Saturday Sevice Plays 5/3/08
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Tony Mathews
Saturday Night NBA Playoff Winner!!! [Secret Information]
Tony Mathews CASHED IN his "High Rollers Alert" NBA Playoff Play last night, and is hitting over 68% in the NBA this season! Tony Mathew's has received "Secret Information" from the oddsmakers he personally knows in Vegas in regards to Saturday Night's NBA Playoff matchup between the Magic & Pistons! A note from the Tony Mathew's... "It just doesn't get any better then this... We have [Information] straight from the guys who make the lines!" Tony Mathew's offers a 100% Guarantee that this selection will WIN, or 2 Days of his NBA Playoff Service will be yours absolutely FREE! Your order must be placed before 7:30 P.M. EST.
PRICE: $49.00
15 Stars Orlando Magic +7.5
Saturday Night NBA Playoff Winner!!! [Secret Information]
Tony Mathews CASHED IN his "High Rollers Alert" NBA Playoff Play last night, and is hitting over 68% in the NBA this season! Tony Mathew's has received "Secret Information" from the oddsmakers he personally knows in Vegas in regards to Saturday Night's NBA Playoff matchup between the Magic & Pistons! A note from the Tony Mathew's... "It just doesn't get any better then this... We have [Information] straight from the guys who make the lines!" Tony Mathew's offers a 100% Guarantee that this selection will WIN, or 2 Days of his NBA Playoff Service will be yours absolutely FREE! Your order must be placed before 7:30 P.M. EST.
PRICE: $49.00
15 Stars Orlando Magic +7.5
The Professor
Selections & Analysis of KY Derby
Kentucky Derby-G1
20-Big Brown 4-1
Won by daylight in all 3 career starts earning best Beyer & Sheet figure in this field. Must overcome FAR OUTSIDE post and a history of foot problems. Trainer Richard Dutrow is extremely confident of his chances. Logical favorite but may be overbet at probable 2-1 odds.
9-Pyro 5-1
Am willing to overlook his poor performance on the Keeneland "follytrack". Won his only race at Churchill Downs and can handle a wet surface. May rebound at his 6-1 morning line odds.
4-Court Vision 12-1
Strong closer will be flying late with a clean trip
5-Eight Belles 12-1
Unbridled's Song filly is undefeated in 4 starts this year. Her Beyer & Sheet figs indicate she fits with the boys. May surprise at her 20-1 ML odds.
10 Colonel John 12-1 - Improving Tiznow colt is untested on a dirt surface. His blistering 5 furlong work at Churchill Downs earlier this week may indicate he can handle it. Capable with minor improvement.
8-Visionaire 15-1
His best race was his Gotham-G3 win on a sloppy track. May get the same surface if the expected thunderstorms materialize. Contender from mid-pack.
16-Denis of Cork 15-1 - Disappointed in the Illinois Derby-G2 after winning his first 3 races. Late runner may rebound at long odds with a clean trip.
Wagering Strategy
$1 Trifecta wheel: 9-20 / 4-5-9-10-20 / 4-5-8-9-10-16-20 = $40
$1 Superfecta wheel: 9 / 20 / 4-5-8-10-16 / 4-5-8-10-16 = $20
Selections & Analysis of KY Derby
Kentucky Derby-G1
20-Big Brown 4-1
Won by daylight in all 3 career starts earning best Beyer & Sheet figure in this field. Must overcome FAR OUTSIDE post and a history of foot problems. Trainer Richard Dutrow is extremely confident of his chances. Logical favorite but may be overbet at probable 2-1 odds.
9-Pyro 5-1
Am willing to overlook his poor performance on the Keeneland "follytrack". Won his only race at Churchill Downs and can handle a wet surface. May rebound at his 6-1 morning line odds.
4-Court Vision 12-1
Strong closer will be flying late with a clean trip
5-Eight Belles 12-1
Unbridled's Song filly is undefeated in 4 starts this year. Her Beyer & Sheet figs indicate she fits with the boys. May surprise at her 20-1 ML odds.
10 Colonel John 12-1 - Improving Tiznow colt is untested on a dirt surface. His blistering 5 furlong work at Churchill Downs earlier this week may indicate he can handle it. Capable with minor improvement.
8-Visionaire 15-1
His best race was his Gotham-G3 win on a sloppy track. May get the same surface if the expected thunderstorms materialize. Contender from mid-pack.
16-Denis of Cork 15-1 - Disappointed in the Illinois Derby-G2 after winning his first 3 races. Late runner may rebound at long odds with a clean trip.
