SERVICE ACTION FOR WED. 2/27
- Thread starter GIANTS007
- Start date
John Fina
Free College Basketball Selection
February 27, 2008
Selection: Texas A&M -9 (-110)
Reason: Put us down on Texas A&M -9 for our Free College Basketball Selection on Wednesday. The Texas A&M offense and defense is much better then the Texas Tech offense and defense. Texas A&M (at home) is scoring an average of 77.4 points per game, while Texas Tech (on the road) scoring an average of only 63.2 points per game. Texas A&M (at home) is allowing opponents to score an average of only 60.5 points per game, while Texas Tech (on the road) is allowing opponents to score an average of 70.9 points per game. In addition, the home team has had much success in this series. In fact, the home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings between these teams. We will lay the points with the home team that has the much better offense and defense. Take Texas A&M -9!
Tony Mathews
Matchup: Utah vs. TCU
Selection: TCU +4 (-110)
Explanation: We will side with TCU as they face-off against Utah in Wednesday's College Basketball contest.
TCU has the much better offense. TCU (at home) is scoring an average of 74.4 points per game, while Utah (on the road) is scoring an average of only 65.7 points per game. As you can see, TCU has the much better offense.
TCU has played great basketball at home this season. In fact, TCU is 12-3 when playing at home this season.
To say the least, there is much value with the underdog (TCU) tonight!
Take TCU +4!
Free College Basketball Selection
February 27, 2008
Selection: Texas A&M -9 (-110)
Reason: Put us down on Texas A&M -9 for our Free College Basketball Selection on Wednesday. The Texas A&M offense and defense is much better then the Texas Tech offense and defense. Texas A&M (at home) is scoring an average of 77.4 points per game, while Texas Tech (on the road) scoring an average of only 63.2 points per game. Texas A&M (at home) is allowing opponents to score an average of only 60.5 points per game, while Texas Tech (on the road) is allowing opponents to score an average of 70.9 points per game. In addition, the home team has had much success in this series. In fact, the home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings between these teams. We will lay the points with the home team that has the much better offense and defense. Take Texas A&M -9!
Tony Mathews
Matchup: Utah vs. TCU
Selection: TCU +4 (-110)
Explanation: We will side with TCU as they face-off against Utah in Wednesday's College Basketball contest.
TCU has the much better offense. TCU (at home) is scoring an average of 74.4 points per game, while Utah (on the road) is scoring an average of only 65.7 points per game. As you can see, TCU has the much better offense.
TCU has played great basketball at home this season. In fact, TCU is 12-3 when playing at home this season.
To say the least, there is much value with the underdog (TCU) tonight!
Take TCU +4!
College Cappers
CBB:
30 Dime - Arkansas +1
20 Dime - Iowa +3
10 Dime - LSU +6
NBA:
45 Dime - Bulls/Pacers UNDER 208.5
30 Dime - Detroit +1.5
25 Dime - Cleveland +7.5
20 Dime - Sacramento +3.5
MLB:
5 Dime - NY Mets +100
FREE:
1 Dime - Northeastern +8.5
CBB:
30 Dime - Arkansas +1
20 Dime - Iowa +3
10 Dime - LSU +6
NBA:
45 Dime - Bulls/Pacers UNDER 208.5
30 Dime - Detroit +1.5
25 Dime - Cleveland +7.5
20 Dime - Sacramento +3.5
MLB:
5 Dime - NY Mets +100
FREE:
1 Dime - Northeastern +8.5
Bob Akmens
Major League Baseball
1:05p
DETROIT r0
(-120) / 1 unit
Remember - these are Ex-MLB games. They are not regular-season games, where I name pitchers. They should be played for small, reasonable amounts - not for huge sums. Do I think these releases will win? Yes. Otherwise I wouldn't be giving them out. I've been giving out Ex-MLB plays since 1981 with success. But they must be played small.
Major League Baseball
1:05p
DETROIT r0
(-120) / 1 unit
Remember - these are Ex-MLB games. They are not regular-season games, where I name pitchers. They should be played for small, reasonable amounts - not for huge sums. Do I think these releases will win? Yes. Otherwise I wouldn't be giving them out. I've been giving out Ex-MLB plays since 1981 with success. But they must be played small.
