3 ppg, the over is on streaks of 7-3-1 overall, 5-2 in the Tournament, 7-3 in non-conference play, 7-2-1 with the Tar Heels favored and 11-4 following a win of more than 20 points. On the flip side, for Louisville, the under is on runs of is 4-1-1 overall (all at neutral sites), 5-1-1 outside the Big East, 15-5-1 following a SU win and 10-4 as an underdog.
ATS ADVANTAGE: LOUISVILLE
NBA
Cleveland (40-32, 34-38 ATS) at Detroit (51-21, 38-33-1 ATS)
Two Central Division rivals that are stumbling toward the finish line clash at The Palace of Auburn Hills, as the Pistons host the Cavaliers in a rematch of last year?s Eastern Conference finals.
Detroit had no problems with the Heat on Thursday night, rolling to an 85-69 home victory. However, the Pistons failed to cover an astounding 20?-point spread, falling to 1-4 ATS in their last five (2-3 SU).
Cleveland was on the wrong end of a buzzer-beater on Wednesday night, losing 100-99 to the Hornets as a 1?-point home chalk. The Cavs have dropped two in a row and five of their last eight, both SU and ATS.
Going back to the end of last year?s regular season and including last year?s six-game playoff series, the home team has dominated this rivalry, going 8-1 SU. However, the Cavs have been a spread-covering machine against the Pistons over the last year, going 9-1 ATS (5-1 ATS in Detroit). In this year?s two clashes, the Pistons rolled 109-74 as a nine-point home chalk on Nov. 28, with the Cavs getting revenge 10 days ago in an 89-73 victory as a 1?-point favorite.
The underdog is 13-5 ATS in the last eight series battles.
Cleveland has dropped five straight road games (1-4 ATS) and is 1-7 in its last eight on the highway (3-5 ATS). On a positive note, LeBron and Co. are on ATS hot streaks of 7-2 after a non-cover, 18-7 in divisional clashes and 12-5 on Saturdays.
Detroit continues to sport one of the best home records in the NBA at 29-6 (21-14 ATS). That includes an ongoing five-game home winning streak (4-1 ATS). The Pistons are also 19-9 ATS in their last 28 when playing on a day of rest. However, they?re only 6-18 ATS over their last 24 Eastern Conference contests and 2-5 ATS in their last seven against Central Division rivals.
The Cavs have followed a four-game ?under? streak by topping the total in their last two. Also, the over is 5-1 in Cleveland?s last six road games and 10-4-1 in its last 15 divisional tussles. Conversely, the under is on runs of 4-1 for Cleveland against the East, 4-1 for Cleveland on Saturdays, 5-0 for Detroit against the East, 4-1 for Detroit overall and 23-6 in this rivalry, including 4-1 in the last five meetings in Motown.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Golden State (47-27, 31-40 ATS) at Denver (44-28, 40-32 ATS)
Two teams in a dogfight for the Western Conference?s eighth and final playoff spot meet in a critical contest at the Pepsi Center, where Denver hosts the Warriors in a battle of two of the NBA?s highest-scoring squads.
Golden State current occupies the coveted No. 8 spot in the West, but is just a half-game ahead of the Nuggets. Heading into Friday night?s action, only six games separated the top nine teams in the Western Conference.
The Nuggets, who crushed Dallas 118-105 as an 8?-point home chalk on Thursday, enter this contest on a four-game winning streak, and they?ve won seven of their last nine. Not only that, but Denver has been getting it done at the window, cashing in each of its last five games, nine of its last 10 and 11 of its last 13.
The Warriors have struggled with consistency over the past two weeks, alternating SU and ATS wins and losses in their last nine games, though they did crush the Blazers 111-95 as a 13-point home chalk on Thursday. Prior to that contest, Golden State had been mired in a 2-5 ATS slump.
