Saturday Sevice Plays 5/3/08
- Thread starter MLBKING
- Start date
- Apr 7, 2008
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ats triple crown package
gayego to win and place
play gayego with these for exacta's, tri's and super's
court vision
big brown
colonel john
smooth air
teddyjune.
derby picks.
Pyro accross the board.
.
exacta and trifectas.
Pyro.
Colonel John.
Monba.
Tale of Ekati.
confirmed.
FYI
Big Al's derby pick is on Pyro
play it across the board.
Rick Needham
#10 Colonel John
#20 Big Brown
#05 Eight Belles
#13 Bob Black Jack
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MIGHTY QUINN
Mighty missed with the Celtics (-8-1/2) but hit with the Jazz (-7-1/2) last night.
Today it's Colonel John in the Derby ($25 win and place).
The surplus is 560 sirignanos
gayego to win and place
play gayego with these for exacta's, tri's and super's
court vision
big brown
colonel john
smooth air
teddyjune.
derby picks.
Pyro accross the board.
.
exacta and trifectas.
Pyro.
Colonel John.
Monba.
Tale of Ekati.
confirmed.
FYI
Big Al's derby pick is on Pyro
play it across the board.
Rick Needham
#10 Colonel John
#20 Big Brown
#05 Eight Belles
#13 Bob Black Jack
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MIGHTY QUINN
Mighty missed with the Celtics (-8-1/2) but hit with the Jazz (-7-1/2) last night.
Today it's Colonel John in the Derby ($25 win and place).
The surplus is 560 sirignanos
- Apr 7, 2008
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Jimmy The Moose
Game: New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks May 3 2008 3:45PM
Prediction: New York Mets
Reason: The Mets have won 5 of their last 7 games where they have been the underdog. In their last 11 games played on Saturday's the Mets are 8-3. The Diamondbacks have been solid to start the season and this afternoon they have their ace, Webb on the mound but he's striggled vs. New York. Arizona is 1-7 in Webb's last 8 starts vs. the Mets. The Mets are a money making 13-3 (prior to last night's game) in their last 16 trips to Arizona. Play on the Mets +.
Game: New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks May 3 2008 3:45PM
Prediction: New York Mets
Reason: The Mets have won 5 of their last 7 games where they have been the underdog. In their last 11 games played on Saturday's the Mets are 8-3. The Diamondbacks have been solid to start the season and this afternoon they have their ace, Webb on the mound but he's striggled vs. New York. Arizona is 1-7 in Webb's last 8 starts vs. the Mets. The Mets are a money making 13-3 (prior to last night's game) in their last 16 trips to Arizona. Play on the Mets +.
- Apr 7, 2008
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HONDO
May 3, 2008 -- Hondo was spared a fall into red numbers last night when the dreaded Bosawx threw him a rope and pulled him into triple figures at 110 cronins above sea level.
Today, he'll take shots, mostly long, with Pelfrey in Phoenix, Lohse in St. Louis and Adriano in Louis ville - 10 units , 10 units and 1 unit, respectively
May 3, 2008 -- Hondo was spared a fall into red numbers last night when the dreaded Bosawx threw him a rope and pulled him into triple figures at 110 cronins above sea level.
Today, he'll take shots, mostly long, with Pelfrey in Phoenix, Lohse in St. Louis and Adriano in Louis ville - 10 units , 10 units and 1 unit, respectively
- Apr 7, 2008
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VEGAS SPORTS PICS
Orlando Magic + 6 over (at) Detroit Pistons
Orlando finished an NBA second-best 38-14 vs. the East and an East second-best 27-14 on the road. Magic went 1-1 at Detroit this season, winning 103-85 on 02/19, losing 101-93 on 01/25.
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New Orleans Hornets - 2 over San Antonio Spurs
New Orleans is 21-7 ATS last 28 home games including a 100-75 win over San Antonio on March 03/12, outrebounding Spurs 45-27. SA had held 26 of its previous 30 opponents under 100 points.
Orlando Magic + 6 over (at) Detroit Pistons
Orlando finished an NBA second-best 38-14 vs. the East and an East second-best 27-14 on the road. Magic went 1-1 at Detroit this season, winning 103-85 on 02/19, losing 101-93 on 01/25.
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New Orleans Hornets - 2 over San Antonio Spurs
New Orleans is 21-7 ATS last 28 home games including a 100-75 win over San Antonio on March 03/12, outrebounding Spurs 45-27. SA had held 26 of its previous 30 opponents under 100 points.
- Apr 7, 2008
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VEGAS EXPERTS
San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies
Saturday, May 3rd, 7:05 PM ET
You really never need an excuse to play against the Giants' Matt Cain, who has a team start record of 11-27 over the last two seasons, but tonight's situation looks particularly disastrous. First off, he'll be "backed" by a San Francisco offense that is averaging less than three runs per game on the road this season. Secondly, he is 0-3 lifetime vs. Philly with a 9.69 ERA. Phillies starter Brett Myers has been sharp at home this season (3.15 ERA).
Play on: Philadelphia
San Francisco Giants at Philadelphia Phillies
Saturday, May 3rd, 7:05 PM ET
You really never need an excuse to play against the Giants' Matt Cain, who has a team start record of 11-27 over the last two seasons, but tonight's situation looks particularly disastrous. First off, he'll be "backed" by a San Francisco offense that is averaging less than three runs per game on the road this season. Secondly, he is 0-3 lifetime vs. Philly with a 9.69 ERA. Phillies starter Brett Myers has been sharp at home this season (3.15 ERA).