John Ryan
Game: James Madison at Drexel Feb 27 2008 7:30PM
Prediction: James Madison
Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on James Madison ? AiS shows a 72% probability that James Madison will lose this game by 4 or fewer points. AiS also shows an 88% probability that Drexel will allow a minimum of 67 points and will have a minimum of 14 turnovers. Note that Drexel is 0-6 ATS when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game this season; 2-9 ATS when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game this season. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 118-71 ATS for 62.4% since 1997. Play on a road team that is an average offensive team scoring 67-74 PPG and is now facing a poor offensive team scoring <=63 PPG after 15+ games of the current regular season and after a win by 10 points or more. James Madison?s defense is not good as they allow 48% shooting on the season and 55% over their past 5 games. Drexel just does not have the offensive strength nor the matchup advantages to exploit this weakness. Note that Drexel is 3-11 ATS versus poor defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage defense of >=45% over the last 3 seasons.
Game: James Madison at Drexel Feb 27 2008 7:30PM
Prediction: James Madison
Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on James Madison ? AiS shows a 72% probability that James Madison will lose this game by 4 or fewer points. AiS also shows an 88% probability that Drexel will allow a minimum of 67 points and will have a minimum of 14 turnovers. Note that Drexel is 0-6 ATS when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game this season; 2-9 ATS when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game this season. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 118-71 ATS for 62.4% since 1997. Play on a road team that is an average offensive team scoring 67-74 PPG and is now facing a poor offensive team scoring <=63 PPG after 15+ games of the current regular season and after a win by 10 points or more. James Madison?s defense is not good as they allow 48% shooting on the season and 55% over their past 5 games. Drexel just does not have the offensive strength nor the matchup advantages to exploit this weakness. Note that Drexel is 3-11 ATS versus poor defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage defense of >=45% over the last 3 seasons.
Wolkosky Milan
485-381-16 last one hundred seventy five days
155-112-3 last fifty six days!
3-1 Yesterday
Today:
10* CHARLOTTE +6?
10* PHOENIX +3
10* POR/LAC OVER 183
10* CLE/BOS UNDER 194
485-381-16 last one hundred seventy five days
155-112-3 last fifty six days!
3-1 Yesterday
Today:
10* CHARLOTTE +6?
10* PHOENIX +3
10* POR/LAC OVER 183
10* CLE/BOS UNDER 194
Ben Burns
NCAAB
UNDER george washington/rhode island
Game: Rhode Island vs. George Washington Game Time: 2/27/2008 7:30:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Rhode Island and George Washington to finish UNDER the number. These teams played a relatively high-scoring game (81-70) against each other last month. However, that was at Rhode Island where the up-tempo Rams could more easily dictate a fast pace. With this evening's game being played at George Washington, I'm expecting a slower pace and a lower final combined score. The last four games here have produced an average of just 120 points with all four staying below the total. Looking back further and we find that none of the 11 games played here this season have produced more than 144 combined points and that those games averaged just 121 points. The Colonials held Richmond to a mere 21 points in the second half of their last game. Note that George Washington shot 0-for-12 from behind the arc in that game and that the Colonials are 13th in the conference in that category, connecting on just 32.1 percent of their 3-point attempts. In their previous home game, the Colonials kept Dayton to roughly 14 points less than it normally averages. Look for them to slow things down again here, keeping the Rams below their regular average and seeing the UNDER improve to 4-1 the last five times they attempted to avenge an earlier road loss. *Blue Chip
TEXAS A&M
Game: Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M Game Time: 2/27/2008 8:00:00 PM Prediction: Texas A&M Reason: I'm laying the points with Texas A&M. The Red Raiders (15-11) come in as the hotter team. However, I believe that the Aggies (20-7) are the "better" team. In addition to having homecourt advantage, they should be extremely motivated. For starters, they'll be trying to snap a three-game losing streak. Note that the only other time that they lost three games this season (from 1/16 to 1/23) the Aggies responded by going a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS their next five games. Further motivation will be provided by the fact that the Red Raiders embarrassed them when the teams met at Texas Tech last month. In fact, that 68-53 loss was what triggered the previous three-game skid. Additionally, listed as double-digit underdogs, the Red Raiders also upset the Aggies here last season. Note that the Aggies are 44-33 ATS over the past decade when attempting to avenge a road loss. During that stretch, they've also gone a profitable 8-2 SU/ATS when listed as home favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. Conversely, Texas Tech is a money-burning 32-47 ATS when coming off a conference win over the past decade, going just 56-80-1 ATS when listed as an underdog over that span. The Red Raiders also have just one win in their past eight road games with six of the last seven of those losses coming by double-digits. The Aggies are coming off a huge disappointment. They're a veteran team though and they're badly in need of a blowout victory. Catching the Red Raiders looking ahead to a major "revenge" game of their own (Texas beat them 73-47) look for them to bounce back with a convincing and much-needed double-digit victory. *CBB Blowout Game of the Month
