Thursday morning thoughts
Good morning. On the Asian major indices, we had another bloodbath overnight, with the Hang Seng in China, down another 2.26% and the Nikkei in Japan down 2.22%. In Japan investor sentiment sank to its lowest level in nearly 5 years, as the economy heads towards recession. Economists in Japan are predicting the economy will remain weak and earliest possible turn around will be 2nd quarter 2009. In Europe the major indices are up sharply as the Central Banks have joined forces and offered to pump billions of dollars into the global money markets to boost liquidity in global financial markets. Banking stocks are leading the bull rally in Europe, as investors think they see the light at the end of the tunnel, in the current global financial crisis. Could this finally be the bottom that until today was no where in sight? On the economic calendar for today we have the Initial Jobless Claims numbers at 8:30am, followed by the Leading Indicators and the Philadelphia Fed numbers at 10am. The early futures numbers are pointing to a very positive opening for the US indices. The early strength in commodity prices should bode well for the Canadian indices today, if they hold and I expect them to. I expect an end to this latest corrective phase and the start of a bull run in the Canadian equity markets. Bottoms have to be found somewhere, hopefully this is it, as usual, when you least expect them to, when gloom and doom are at there peaks. JMHO
Back in McFaulds Lake, yesterday was another down day for NOT as it lost over 4%, on average volume. Yesterday we had a higher low and a lower high, than the previous day, as the stock traded in a narrow range. For today we have support at $1.38 with $1.82 being the resistance point. The pivot point is at $1.60, but we need a close above $2.19 the MA(13), to mark a trend change and get this latest downtrend turned around. It will either take higher base metal prices or good news from NOT to put a halt to the downward slide in it's share price.
Yesterday after the market closed, NOT had a presentation by Neil Novak, in Vancouver, giving investors an update on the exploration activities in McFaulds Lake. So far I have seen no update from anyone who attended this presentation. If any reader of this board attended that meeting, it would be much appreciated, if you could give us a follow up, of how the meeting went and what was discussed. It is my understanding, yesterdays presentation, was a warm up by NOT and they will be doing a European tour starting in Oct, to try and get the story out to investors, of their massive chrome discovery. So far North American investors, apparently don't understand what this world class discovery of chrome is all about, as the market is giving very little valuation, if any, to NOT's current market cap. NOT management has admitted they have done a very poor job, so far, of selling this story to investors. Up to this point, the story of NOT has been all about nickel. Still to this day, NOT's drilling programs, for the most part, have been focused on finding further pods of mineralization, with a bias towards finding more nickel. I have always thought that NOT's downfall, was getting the kinds of assay values they did at Eagle One. With some of the richest assay values every found at Eagle One, it is hard to repeat, finding another pod of mineralization, anything remotely close to the original discovery. No one said living up to your past successes was easy, just ask NOT management. Once you have raised the bar so high, as NOT did with Eagle One, all else fails in comparison. One glaring fact is obvious, as more pods of nickel mineralization are discovered in McFaulds Lake, Eagle One type of assay values, have very little chance of ever being repeated. I think you will find, the reason for NOT to take a drill back to Eagle One, is to not only try and add tonnage to this discovery, but also to come up with the kinds of assay values, that get investors excited again. JMHO
A story that has all but been forgotten is the Windfall project in Quebec. With the ramp nearing completion, we should be hearing more about this project from NOT. With gold being back in vogue and the kinds of assay values previously announced, perhaps this story will bring some attention to NOT's share price. However since Windfall is not part of the McFaulds Lake story, I won't go into further details about this project.
To see just how out of vogue the chrome story is to investors, we need not look any further than to FWR. FWR reported a 100M intercept of chrome and the market yawned. In fact since reporting visuals of this chrome discovery, FWR's share price has gone down. We have heard FWR isn't drilling at this 100% owned anomoly to discover chrome, they already know it exists and where to find it. This current drill program is all about finding nickle and further drilling will concentrate solely on this endeavor. The VTEM surveys are showing this anomoly to be one of the best chances in McFaulds Lake to indeed have a good chance of success in making another nickel discovery. I'm certainly far from being a geologist or pretend to have much knowledge in this field, however, from all reports this anomoly looks to have many of the same characteristics as NOT's Eagle One discovery. If FWR can come up with anything remotely close to the kinds of assay values that Eagle One reported, we should be hearing a lot more from the story of FWR.
