Saturday Service Plays 6/28
- Thread starter Kid Pebble
- Start date
ROBERT FERRINGO
GAME OF MONTH
7-Unit Play. Take #956 Chicago White Sox (-135) over Chicago Cubs (4 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
Note: This is our Game of the Month.
After taking the first game of the series last night I think the White Sox keep it rolling over their Crosstown Rivals in a big way today. Javy Vazquez got knocked around a little bit against the Cubs on Sunday, but he was also the victim of a weak home run and the fact that the Sox hit into three DP?s in the first three innings. Vazquez is 13-3 in his last 16 home starts and is 22-10 in Chicago in his career. Further, the Sox have won six straight Vazquez starts when he gets an extra day of rest and 16-5 backing him as a favorite. Finally, Vazquez has a sparkling 1.26 ERA in day games this year (2-0) and has been a solid day starter in his career.
Sean Gallagher has dumped four straight road starts and in his career he is 0-3 with a 5.23 ERA. He has never faced the White Sox, so he?s never performed in this type of environment, and he is 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA in day games over the past two years. He hasn?t started in over a week, and that lack of a normal routine means that he could go either way ? either he?s on his (very average) game today or he doesn?t have the feel and could be bounced by the third inning against an ornery Sox lineup.
We have some other solid recent indicators here at work as well. The Cubs have been pretty average on the road lately, dropping four straight away from home and have gone 2-8 on the road as a dog of +110 to +150. They have also lost four straight games in A.L. parks. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 35-17 at home, 10-1 at home against an N.L. team with a winning record, and 17-7 against a right handed starters (20-6 at home). Finally, the Sox have been a great favorite. They are 17-4 as a home chalk and they still have the revenge factor on their side after losing three straight to the Cubs last week. The A.L., as a whole, has dominated the N.L. this year, particularly at home, and I think we get a W today with our Game of the Month.
3-Unit Play. Take #973 Philadelphia (-125) over Texas (8 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
If Texas' offense has a weakness, it's been against left-handed pitching. Cole Hamels, the Philly ace, is being called on here to help the Phils get back on track and I think he's going to answer with an ace performance. The Phillies are in danger of losing first place today. I think they understand this and I think they pounce all over their former mate, Vince Padilla. This will be a lower-scoring game (I have a lean on the 'under') and I think the difference will be the Philly bullpen late in this one.
2-Unit Play. Take #979 Los Angeles Angels (+115) over Los Angeles Dodgers (10 p.m.)
I'm still into fading Chad Billingsley. Neither the Angels nor the Dodgers have shown an ability to come back from an early deficit this year and I expect the Angels to get out front early. This one will be a grinder, but we're getting a great price on the more talented team. The Dodgers are working a patchwork lineup right now (especially in the infield) and I just don't believe that they have enough to sweep the Halos in this series. Therefore we'll be on L.A. or A until they get one.
2-Unit Play. Take #962 Detroit (-165) over Colorado (7 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
The Rockies are now 2-10 in their last 12 road games against the American League. Jeff Francis has been shaky, at best, this year and won't be getting any help from the ump behind the dish. He's facing a red-hot Detroit lineup that's been feasting on lefties for two years now (40-18 in their L58). Justin Verlander isn't all the way back, but he's looked good enough that I feel comfortable backing him.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #965 Tampa Bay (-130) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
Ty Taubenheim was 4-9 with a 4.90 ERA in Triple-A and now is being called on to stop one of the hottest lineups in the Majors. I think we have to expect similar results to last night's Pitt spot starter - not good.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #976 Oakland (-135) over San Francisco (9 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
The weather is heating up, which means that the A's are getting hot as well. Justin Duchscherer has been one of the best bets in the business. And while I do hate going against Tim Lincecum, the San Fran ace has been touched up a little in his last three starts. But the red flag is that his velocity was down in his last start. Oakland is 18-6 in the last 24 meetings and 7-3 in their last 10 at home against the Giants.
Today's Totals
Remember Wednesday when we went 5-2 with our totals? Well, we have a similarly strong crop of umps today so I'm hoping for a 5-1 or 4-2 performance out of this group:
3-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.0 Arizona at Florida (7 p.m., Saturday, June 28)
3-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.5 Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
2.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.5 St. Louis at Kansas City (7 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
2.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.0 Boston at Houston (7 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
2-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 8.5 Baltimore at Washington (7 p.m., Saturday, June 28)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.5 Milwaukee at Minnesota (7 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
GAME OF MONTH
7-Unit Play. Take #956 Chicago White Sox (-135) over Chicago Cubs (4 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
Note: This is our Game of the Month.