Play on: Philadelphia
- Apr 7, 2008
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Marc Lawrence
GAME: San Diego Padres @ Florida Marlins May 3, 2008 7:10PM
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: San Diego Padres
Play On: San Diego w/Peavy
Note: When the Padres send ace Jake Peavy to the hill in Florida they'll do so knowing he has been a dominator during his team starts in May, winning 17 of his last 19 team starts this month.
In addition, Peavy has cashed in 16 of his last 20 team starts on Saturdays, including each of his last 7 in a row. Too many good numbers to ignore here tonight. Back Peavy and the Padres.
We recommend a 1-unit play on the Padres.
GAME: San Diego Padres @ Florida Marlins May 3, 2008 7:10PM
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: San Diego Padres
Play On: San Diego w/Peavy
Note: When the Padres send ace Jake Peavy to the hill in Florida they'll do so knowing he has been a dominator during his team starts in May, winning 17 of his last 19 team starts this month.
In addition, Peavy has cashed in 16 of his last 20 team starts on Saturdays, including each of his last 7 in a row. Too many good numbers to ignore here tonight. Back Peavy and the Padres.
We recommend a 1-unit play on the Padres.
- Apr 7, 2008
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NBA PLAYOFFS
WESTERN CONFERENCE
San Antonio (4-1, 2-2-1 ATS) New Orleans (4-1, 3-2 ATS)
The Spurs head to the Big Easy to take on the upstart Hornets in the opening game of their best-of-7 Western Conference semifinal inside New Orleans Arena. These teams split four games this season with both getting a home and road win and cover as the winner cashed in each contest. The most recent battle came on March 12 when New Orleans routed the Spurs 100-75 as a one-point home ?dog. However, way back on Nov. 9 ? the sixth game of the season for both teams ? San Antonio went into New Orleans and got a 97-85 victory as a three-point road favorite. Dating back to 2005, the Spurs are 8-2 SU (6-4 ATS) against the Hornets, and they have won four of the last five SU and ATS on the road. The straight-up winner is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 overall, and the road team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight. San Antonio dispatched of the Suns in five games in the opening round, clinching things with Tuesday?s 92-87 home win, pushing as a five-point chalk. The Spurs were riding a five-game SU winning streak (3-2 ATS) before falling 105-86 in Phoenix on Sunday. Last year in the conference semifinals, San Antonio beat the Suns 4-2 (3-2-1 ATS) en route to the NBA title. New Orleans eliminated the Mavericks 4-1, wrapping up the series on Tuesday with a 99-94 home win, but the Hornets failed to cash as seven-point favorites. Byron Scott?s team won all three home playoff games against Dallas (2-1 ATS) and is 33-11 SU and 28-16 ATS in the Big Easy this season. The Hornets are back in the conference semifinals for the first time since 2002 when they were based in Charlotte, and they got bounced by the Nets that year, going 1-4 SU and ATS. Gregg Popovich?s squad is just 23-20 (16-27 ATS) on the road this season (playoffs included), and when the Spurs have had three or more days off between games they are just 4-4 ATS. Also, San Antonio is a miserable 2-10 ATS as an underdog of less than four points this year, and the team is on further pointspread slides of 4-9 as an underdog of any price, 5-13 as a road pup, 1-5 on the highway and 1-5 on Saturdays.
Conversely, the Hornets are on a plethora of ATS streaks, including 41-20-1 overall, 21-7 at home, 16-5-1 as a favorite, 19-7 as a home favorite, 5-2 when playing on three or more days rest and 44-16-2 on Saturdays. The under is 4-1 in the last five series clashes (2-0 in New Orleans), 11-5 in the Spurs? last 16 as a ?dog, 16-6 in the Spurs? last 22 against the Southwest Division and 6-1 in their last seven when going on three or more days? rest. On the flip side, the over is on streaks of 6-2 for San Antonio overall, 8-3 for San Antonio as a playoff underdog, 11-5 for San Antonio in conference semifinal contests, 17-7-2 for the Hornets as a home favorite, 5-1for the Hornets on Saturdays and 6-1 for the Hornets in conference semifinal games.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN ANTONIO and OVER
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Orlando (4-1, 3-2 ATS) at Detroit (4-2 SU and ATS)
