SERVICE PLAYS FOR FRI. 1/4

the duke

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The Duke's Sports

NBA:

*Best Bet* Washington Over (197) for 3 Units
Washington/Milwaukee 8:30: We believe we get great value in this 'total' based on what these teams have done historically in this series. In seven of the last eight in this series, each team has scored 102 or more. The one that didn't combined for 197 (@ Milwaukee 4/12/06). On the road Washington has averaged 100.5 ppg while allowing 101 ppg; consequently, we'll look for the Bucks to effectively trade baskets. And we realize that Michael Redd sustained a deep thigh bruise on Wednesday that could sideline him here; nevertheless, we'll look for the improving Bucks' bench (Bell, Villanueva, Ivey) to fill the scoring void vs the defensively lax Wizards. Milwaukee has gone 13-7 O/U in their last 20 at home in this 'total' range, and 6-2 O/U in their last 8 Friday tilts. Washington has gone 'over' in 9 of their last 12 as a dog. We believe this is a slight 'total' underlay and we'll go "over".

Denver Under (207') for 2 Units
Denver/Minnesota 8:00: The Minnesota defense, or lack thereof, exudes high scoring 'totals' alone; however, factor in the poor shooting of the T'wolves, especially against division foes (39.7%) and the lopsided scores they've endured because of it, the T'wolves are recording consistent "unders". Minnesota is 1-5 O/U vs their last 6 division foes, 3-9 O/U following a loss of 10+, and on a current 1-5 O/U run overall. Moreover, Minnesota is 9-18 O/U as a dog and just 5-15 O/U w/ revenge. Denver, on the other hand, is coming off an win over San Antonio, in which we pegged correctly as a low scoring game, and sports a 3-8 O/U mark after allowing 85 or less. This series sports a range of 192 to 198 over the last four. Denver's gone 'under' in both of their road games in this 'total' range. "Under" the call.

NCAA Hoops:

Marist (+4) for 1 Unit
 

GIANTS007

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AAA SPORTS


New Orleans Hornets at Golden State Warriors - Over 207 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 1/4/2008
Note: The Hornets do not prefer to set a high pace but what I have found from this team is that they will play it when given the opportunity. This line opened at 206, flew to 209.5 and is now back down to it's current level. Regardless of this unusual line movement, the liklihood of 215+ is very good for this one. Golden State home affairs have averaged an amazing 220 this year and while many of those contests have been against much higher tempo teams, many have not been. This team can flat out score and they do not give a Rat's Ass if the opposition does. Their goal is just one, wear out the opponent and get them in the 4th quarter. They have done that quite well this year and they will continue to go with status quo for this one. This one is so simple that I will just make it short and add that both squads visit the free throw often, and both nail their free throw shots. GS currently at 79% and the visitors at 74%. That is an added bonus and so is the fact that we will probably see a close enough game to give us some freebies at the end. Handicapping does not always have to be time consuming and the word No-Brainer comes to mind here tonight. The Hornets are on a 4 game road win streak and they will come to town with a lot of confidence. That usually means that they will have enough of that to play whatever style the Warriors want to play. And we know what that is going to be right?

NBA: Philadelphia 76ers at Los Angeles Lakers - Over 199.5 (Heavy Hitter) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 1/4/2008
Note: Before you ask, I do know that Lamar Odom is out of the Lakers. But I also know that the average point total for Laker games 4 of the 5 times he has sat this year has been 217 points. In fact, 4 of the 5 he has not been on the court, we have seen the number end OVER what we have tonight, and the only time it did not, the LA Crew played the Rockets, one of the premier D Teams in the NBA. Sometimes we forget that star players also play good D themselves and the loss of Odom is a blow to this team on that front. We do have a lower than usual posted total because of that fact though, and I will pounce hard on it. Laker home contests have averaged 210 this year and at this place they love to control the tempo. They do that very well regardless of the venue in fact and did so the first time these two met back in Philly about a month ago in a 107-101 win. The Sixers play a good brand of D but tonight they will play their 5th game on this west coast roadtrip, and their 4th game in 5 nights. That lends itself to tired legs and tired legs lends itself to a less than stellar D effort. On the other side of the court, the Lakers have 4 days rest for this one and on 3 or more days rest this year, they are 3-0 OVER the mark. They have had time to rest up and they have had time to think hard about the loss to the Celtics, which was their worst this season at this arena. That is going to lead us to an upbeat affair tonight at this high scoring house and that is going to give us what we want. The Lakers are not going to be able to play halfcourt effectively in this game with the 9 rebounds that Odom accomplishes per contest and they know that. We can look for them to break toward the basket fastly and without hesitation. They certainly know as well as I that the Sixers are weary and they know the way to attack them is to get them into a running and shooting bonanza. I feel very strongly that they will meet that goal tonight.
 