After taking the first game of the series last night I think the White Sox keep it rolling over their Crosstown Rivals in a big way today. Javy Vazquez got knocked around a little bit against the Cubs on Sunday, but he was also the victim of a weak home run and the fact that the Sox hit into three DP?s in the first three innings. Vazquez is 13-3 in his last 16 home starts and is 22-10 in Chicago in his career. Further, the Sox have won six straight Vazquez starts when he gets an extra day of rest and 16-5 backing him as a favorite. Finally, Vazquez has a sparkling 1.26 ERA in day games this year (2-0) and has been a solid day starter in his career.
Sean Gallagher has dumped four straight road starts and in his career he is 0-3 with a 5.23 ERA. He has never faced the White Sox, so he?s never performed in this type of environment, and he is 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA in day games over the past two years. He hasn?t started in over a week, and that lack of a normal routine means that he could go either way ? either he?s on his (very average) game today or he doesn?t have the feel and could be bounced by the third inning against an ornery Sox lineup.
We have some other solid recent indicators here at work as well. The Cubs have been pretty average on the road lately, dropping four straight away from home and have gone 2-8 on the road as a dog of +110 to +150. They have also lost four straight games in A.L. parks. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 35-17 at home, 10-1 at home against an N.L. team with a winning record, and 17-7 against a right handed starters (20-6 at home). Finally, the Sox have been a great favorite. They are 17-4 as a home chalk and they still have the revenge factor on their side after losing three straight to the Cubs last week. The A.L., as a whole, has dominated the N.L. this year, particularly at home, and I think we get a W today with our Game of the Month.
3-Unit Play. Take #973 Philadelphia (-125) over Texas (8 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
If Texas' offense has a weakness, it's been against left-handed pitching. Cole Hamels, the Philly ace, is being called on here to help the Phils get back on track and I think he's going to answer with an ace performance. The Phillies are in danger of losing first place today. I think they understand this and I think they pounce all over their former mate, Vince Padilla. This will be a lower-scoring game (I have a lean on the 'under') and I think the difference will be the Philly bullpen late in this one.
2-Unit Play. Take #979 Los Angeles Angels (+115) over Los Angeles Dodgers (10 p.m.)
I'm still into fading Chad Billingsley. Neither the Angels nor the Dodgers have shown an ability to come back from an early deficit this year and I expect the Angels to get out front early. This one will be a grinder, but we're getting a great price on the more talented team. The Dodgers are working a patchwork lineup right now (especially in the infield) and I just don't believe that they have enough to sweep the Halos in this series. Therefore we'll be on L.A. or A until they get one.
2-Unit Play. Take #962 Detroit (-165) over Colorado (7 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
The Rockies are now 2-10 in their last 12 road games against the American League. Jeff Francis has been shaky, at best, this year and won't be getting any help from the ump behind the dish. He's facing a red-hot Detroit lineup that's been feasting on lefties for two years now (40-18 in their L58). Justin Verlander isn't all the way back, but he's looked good enough that I feel comfortable backing him.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #965 Tampa Bay (-130) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
Ty Taubenheim was 4-9 with a 4.90 ERA in Triple-A and now is being called on to stop one of the hottest lineups in the Majors. I think we have to expect similar results to last night's Pitt spot starter - not good.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #976 Oakland (-135) over San Francisco (9 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
The weather is heating up, which means that the A's are getting hot as well. Justin Duchscherer has been one of the best bets in the business. And while I do hate going against Tim Lincecum, the San Fran ace has been touched up a little in his last three starts. But the red flag is that his velocity was down in his last start. Oakland is 18-6 in the last 24 meetings and 7-3 in their last 10 at home against the Giants.
Today's Totals
Remember Wednesday when we went 5-2 with our totals? Well, we have a similarly strong crop of umps today so I'm hoping for a 5-1 or 4-2 performance out of this group:
3-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.0 Arizona at Florida (7 p.m., Saturday, June 28)
3-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.5 Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
2.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.5 St. Louis at Kansas City (7 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
2.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.0 Boston at Houston (7 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
2-Unit Play. Take ?Under? 8.5 Baltimore at Washington (7 p.m., Saturday, June 28)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.5 Milwaukee at Minnesota (7 p.m., Saturday, June 27)
The Experts Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, June 28, 2008
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ULTIMATE EXPERTS BASEBALL WINNER
Cleveland w/Byrd -115 7:05 EST
Date: Saturday, June 28, 2008
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ULTIMATE EXPERTS BASEBALL WINNER
Cleveland w/Byrd -115 7:05 EST
Wunderdog
We have five races from Belmont today and they are in the first five on the card. We don't try and tell you what type of wager to make, but there is an early double and rotating pick-threes beginning with the first race.