The road underdog has taken the first two meetings of this season series, with Denver winning 124-120 as a five-point pup on Dec. 28, and the Warriors returning the favor just two days later at the Pepsi Center in a 105-95 victory as a 4?-point ?dog. The Nuggets are 7-3 in the last 10 clashes overall (6-4 ATS) and 6-2 ATS in the last eight battles at the Pepsi Center.
The Nuggets are on ATS upticks of 16-5 at home, 10-3 versus the Western Conference and 7-1 when playing on one day of rest. However, they?re just 1-4 ATS in their last five against Pacific Division foes and 1-6 ATS in their last seven on Saturdays.
The Warriors own nothing but negative pointspread trends, including 4-12 on Saturdays, 3-10 against the West, 8-27 after a victory, 2-12 when coming off a double-digit win, 1-6 against the Northwest Division and 6-14 when playing on one day of rest.
Going back to the beginning of February, Denver is on a 20-7 ?over? streak, including 10-2 ?over? at home. The over is also 13-3 in Denver?s last 13 home games and 4-0 in its last four on Saturdays. Conversely, the Warriors have followed an 18-3-1 ?over? tear by staying under the number in seven of its last 10. The under is also 4-1 in Golden State?s last five road games and 3-6 in its last 29 on Saturdays.
Finally, the over is 10-3 in the last 13 series meetings, though the one game in Denver this season stayed 29 points under the posted total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER and OVER
(3) Xavier (30-6, 16-16 ATS) vs (1) UCLA (34-3, 20-14-2 ATS)
UCLA was pounding 12th-seeded Western Kentucky 41-20 at halftime Thursday, but the Bruins had to fend off a furious second-half run, eventually prevailing 88-78 but failing to cover as a 12?-point chalk. UCLA notched its 13th straight win, but the Bruins are just 6-7 ATS in that stretch, including 2-5 ATS in their last seven starts.
The Bruins, on track for their third straight Final Four appearance, are 2-0 SU and ATS in Elite Eight games the past two years, edging Memphis 50-45 as a 2?-point favorite in 2006, then eliminating Pitt 64-55 as a three-point chalk last year.
Xavier had to work late Thursday, notching a 79-75 overtime win over seventh-seeded West Virginia as a 1?-point underdog to reach the Elite Eight for the first time since 2004. The Musketeers have now ripped of 16 wins in their last 18 games (9-9 ATS) and have cashed in their last three.
UCLA is on positive ATS streaks of 35-17 after a non-cover and 7-2-1 as a favorite of less than seven points. However, Ben Howland?s team is on negative ATS streaks of 1-4 overall ? all against winning teams at neutral sites, and all with the Bruins favored ? 0-4 on Saturday and 0-4 against teams with a winning percentage above .600.
The Musketeers are on a bevy of positive ATS runs, including a sterling 9-1 in the Tournament and 7-0 as a Tournament underdog. In addition, they are 6-0 ATS in non-conference play, 26-7 ATS at neutral venues, 12-2 ATS as a neutral-site pup, 20-8 ATS as an underdog, 7-3 ATS versus winning teams and 45-22-1 ATS against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Two negative notes are Xavier?s 2-6 ATS mark in its last eight games on Saturdays and a 2-4 ATS record in its last six after a SU win.
In the past two Tournaments, underdogs have gone 6-2 ATS in the round of eight, with each of those six ?dogs winning outright to reach the Final Four. However, favorites went 5-3 ATS in the Sweet 16 and are now 34-21-1 ATS for the Tournament.
Xavier has made five fewer field goals than its first three Tournament foes and has just four more total rebounds than those foes. However, the Musketeers are outshooting their opponents 48 percent to 42.3 percent, and they?re averaging 79 points per game.
Despite struggling defensively in the second half against Western Kentucky, UCLA is still just giving up only 52 ppg on 31.7 percent shooting in the Tournament. Offensively, the Bruins average 69.7 ppg on 47.2 percent shooting.