GIANTS007

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MR.A'S

Friday, January 4th, 2008 (Eastern Time)
Games Mr. A's Selections

Memphis at Boston, 7:30 PM Boston Celtics - 13

Sacramento at Cleveland, 7:30 PM Cleveland Cavaliers - 7?

Miami at Dallas, 9:30 PM Dallas Mavericks -14

Philadelphia at LA Lakers, 10:30 PM Los Angeles Lakers - 7?
 

GIANTS007

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GINA FROM SPORTS RUMBLE

Friday, January 4th, 2008 8:30 p.m. est.
New York Knicks (8-22) at San Antonio Spurs (21-9)
The gloomy Knicks have dropped their last four road games and are a nasty 1-11 away from home this season. Meanwhile, the Spurs are 16-2 at home this season and have won the last four meetings against New York and seven of the last eight. Go with the Spurs tonight at the AT&T Center against the limp Knicks. New York will struggle to score against San Antonio defensive play. The Spurs are 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home versus the Knicks.


San Antonio Spurs



Friday, January 4th, 2008 (Eastern Time)

Time Game Today's Pick
8:00 p.m. Denver (19-12) at Minnesota (4-27) Denver Nuggets -6
8:30 p.m. NY Knicks (8-22) at San Antonio (21-9) San Antonio Spurs -12
 

GIANTS007

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JOHNNY GUILD

NBA Selection
Friday, January 4th, 2008 7:00 PM EST.

Detroit Pistons (25-7) at Toronto Raptors (17-15)
The hot Detroit Pistons go for their 11 straight win tonight when they face the Toronto Raptors at Air Canada Centre. Detroit has won eight of the last 10 clashes against Toronto, but has dropped four of its last six at Toronto. The Raptors have played well at home, 6-2 both straight-up and against the spread in its last eight. But the surging Pistons are on a roll. They are scoring an average of 101 points per game in their last 10 games, outscoring opponents by an average of 16.5 points with its strong defensive play, allowing 89.4 points per game. Ride the sizzling Pistons!

Detroit Pistons - 4



CBB

Friday, January 4th, 2008
Time Games Daily Picks

7:00 PM Fairfield (3-9) at Loyola-Maryland (5-7) Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds - 5
 

GIANTS007

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BRANDON LANG

15 Dime - Pistons



5 Dime - Rockets



5 Dime - Spurs


Brandon Lang


On to your analysis:



15 Dime - Pistons

It's one thing to start off the New Year with a friendly stretch of home games, but to start the stretch with a strain, well, that's a different story. Such is the case with Toronto, which hosts 10-game streaking Detroit tonight. And the bottom line is with the Pistons, they're starting off 2008 with all cylinders firing.



At 25-7, Detroit is getting the job done with a defense that is limiting teams to 41.2 percent shooting. And while the defense has been smothering, this is an offense that has scored 100.8 points per game and is outscoring its foes by 16.8 points per game during the win streak.



I don't care what anyone says, there isn't a better team in the league ? including Boston ? than the Pistons. They haven't lost since Dec. 12, and roll into this one on winning runs of 17-2 SU and 17-1-1 ATS.



5 Dime - Rockets

Houston owns this series, especially at Amway Arena, and will continue to do so tonight against the disappointing Magic, who are a measly 7-7 SU and ATS at home this season ? including a 2-5 skid in their last seven. And even though the Rockets roll in having lost six of their last nine, this team is on a 5-0 SU and ATS run in Orlando, while they've gone 9-2 SU and ATS in this series the past five seasons.



I know Tracy McGrady is questionable for this one, and will likely sit out, but we'll get it done behind Yao Ming, who should neutralize young Dwight Howard. Take the road team here, as the Rockets soar past the Magic.



5 Dime ? Spurs

Easy win here for the defending champs, who should have no trouble sending the Knicks to their sixth straight loss tonight. New York lost on Wednesday by 10 to Sacramento; it was the Knicks' 15th loss by double digits ? a league high. Now they have to take their show on the road, where they've lost 11 of 12 and are being outscored by 12.1 points per game. I know the Spurs have looked sort of bleak lately, having lost six of 10 and have failed to score 80 points in their last two losses, but this is the perfect team to ignite 2008. Look for the blowout here.
__________________
 

notbadboys

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January 4, 2008
NBA Waive the Rating Lock - Friday

100-75-1 NBA YTD

NBA Waive the Rating Lock #5

Washington Wizards @ Milwaukee Bucks over 197.0

NBA Monster Lock 500* (Bonus Selection)

Toronto Raptors +5.0

Other Plays:

Sacramento Kings +7.5

New Orleans Hornets @ Golden State Warriors over 207.5

zen

--------------------------------------------------------------------

Bobby Bo

(3* Pistons -4)

(3*New Orleans / Golden St over 210)