Wagering Strategy
$1 Trifecta wheel: 9-20 / 4-5-9-10-20 / 4-5-8-9-10-16-20 = $40
$1 Superfecta wheel: 9 / 20 / 4-5-8-10-16 / 4-5-8-10-16 = $20
The Scratch Sheet
Churchill Downs
Race 10 Kentucky Derby
Top 3 Picks: 20-12-18
Top Speed: 8-20-9
Top Class: 20-12-5
Churchill Downs
Race 10 Kentucky Derby
Top 3 Picks: 20-12-18
Top Speed: 8-20-9
Top Class: 20-12-5
WUNDERDOG
CHURCHILL DOWNS Race # (SEVEN) THE CHURCHILL DISTAFF TURF MILE (G3) (3:00 PM Eastern)
(# 2) SHARP SUSAN - Solid runner has a good chance at beating probable heavy favorite "Dreaming of Anna." Likes to stalk and pounce and that would appear to be today's strategy. Lost to "Anna" the only time they met, but this filly had an outside post and a wide trip. Wouldn't be surprised if she's much closer to the top with the cozy post draw. Won her seasonal debut on the turf at Keeneland and the filly she beat (Criminologist) won a stakes at Aqueduct last weekend. Big chance at the win
(# 9) Dreaming of Anna - No major knocks from me as this filly continues to impress with her turf efforts (9-7-2). She's never raced on this infield, but she's won on five different turf courses, all with a "come and catch me style." Training well at Keeneland and she'll be very tough indeed if she's allowed to clear.
(# 8) Ventura - Daughter of "Chester House" was just an average performer in her native England, but has really picked up her game since coming to the states. Two-for-two for Bob Frankel, both sprinting, one on the Santa Anita turf and a recent win on the Keeneland poly surface. Moves back to the grass and keeps Gomez aloft and filly has more room for improvement.
(# 7) Bayou's Lassie - Speed/stalker should help keep "Anna" from stealing away to an easy lead. Solid turf performer (9-5-2-0) appears a bit below the other contenders, but is in the masterful hands of Edgar Prado and she could receive a nice comfortable trip.
CHURCHILL DOWNS Race # (SEVEN) THE CHURCHILL DISTAFF TURF MILE (G3) (3:00 PM Eastern)
(# 2) SHARP SUSAN - Solid runner has a good chance at beating probable heavy favorite "Dreaming of Anna." Likes to stalk and pounce and that would appear to be today's strategy. Lost to "Anna" the only time they met, but this filly had an outside post and a wide trip. Wouldn't be surprised if she's much closer to the top with the cozy post draw. Won her seasonal debut on the turf at Keeneland and the filly she beat (Criminologist) won a stakes at Aqueduct last weekend. Big chance at the win
(# 9) Dreaming of Anna - No major knocks from me as this filly continues to impress with her turf efforts (9-7-2). She's never raced on this infield, but she's won on five different turf courses, all with a "come and catch me style." Training well at Keeneland and she'll be very tough indeed if she's allowed to clear.
(# 8) Ventura - Daughter of "Chester House" was just an average performer in her native England, but has really picked up her game since coming to the states. Two-for-two for Bob Frankel, both sprinting, one on the Santa Anita turf and a recent win on the Keeneland poly surface. Moves back to the grass and keeps Gomez aloft and filly has more room for improvement.
(# 7) Bayou's Lassie - Speed/stalker should help keep "Anna" from stealing away to an easy lead. Solid turf performer (9-5-2-0) appears a bit below the other contenders, but is in the masterful hands of Edgar Prado and she could receive a nice comfortable trip.