PITTSBURGH
Game: Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Game Time: 2/27/2008 7:30:00 PM Prediction: Pittsburgh Reason: I'm laying the points with PITTSBURGH. The Panthers could badly use a blowout win and I feel that Cincinnati will represent the perfect opponent. The Bearcats lost by 20 at Georgetown over the weekend. Prior to that, they had played three of the Big East's lower tier teams, South Florida, St. John's and Rutgers. After last night, those three teams had a combined record of 8-37 in conference play and all three are well below 500 overall. The last time they faced a "good team," prior to Georgetown, was a home game vs. Marquette on 2/2 and the Bearcats lost by 15. The Bearcats have had plenty of other double-digit losses on the road this season too. Back in early December, they lost by 19 vs UAB and 10 vs. Illinois State. A month later, they lost by a dozen at St. John's and then by 17 at Notre Dame. Including those results, the Bearcats are 11-17 ATS (6-24 SU) on the road over the past three seasons. The Panthers do have a really big game at Syracuse on deck. However, off three straight losses and facing a team which already defeated them earlier this season, I don't expect there to be any looking ahead. Rather, they'll be looking for some "payback," to earn that elusive 20th win and to build some much-needed momentum. The Panthers have been excellent when attempting to avenge a road loss as we find them at 3-0 SU/ATS the last three times they faced a team which defeated them on the road in the previous meeting and 8-3 ATS (9-2 SU) in that role the past three seasons. During that stretch, the Panthers were also 13-5-1 ATS when coming off a loss vs. a conference opponent. Despite coming up short vs. a good Louisville team last time out, the Panthers still played well, particularly the guards' handling of the ball. In fact, the Panthers turned the ball over only four times, the lowest number in the Jamie Dixon era. Guard Keith Benjamin recently told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette: "We talk so much about how we don't want to go out like the rest of the senior classes [in previous years]. Right now, the other senior classes are up on us. They led Pitt better. Me and Ron [Ramon] have to get something done. We have to get through to these guys. And we're going to. We have to save the season. We're not going to let it go down." The Panthers won by 20 when they hosted the Bearcats last season and I'm expecting another blowout win tonight. *Big East GOW
NBA
UNDER cavs/celtics
Game: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Boston Celtics Game Time: 2/27/2008 7:35:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Cleveland and Boston to finish UNDER the total. These teams have faced each other three times so far this season. The Cavaliers won both games which were played at Cleveland and both those games were extremely high-scoring. However, the lone meeting played at Boston saw a completely different result. Indeed, that game finished with a final score of just 80-70, in favor of the Celtics. With tonight's game being played at Boston, I'm expecting another low-scoring affair. Note that the Cavs' recent big trade should make them a better defensive team. With all the new faces in the lineup, the offense may not click immediately though, at least not when facing an elite defense. The Cavs saw last night's game finish above the total. That came vs. the defensively challenged Bucks though. Milwaukee allows 98.5 points per game at home and entered last night having allowed an average of 108.2 in their previous five games. While the over/under line is only a few points lower than it was last night, tonight the Cavs will be facing a Boston defense which allows just 87.5 points per game at home. Last night's result brought the "over" to 60-51-2 the past three seasons when the Cavs have faced a team with a losing record. However, during the same stretch the UNDER has gone a highly profitable 76-44 (63.3%) when they've faced a team with a winning record, including a 15-10 mark this season. The Celtics held the Clippers to just 76 points last time out. They've shown a tendency to string strong defensive performances like that together too, as we find the UNDER at 12-5-1 this season after they held their previous opponent to 85 points or less. Look for tonight's game to be lower scoring than expected once again with the UNDER improving to 17-7 the last 24 times that the Cavs were listed as road underdogs in the +6.5 to +9 range. *Eastern Conference Total of the Month
PHILADELPHIA
Game: Orlando Magic vs. Philadelphia 76ers Game Time: 2/27/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers Reason: This game is arguably more important to PHILADELPHIA. The 76ers, currently in eighth in the conference standings, are in a battle for their playoff lives. On the other hand, Orlando has already all but mathematically locked up the southeast division title. Additionally, Philadelphia comes into this game looking for some "payback." The 76ers have had a fantastic February and they've gone 7-2 their last nine games. Their most recent loss came at Orlando though. Additionally, their last home loss also came at the hands of the Magic. That 108-106 loss was way back on the first day of the month though and the 76ers have won six straight games here since that time, holding opponents to a mere 84.7 points per game during that span. In fact, the 76ers are a perfect 8-0 ATS their past eight games here. The situation favors the 76ers to avenge the earlier losses, as they had the past few nights off while the Magic come off a win at New Jersey and are now playing their third game in the past four nights and sixth in the past nine. Note that Philadelphia is 11-7 ATS the past three seasons when playing with three days off between games. Additionally, note that Orlando is 1-3 SU the last four times it played the second of back to back games, most recently getting crushed by 17 points at Toronto. Look for the 76ers to be both the fresher and the hungrier team as they avenge this month's earlier losses and improve to 9-0 ATS their last nine games here. *Best Bet