The Magic find themselves in the Eastern Conference semifinals for the first time in 12 years when they tip off Game 1 of their best-of-7 series against the Pistons inside the Palace of Auburn Hills. These two teams split four games this season with each getting a home and road win and cover, with the victor cashing in all four games. In the most recent meeting on Feb. 19, Orlando went into Detroit and scored a 103-85 win as a 6?-point underdog. The road team is 15-5-3 ATS in the last 23 series clashes between these two, with the Magic going 6-2-3 ATS in their last 11 trips to Motown. Orlando hasn?t been in the semis since the Shaquille O?Neal-led team in 1996, which was also the last time it won a division title and had a 50-win regular season prior to this year. Stan Van Gundy?s squad took out Toronto in the quarterfinals in five games, going 1-1 SU and ATS on the road. Overall, the Magic are on a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS roll going back to the regular season. Detroit is in the conference semifinals for the seventh straight year after winning the final three games of their quarterfinal series against Philadelphia, covering the number in all three. Flip Saunders? team capped the series win with Thursday?s easy 100-77 win as 5?-point road favorites. The Pistons are 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. The straight-up winner is 17-1-1 in Orlando?s last 19 games and 14-0 ATS in Detroit?s last 14. The Magic are on ATS streaks of 7-2 against the Eastern Conference, 6-0-1 against Central Division squads, 18-7-1 as an underdog, 5-2 on the highway, 15-6-1 as a road ?dog and 36-16-1 on Saturdays. However, they are just 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine as a playoff road ?dog. The Pistons are in the midst of positive pointspread runs of 8-2 as a favorite, 5-1 as a home favorite, 4-1 against the Eastern Conference, 5-2 in conference semifinal action and 27-11 when playing on one days? rest. However Detroit?s negative ATS trends include 9-12-1 in the playoffs (4-8 ATS in the last 12) and 9-17-1 as a playoff chalk (4-8 ATS last 12 as a playoff favorite). The over has been the play in four of the last five head-to-head meetings and nine of the last 10 times these two have squared off in the Motor City. For Orlando, the under is on runs of 11-3 overall (3-2 in the playoffs), 8-1 on the road, 14-4 following an ATS win, 10-3 against the Eastern Conference, 4-1 on Saturdays and 5-0 against Central Division teams. For the Pistons, the under is on streaks of 13-5 overall (4-2 in the playoffs), 12-4 as a favorite, 9-2 when playing on one days? rest, 5-0 against Southeast Division teams, 5-1 on Saturdays and 15-4 against the Eastern Conference.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Chicago Cubs (17-12) at St. Louis (19-11)
The Cubs and Cardinals, who are battling it out for first place in the N.L. Central, continue their weekend series at Busch Stadium, with Ted Lilly (1-4, 6.46 ERA) scheduled to pitch for Chicago opposite Kyle Lohse (3-0, 2.36). St. Louis survived a blown 3-1 ninth-inning lead last night, getting a two-run walk-off homer from Skip Schumaker in the bottom of the 11th to win 5-3. The Cardinals are now 5-1 in their last six (all at home), running their season record at Busch Stadium to 13-6. Also, the Redbirds are 6-1 in their last seven Saturday contests, 5-1 in their last six against Central Division foes and 12-5 in their last 17 at home against left-handed starters. The Cubs have followed up a six-game winning streak by going 2-6 in their last eight, and they?re now just 6-6 on the road. On the bright side, Lou Piniella?s club is on positive runs of 16-9 overall, 8-4 as a road underdog, 24-10 against Central Division foes and 8-3 on Saturdays. The Cubs went 11-5 against the Cardinals last season, including winning seven of nine in St. Louis. After starting the season with four straight ugly outings (19 earned runs allowed in 18 2/3 innings), Lilly has turned things around in his last two starts, pitching six innings in each while surrendering a combined three runs on eight hits. He got an 8-1 home victory over the Mets on April 22, but suffered a 2-0 loss at Washington on Sunday. Despite the strong effort in Washington, Lilly is still 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA in three road starts, and Chicago is 1-5 in his last six outings away from Wrigley Field dating to last year. In fact, the Cubs have dropped seven of Lilly?s last nine starts overall. Lohse has been outstanding in his first six starts in a Cardinals uniform, allowing two earned runs or fewer in five of the contests. On Sunday, he limited the Astros to a single run on four hits and one walk in six innings en route to a 5-1 home win. The right-hander is 2-0 with a 1.08 ERA in four starts at Busch Stadium, but St. Louis did lose his two no-decisions. Lilly recorded four quality starts in five games against the Cardinals last year, going 2-2 with a 3.55 ERA, including 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two contests in St. Louis. Meanwhile, Lohse faced the Cubs three times last year ? twice with the Reds, once with the Phillies ? and he went 1-0 with a 1.76 ERA (three runs allowed in 15 1/3 innings), and Chicago lost all three games. The under is 4-2 in Lohse?s six starts this season, including 4-0 at home. The under is also 3-1 in Lilly?s last four overall and 4-2 in his six career starts versus the Redbirds (2-0 in St. Louis). The under is 8-3-1 in the last eight series meetings at Busch Stadium and 5-2-2 in the last nine meetings overall, with Friday?s game pushing. The under is on further streaks of 40-16-3 for Chicago on the road, 10-3 for Chicago on Saturdays, 6-1-1 for the Cardinals overall and 5-1-1 for the Cardinals at home. However, the over is 17-8-1 in St. Louis? last 26 Saturday affairs.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Tampa Bay (16-13) at Boston (18-13)