(1* Free Play UC Davis -5.5)
 

noteworthy66

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Doc's Sports's Pick Pack

NBA Daily Picks
Pick Pack Plays
Matchup: Detroit at Toronto
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Fri)

Play: Over (184-110)
Line Source: BETUS
Posted on: January 4, 2008 @ 2:14:57 PM EST
Heavy overnight line movement has created some value here as the Pistons have been clicking on all cylinders offensively. They have averaged 107 points per game in their last five contests and Toronto has given up more than 100 during the same span so you can expect the Pistons to get their points tonight. We think they get close to 100 again and then the Raptors only need to make up the difference here. The Raps average 98 PPG at home and the Detroit defense isn?t quite as potent on the road as they are at home.

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Member Plays
Matchup: Sacramento at Cleveland
Time: 7:35 PM EDT (Fri)

Play: Under (192.5-110)
Line Source: BET365
Posted on: January 4, 2008 @ 2:14:57 PM EST
Neither of these teams has been able to score points lately and Cleveland has been playing very good defense as of late. Three of the Cavs last four opponents couldn?t manage to even get past 90 and two of those teams ? New Orleans and Dallas ? are solid offensively. Sacramento has had two straight high scoring games but those came against Phoenix and New York, two teams that lack any defense. In the two games before that, they scored low totals against stronger defensive clubs, Philly (80 points) and Boston (69). We expect the Cleveland defense to keep Sacramento in check and for both teams to shoot a low percentage in the game.

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Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: New Orleans at Golden State
Time: 10:35 PM EDT (Fri)

Play: Golden State (-3-110)
Line Source: BETUS
Posted on: January 4, 2008 @ 2:14:57 PM EST
The Warriors have won three straight in this series and they have covered in four straight and we love them tonight against a road-weary Hornets club with a slim line. This is the Hornets fifth game in eight nights and they have a big matchup with the Suns coming tomorrow. The Warriors have had a brutal road schedule as of late and this will be their first home game in awhile and we think that will give them a boost. Golden State scores over 112 per game at home and we feel the Hornets will struggle to keep up tonight.

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notbadboys

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JANUARY 4, 2008
FRANK PATRON, 15,000 UNIT NBA GAME OF THE YEAR

FRANK PATRON

15,000 UNIT NBA GAME OF THE YEAR

SAN ANTONIO SPURS -12.5
 

GIANTS007

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FRANK ROSENTHAL

NBA
704 RAPTORS+4.5 SB
709 KINGS+8 SB
713 NUGGETS-5.5 SB
716 SPURS-11.5 SB
720 MAVS-13 SB+
723 76ERS+8 SB
OVER 199 SB

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COLLEGE HOOPS
726 COLORADO-12 SB
727 CAL IRVINE+6.5 SB
729 CAL RIVERSIDE+6 SB
736 RIDER-3.5 SB
 

GIANTS007

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ROCKETMAN - NBA

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Rocketman Sports plays are rated 1-5 units!

NBA Memphis @ Boston 7:35 PM EST Play On: 3* Memphis +13 1/2

Memphis is 63-35 ATS since 1996 after a win by 10 points or more. Memphis is 58-33 ATS since 1996 against good defensive teams allowing 91 points per game or less. Memphis is scoring 100.2 points per game overall this year. Memphis is 16-4 ATS overall vs Boston since 1996. Memphis is 10-0 ATS at Boston since 1996. Underdog is 11-2 ATS last 13 meetings in this series. Grizzlies are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater. Grizzlies are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. Celtics are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. We'll play Memphis for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky


New York @ San Antonio 8:35 PM EST Play On: 4* New York +12 1/2

Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Ginobli is doubtful for this game tonight. We'll play New York for 4 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky


New Orleans @ Golden State 10:35 PM EST Play On: 3* Golden State -3 1/2

Orleans is 17-33 ATS since 1996 as a road underdog of 3 1/2 to 6 points. Golden State is 5-1 ATS this year against Southwest Division opponents. Golden State is scoring 108.2 points per game overall this year and 112.1 points per game at home this season. Golden State is 3-1 SU and ATS at home vs New Orleans last 3 years. Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Friday games. Hornets are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss. Warriors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 vs. NBA Southwest. Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Warriors are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Warriors are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Warriors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Warriors are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 Friday games. Warriors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss. Warriors are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games playing on 1 days rest. We'll play Golden State for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
 

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WILD BILL

Friday, Jan 4th


Magic -4 (1 unit)
Boston -13 (1 unit)
Over 194 1/2 Memphis-Boston (5 units)
Nets -5 1/2 (1 unit)
Spurs -12 1/2 (1 unit)
Golden St -3 1/2 (2 units)
Over 200 Sixers-Lakers (2 units)
Lakers -7 1/2 (4 units)
 
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