NHL
SHARKS
Game: San Jose Sharks vs. Columbus Blue Jackets Game Time: 2/27/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: San Jose Sharks Reason: I'm laying the price with SAN JOSE. The Sharks are heating up, having swept the Flyers and Penguins in their tour through Pennsylvania. They got better at the trade deadline, acquiring All Star defenseman, Brian Campbell. They were already playing very well defensively though, as they'd given up more than three goals just once in its last 11 games, and have allowed just one goal in each of their last two wins. Playing in the competitive West, the Sharks know how important every point is. As veteran Jeremy Roenick noted: "You look at the standings and you see how important it is to get every single point possible, especially on this road trip. You can go from fifth to 11th in one bad week." Unlike the Sharks, the Blue Jackets dealt away veteran talent at the deadline, as they traded both Sergei Federov and Adam Foote. Playing their first game back home from a road trip, I look for them to stumble tonight, falling to 2-7 when coming off a shutout victory.
UNDER leafs/panthers
Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers Game Time: 2/27/2008 7:35:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Panthers and Leafs to finish UNDER the total. The Panthers come off a 5-0 loss in their last game. That game snuck below the number and brought the UNDER to 3-1 their last four games. Note that they've also seen the UNDER go a profitable 14-8-1 on the season after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. The Leafs have also been playing low-scoring games recently. They won their last game 5-0 and have now seen the UNDER go 3-0-1 their last four games. The Leafs were embarrassed 8-0 by the Panthers in the last meeting. However, that was at Toronto. This season's lone meeting in Florida had a final score of 2-1. That brought the UNDER to 4-0-2 the last six series meetings here. Toronto goalie Toskala had 31 saves against the Senators last time out, for his third shutout of the season. He has now stopped 55 of 56 shots in the last two games, both Toronto wins. He has started 15 straight for the Leafs, going 8-6-1 with a 2.35 goals-against average over that span. Prior to the blowout loss earlier this month, Toskala had been 3-0-0 with a 1.33 GAA against Florida. He'll likely be facing Vokoun, who has a 3-1-1 record and a 1.60 GAA in five career appearances against the Maple Leafs. I'm expecting solid goaltending and a low-scoring affair.
NCAAB
UNDER george washington/rhode island
Game: Rhode Island vs. George Washington Game Time: 2/27/2008 7:30:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Rhode Island and George Washington to finish UNDER the number. These teams played a relatively high-scoring game (81-70) against each other last month. However, that was at Rhode Island where the up-tempo Rams could more easily dictate a fast pace. With this evening's game being played at George Washington, I'm expecting a slower pace and a lower final combined score. The last four games here have produced an average of just 120 points with all four staying below the total. Looking back further and we find that none of the 11 games played here this season have produced more than 144 combined points and that those games averaged just 121 points. The Colonials held Richmond to a mere 21 points in the second half of their last game. Note that George Washington shot 0-for-12 from behind the arc in that game and that the Colonials are 13th in the conference in that category, connecting on just 32.1 percent of their 3-point attempts. In their previous home game, the Colonials kept Dayton to roughly 14 points less than it normally averages. Look for them to slow things down again here, keeping the Rams below their regular average and seeing the UNDER improve to 4-1 the last five times they attempted to avenge an earlier road loss. *Blue Chip
TEXAS A&M
Game: Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M Game Time: 2/27/2008 8:00:00 PM Prediction: Texas A&M Reason: I'm laying the points with Texas A&M. The Red Raiders (15-11) come in as the hotter team. However, I believe that the Aggies (20-7) are the "better" team. In addition to having homecourt advantage, they should be extremely motivated. For starters, they'll be trying to snap a three-game losing streak. Note that the only other time that they lost three games this season (from 1/16 to 1/23) the Aggies responded by going a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS their next five games. Further motivation will be provided by the fact that the Red Raiders embarrassed them when the teams met at Texas Tech last month. In fact, that 68-53 loss was what triggered the previous three-game skid. Additionally, listed as double-digit underdogs, the Red Raiders also upset the Aggies here last season. Note that the Aggies are 44-33 ATS over the past decade when attempting to avenge a road loss. During that stretch, they've also gone a profitable 8-2 SU/ATS when listed as home favorites in the -6.5 to -9 range. Conversely, Texas Tech is a money-burning 32-47 ATS when coming off a conference win over the past decade, going just 56-80-1 ATS when listed as an underdog over that span. The Red Raiders also have just one win in their past eight road games with six of the last seven of those losses coming by double-digits. The Aggies are coming off a huge disappointment. They're a veteran team though and they're badly in need of a blowout victory. Catching the Red Raiders looking ahead to a major "revenge" game of their own (Texas beat them 73-47) look for them to bounce back with a convincing and much-needed double-digit victory. *CBB Blowout Game of the Month