The top two teams in the A.L. East are set to send their respective aces to the hill in the middle game of this weekend series at Fenway Park, with Tampa Bay?s James Shields (3-1, 2.54) set to oppose Josh Beckett (2-2, 4.10). Boston reclaimed sole-possession of first place with Friday?s weather-delayed 7-3 victory over the Rays in a game that ended at nearly 1 a.m. Eastern time. The Red Sox are still just 3-6 in their last nine games, but Terry Francona?s club 12-5 at home in 2008 and 39-17 in its last 56 at Fenway dating to last season. Also, the Sox are 27-11 in Beckett?s last 38 trips to the mound, including 5-1 in his last six on Saturdays and 4-0 in his last four at home. Despite Friday?s setback, Tampa Bay is still on an 8-2 run, all against A.L. East opponents. The Rays are now 6-6 on the road this season after going 32-85 in their previous 117 on the highway. On the downside, they?re 7-18 in Shields? last 25 road starts and 1-4 in his last five starts on Saturdays. The Rays got three outstanding pitching performances last weekend ? including one from Shields ? in sweeping the Red Sox by a combined score of 10-5. Going back to the end of last season, Tampa has won four of five from Boston, but the Red Sox are still 42-10 in the last 52 meetings overall and 93-43 in the last 136 clashes at Fenway Park. Shields was dynamite in outdueling Beckett on Sunday, tossing a complete-game two-hitter in a 3-0 win, walking just one and striking out seven. Going back to last season, the right-hander has allowed two earned runs or fewer in eight of his last nine starts, and the Rays are 9-3 in his last 12 outings, but just 2-3 on the road. This season, Shields is 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA in three road starts. Prior to Sunday?s 3-0 win, the Rays had been 0-4 in Shields? starts against Boston. He?s now 1-2 with a 3.26 ERA against the Red Sox, and in his lone start at Fenway Park last summer, he gave up just a run in six innings but lost 3-0. Beckett was the tough-luck loser on Sunday despite giving up just two runs (one earned) on four hits in seven innings, walking one and striking out 13 in his best performance of the season so far. In his lone outing at Fenway this year, the right-hander gave up three runs in 6 2/3 innings, beating the Yankees 4-3. Beckett is now 3-3 with a 3.72 ERA in six career starts against the Rays. Last year, he faced them twice (once at home, once on the road) and went 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA. The under is 6-1 in Shields? last seven road trips. Also, even though Friday?s game jumped over the posted total, the under remains 7-2 in Tampa Bay?s last nine overall, 5-0 in its last five on Saturdays, 6-1 in Boston?s last seven overall, 4-2 in its last six at home and 4-1 in the last four series meetings.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER
NBA PLAYOFFS
WESTERN CONFERENCE
San Antonio (4-1, 2-2-1 ATS) New Orleans (4-1, 3-2 ATS)
The Spurs head to the Big Easy to take on the upstart Hornets in the opening game of their best-of-7 Western Conference semifinal inside New Orleans Arena. These teams split four games this season with both getting a home and road win and cover as the winner cashed in each contest. The most recent battle came on March 12 when New Orleans routed the Spurs 100-75 as a one-point home ?dog. However, way back on Nov. 9 ? the sixth game of the season for both teams ? San Antonio went into New Orleans and got a 97-85 victory as a three-point road favorite. Dating back to 2005, the Spurs are 8-2 SU (6-4 ATS) against the Hornets, and they have won four of the last five SU and ATS on the road. The straight-up winner is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 overall, and the road team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight. San Antonio dispatched of the Suns in five games in the opening round, clinching things with Tuesday?s 92-87 home win, pushing as a five-point chalk. The Spurs were riding a five-game SU winning streak (3-2 ATS) before falling 105-86 in Phoenix on Sunday. Last year in the conference semifinals, San Antonio beat the Suns 4-2 (3-2-1 ATS) en route to the NBA title. New Orleans eliminated the Mavericks 4-1, wrapping up the series on Tuesday with a 99-94 home win, but the Hornets failed to cash as seven-point favorites. Byron Scott?s team won all three home playoff games against Dallas (2-1 ATS) and is 33-11 SU and 28-16 ATS in the Big Easy this season. The Hornets are back in the conference semifinals for the first time since 2002 when they were based in Charlotte, and they got bounced by the Nets that year, going 1-4 SU and ATS. Gregg Popovich?s squad is just 23-20 (16-27 ATS) on the road this season (playoffs included), and when the Spurs have had three or more days off between games they are just 4-4 ATS. Also, San Antonio is a miserable 2-10 ATS as an underdog of less than four points this year, and the team is on further pointspread slides of 4-9 as an underdog of any price, 5-13 as a road pup, 1-5 on the highway and 1-5 on Saturdays.