BELMONT PARK Race #THREE (2:00 PM Eastern)
(# 7) REMARKABLE REMY - This filly has been on the turf since day one of her career. Stakes winner at two had traffic woes in her seasonal debut at Aqueduct, then handily disposed of an optional/$30,000 field in a mile race on this course. Draws a good post to stalk from and can cause a bit of a mild upset.
(# 1) I Lost My Choo - Chased all the way in her last to no avail to an easy wire-to-wire winner in the "Sands Point" Stakes on May 31. Steady in her performances, she has worked sharply since and is a major threat.
(# 5) Blitzen Too - Lightly-raced and undefeated on the turf (2-for-2). This daughter of "Thunder Gulch" won her seasonal and three-year-old debut going nine furlongs on this course on May 23. Shortens up to a mile and gets a class test today.
(# 8) Canadian Ballet - Stakes winner on the dirt at two went wire-to-wire in her grass debut on May 22 going six furlongs. Race was impressive and her type of speed can never be dismissed. Draws a great post for the distance and she'll have to be caught.
We have five races from Belmont today and they are in the first five on the card. We don't try and tell you what type of wager to make, but there is an early double and rotating pick-threes beginning with the first race.
BELMONT PARK Race #THREE (2:00 PM Eastern)
(# 7) REMARKABLE REMY - This filly has been on the turf since day one of her career. Stakes winner at two had traffic woes in her seasonal debut at Aqueduct, then handily disposed of an optional/$30,000 field in a mile race on this course. Draws a good post to stalk from and can cause a bit of a mild upset.
(# 1) I Lost My Choo - Chased all the way in her last to no avail to an easy wire-to-wire winner in the "Sands Point" Stakes on May 31. Steady in her performances, she has worked sharply since and is a major threat.
(# 5) Blitzen Too - Lightly-raced and undefeated on the turf (2-for-2). This daughter of "Thunder Gulch" won her seasonal and three-year-old debut going nine furlongs on this course on May 23. Shortens up to a mile and gets a class test today.
(# 8) Canadian Ballet - Stakes winner on the dirt at two went wire-to-wire in her grass debut on May 22 going six furlongs. Race was impressive and her type of speed can never be dismissed. Draws a great post for the distance and she'll have to be caught.
Carlo Campanella
Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Texas Rangers Jun 28 2008
Prediction: Texas Rangers
Reason: Philadelphia is just 3-9 during InterLeague play this season and just 1-7 during their last 7 games. Not good numbers for a Road Favorite that faces a starting pitcher, Padilla, that's 8-2 as a Dog of +100 or higher this season.
7* Play On Texas
Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Texas Rangers Jun 28 2008
Prediction: Texas Rangers
Reason: Philadelphia is just 3-9 during InterLeague play this season and just 1-7 during their last 7 games. Not good numbers for a Road Favorite that faces a starting pitcher, Padilla, that's 8-2 as a Dog of +100 or higher this season.
7* Play On Texas
J. R. Miller
MARLINS +124 over Diamondbacks (Miller-Webb)
YANKEES +113 at Mets (Pettitte-Santana)
TIGERS -1.5 +125 over Rockies (Verlander-Francis) (OR -165)
CARDINALS +115 at Royals (Boggs-Davies)
RANGERS +120 over Phillies (Padilla-Hamels)
ATHLETICS -138 over Giants (Duchscherer-Lincecum)
Giants at Athletics OVER 7.0 +106 (any pitchers)
MARLINS +124 over Diamondbacks (Miller-Webb)
YANKEES +113 at Mets (Pettitte-Santana)
TIGERS -1.5 +125 over Rockies (Verlander-Francis) (OR -165)
CARDINALS +115 at Royals (Boggs-Davies)
RANGERS +120 over Phillies (Padilla-Hamels)
ATHLETICS -138 over Giants (Duchscherer-Lincecum)
Giants at Athletics OVER 7.0 +106 (any pitchers)
*** EZWINNERS MLB ***
3 STAR: (956) CHICAGO WHITE SOX (-$134) over Chicago Cubs
(Listing Vazquez only)
(Risking $402 tow in $300)
2:55PM Central Time
2 STAR: (958) NY METS (-$120) over NY Yankees
(Listing Santana only)
(Risking $240 to win $200)
2:55PM Central Time
2 STAR: (969) MILWAUKEE (-$107) over Minnesota
(Listing Parra and Hernandez)
(Risking $214 to win $200)
6:10PM Central Time
1 STAR: (952) FLORIDA (+$128) over Arizona
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $128)
6:10PM Central Time
1 STAR: (961) COLORADO (+$155) over Detroit
(Listing Francis and Verlander)
(Risking $100 to win $155)
1 STAR: (967) ST. LOUIS (+$116) over Kansas City