PITTSBURGH
Game: Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh Game Time: 2/27/2008 7:30:00 PM Prediction: Pittsburgh Reason: I'm laying the points with PITTSBURGH. The Panthers could badly use a blowout win and I feel that Cincinnati will represent the perfect opponent. The Bearcats lost by 20 at Georgetown over the weekend. Prior to that, they had played three of the Big East's lower tier teams, South Florida, St. John's and Rutgers. After last night, those three teams had a combined record of 8-37 in conference play and all three are well below 500 overall. The last time they faced a "good team," prior to Georgetown, was a home game vs. Marquette on 2/2 and the Bearcats lost by 15. The Bearcats have had plenty of other double-digit losses on the road this season too. Back in early December, they lost by 19 vs UAB and 10 vs. Illinois State. A month later, they lost by a dozen at St. John's and then by 17 at Notre Dame. Including those results, the Bearcats are 11-17 ATS (6-24 SU) on the road over the past three seasons. The Panthers do have a really big game at Syracuse on deck. However, off three straight losses and facing a team which already defeated them earlier this season, I don't expect there to be any looking ahead. Rather, they'll be looking for some "payback," to earn that elusive 20th win and to build some much-needed momentum. The Panthers have been excellent when attempting to avenge a road loss as we find them at 3-0 SU/ATS the last three times they faced a team which defeated them on the road in the previous meeting and 8-3 ATS (9-2 SU) in that role the past three seasons. During that stretch, the Panthers were also 13-5-1 ATS when coming off a loss vs. a conference opponent. Despite coming up short vs. a good Louisville team last time out, the Panthers still played well, particularly the guards' handling of the ball. In fact, the Panthers turned the ball over only four times, the lowest number in the Jamie Dixon era. Guard Keith Benjamin recently told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette: "We talk so much about how we don't want to go out like the rest of the senior classes [in previous years]. Right now, the other senior classes are up on us. They led Pitt better. Me and Ron [Ramon] have to get something done. We have to get through to these guys. And we're going to. We have to save the season. We're not going to let it go down." The Panthers won by 20 when they hosted the Bearcats last season and I'm expecting another blowout win tonight. *Big East GOW
NBA
UNDER cavs/celtics
Game: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Boston Celtics Game Time: 2/27/2008 7:35:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Cleveland and Boston to finish UNDER the total. These teams have faced each other three times so far this season. The Cavaliers won both games which were played at Cleveland and both those games were extremely high-scoring. However, the lone meeting played at Boston saw a completely different result. Indeed, that game finished with a final score of just 80-70, in favor of the Celtics. With tonight's game being played at Boston, I'm expecting another low-scoring affair. Note that the Cavs' recent big trade should make them a better defensive team. With all the new faces in the lineup, the offense may not click immediately though, at least not when facing an elite defense. The Cavs saw last night's game finish above the total. That came vs. the defensively challenged Bucks though. Milwaukee allows 98.5 points per game at home and entered last night having allowed an average of 108.2 in their previous five games. While the over/under line is only a few points lower than it was last night, tonight the Cavs will be facing a Boston defense which allows just 87.5 points per game at home. Last night's result brought the "over" to 60-51-2 the past three seasons when the Cavs have faced a team with a losing record. However, during the same stretch the UNDER has gone a highly profitable 76-44 (63.3%) when they've faced a team with a winning record, including a 15-10 mark this season. The Celtics held the Clippers to just 76 points last time out. They've shown a tendency to string strong defensive performances like that together too, as we find the UNDER at 12-5-1 this season after they held their previous opponent to 85 points or less. Look for tonight's game to be lower scoring than expected once again with the UNDER improving to 17-7 the last 24 times that the Cavs were listed as road underdogs in the +6.5 to +9 range. *Eastern Conference Total of the Month
PHILADELPHIA
Game: Orlando Magic vs. Philadelphia 76ers Game Time: 2/27/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers Reason: This game is arguably more important to PHILADELPHIA. The 76ers, currently in eighth in the conference standings, are in a battle for their playoff lives. On the other hand, Orlando has already all but mathematically locked up the southeast division title. Additionally, Philadelphia comes into this game looking for some "payback." The 76ers have had a fantastic February and they've gone 7-2 their last nine games. Their most recent loss came at Orlando though. Additionally, their last home loss also came at the hands of the Magic. That 108-106 loss was way back on the first day of the month though and the 76ers have won six straight games here since that time, holding opponents to a mere 84.7 points per game during that span. In fact, the 76ers are a perfect 8-0 ATS their past eight games here. The situation favors the 76ers to avenge the earlier losses, as they had the past few nights off while the Magic come off a win at New Jersey and are now playing their third game in the past four nights and sixth in the past nine. Note that Philadelphia is 11-7 ATS the past three seasons when playing with three days off between games. Additionally, note that Orlando is 1-3 SU the last four times it played the second of back to back games, most recently getting crushed by 17 points at Toronto. Look for the 76ers to be both the fresher and the hungrier team as they avenge this month's earlier losses and improve to 9-0 ATS their last nine games here. *Best Bet