Conversely, the Hornets are on a plethora of ATS streaks, including 41-20-1 overall, 21-7 at home, 16-5-1 as a favorite, 19-7 as a home favorite, 5-2 when playing on three or more days rest and 44-16-2 on Saturdays. The under is 4-1 in the last five series clashes (2-0 in New Orleans), 11-5 in the Spurs? last 16 as a ?dog, 16-6 in the Spurs? last 22 against the Southwest Division and 6-1 in their last seven when going on three or more days? rest. On the flip side, the over is on streaks of 6-2 for San Antonio overall, 8-3 for San Antonio as a playoff underdog, 11-5 for San Antonio in conference semifinal contests, 17-7-2 for the Hornets as a home favorite, 5-1for the Hornets on Saturdays and 6-1 for the Hornets in conference semifinal games.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN ANTONIO and OVER
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Orlando (4-1, 3-2 ATS) at Detroit (4-2 SU and ATS)
The Magic find themselves in the Eastern Conference semifinals for the first time in 12 years when they tip off Game 1 of their best-of-7 series against the Pistons inside the Palace of Auburn Hills. These two teams split four games this season with each getting a home and road win and cover, with the victor cashing in all four games. In the most recent meeting on Feb. 19, Orlando went into Detroit and scored a 103-85 win as a 6?-point underdog. The road team is 15-5-3 ATS in the last 23 series clashes between these two, with the Magic going 6-2-3 ATS in their last 11 trips to Motown. Orlando hasn?t been in the semis since the Shaquille O?Neal-led team in 1996, which was also the last time it won a division title and had a 50-win regular season prior to this year. Stan Van Gundy?s squad took out Toronto in the quarterfinals in five games, going 1-1 SU and ATS on the road. Overall, the Magic are on a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS roll going back to the regular season. Detroit is in the conference semifinals for the seventh straight year after winning the final three games of their quarterfinal series against Philadelphia, covering the number in all three. Flip Saunders? team capped the series win with Thursday?s easy 100-77 win as 5?-point road favorites. The Pistons are 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. The straight-up winner is 17-1-1 in Orlando?s last 19 games and 14-0 ATS in Detroit?s last 14. The Magic are on ATS streaks of 7-2 against the Eastern Conference, 6-0-1 against Central Division squads, 18-7-1 as an underdog, 5-2 on the highway, 15-6-1 as a road ?dog and 36-16-1 on Saturdays. However, they are just 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine as a playoff road ?dog. The Pistons are in the midst of positive pointspread runs of 8-2 as a favorite, 5-1 as a home favorite, 4-1 against the Eastern Conference, 5-2 in conference semifinal action and 27-11 when playing on one days? rest. However Detroit?s negative ATS trends include 9-12-1 in the playoffs (4-8 ATS in the last 12) and 9-17-1 as a playoff chalk (4-8 ATS last 12 as a playoff favorite). The over has been the play in four of the last five head-to-head meetings and nine of the last 10 times these two have squared off in the Motor City. For Orlando, the under is on runs of 11-3 overall (3-2 in the playoffs), 8-1 on the road, 14-4 following an ATS win, 10-3 against the Eastern Conference, 4-1 on Saturdays and 5-0 against Central Division teams. For the Pistons, the under is on streaks of 13-5 overall (4-2 in the playoffs), 12-4 as a favorite, 9-2 when playing on one days? rest, 5-0 against Southeast Division teams, 5-1 on Saturdays and 15-4 against the Eastern Conference.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Chicago Cubs (17-12) at St. Louis (19-11)
The Cubs and Cardinals, who are battling it out for first place in the N.L. Central, continue their weekend series at Busch Stadium, with Ted Lilly (1-4, 6.46 ERA) scheduled to pitch for Chicago opposite Kyle Lohse (3-0, 2.36). St. Louis survived a blown 3-1 ninth-inning lead last night, getting a two-run walk-off homer from Skip Schumaker in the bottom of the 11th to win 5-3. The Cardinals are now 5-1 in their last six (all at home), running their season record at Busch Stadium to 13-6. Also, the Redbirds are 6-1 in their last seven Saturday contests, 5-1 in their last six against Central Division foes and 12-5 in their last 17 at home against left-handed starters. The Cubs have followed up a six-game winning streak by going 2-6 in their last eight, and they?re now just 6-6 on the road. On the bright side, Lou Piniella?s club is on positive runs of 16-9 overall, 8-4 as a road underdog, 24-10 against Central Division foes and 8-3 on Saturdays. The Cubs went 11-5 against the Cardinals last season, including winning seven of nine in St. Louis. After starting the season with four straight ugly outings (19 earned runs allowed in 18 2/3 innings), Lilly has turned things around in his last two starts, pitching six innings in each while surrendering a combined three runs on eight hits. He got an 8-1 home victory over the Mets on April 22, but suffered a 2-0 loss at Washington on Sunday. Despite the strong effort in Washington, Lilly is still 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA in three road starts, and Chicago is 1-5 in his last six outings away from Wrigley Field dating to last year. In fact, the Cubs have dropped seven of Lilly?s last nine starts overall. Lohse has been outstanding in his first six starts in a Cardinals uniform, allowing two earned runs or fewer in five of the contests. On Sunday, he limited the Astros to a single run on four hits and one walk in six innings en route to a 5-1 home win. The right-hander is 2-0 with a 1.08 ERA in four starts at Busch Stadium, but St. Louis did lose his two no-decisions. Lilly recorded four quality starts in five games against the Cardinals last year, going 2-2 with a 3.55 ERA, including 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two contests in St. Louis. Meanwhile, Lohse faced the Cubs three times last year ? twice with the Reds, once with the Phillies ? and he went 1-0 with a 1.76 ERA (three runs allowed in 15 1/3 innings), and Chicago lost all three games. The under is 4-2 in Lohse?s six starts this season, including 4-0 at home. The under is also 3-1 in Lilly?s last four overall and 4-2 in his six career starts versus the Redbirds (2-0 in St. Louis). The under is 8-3-1 in the last eight series meetings at Busch Stadium and 5-2-2 in the last nine meetings overall, with Friday?s game pushing. The under is on further streaks of 40-16-3 for Chicago on the road, 10-3 for Chicago on Saturdays, 6-1-1 for the Cardinals overall and 5-1-1 for the Cardinals at home. However, the over is 17-8-1 in St. Louis? last 26 Saturday affairs.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Tampa Bay (16-13) at Boston (18-13)