Although Thursday?s game against Western Kentucky flew over the 137-point posted price, UCLA remains on ?under? streaks of 16-5 in the Tournament (2-0 ?under? in the Elite Eight), 10-2 as a Tournament favorite and 4-1 outside the Pac-10. However, for Xavier, the over is on runs of 10-1 in the Tournament (6-0 in the last six), 7-1 in non-conference play and 8-2 at neutral venues.
ATS ADVANTAGE: XAVIER
EAST REGION
(3) Louisville (27-8, 20-12-1 ATS) vs. (1) North Carolina (35-2, 23-11 ATS)
North Carolina flattened fourth-seeded Washington State 68-47 Thursday in its Sweet 16 contest, easily covering the eight-point spread. The Tar Heels have won 14 straight, and they?ve cashed in all three Tournament contests after going 3-7 ATS in the previous 10.
This is the Tar Heels? third trip to the Elite Eight in the last four years, and they went 1-1 SU and ATS in the last two appearances, with the win coming in 2005 on their way to claiming the national title. Last year in this round, Carolina blew a six-point halftime lead and got bounced by Georgetown, losing 96-84 in overtime as a 3?-point chalk.
Louisville beat up second-seeded Tennessee 79-60 Thursday, easily cashing as a two-point favorite, moving to 3-0 ATS in the tourney. The Cardinals, who are in the Elite Eight for the first time since going all the way to the Final Four in 2005, are on a 12-2 SU and ATS tear, going 5-1 ATS in the last six.
These two teams haven?t met since the 1990s, squaring off three years in a row from 1997-99. Carolina went 2-1 in those contests, but Louisville cashed in all three games, all as an underdog.
The pointspread trends are almost all positive for Roy Williams? troops, including 23-10 overall, 5-1 in the Tournament, 8-3 on Saturday, 21-7 against winning teams, 39-14-1 after a spread-cover and 41-17-1 in non-conference play. But the Tar Heels are 3-5 ATS in their last eight as a chalk and 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a favorite of less than seven points.
Like UNC, the Cardinals are on several positive ATS runs, including 18-5-1 overall, 6-2-1 in the Tournament, 4-0 against the ACC, 5-0 in non-conference play, 10-1 after a SU win, 13-3-1 against teams with a winning record, 9-2 after a spread-cover and 6-2-1 as a ?dog. The lone blemish for Louisville is an 0-8 ATS mark as a neutral-site underdog.
Both of these teams have been flat-out dominant statistically through the first three games of the Tournament. North Carolina is averaging 96.3 ppg and shooting a blistering 57.8 percent from the field while holding the opposition to 40.9 percent. Meanwhile, Louisville ? which has scored 79, 78 and 79 points in its first three contests ? is outshooting its opponents 55.8 percent to 40.1 percent, and allowing just 56.3 ppg.
For Carolina, which ranks second in the nation in scoring offense at 89.3 ppg, the over is on streaks of 7-3-1 overall, 5-2 in the Tournament, 7-3 in non-conference play, 7-2-1 with the Tar Heels favored and 11-4 following a win of more than 20 points. On the flip side, for Louisville, the under is on runs of is 4-1-1 overall (all at neutral sites), 5-1-1 outside the Big East, 15-5-1 following a SU win and 10-4 as an underdog.
ATS ADVANTAGE: LOUISVILLE
NBA
Cleveland (40-32, 34-38 ATS) at Detroit (51-21, 38-33-1 ATS)
Two Central Division rivals that are stumbling toward the finish line clash at The Palace of Auburn Hills, as the Pistons host the Cavaliers in a rematch of last year?s Eastern Conference finals.
Detroit had no problems with the Heat on Thursday night, rolling to an 85-69 home victory. However, the Pistons failed to cover an astounding 20?-point spread, falling to 1-4 ATS in their last five (2-3 SU).
Cleveland was on the wrong end of a buzzer-beater on Wednesday night, losing 100-99 to the Hornets as a 1?-point home chalk. The Cavs have dropped two in a row and five of their last eight, both SU and ATS.
