The Duke's Sports
NBA:
*Best Bet* Washington Over (197) for 3 Units
Washington/Milwaukee 8:30: We believe we get great value in this 'total' based on what these teams have done historically in this series. In seven of the last eight in this series, each team has scored 102 or more. The one that didn't combined for 197 (@ Milwaukee 4/12/06). On the road Washington has averaged 100.5 ppg while allowing 101 ppg; consequently, we'll look for the Bucks to effectively trade baskets. And we realize that Michael Redd sustained a deep thigh bruise on Wednesday that could sideline him here; nevertheless, we'll look for the improving Bucks' bench (Bell, Villanueva, Ivey) to fill the scoring void vs the defensively lax Wizards. Milwaukee has gone 13-7 O/U in their last 20 at home in this 'total' range, and 6-2 O/U in their last 8 Friday tilts. Washington has gone 'over' in 9 of their last 12 as a dog. We believe this is a slight 'total' underlay and we'll go "over".
Denver Under (207') for 2 Units
Denver/Minnesota 8:00: The Minnesota defense, or lack thereof, exudes high scoring 'totals' alone; however, factor in the poor shooting of the T'wolves, especially against division foes (39.7%) and the lopsided scores they've endured because of it, the T'wolves are recording consistent "unders". Minnesota is 1-5 O/U vs their last 6 division foes, 3-9 O/U following a loss of 10+, and on a current 1-5 O/U run overall. Moreover, Minnesota is 9-18 O/U as a dog and just 5-15 O/U w/ revenge. Denver, on the other hand, is coming off an win over San Antonio, in which we pegged correctly as a low scoring game, and sports a 3-8 O/U mark after allowing 85 or less. This series sports a range of 192 to 198 over the last four. Denver's gone 'under' in both of their road games in this 'total' range. "Under" the call.
NCAA Hoops:
Marist (+4) for 1 Unit
NBA:
*Best Bet* Washington Over (197) for 3 Units
Washington/Milwaukee 8:30: We believe we get great value in this 'total' based on what these teams have done historically in this series. In seven of the last eight in this series, each team has scored 102 or more. The one that didn't combined for 197 (@ Milwaukee 4/12/06). On the road Washington has averaged 100.5 ppg while allowing 101 ppg; consequently, we'll look for the Bucks to effectively trade baskets. And we realize that Michael Redd sustained a deep thigh bruise on Wednesday that could sideline him here; nevertheless, we'll look for the improving Bucks' bench (Bell, Villanueva, Ivey) to fill the scoring void vs the defensively lax Wizards. Milwaukee has gone 13-7 O/U in their last 20 at home in this 'total' range, and 6-2 O/U in their last 8 Friday tilts. Washington has gone 'over' in 9 of their last 12 as a dog. We believe this is a slight 'total' underlay and we'll go "over".
Denver Under (207') for 2 Units
Denver/Minnesota 8:00: The Minnesota defense, or lack thereof, exudes high scoring 'totals' alone; however, factor in the poor shooting of the T'wolves, especially against division foes (39.7%) and the lopsided scores they've endured because of it, the T'wolves are recording consistent "unders". Minnesota is 1-5 O/U vs their last 6 division foes, 3-9 O/U following a loss of 10+, and on a current 1-5 O/U run overall. Moreover, Minnesota is 9-18 O/U as a dog and just 5-15 O/U w/ revenge. Denver, on the other hand, is coming off an win over San Antonio, in which we pegged correctly as a low scoring game, and sports a 3-8 O/U mark after allowing 85 or less. This series sports a range of 192 to 198 over the last four. Denver's gone 'under' in both of their road games in this 'total' range. "Under" the call.
NCAA Hoops:
Marist (+4) for 1 Unit