The top two teams in the A.L. East are set to send their respective aces to the hill in the middle game of this weekend series at Fenway Park, with Tampa Bay?s James Shields (3-1, 2.54) set to oppose Josh Beckett (2-2, 4.10). Boston reclaimed sole-possession of first place with Friday?s weather-delayed 7-3 victory over the Rays in a game that ended at nearly 1 a.m. Eastern time. The Red Sox are still just 3-6 in their last nine games, but Terry Francona?s club 12-5 at home in 2008 and 39-17 in its last 56 at Fenway dating to last season. Also, the Sox are 27-11 in Beckett?s last 38 trips to the mound, including 5-1 in his last six on Saturdays and 4-0 in his last four at home. Despite Friday?s setback, Tampa Bay is still on an 8-2 run, all against A.L. East opponents. The Rays are now 6-6 on the road this season after going 32-85 in their previous 117 on the highway. On the downside, they?re 7-18 in Shields? last 25 road starts and 1-4 in his last five starts on Saturdays. The Rays got three outstanding pitching performances last weekend ? including one from Shields ? in sweeping the Red Sox by a combined score of 10-5. Going back to the end of last season, Tampa has won four of five from Boston, but the Red Sox are still 42-10 in the last 52 meetings overall and 93-43 in the last 136 clashes at Fenway Park. Shields was dynamite in outdueling Beckett on Sunday, tossing a complete-game two-hitter in a 3-0 win, walking just one and striking out seven. Going back to last season, the right-hander has allowed two earned runs or fewer in eight of his last nine starts, and the Rays are 9-3 in his last 12 outings, but just 2-3 on the road. This season, Shields is 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA in three road starts. Prior to Sunday?s 3-0 win, the Rays had been 0-4 in Shields? starts against Boston. He?s now 1-2 with a 3.26 ERA against the Red Sox, and in his lone start at Fenway Park last summer, he gave up just a run in six innings but lost 3-0. Beckett was the tough-luck loser on Sunday despite giving up just two runs (one earned) on four hits in seven innings, walking one and striking out 13 in his best performance of the season so far. In his lone outing at Fenway this year, the right-hander gave up three runs in 6 2/3 innings, beating the Yankees 4-3. Beckett is now 3-3 with a 3.72 ERA in six career starts against the Rays. Last year, he faced them twice (once at home, once on the road) and went 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA. The under is 6-1 in Shields? last seven road trips. Also, even though Friday?s game jumped over the posted total, the under remains 7-2 in Tampa Bay?s last nine overall, 5-0 in its last five on Saturdays, 6-1 in Boston?s last seven overall, 4-2 in its last six at home and 4-1 in the last four series meetings.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
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- 36
Saturday, May 03, 2008
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
San Antonio Spurs vs. New Orleans Hornets (NBA) - 10:00 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -3/-107 New Orleans Hornets Play Title: NBA Playoff 3 Unit Selection
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New Orleans comes into this game with a tremendous amount of confidence. They soundly defeated Dallas in the first round, and now they face a San Antonio team that they have had a tremendous amount of success against this season. The first thing to consider when looking at the Hornets is their youth. They are a very young, emotional, but talented team. I look for them to play with a lot of intensity in this game, and they will not be overwhelmed by the Spurs aging veterans. I expect this series to go six or seven games, but this game will belong to the Hornets. They won the last two out of three games between these teams this season. They blew out the Spurs in both wins. I feel that San Antonio is somewhat over-rated, and New Orleans is a better overall team. However, their youth will come into play later in this series on the road. However, the Hornets will play with much more intensity than the Spurs and their younger, better talent will be the difference. New Orleans looked fantastic in all three home playoff games against Dallas, and they will soundly defeat the Spurs tonight.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals (MLB) - 1:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 100 Pittsburgh Pirates Play Title: NL Early Afternoon Top Play
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Pittsburgh was able to pound Washington pitching last night, and they will do the same tonight. They hit much better against left handers, and they are facing Nationals lefty Matt Chico, who has really struggled this season. He has only lasted 13 innings in his last three starts, while giving up 16 runs. Pittsburgh is batting almost 30 percentage points better against lefties also. The Pirates send starter Paul Maholm to the mound, who has been their best starter this season. He has a 3.26 ERA and has allowed 1 run in his last two starts. He also pitched a complete game against Philadelphia in his last outing. They only team to hit him hard this season was Los Angeles, who crushes left handed pitching. He will have no problem handling the weak Nationals hitting though. Look for Maholm to dominate and the Pirates bats to smash Chico and the Nationals.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies (MLB) - 8:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -102 Los Angeles Dodgers Play Title: NL Underdog Winner
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Los Angeles has crushed left handed pitching this season, and now they face a very poor lefty, Jorge De La Rosa. He was completely pounded last year as a member of the Royals rotation, and the Dodgers will get to him early in this game. They are hitting well over .300 as a team against lefties. Esteban Loaiza gets the start for the Dodgers. He pitched very well against the Rockies in his first start of the season which was his last outing. He allowed them to only two runs and five hits in five innings of work. Overall Los Angeles has a much better bullpen than the Rockies. Bullpens will play a big part in this game. However, the Dodgers will be up by a substantial amount after the first few innings. I look for them to get an easy win here.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Baltimore Orioles vs. LAA Angels (MLB) - 3:45 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 118 Baltimore Orioles Play Title: AL Underdog of the Day
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Daniel Cabrera has been a big surprise for the Orioles this season. He has rebounded from a poor 2007. Cabrera has allowed two runs or less in his last four starts. Those starts have also come against good hitting teams both at home and on the road. He has allowed only two earned runs in his starts against Seattle, Chicago White Sox, and the New York Yankees. He also only allowed one earned run against Tampa Bay on the road. He has shown that he can pitch great games on the road against good teams. However, Jon Garland has had a horrendous season so far. He has been completely hammered both at home and on the road. Oakland, Texas, Seattle, and Boston have all hammered him. It appears that he is losing control of his best pitches. He has to rely on his team?s defense to get batters out. Baltimore has good enough hitters to capitalize on Garland?s poor control. I look for Cabrera to be too tough for the Angels and Garland. Look for an Orioles road win.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 116 Minnesota Twins Play Title: Saturday's Best Bet of the Day