Mike Rose
MLB White Sox/Blue Jays o8.5 (-115) 2 units
MLB Reds/Braves o9.5 (-115) 2 units
MLB Dodgers/Rockies o10.5 3 units
NBA 3* ORLANDO/DETROIT OVER 188
NBA 2* SAN ANTONIO (+3)
LT Profits
MLB New York Mets (160) 2 units
MLB Tampa Bay Rays (140) 2 units
MLB Florida Marlins (140) 2 units
NHL Philadelphia Flyers (145) 2 units
MLB White Sox/Blue Jays o8.5 (-115) 2 units
MLB Reds/Braves o9.5 (-115) 2 units
MLB Dodgers/Rockies o10.5 3 units
NBA 3* ORLANDO/DETROIT OVER 188
NBA 2* SAN ANTONIO (+3)
LT Profits
MLB New York Mets (160) 2 units
MLB Tampa Bay Rays (140) 2 units
MLB Florida Marlins (140) 2 units
NHL Philadelphia Flyers (145) 2 units
Ben Burns
MLB Pirates/Nationals u9.5 (-125) 4 units
MLB Atlanta Braves (-131) 5 units
MLB Colorado Rockies (100) 4 units
NBA New Orleans Hornets -3.0 (-104) 5 units
Erin Rynning
MLB Playmaker: Seattle +105
MLB Minnesota Under 9 -110
NBA Playmaker: New Orleans Under 184 -110
MLB Pirates/Nationals u9.5 (-125) 4 units
MLB Atlanta Braves (-131) 5 units
MLB Colorado Rockies (100) 4 units
NBA New Orleans Hornets -3.0 (-104) 5 units
Erin Rynning
MLB Playmaker: Seattle +105
MLB Minnesota Under 9 -110
NBA Playmaker: New Orleans Under 184 -110
Michael Cannon
NBA Playoffs: 8-7 (+40 dimes)
20 Dime ?
PISTONS
Take the Pistons minus the points tonight in Game 1 over the Magic.
I love Detroit in this spot, having last played 48 hours ago when they eliminated the 76ers.
Orlando, on the other hand, has been idle since Monday.
With the way the Pistons cranked it up late in the series over Philadelphia it only works in their favor to be playing again today.
Detroit was dominating over the final 2 ? games of the series and I expect them to carry that over into tonight?s game.
Orlando will not have the luxury of shaking off the rust and staying close in this game, because if they struggle for any period of time as they get accustomed to playing again, the Pistons will run away with this one.
The one telling trend with these two is the straight-up winner is 17-1-1 in Orlando?s last 19 games and 14-0 ATS in Detroit?s last 14.
I don?t see the Magic winning this game with the way the Pistons are playing right now.
Take Detroit minus the number as they grab the win and cover.
10 Dime ?
PIRATES (With Maholm and Chico as listed pitchers)
Take the Pirates for the road win this afternoon over the Nationals.
Matt Chico gets the start for Washington and this may be his last opportunity to stay in the rotation, if not the majors.
The left-hander has lost five straight games and has an 11.08 ERA over his last three starts.
That?s an ominous sign going against a Bucco team that plated 11 runs last night, and has topped 10 runs in two of their last three games.
The Pirates will start Paul Maholm, who is coming off a two-hitter against Philadelphia on Sunday in a 5-1 win.
Maholm has allowed just two runs in 15 innings in winning his last two starts.
Take the Pirates as they grab the road win.
5 Dime ?
MARINERS (With Hernandez as listed pitcher)
Take the Mariners for the road win this afternoon over the Yankees.
The Yankees are coming off a 5-1 win last night, a game in which ace Chien-Ming Wang improved to 6-0.
The problems for the Yankees are the games in which Wang doesn?t pitch, where they?ve gone 8-16 this season.
Mike Mussina will start today, but the 39-year-old doesn?t have much left in the tank, and I don?t see him lasting more than five or six innings today.
That won?t get it done against the M?s Felix Hernandez, who has given up just 11 earned runs in 44 2-3 innings this year. The right-hander leads the AL in strikeouts with 41 and will be facing a Yankees lineup that will be without the injured Jorge Posada and Alex Rodriguez.
Take the Mariners as they grab the road win.
HORNETS
Take the Hornets for the win and cover tonight when they host the Spurs.
New Orleans has been money at home this year, and with both teams being off since Tuesday I don?t see that changing here tonight. The Hornets are 33-11 SU and 28-16 ATS at home this year.
San Antonio hasn?t fared so well on the road, where they are 23-20 SU and 16-27 ATS. The Spurs are also just 2-10 ATS as a dog of less than four points.
New Orleans is on point spread runs of 21-7 at home, 16-5-1 as a chalk, 19-7 as a home chalk and 5-2 when playing on three or more days rest.
Take the Hornets minus the points as they grab the win and cover.
NBA Playoffs: 8-7 (+40 dimes)
20 Dime ?
PISTONS
Take the Pistons minus the points tonight in Game 1 over the Magic.
I love Detroit in this spot, having last played 48 hours ago when they eliminated the 76ers.
Orlando, on the other hand, has been idle since Monday.
With the way the Pistons cranked it up late in the series over Philadelphia it only works in their favor to be playing again today.