One of the problems with FWR currently is the huge overhang of free trading paper from 2 of their past PP's. One of the past PP's was done at $.30 and the other at $.35, in total there is 15.5 million shares that will need to be chewed through to get the share structure cleaned up on this stock. Many investors I have talked to, think many of these PP shares are in strong hands so they won't need to be dealt with. Here again lies a problem, as with many PP's, investors also receive warrants attached to the PP's. So those that hold these PP shares have the option of selling their shares when they are in a profitable situation and sitting back with unexercised wts. They can then afford to sit back and wait to see if FWR's share price goes higher. If it does they can exercise their wts and make further profits on the stock. Essentially these investors would get a free ride to see if FWR comes up with something of significance in their drill programs. So, yes indeed FWR will need to chew through these PP shares, to clean up the share structure. Obviously if FWR does hit something of significance, chewing through 15.5 million shares is not a huge hurdle, but it is a hurdle that investors need to be aware of. JMHO
The bloodletting finally stopped in FNC's share price yesterday, as the stock halted it's recent downward slide and closed even for the day. Currently investors are waiting to hear more about the PP that FNC supposedly has in the works. Obviously this must be a bought deal financing, or we would of heard about this PP in the form of a news letter by now. What we do know from the FNC story, is only what has been reported back from investors who have taken the time to phone Peter Smith. Here is a recap from the latest I have been told. Supposedly FNC has finished Hole #4 and the core samples from this drilling program, have been sent to the lab, so we have assays pending. The drilling crew and operator have been retained and they are now drilling on Hole #5, supposedly FNC had enough money in their treasury to keep going to this point. Presently FNC is putting together a bought deal financing, so drilling will continue even after Hole #5 is completed. The plan is to punch a few more holes into C-1, then the drilling crew will move on to test a few other anomolies. When asked, Peter Smith reportedly stated, this next drilling program will not be looking for chrome, he already is very certain that chrome exists on the property. This next drilling program, is all about looking for nickel and Smith is very determined to prove that nickel exists on this property. There you have it, this is all I know about this story, from the few contacts that I have talked with.
I have noticed NRN's share price has been under selling pressure the last couple of days on above average volume. Of course what junior mining stock hasn't been under selling pressure, the last couple of days. The NRN story is not one that I follow closely, but I do know a few regular readers of this board are watching this play closely. If we could get an update from the readers that have much more knowledge than I do about NRN's drilling program, it would be much appreciated.
The MTX/WSR story has certainly faded fast from investors radar screens. Personally I thought the assays they reported were very good, however with zinc being out of vogue with investors currently and a weak market environment in general from junior mining stocks, its easy to see why these stocks have been under selling pressure. The long delays that WSR had before delivering their last set of assays has come full circle and bite this stock in the arse. Yes, they have a drilling program underway currently, but with such long delays in reporting their last assays, many investors are now shunning this story because of it. Hopefully other companies that drill in McFaulds Lake, learn from the mistake these companies made with their delay tactics. Once investors take issue with how a company treats them, they think twice before becoming involved with them in the future. I never did buy into these stocks, but I have heard from investors that did, they will no longer play these stocks anytime soon. Sad reality for MTX/WSR, now it will take knock your socks off assays, before many will give them a second look. With the current sad state of the junior resource markets, some of these smaller two-bit mining stocks in McFaulds Lake need every investor they can get, chasing them away needlessly is a huge mistake. JMHO
Once again I would like to remind the readers of this board, if they would like to see what the TradingChief site is all about, send me a PM and I will try and arrange for you to get a free trial, to give it a closer look. I say this with all sincerity, this site was built by an investor, for investors and I know of no other site like it, where you can get such top notch advice on how to protect your investing dollars. I pay $20 a month for all the bells and whistles you could ever imagine to help me with making my investment decisions, it is by far the best $20 a month I have ever spent. This site makes zero dollars on the monthly fees, every cent is turned back into creating more tools for the members. There are three main chat rooms where investors meet on a daily basis, during market hours. Current market trends are discussed and DD is shared by the investors that go there. You just can't find this kind of value and shared information, anywhere else that I know of. The 3 chat rooms are, LargeCap Daytrader, SmallCap Daytrader and the one were I mainly hang out at, the LongTerm Investor room. Take the plunge, it will be one of the wisest investment decisions you ever make. JMHO
Best of luck to all McFaulds Lake investors.