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $116)
6:10PM Central Time
*** EZWINNERS CFL *****************
1 STAR: (408) SASKATCHEWAN (-4.5) over Edmonton
(Risking $110 to win $100)
6:30PM Central Time
3 STAR: (956) CHICAGO WHITE SOX (-$134) over Chicago Cubs
(Listing Vazquez only)
(Risking $402 tow in $300)
2:55PM Central Time
2 STAR: (958) NY METS (-$120) over NY Yankees
(Listing Santana only)
(Risking $240 to win $200)
2:55PM Central Time
2 STAR: (969) MILWAUKEE (-$107) over Minnesota
(Listing Parra and Hernandez)
(Risking $214 to win $200)
6:10PM Central Time
1 STAR: (952) FLORIDA (+$128) over Arizona
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $128)
6:10PM Central Time
1 STAR: (961) COLORADO (+$155) over Detroit
(Listing Francis and Verlander)
(Risking $100 to win $155)
1 STAR: (967) ST. LOUIS (+$116) over Kansas City
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $116)
6:10PM Central Time
*** EZWINNERS CFL *****************
1 STAR: (408) SASKATCHEWAN (-4.5) over Edmonton
(Risking $110 to win $100)
6:30PM Central Time
NSA
20* Tampa Bay -135
10* White Sox -150
10* Boston -135
10* Minnesota -110
10* Oakland -135
10* St Louis +120
20* Tampa Bay -135
10* White Sox -150
10* Boston -135
10* Minnesota -110
10* Oakland -135
10* St Louis +120
Frank Rosenthal
SATURDAY, JUNE 28, 2008
MLB
951 DBACKS-130 SB
958 NYM-120 SB
959 REDS+110 SB
962 TIGERS-165 SB
967 CARDS+115 SB
974 RANGERS UNDER 10 SB
976 A'S-140 SB
980 DODGERS-125 SB
UNDER 7.5 SB+
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO.
SATURDAY, JUNE 28, 2008
MLB
951 DBACKS-130 SB
958 NYM-120 SB
959 REDS+110 SB
962 TIGERS-165 SB
967 CARDS+115 SB
974 RANGERS UNDER 10 SB
976 A'S-140 SB
980 DODGERS-125 SB
UNDER 7.5 SB+
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO.
David Malinsky
Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Indians
PICK: Cincinnati Reds 4*
While Edinson Volquez has exploded on the scene for Cincinnati, Johnny Cueto actually came with more hype, and has seemingly been a disappointment at 5-8/5.01. But we like Cueto?s stuff, and as is the case with many young pitchers he needed some seasoning before being able to fully show his stuff from a Major League mound. Now he is doing it, but it is happening in a way in which few are noticing. That is why we are offered an underdog price here, and we will not hesitate to take it.
Three starts back we believe that Cueto may have bottomed out - in an ugly 10-0 home loss to the Cardinals he walked eight batters in only five innings. Instead of going into a funk he showed the kind of stuff that he has, bouncing right back to hold the Dodgers and Yankees to three runs on nine hits over 12 innings, while striking out nine. But the Reds only scored a single run behind him each time, which meant a pair of losses. Put a couple of W?s behind those performances, and tonight?s line is far different. Now our timing is ideal to back an emerging talent that has turned in seven quality starts in his last eight outings, but under the radar screens.
Tonight Cueto will also get some offensive support. At this stage in his career Paul Byrd simply can not get left-handers out - over the last three seasons they have tattooed him to a .340 count over 921 at-bats, compared to .266 in 963 vs. right-handers. And they are not just hitting him, they are hitting him hard - lefties have already hit 12 home runs in 167 at-bats this season. Cincinnati has the roster to load up from that side, and with the wind blowing out to right at Jacobs Field it makes his issues even worse. At 3-8/5.21, and at 0-3/9.00 over his last three starts, he absolutely does not have the resume to be the favorite over Cueto in this game. And behind Byrd there is an inconsistent bullpen that Cincinnati rocked in that earlier home series sweep, and can attack well again.
Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Indians
PICK: Cincinnati Reds 4*
While Edinson Volquez has exploded on the scene for Cincinnati, Johnny Cueto actually came with more hype, and has seemingly been a disappointment at 5-8/5.01. But we like Cueto?s stuff, and as is the case with many young pitchers he needed some seasoning before being able to fully show his stuff from a Major League mound. Now he is doing it, but it is happening in a way in which few are noticing. That is why we are offered an underdog price here, and we will not hesitate to take it.