Detroit was dominating over the final 2 ? games of the series and I expect them to carry that over into tonight?s game.
Orlando will not have the luxury of shaking off the rust and staying close in this game, because if they struggle for any period of time as they get accustomed to playing again, the Pistons will run away with this one.
The one telling trend with these two is the straight-up winner is 17-1-1 in Orlando?s last 19 games and 14-0 ATS in Detroit?s last 14.
I don?t see the Magic winning this game with the way the Pistons are playing right now.
Take Detroit minus the number as they grab the win and cover.
10 Dime ?
PIRATES (With Maholm and Chico as listed pitchers)
Take the Pirates for the road win this afternoon over the Nationals.
Matt Chico gets the start for Washington and this may be his last opportunity to stay in the rotation, if not the majors.
The left-hander has lost five straight games and has an 11.08 ERA over his last three starts.
That?s an ominous sign going against a Bucco team that plated 11 runs last night, and has topped 10 runs in two of their last three games.
The Pirates will start Paul Maholm, who is coming off a two-hitter against Philadelphia on Sunday in a 5-1 win.
Maholm has allowed just two runs in 15 innings in winning his last two starts.
Take the Pirates as they grab the road win.
5 Dime ?
MARINERS (With Hernandez as listed pitcher)
Take the Mariners for the road win this afternoon over the Yankees.
The Yankees are coming off a 5-1 win last night, a game in which ace Chien-Ming Wang improved to 6-0.
The problems for the Yankees are the games in which Wang doesn?t pitch, where they?ve gone 8-16 this season.
Mike Mussina will start today, but the 39-year-old doesn?t have much left in the tank, and I don?t see him lasting more than five or six innings today.
That won?t get it done against the M?s Felix Hernandez, who has given up just 11 earned runs in 44 2-3 innings this year. The right-hander leads the AL in strikeouts with 41 and will be facing a Yankees lineup that will be without the injured Jorge Posada and Alex Rodriguez.
Take the Mariners as they grab the road win.
HORNETS
Take the Hornets for the win and cover tonight when they host the Spurs.
New Orleans has been money at home this year, and with both teams being off since Tuesday I don?t see that changing here tonight. The Hornets are 33-11 SU and 28-16 ATS at home this year.
San Antonio hasn?t fared so well on the road, where they are 23-20 SU and 16-27 ATS. The Spurs are also just 2-10 ATS as a dog of less than four points.
New Orleans is on point spread runs of 21-7 at home, 16-5-1 as a chalk, 19-7 as a home chalk and 5-2 when playing on three or more days rest.
Take the Hornets minus the points as they grab the win and cover.
Keith Martin Sports
New York Yankees -104.0
Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox -155
Los Angeles Dodgers 109
Derby
Pyro
Z Fortune
Visionaire
Ex/Tri Boxes
New York Yankees -104.0
Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox -155
Los Angeles Dodgers 109
Derby
Pyro
Z Fortune
Visionaire
Ex/Tri Boxes
Robert Ferringo
1-Unit Play. Take #980 Oakland (-175) over Texas (9 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #980 Oakland (-1.5, +140) over Texas (9 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #972 Los Angeles Angels (-125) over Baltimore (4 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #972 Los Angeles Angels (-1.5, +170) over Baltimore (4 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #954 Arizona (-180) over New York Mets (4 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #954 Arizona (-1.5, +120) over New York Mets (4 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
2-Unit Play. Take #974 Boston (-150) over Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #974 Boston (-1.5, +140) over Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #965 Los Angeles Dodgers (-110) over Colorado (8 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
2.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.0 Tampa Bay at Boston (7 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
2-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.5 (+105) New York Mets at Arizona (4 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.5 Cincinnati at Atlanta (7 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #980 Oakland (-175) over Texas (9 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #980 Oakland (-1.5, +140) over Texas (9 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #972 Los Angeles Angels (-125) over Baltimore (4 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #972 Los Angeles Angels (-1.5, +170) over Baltimore (4 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #954 Arizona (-180) over New York Mets (4 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #954 Arizona (-1.5, +120) over New York Mets (4 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
2-Unit Play. Take #974 Boston (-150) over Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1-Unit Play. Take #974 Boston (-1.5, +140) over Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #965 Los Angeles Dodgers (-110) over Colorado (8 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
2.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.0 Tampa Bay at Boston (7 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
2-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 8.5 (+105) New York Mets at Arizona (4 p.m., Saturday, May 3)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 9.5 Cincinnati at Atlanta (7 p.m., Saturday, May 3)