Al
Good morning. On the Asian major indices, we had another bloodbath overnight, with the Hang Seng in China, down another 2.26% and the Nikkei in Japan down 2.22%. In Japan investor sentiment sank to its lowest level in nearly 5 years, as the economy heads towards recession. Economists in Japan are predicting the economy will remain weak and earliest possible turn around will be 2nd quarter 2009. In Europe the major indices are up sharply as the Central Banks have joined forces and offered to pump billions of dollars into the global money markets to boost liquidity in global financial markets. Banking stocks are leading the bull rally in Europe, as investors think they see the light at the end of the tunnel, in the current global financial crisis. Could this finally be the bottom that until today was no where in sight? On the economic calendar for today we have the Initial Jobless Claims numbers at 8:30am, followed by the Leading Indicators and the Philadelphia Fed numbers at 10am. The early futures numbers are pointing to a very positive opening for the US indices. The early strength in commodity prices should bode well for the Canadian indices today, if they hold and I expect them to. I expect an end to this latest corrective phase and the start of a bull run in the Canadian equity markets. Bottoms have to be found somewhere, hopefully this is it, as usual, when you least expect them to, when gloom and doom are at there peaks. JMHO
Back in McFaulds Lake, yesterday was another down day for NOT as it lost over 4%, on average volume. Yesterday we had a higher low and a lower high, than the previous day, as the stock traded in a narrow range. For today we have support at $1.38 with $1.82 being the resistance point. The pivot point is at $1.60, but we need a close above $2.19 the MA(13), to mark a trend change and get this latest downtrend turned around. It will either take higher base metal prices or good news from NOT to put a halt to the downward slide in it's share price.
Yesterday after the market closed, NOT had a presentation by Neil Novak, in Vancouver, giving investors an update on the exploration activities in McFaulds Lake. So far I have seen no update from anyone who attended this presentation. If any reader of this board attended that meeting, it would be much appreciated, if you could give us a follow up, of how the meeting went and what was discussed. It is my understanding, yesterdays presentation, was a warm up by NOT and they will be doing a European tour starting in Oct, to try and get the story out to investors, of their massive chrome discovery. So far North American investors, apparently don't understand what this world class discovery of chrome is all about, as the market is giving very little valuation, if any, to NOT's current market cap. NOT management has admitted they have done a very poor job, so far, of selling this story to investors. Up to this point, the story of NOT has been all about nickel. Still to this day, NOT's drilling programs, for the most part, have been focused on finding further pods of mineralization, with a bias towards finding more nickel. I have always thought that NOT's downfall, was getting the kinds of assay values they did at Eagle One. With some of the richest assay values every found at Eagle One, it is hard to repeat, finding another pod of mineralization, anything remotely close to the original discovery. No one said living up to your past successes was easy, just ask NOT management. Once you have raised the bar so high, as NOT did with Eagle One, all else fails in comparison. One glaring fact is obvious, as more pods of nickel mineralization are discovered in McFaulds Lake, Eagle One type of assay values, have very little chance of ever being repeated. I think you will find, the reason for NOT to take a drill back to Eagle One, is to not only try and add tonnage to this discovery, but also to come up with the kinds of assay values, that get investors excited again. JMHO
A story that has all but been forgotten is the Windfall project in Quebec. With the ramp nearing completion, we should be hearing more about this project from NOT. With gold being back in vogue and the kinds of assay values previously announced, perhaps this story will bring some attention to NOT's share price. However since Windfall is not part of the McFaulds Lake story, I won't go into further details about this project.
To see just how out of vogue the chrome story is to investors, we need not look any further than to FWR. FWR reported a 100M intercept of chrome and the market yawned. In fact since reporting visuals of this chrome discovery, FWR's share price has gone down. We have heard FWR isn't drilling at this 100% owned anomoly to discover chrome, they already know it exists and where to find it. This current drill program is all about finding nickle and further drilling will concentrate solely on this endeavor. The VTEM surveys are showing this anomoly to be one of the best chances in McFaulds Lake to indeed have a good chance of success in making another nickel discovery. I'm certainly far from being a geologist or pretend to have much knowledge in this field, however, from all reports this anomoly looks to have many of the same characteristics as NOT's Eagle One discovery. If FWR can come up with anything remotely close to the kinds of assay values that Eagle One reported, we should be hearing a lot more from the story of FWR.