Three starts back we believe that Cueto may have bottomed out - in an ugly 10-0 home loss to the Cardinals he walked eight batters in only five innings. Instead of going into a funk he showed the kind of stuff that he has, bouncing right back to hold the Dodgers and Yankees to three runs on nine hits over 12 innings, while striking out nine. But the Reds only scored a single run behind him each time, which meant a pair of losses. Put a couple of W?s behind those performances, and tonight?s line is far different. Now our timing is ideal to back an emerging talent that has turned in seven quality starts in his last eight outings, but under the radar screens.
Tonight Cueto will also get some offensive support. At this stage in his career Paul Byrd simply can not get left-handers out - over the last three seasons they have tattooed him to a .340 count over 921 at-bats, compared to .266 in 963 vs. right-handers. And they are not just hitting him, they are hitting him hard - lefties have already hit 12 home runs in 167 at-bats this season. Cincinnati has the roster to load up from that side, and with the wind blowing out to right at Jacobs Field it makes his issues even worse. At 3-8/5.21, and at 0-3/9.00 over his last three starts, he absolutely does not have the resume to be the favorite over Cueto in this game. And behind Byrd there is an inconsistent bullpen that Cincinnati rocked in that earlier home series sweep, and can attack well again.
Steve Zukiel Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, June 28, 2008
$45.00 Guaranteed: We Have Another Huge MLB Winner Going Sat! Guaranteed 60 Unit IL Line Value Game Of The Month! Win Or You Pay Nothing! Now 30-14 L44 Overall! Wait Until You See This Report! First Pitch Goes After 7:00 PM EST! 6/27/2008
Major League Baseball
Milwaukee vs Minnesota
Saturday, June 28th, 2008
7:10 pm est 4:10 pm pacific
Line: Minnesota(-110)
Rating: Guaranteed 60 Unit IL Line Value Game Of The Month In this contest, my money is on the Minnesota Twins
This writeup was done before last night's game was finalized.
Minnesota has been red hot. They have won nine straight baseball games and have outscored the opposition by a 56-19 margin. WOW! Now Milwaukee has a solid pitcher in Manny Parra ready for tonight, and he has won his last five starts, but folks, only one was on the road and in that outing, he allowed 5 runs and 10 hits in just 5 1/3 innings of work. In fact, in his six road starts this season, he is just 2-2 and his ERA has climbed to 7.25. Minnesota counters with Livian Hernandez and this guy has been absolutely dominant at home this season. He is 8-4 on the year and owns a 5.23 ERA, but at home, he is a perfect 6-0, the team has won eight of his nine home starts and his ERA has dropped to 3.86. Unbelievable. In fact, in his last two home starts, all versus NL opposition, he allowed just two runs in 14 innings of work. Minnesota is the play folks
STEVE ZUKIEL TAKES THE MINNESOTA TWINS OVER THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS AS MY GUARANTEED 60 UNIT IL LINE VALUE GAME OF THE MONTH
Date: Saturday, June 28, 2008
$45.00 Guaranteed: We Have Another Huge MLB Winner Going Sat! Guaranteed 60 Unit IL Line Value Game Of The Month! Win Or You Pay Nothing! Now 30-14 L44 Overall! Wait Until You See This Report! First Pitch Goes After 7:00 PM EST! 6/27/2008
Major League Baseball
Milwaukee vs Minnesota
Saturday, June 28th, 2008
7:10 pm est 4:10 pm pacific
Line: Minnesota(-110)
Rating: Guaranteed 60 Unit IL Line Value Game Of The Month In this contest, my money is on the Minnesota Twins
This writeup was done before last night's game was finalized.
Minnesota has been red hot. They have won nine straight baseball games and have outscored the opposition by a 56-19 margin. WOW! Now Milwaukee has a solid pitcher in Manny Parra ready for tonight, and he has won his last five starts, but folks, only one was on the road and in that outing, he allowed 5 runs and 10 hits in just 5 1/3 innings of work. In fact, in his six road starts this season, he is just 2-2 and his ERA has climbed to 7.25. Minnesota counters with Livian Hernandez and this guy has been absolutely dominant at home this season. He is 8-4 on the year and owns a 5.23 ERA, but at home, he is a perfect 6-0, the team has won eight of his nine home starts and his ERA has dropped to 3.86. Unbelievable. In fact, in his last two home starts, all versus NL opposition, he allowed just two runs in 14 innings of work. Minnesota is the play folks
STEVE ZUKIEL TAKES THE MINNESOTA TWINS OVER THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS AS MY GUARANTEED 60 UNIT IL LINE VALUE GAME OF THE MONTH
