SERVICE PLAYS FOR FRIDAY 1/25

[eddieh8823]

Black Magic Sports

Black Magic Sports

NBA:

5 Unit Black Magic Suns/Cavs BEST BET on Phoenix -1.5

The Phoenix Suns are showing perhaps their best value of the season tonight as just a small road favorite at Cleveland. The Suns have owned the Cavs lately, going 4-1 SU and ATS in their last 5 meetings with Cleveland over the last 3 seasons. Phoenix is 63-33 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1996. Phoenix is 20-8 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Phoenix is 27-13 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. Cash in with Phoenix as the favorite.

4 Unit NBA Total of the Night on Nets/Nuggets OVER 209.5

New Jersey is giving up over 119 points a game over their last 5 games and this is not a good formula heading into Denver tonight for the Nets. Denver is one of the best scoring teams in the league, especially at home where they are putting up 109 points per game. Denver is 24-10 OVER in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. Denver is 28-15 OVER in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. The Nuggets are 13-3 OVER in home games after 2 straight games with 26 or more assists. Cash in with the OVER 209.5 points.

3 Unit Sharp Play on New York Knicks -2.5

New York is also showing solid value tonight as a small home favorite over the lowly Philadelphia 76ers. The Knicks have won 4 out of their last 6 games and are playing much better basketball as of late. The 76ers have lost 10 out of their last 12 games. History is on our side in this game as well. The 76ers have won four consecutive games and eight of the last nine against the Knicks, but have not won five straight vs. New York since 1985-86. New York is 16-5 ATS revenging a home blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more since 1996. Cash in with New York as the favorite in revenge mode.

 

[GIANTS007]

2007-08 NBA Games to Watch: 2-6-0 = 25%
*Source: **************.com

NBA Sports Marketwatch 1/25/07 ? Games to Watch

Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards

**************.com?s statistics on betting percentages show that with 65% of the bets on Washington, the line actually decreased from Washington -8.5 to Washington -8. This is an indicator that ?smart money? is coming in on Memphis. Oddsmakers at the sportsbooks tell us that early sharp money did, indeed, push the line down a bit.

We often need ?bad? teams to do ?good? things ? and this is another example. Memphis is a last place team, playing .286 ball, while Washington is 3 games out of first place in their division. Fasten your seatbelt and grab the value that we ? and the ?sharps? see. There are still some 8.5?s out there.

Memphis +8.5

LA Clippers vs New Orleans Hornets

The ?market action? on the LA Clippers is similar to the action on Memphis. With over 60% of the bets on New Orleans, the line has decreased from New Orleans -11.5 to -11. Sharp bettors are getting down on the Clippers ? and we see several reasons for a contrarian play in this game.

New Orleans is playing over .700 ball and is in first place, winning 6 in a row ? and 9 of their last 10. Perhaps the Hornets are now one of the NBA?s elite teams, but we still like ?selling them at a recent high.? The Hornets are a hot 26-14 ?against the spread? this season but we believe the ?sports marketplace? has caught up with them.

The LA Clippers are a last place team, but have been playing better recently. We like the Clippers plus double-digit points.

LA Clippers +11.5

So, here?s a wrap-up of **************.com analysis for this week?s Games to Watch for the NBA.

Games to Watch (2-6-0)

Memphis +8.5
LA Clippers +11.5

 

[GIANTS007]

Handicapper: Nite Owl Sports
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Houston Rockets @ Portland Trailblazers - Friday January 25, 2008 10:00 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Portland Trailblazers -2 (-111)

We like Portland and their NBA best 15-5 ATS record at home, as they return to the Rose Garden after a long road trip with mixed results. Blazers have not been blowing out teams at home, but they have been winning and covering consistently there, as both a favorite (8-4 ATS) and a dog (7-1 ATS). In this point spread range of +3 to ?3, they are 8-1 ATS with an average MOV (margin of victory) of 6 points in those 9 games, more than enough to cover tonite?s spread of two points. What makes this impressive home record even better is that the Blazers have compiled most of it lately, after a slow start in November, having won ten straight home games, covering in nine of them, with average MOV of 11.3 points in those ten games. Houston, on the other hand, is decent enough on the road, with a 7-3 away record against teams (like Portland) over .500, but even that is ?trumped? by Blazers? home record of 9-2 vs +.500 teams. Back to Portland, as one thing we must check is their record in the first game back home after an extended road trip (of 3 games or more), the situation they find themselves in tonite, as NBA teams overall have a losing ATS record in that mode, for a number of reasons. However, Blazers pass that test, with a 3-1 ATS record and an average MOV of 4.5 points in those four games, the one loss being in November, while Blazers were in their early season ?funk.? Another measuring stick to gauge Blazers? progress (particularly at home) is how well they have done recently at home recently against teams which they also played at home earlier in the season. There appear to be three such teams to use for this comparison ? New Orleans, who Blazers beat by 3 in November and by 12 in mid-December, Utah Jazz, who Blazers beat by 8 in mid-December and by 14 on January 5 in their last home stand, and Golden State, who Blazers beat by 10 in mid-December and by 18 on January 9 in their last home stand. So Blazers pass another test with ?flying colors,? and finish our exam with straight As at home, which is good enough for a 3 unit pick, given that their opponent Houston is also a good team which has been playing well. We also looked at the money line, but at ?135, we believe that laying two points at ? 110 with the best home team (ATS-wise) in the NBA is a better deal. We might also have a recommendation for an individual team totals play in this game, when we update our write up later today, after those lines are released by the sports books. But most importantly, we strongly recommend that you purchase at least our one day NBA pass for today (for just $35), which includes our NBA Game of the Month pick (already posted with our full write up on that game), and will likely include at least one other NBA pick for tonite.