One of the problems with FWR currently is the huge overhang of free trading paper from 2 of their past PP's. One of the past PP's was done at $.30 and the other at $.35, in total there is 15.5 million shares that will need to be chewed through to get the share structure cleaned up on this stock. Many investors I have talked to, think many of these PP shares are in strong hands so they won't need to be dealt with. Here again lies a problem, as with many PP's, investors also receive warrants attached to the PP's. So those that hold these PP shares have the option of selling their shares when they are in a profitable situation and sitting back with unexercised wts. They can then afford to sit back and wait to see if FWR's share price goes higher. If it does they can exercise their wts and make further profits on the stock. Essentially these investors would get a free ride to see if FWR comes up with something of significance in their drill programs. So, yes indeed FWR will need to chew through these PP shares, to clean up the share structure. Obviously if FWR does hit something of significance, chewing through 15.5 million shares is not a huge hurdle, but it is a hurdle that investors need to be aware of. JMHO
The bloodletting finally stopped in FNC's share price yesterday, as the stock halted it's recent downward slide and closed even for the day. Currently investors are waiting to hear more about the PP that FNC supposedly has in the works. Obviously this must be a bought deal financing, or we would of heard about this PP in the form of a news letter by now. What we do know from the FNC story, is only what has been reported back from investors who have taken the time to phone Peter Smith. Here is a recap from the latest I have been told. Supposedly FNC has finished Hole #4 and the core samples from this drilling program, have been sent to the lab, so we have assays pending. The drilling crew and operator have been retained and they are now drilling on Hole #5, supposedly FNC had enough money in their treasury to keep going to this point. Presently FNC is putting together a bought deal financing, so drilling will continue even after Hole #5 is completed. The plan is to punch a few more holes into C-1, then the drilling crew will move on to test a few other anomolies. When asked, Peter Smith reportedly stated, this next drilling program will not be looking for chrome, he already is very certain that chrome exists on the property. This next drilling program, is all about looking for nickel and Smith is very determined to prove that nickel exists on this property. There you have it, this is all I know about this story, from the few contacts that I have talked with.
I have noticed NRN's share price has been under selling pressure the last couple of days on above average volume. Of course what junior mining stock hasn't been under selling pressure, the last couple of days. The NRN story is not one that I follow closely, but I do know a few regular readers of this board are watching this play closely. If we could get an update from the readers that have much more knowledge than I do about NRN's drilling program, it would be much appreciated.
The MTX/WSR story has certainly faded fast from investors radar screens. Personally I thought the assays they reported were very good, however with zinc being out of vogue with investors currently and a weak market environment in general from junior mining stocks, its easy to see why these stocks have been under selling pressure. The long delays that WSR had before delivering their last set of assays has come full circle and bite this stock in the arse. Yes, they have a drilling program underway currently, but with such long delays in reporting their last assays, many investors are now shunning this story because of it. Hopefully other companies that drill in McFaulds Lake, learn from the mistake these companies made with their delay tactics. Once investors take issue with how a company treats them, they think twice before becoming involved with them in the future. I never did buy into these stocks, but I have heard from investors that did, they will no longer play these stocks anytime soon. Sad reality for MTX/WSR, now it will take knock your socks off assays, before many will give them a second look. With the current sad state of the junior resource markets, some of these smaller two-bit mining stocks in McFaulds Lake need every investor they can get, chasing them away needlessly is a huge mistake. JMHO
Once again I would like to remind the readers of this board, if they would like to see what the TradingChief site is all about, send me a PM and I will try and arrange for you to get a free trial, to give it a closer look. I say this with all sincerity, this site was built by an investor, for investors and I know of no other site like it, where you can get such top notch advice on how to protect your investing dollars. I pay $20 a month for all the bells and whistles you could ever imagine to help me with making my investment decisions, it is by far the best $20 a month I have ever spent. This site makes zero dollars on the monthly fees, every cent is turned back into creating more tools for the members. There are three main chat rooms where investors meet on a daily basis, during market hours. Current market trends are discussed and DD is shared by the investors that go there. You just can't find this kind of value and shared information, anywhere else that I know of. The 3 chat rooms are, LargeCap Daytrader, SmallCap Daytrader and the one were I mainly hang out at, the LongTerm Investor room. Take the plunge, it will be one of the wisest investment decisions you ever make. JMHO
Best of luck to all McFaulds Lake investors.
Al