NHL
SHARKS
Game: San Jose Sharks vs. Columbus Blue Jackets Game Time: 2/27/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: San Jose Sharks Reason: I'm laying the price with SAN JOSE. The Sharks are heating up, having swept the Flyers and Penguins in their tour through Pennsylvania. They got better at the trade deadline, acquiring All Star defenseman, Brian Campbell. They were already playing very well defensively though, as they'd given up more than three goals just once in its last 11 games, and have allowed just one goal in each of their last two wins. Playing in the competitive West, the Sharks know how important every point is. As veteran Jeremy Roenick noted: "You look at the standings and you see how important it is to get every single point possible, especially on this road trip. You can go from fifth to 11th in one bad week." Unlike the Sharks, the Blue Jackets dealt away veteran talent at the deadline, as they traded both Sergei Federov and Adam Foote. Playing their first game back home from a road trip, I look for them to stumble tonight, falling to 2-7 when coming off a shutout victory.
UNDER leafs/panthers
Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers Game Time: 2/27/2008 7:35:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Panthers and Leafs to finish UNDER the total. The Panthers come off a 5-0 loss in their last game. That game snuck below the number and brought the UNDER to 3-1 their last four games. Note that they've also seen the UNDER go a profitable 14-8-1 on the season after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. The Leafs have also been playing low-scoring games recently. They won their last game 5-0 and have now seen the UNDER go 3-0-1 their last four games. The Leafs were embarrassed 8-0 by the Panthers in the last meeting. However, that was at Toronto. This season's lone meeting in Florida had a final score of 2-1. That brought the UNDER to 4-0-2 the last six series meetings here. Toronto goalie Toskala had 31 saves against the Senators last time out, for his third shutout of the season. He has now stopped 55 of 56 shots in the last two games, both Toronto wins. He has started 15 straight for the Leafs, going 8-6-1 with a 2.35 goals-against average over that span. Prior to the blowout loss earlier this month, Toskala had been 3-0-0 with a 1.33 GAA against Florida. He'll likely be facing Vokoun, who has a 3-1-1 record and a 1.60 GAA in five career appearances against the Maple Leafs. I'm expecting solid goaltending and a low-scoring affair.
Allen Wong???
Allen Wong???
Anybody have Allen Wong:
1000 unit
Highest Rated
College Basketball Play Ever
Opportunity of a Lifetime.
Allen Wong???
Anybody have Allen Wong:
1000 unit
Highest Rated
College Basketball Play Ever
Opportunity of a Lifetime.
Robert Ferringo
2-Unit Play. Take #721 UNC-Wilmington (+12.5) over VCU (7 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 27)
UNC-Wilmington is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games and is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings. They were blasted at home in early January, but since then they have been playing much better basketball. Both of these teams shoot the lights out, so I think it will be difficult for the Rams to really pull away, even if they do have this game in control.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #745 Rhode Island (-4.5) over George Washington (7:30 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 27)
This one is kind of Keep It Simple Stupid. Rhode Island is a team I circled this year because I knew they?d be a moneymaker, and GW is a team I wanted to fade because they have just dropped dramatically from where they have been over the past two or three years. Rhode Island is a better team and they have a short number. GW has really dominated this series lately, but I think that?s because the talent disparity was so large. It?s just as large now ? only the other way. The Rams have had a tough five game stretch but I think they?re ready to get back into the cash column.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #793 Tulsa (+19) over Memphis (9 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 27)
We saw Tennessee?s letdown last night, now the other shoe may drop. Certainly I?m not predicting a Memphis loss. But perhaps they can come out a little languid against a grinder team and coast a bit. Tulsa has been scrappy. They have lost three of their last four road games by an average of 7.3 points and they dropped their last four to the Tigers by an average of 14 points. They hung around with Memphis when they played at home and I think they can scrub their way to a 14-point loss.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #792 UTEP (-1) over UAB (9 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 27)
The favorite in this series is 4-1 ATS, as is the home team, in the last five meetings. UAB has had some struggles on the road in tough venues, posting an 8-17-2 ATS mark against teams with a winning home record. UTEP is a different team at home.