Going back to the end of last year?s regular season and including last year?s six-game playoff series, the home team has dominated this rivalry, going 8-1 SU. However, the Cavs have been a spread-covering machine against the Pistons over the last year, going 9-1 ATS (5-1 ATS in Detroit). In this year?s two clashes, the Pistons rolled 109-74 as a nine-point home chalk on Nov. 28, with the Cavs getting revenge 10 days ago in an 89-73 victory as a 1?-point favorite.
The underdog is 13-5 ATS in the last eight series battles.
Cleveland has dropped five straight road games (1-4 ATS) and is 1-7 in its last eight on the highway (3-5 ATS). On a positive note, LeBron and Co. are on ATS hot streaks of 7-2 after a non-cover, 18-7 in divisional clashes and 12-5 on Saturdays.
Detroit continues to sport one of the best home records in the NBA at 29-6 (21-14 ATS). That includes an ongoing five-game home winning streak (4-1 ATS). The Pistons are also 19-9 ATS in their last 28 when playing on a day of rest. However, they?re only 6-18 ATS over their last 24 Eastern Conference contests and 2-5 ATS in their last seven against Central Division rivals.
The Cavs have followed a four-game ?under? streak by topping the total in their last two. Also, the over is 5-1 in Cleveland?s last six road games and 10-4-1 in its last 15 divisional tussles. Conversely, the under is on runs of 4-1 for Cleveland against the East, 4-1 for Cleveland on Saturdays, 5-0 for Detroit against the East, 4-1 for Detroit overall and 23-6 in this rivalry, including 4-1 in the last five meetings in Motown.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Golden State (47-27, 31-40 ATS) at Denver (44-28, 40-32 ATS)
Two teams in a dogfight for the Western Conference?s eighth and final playoff spot meet in a critical contest at the Pepsi Center, where Denver hosts the Warriors in a battle of two of the NBA?s highest-scoring squads.
Golden State current occupies the coveted No. 8 spot in the West, but is just a half-game ahead of the Nuggets. Heading into Friday night?s action, only six games separated the top nine teams in the Western Conference.
The Nuggets, who crushed Dallas 118-105 as an 8?-point home chalk on Thursday, enter this contest on a four-game winning streak, and they?ve won seven of their last nine. Not only that, but Denver has been getting it done at the window, cashing in each of its last five games, nine of its last 10 and 11 of its last 13.
The Warriors have struggled with consistency over the past two weeks, alternating SU and ATS wins and losses in their last nine games, though they did crush the Blazers 111-95 as a 13-point home chalk on Thursday. Prior to that contest, Golden State had been mired in a 2-5 ATS slump.
The road underdog has taken the first two meetings of this season series, with Denver winning 124-120 as a five-point pup on Dec. 28, and the Warriors returning the favor just two days later at the Pepsi Center in a 105-95 victory as a 4?-point ?dog. The Nuggets are 7-3 in the last 10 clashes overall (6-4 ATS) and 6-2 ATS in the last eight battles at the Pepsi Center.
The Nuggets are on ATS upticks of 16-5 at home, 10-3 versus the Western Conference and 7-1 when playing on one day of rest. However, they?re just 1-4 ATS in their last five against Pacific Division foes and 1-6 ATS in their last seven on Saturdays.
The Warriors own nothing but negative pointspread trends, including 4-12 on Saturdays, 3-10 against the West, 8-27 after a victory, 2-12 when coming off a double-digit win, 1-6 against the Northwest Division and 6-14 when playing on one day of rest.
Going back to the beginning of February, Denver is on a 20-7 ?over? streak, including 10-2 ?over? at home. The over is also 13-3 in Denver?s last 13 home games and 4-0 in its last four on Saturdays. Conversely, the Warriors have followed an 18-3-1 ?over? tear by staying under the number in seven of its last 10. The under is also 4-1 in Golden State?s last five road games and 3-6 in its last 29 on Saturdays.