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Justin Verlander has had a very bad start to this season. His ERA is 6.50 and he has allowed five earned runs or more in four out of his six starts this season. His only good outing was against Texas at home when they were struggling to hit. Minnesota hits very well at home, and they have had success against Verlander before. They completely crushed him in both of his starts against them last season. The Twins are also hitting almost 60 percentage points higher against righties at home. Scott Baker pitched very well on the road against Detroit earlier in the season. In fact, the Tigers three runs all came from solo home runs, as Baker was able to keep them off the bases. He went seven innings in that game, only allowing five hits and striking out three batters. I look for Minnesota to come into this game with a lot of confidence after their win against the Tigers last night. Look for Minnesota to win this game as the underdog.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 8/-116 Under Play Title: Saturday's Best Total Selection
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Josh Beckett and Scott Shields are aces for their respective teams. They proved their talents against each other earlier in the season. Josh Beckett had his best outing of the season against Tampa Bay, holding them to only two runs, one earned, in seven innings of work. In that game, he struck out 13 batters, while only walking one hitter! He has also dominated Tampa Bay throughout his career. Scott Shields through a complete game against the Red Sox this season. He shut them out and only allowed two hits. I look for each of these pitchers to be very motivated for this game, as they will want to outduel the other. Because of that motivation they will both be performing at their peak level. In addition, each team has struggled to hit lately. I expect this game to be an outstanding pitchers duel. Look for a very low scoring game
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
San Antonio Spurs vs. New Orleans Hornets (NBA) - 10:00 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -3/-107 New Orleans Hornets Play Title: NBA Playoff 3 Unit Selection
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New Orleans comes into this game with a tremendous amount of confidence. They soundly defeated Dallas in the first round, and now they face a San Antonio team that they have had a tremendous amount of success against this season. The first thing to consider when looking at the Hornets is their youth. They are a very young, emotional, but talented team. I look for them to play with a lot of intensity in this game, and they will not be overwhelmed by the Spurs aging veterans. I expect this series to go six or seven games, but this game will belong to the Hornets. They won the last two out of three games between these teams this season. They blew out the Spurs in both wins. I feel that San Antonio is somewhat over-rated, and New Orleans is a better overall team. However, their youth will come into play later in this series on the road. However, the Hornets will play with much more intensity than the Spurs and their younger, better talent will be the difference. New Orleans looked fantastic in all three home playoff games against Dallas, and they will soundly defeat the Spurs tonight.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals (MLB) - 1:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 100 Pittsburgh Pirates Play Title: NL Early Afternoon Top Play
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Pittsburgh was able to pound Washington pitching last night, and they will do the same tonight. They hit much better against left handers, and they are facing Nationals lefty Matt Chico, who has really struggled this season. He has only lasted 13 innings in his last three starts, while giving up 16 runs. Pittsburgh is batting almost 30 percentage points better against lefties also. The Pirates send starter Paul Maholm to the mound, who has been their best starter this season. He has a 3.26 ERA and has allowed 1 run in his last two starts. He also pitched a complete game against Philadelphia in his last outing. They only team to hit him hard this season was Los Angeles, who crushes left handed pitching. He will have no problem handling the weak Nationals hitting though. Look for Maholm to dominate and the Pirates bats to smash Chico and the Nationals.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies (MLB) - 8:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: -102 Los Angeles Dodgers Play Title: NL Underdog Winner
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Los Angeles has crushed left handed pitching this season, and now they face a very poor lefty, Jorge De La Rosa. He was completely pounded last year as a member of the Royals rotation, and the Dodgers will get to him early in this game. They are hitting well over .300 as a team against lefties. Esteban Loaiza gets the start for the Dodgers. He pitched very well against the Rockies in his first start of the season which was his last outing. He allowed them to only two runs and five hits in five innings of work. Overall Los Angeles has a much better bullpen than the Rockies. Bullpens will play a big part in this game. However, the Dodgers will be up by a substantial amount after the first few innings. I look for them to get an easy win here.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Baltimore Orioles vs. LAA Angels (MLB) - 3:45 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 118 Baltimore Orioles Play Title: AL Underdog of the Day
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Daniel Cabrera has been a big surprise for the Orioles this season. He has rebounded from a poor 2007. Cabrera has allowed two runs or less in his last four starts. Those starts have also come against good hitting teams both at home and on the road. He has allowed only two earned runs in his starts against Seattle, Chicago White Sox, and the New York Yankees. He also only allowed one earned run against Tampa Bay on the road. He has shown that he can pitch great games on the road against good teams. However, Jon Garland has had a horrendous season so far. He has been completely hammered both at home and on the road. Oakland, Texas, Seattle, and Boston have all hammered him. It appears that he is losing control of his best pitches. He has to rely on his team?s defense to get batters out. Baltimore has good enough hitters to capitalize on Garland?s poor control. I look for Cabrera to be too tough for the Angels and Garland. Look for an Orioles road win.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 116 Minnesota Twins Play Title: Saturday's Best Bet of the Day
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Justin Verlander has had a very bad start to this season. His ERA is 6.50 and he has allowed five earned runs or more in four out of his six starts this season. His only good outing was against Texas at home when they were struggling to hit. Minnesota hits very well at home, and they have had success against Verlander before. They completely crushed him in both of his starts against them last season. The Twins are also hitting almost 60 percentage points higher against righties at home. Scott Baker pitched very well on the road against Detroit earlier in the season. In fact, the Tigers three runs all came from solo home runs, as Baker was able to keep them off the bases. He went seven innings in that game, only allowing five hits and striking out three batters. I look for Minnesota to come into this game with a lot of confidence after their win against the Tigers last night. Look for Minnesota to win this game as the underdog.
Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 8/-116 Under Play Title: Saturday's Best Total Selection
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Josh Beckett and Scott Shields are aces for their respective teams. They proved their talents against each other earlier in the season. Josh Beckett had his best outing of the season against Tampa Bay, holding them to only two runs, one earned, in seven innings of work. In that game, he struck out 13 batters, while only walking one hitter! He has also dominated Tampa Bay throughout his career. Scott Shields through a complete game against the Red Sox this season. He shut them out and only allowed two hits. I look for each of these pitchers to be very motivated for this game, as they will want to outduel the other. Because of that motivation they will both be performing at their peak level. In addition, each team has struggled to hit lately. I expect this game to be an outstanding pitchers duel. Look for a very low scoring game
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
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SportsKingz
MLB:
ST. LOUIS -110 (1100 TO WIN 1000)
OAKLAND -190 (1900 TO WIN 1000)
SAN DIEGO UNDER 8 -120 (1200 TO WIN 1000)
ARIZONA -190 (1900 TO WIN 1000)
SportsKingz
MLB:
ST. LOUIS -110 (1100 TO WIN 1000)
OAKLAND -190 (1900 TO WIN 1000)
SAN DIEGO UNDER 8 -120 (1200 TO WIN 1000)
ARIZONA -190 (1900 TO WIN 1000)
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
ROCKETMAN
NASCAR
#48 Jimmie Johnson vs #18 Kyle Busch 7:45 PM EST
Play On: 3* #18 Kyle Busch -115
For starters, I think Kyle Busch has the best shot of winning this race. Busch has 0 wins, five Top 5 finishes and five Top 10 finishes in his 6 starts here in Richmond. Busch has an average finish of 6.2 here in Richmond. Last two seasons, Kyle Busch's average finish at track type - SHORT TRACK is 11.9. In 8 races, he has 1 win and 5 top 10 finishes. Kyle Busch's average finish over the past 3 races is 4.7. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes. Kyle Busch's average finish over the past 10 races is 10.9. In 10 races, he has 2 wins and 6 top 10 finishes. We'll play Kyle Busch to finish ahead of Jimmie Johnson for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
NASCAR
#48 Jimmie Johnson vs #18 Kyle Busch 7:45 PM EST
Play On: 3* #18 Kyle Busch -115
For starters, I think Kyle Busch has the best shot of winning this race. Busch has 0 wins, five Top 5 finishes and five Top 10 finishes in his 6 starts here in Richmond. Busch has an average finish of 6.2 here in Richmond. Last two seasons, Kyle Busch's average finish at track type - SHORT TRACK is 11.9. In 8 races, he has 1 win and 5 top 10 finishes. Kyle Busch's average finish over the past 3 races is 4.7. In 3 races, he has 1 win and 3 top 10 finishes. Kyle Busch's average finish over the past 10 races is 10.9. In 10 races, he has 2 wins and 6 top 10 finishes. We'll play Kyle Busch to finish ahead of Jimmie Johnson for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
*** EZWINNERS DAY MLB ***
1 STAR: (951) PITTSBURGH (-$105) over Washington
(Listing Maholm and Chico)
(Risking $105 to win $100)
12:05PM Central TIme
1 STAR: (953) NY METS (+$155) over Arizona
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $155)
2:45PM Central TIme
1 STAR: (951) PITTSBURGH (-$105) over Washington
(Listing Maholm and Chico)
(Risking $105 to win $100)
12:05PM Central TIme
1 STAR: (953) NY METS (+$155) over Arizona
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $155)
2:45PM Central TIme
- Apr 7, 2008
- 4,291
- 0
- 36
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, May 03, 2008
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TOP RATED HOME RUN BASEBALL WINNER
LA DODGERS with Loaiza +100 8:05 EST
Date: Saturday, May 03, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last year in BASEBALL we were 77-31 for PLUS 50.2 Units on the season and that my friends is playing just ONE UNIT PER GAME! So far this year we are 22-12 for PLUS 7.8 UNITS! Today we are featuring TOP RATED HOME RUN BASEBALL WINNER that you can get for just $25 and you will be charged only after you win! We are currently on a REMARKABLE 54-28 run with all of our selections! 5/3/2008
TOP RATED HOME RUN BASEBALL WINNER
LA DODGERS with Loaiza +100 8:05 EST