2-Unit Play. Take #771 Southern Mississippi (+8) over Houston (8 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 27)
Here we have a pair of teams going in opposite directions. Houston hasn't played that well since dropping a close game at Memphis, and Southern Miss has built up some confidence against the bottom-feeders of CUSA. These two teams have played tight, closely contested games over the past two years, with the three meetings determined by a total of just 12 points. As of this morning, this game was one of the more heavily bet contests on the board and a whopping 95 percent of the action is on the home Cougars. With no line movement. I think that's a red flag.
2-Unit Play. Take #795 Baylor (-3.5) over Colorado (9:30 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 27)
Colorado is a tricky team to beat, but the one thing that I think can trump their Princeton offense is perimeter speed on defense. Baylor's guards should be able to harass the Buffaloes into playing at a pace faster than they would like. I also don't see how the Buffs can keep Baylor from getting to the basket with ease. Baylor is 9-2 ATS on the road (compared to 9-19 ATS for Colorado at home) and has covered four of five meetings.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #749 Cincinnati (+11.5) over Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 27)
Few too many points. The Bearcats have been scrappy all season long. And I will admit that Pitt is about to erupt (hello, BE Tournament) because Lavance Fields is getting his legs back. But I think this number is a bit high considering Pitt has dumped three straight and are 3-7 ATS in their L10 games.
2-Unit Play. Take #721 UNC-Wilmington (+12.5) over VCU (7 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 27)
UNC-Wilmington is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games and is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings. They were blasted at home in early January, but since then they have been playing much better basketball. Both of these teams shoot the lights out, so I think it will be difficult for the Rams to really pull away, even if they do have this game in control.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #745 Rhode Island (-4.5) over George Washington (7:30 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 27)
This one is kind of Keep It Simple Stupid. Rhode Island is a team I circled this year because I knew they?d be a moneymaker, and GW is a team I wanted to fade because they have just dropped dramatically from where they have been over the past two or three years. Rhode Island is a better team and they have a short number. GW has really dominated this series lately, but I think that?s because the talent disparity was so large. It?s just as large now ? only the other way. The Rams have had a tough five game stretch but I think they?re ready to get back into the cash column.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #793 Tulsa (+19) over Memphis (9 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 27)
We saw Tennessee?s letdown last night, now the other shoe may drop. Certainly I?m not predicting a Memphis loss. But perhaps they can come out a little languid against a grinder team and coast a bit. Tulsa has been scrappy. They have lost three of their last four road games by an average of 7.3 points and they dropped their last four to the Tigers by an average of 14 points. They hung around with Memphis when they played at home and I think they can scrub their way to a 14-point loss.
2.5-Unit Play. Take #792 UTEP (-1) over UAB (9 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 27)
The favorite in this series is 4-1 ATS, as is the home team, in the last five meetings. UAB has had some struggles on the road in tough venues, posting an 8-17-2 ATS mark against teams with a winning home record. UTEP is a different team at home.
2-Unit Play. Take #771 Southern Mississippi (+8) over Houston (8 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 27)
Here we have a pair of teams going in opposite directions. Houston hasn't played that well since dropping a close game at Memphis, and Southern Miss has built up some confidence against the bottom-feeders of CUSA. These two teams have played tight, closely contested games over the past two years, with the three meetings determined by a total of just 12 points. As of this morning, this game was one of the more heavily bet contests on the board and a whopping 95 percent of the action is on the home Cougars. With no line movement. I think that's a red flag.