Finally, the over is 10-3 in the last 13 series meetings, though the one game in Denver this season stayed 29 points under the posted total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER and OVER
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Frank Rosenthal
NBA HOOPS
701 SUNS-5.5 SB+
707 WARRIORS+8 SB
709 BOBCATS+6 SB
UNDER 192 SB+
COLLEGE HOOPS
NCAA
714 UNC-5 SB+
OVER 154 SB
716 UCLA-5.5 SB
OVER 129 SB+
NBA HOOPS
701 SUNS-5.5 SB+
707 WARRIORS+8 SB
709 BOBCATS+6 SB
UNDER 192 SB+
COLLEGE HOOPS
NCAA
714 UNC-5 SB+
OVER 154 SB
716 UCLA-5.5 SB
OVER 129 SB+
THE LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR)
SELECTION: TAMPA vs PHILADELPHIA
2:00 pm starting time
Play: TAMPA BAY +9.5 (ARENA FOOTBALL)
Comments: THE LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: TAMPA BAY +9.5 (ARENA FOOTBALL)
SELECTION: SAN JOSE vs KANSAS CITY
Play: KANSAS CITY +11 (ARENA FOOTBALL)
Comments: THE LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: KANSAS CITY +11 (ARENA FOOTBALL)
SELECTION: XAVIER vs UCLA
Play: XAVIER vs UCLA OVER 130 (CBB)
Comments: THE LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: XAVIER vs UCLA OVER 130 (CBB)
SELECTION: TAMPA vs PHILADELPHIA
2:00 pm starting time
Play: TAMPA BAY +9.5 (ARENA FOOTBALL)
Comments: THE LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: TAMPA BAY +9.5 (ARENA FOOTBALL)
SELECTION: SAN JOSE vs KANSAS CITY
Play: KANSAS CITY +11 (ARENA FOOTBALL)
Comments: THE LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: KANSAS CITY +11 (ARENA FOOTBALL)
SELECTION: XAVIER vs UCLA
Play: XAVIER vs UCLA OVER 130 (CBB)
Comments: THE LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: XAVIER vs UCLA OVER 130 (CBB)
Allen Eastman
NHL
3-Unit Play Take #3 Dallas Stars and LA Kings UNDER 5.5. (Saturday, March 29, 4:00 pm EST).
Los Angeles is 3-0-1 in its last four games. It beat Phoenix 4-0 on Thursday behind 38 saves from Erik Ersberg, the rookie's second shutout in just his 10th NHL start. Dallas goalie Marty Turco is 1-7-1 with a 2.44 goals-against average in March but has victimized by an anemic Stars offense, since scoring seven goals against Chicago on Feb. 28, has put up just 17 goals in nine games - never scoring more than three. A lack of power-play success has been one of the big reasons for the lack of goal scoring. Dallas is just 5-for-41 with the man advantage in its last nine, though it did get a goal and numerous other chances against the Sharks.
NHL
3-Unit Play Take #3 Dallas Stars and LA Kings UNDER 5.5. (Saturday, March 29, 4:00 pm EST).
Los Angeles is 3-0-1 in its last four games. It beat Phoenix 4-0 on Thursday behind 38 saves from Erik Ersberg, the rookie's second shutout in just his 10th NHL start. Dallas goalie Marty Turco is 1-7-1 with a 2.44 goals-against average in March but has victimized by an anemic Stars offense, since scoring seven goals against Chicago on Feb. 28, has put up just 17 goals in nine games - never scoring more than three. A lack of power-play success has been one of the big reasons for the lack of goal scoring. Dallas is just 5-for-41 with the man advantage in its last nine, though it did get a goal and numerous other chances against the Sharks.
Has anyone seen any 3G or Olympic out there? I'll have another adult bevage while waiting to see. thanks