2-Unit Play. Take #795 Baylor (-3.5) over Colorado (9:30 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 27)
Colorado is a tricky team to beat, but the one thing that I think can trump their Princeton offense is perimeter speed on defense. Baylor's guards should be able to harass the Buffaloes into playing at a pace faster than they would like. I also don't see how the Buffs can keep Baylor from getting to the basket with ease. Baylor is 9-2 ATS on the road (compared to 9-19 ATS for Colorado at home) and has covered four of five meetings.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #749 Cincinnati (+11.5) over Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 27)
Few too many points. The Bearcats have been scrappy all season long. And I will admit that Pitt is about to erupt (hello, BE Tournament) because Lavance Fields is getting his legs back. But I think this number is a bit high considering Pitt has dumped three straight and are 3-7 ATS in their L10 games.
Strike Point Sports
5-Unit Play (A-10 GOY). #757 Take La Salle +4.5 over Fordham (8 pm)
Watch out for the Explorers. La Salle has run off an impressive two week stretch, winning four straight and six of their last eight overall. During that push they have gone 6-1 ATS, and even more so they are 28-10-2 against the number in their last 40 on the road. They have a nice winning record away from home this season, and face a Fordham team that is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 home games. The Explorers have covered six of their last conference games, also impressing on the road against teams with winning home records, posting a 22-6-1 ATS mark in in those games. They are play here in this A-10 clash.
5-Unit Play (A-10 GOY). #757 Take La Salle +4.5 over Fordham (8 pm)
Watch out for the Explorers. La Salle has run off an impressive two week stretch, winning four straight and six of their last eight overall. During that push they have gone 6-1 ATS, and even more so they are 28-10-2 against the number in their last 40 on the road. They have a nice winning record away from home this season, and face a Fordham team that is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 home games. The Explorers have covered six of their last conference games, also impressing on the road against teams with winning home records, posting a 22-6-1 ATS mark in in those games. They are play here in this A-10 clash.
John Ryan
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10* NCAA Monster Game of the Year
Kansas @ Iowa State
Iowa State +11.5
Ai Simulator 10* graded play on Iowa State ? AiS shows an 87% probability that Iowa State will lose this game by 11 or fewer points. AiS also shows an 89% probability that Iowa State will score 61 or more points in this game. Note that Kansas is 2-9 ATS when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Iowa State does do well against top level teams, especially ones that are shooting well from the field. Note that IST is 40-20 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams making >=45% of their shots since 1997; 30-16 ATS in home games versus good teams that are outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997. Kansas has had another great season, but that success works against them in this game. Note that Kansas is 0-6 ATS after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season. Take Iowa State.
NHL Trio of Dogs
3* Nashville +115
3* Phoenix +110
3* Tampa Bay +110
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10* NCAA Monster Game of the Year
Kansas @ Iowa State
Iowa State +11.5
Ai Simulator 10* graded play on Iowa State ? AiS shows an 87% probability that Iowa State will lose this game by 11 or fewer points. AiS also shows an 89% probability that Iowa State will score 61 or more points in this game. Note that Kansas is 2-9 ATS when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Iowa State does do well against top level teams, especially ones that are shooting well from the field. Note that IST is 40-20 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams making >=45% of their shots since 1997; 30-16 ATS in home games versus good teams that are outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997. Kansas has had another great season, but that success works against them in this game. Note that Kansas is 0-6 ATS after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season. Take Iowa State.
NHL Trio of Dogs
3* Nashville +115
3* Phoenix +110
3* Tampa Bay +110
College Cappers
CBB:
30 Dime - Arkansas +1
20 Dime - Iowa +3
10 Dime - LSU +6
NBA:
45 Dime - Bulls/Pacers UNDER 208.5
30 Dime - Detroit +1.5
25 Dime - Cleveland +7.5
20 Dime - Sacramento +3.5
MLB:
5 Dime - NY Mets +100
FREE CBB:
1 Dime - Northeastern +8.5
CBB:
30 Dime - Arkansas +1
20 Dime - Iowa +3
10 Dime - LSU +6
NBA:
45 Dime - Bulls/Pacers UNDER 208.5
30 Dime - Detroit +1.5
25 Dime - Cleveland +7.5
20 Dime - Sacramento +3.5
MLB:
5 Dime - NY Mets +100
FREE CBB:
1 Dime - Northeastern +8.5
Brandon "Lame"
Brandon "Lame"
Brandon Lang
15 Dime - UTEP
5 Dime - Lasalle
5 Dime - Richmond
5 Dime - Central Florida
5 Dime - Jazz
5 Dime - Cavaliers
Free Pick - Texas Tech
Brandon "Lame"
Brandon Lang
15 Dime - UTEP
5 Dime - Lasalle
5 Dime - Richmond
5 Dime - Central Florida
5 Dime - Jazz
5 Dime - Cavaliers
Free Pick - Texas Tech