 

[GIANTS007]

joe wiz freebies

weber st
lakers

 

[GIANTS007]

philly connection free play

idaho st.

 

[GIANTS007]

Mitch Sargen
Betting Syndicate out of Philly

hit both 25* star plays last nite Xavier and HEAT

TONIGHT!

25* RAPTORS
10* MAGIC BLAZERS

FREE PICK NIAGARA

 

[peppermillrick]

Drew Gordon

Drew Gordon

Drew Gordon
Today's Games...

1. 400,000♦ Niagara
2. 50,000♦ Magic
3. 50,000♦ Jazz

1. Niagara- After 3 tough conference losses in their last 4 games, this Niagara team is out for blood... Enter St. Peter's, one of the worst teams in MAAC, giving the Purple Eagles the perfect oppurtunity to get back on their feet tonight.
While its true the Peacocks are a better team at home, I use the term "better" loosely, as they're just 4-3 SU & 2-3 ATS in New Brunswick this season. Of the teams they've beaten at home, only Rutgers was halfway decent, and even then, Niagara is a much better team than the road-weary Scarlet Knights, who are just 1-7 SU away this season.
Purple Eagles have a tremendous edge on offense, as their averaging a hearty 77 ppg over their last 5 games. St. Peter's, meanwhile, is averaging just 59 ppg over the same span. Statistically they score better at home, but that wasn't the case in their last one, a 62-57 loss to Loyola-Maryland Saturday. Peacocks have a decent starting 5, led by F Todd Sowell, but the 4-guard attack of the Purple Eagles, led by star G Charron Fisher, is far superior.
Herein lies the problem for St. Peter's, because the Purple Eagles match up particularly well with the Peacocks. Leading scorer Todd Sowell has to match up against Niagara's 6'10 C Egemonye, who's decent offensively, and can rebound (7.2 boards per game) and block shots (26 swats). While 3 of the 4 starting guards for the Eagles can score (with the exception of Nelson, who's the point guard), can rebound (22.9 boards per game combined), and play defense (3 of 4 guards have over 29 steals)!
Bottom line, Niagara comes into this game highly-motivated, with several strong match up edges, and facing a team that's been a conference doormat all season. Oddsmakers are being extremely conservative with the number on this game, especially when all I see are mismatches. Look for the Purple Eagles to get back on track with a solid road win and cover here tonight.
Take Niagara comfortably over St. Peter's as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Magic- Last time these two teams met, I gave you the Magic as a bonus paid play, and they delivered the 102-100 outright home win over the Pistons. Many of the same reasons apply tonight, despite the fact the Pistons have owned this series in the past , the Magic are playing much better basketball right now, especially when you consider how poorly Detroit has played of late.
So what's wrong with the Pistons? Offense first and foremost, as their ususally consistent attack has hit a snag, averaging 92 ppg on 44% shooting over their last 5 games (2-3 SUATS over that span). You can attribute a big part of that to the struggles of Rasheed Wallace, who's scored in double figures only once in his last 6 games.
Match up-wise, the Magic have an excellent inside/out game with Howard down-low and Turkoglu and Lewis waiting in the wings. They used that strategy to help them beat the Pistons Monday, and they'll use it again tonight. Remember guys, this Magic offense is rolling right now, dropping in 102 on nearly 49% shooting over their last 5. Also, don't tell me the injury to Jameer Nelson is a negative, because they did just fine with Carlos Arroyo at the point guard Monday.
Finally, there's several trends that strongly favor the Magic in this one. First, there's the fact Orlando has been cash-machine on the road, going 19-7 ATS this season, playing their best basketball in hostile territory. Then, you throw in the fact the road team is 14-4-3 ATS over their last 21 meetings and its hard not to like Orlando plus the points in this one. In the end, until the Pistons start playing like the dominant team they can be, I'm inclined to fade them against a team as good on the road as the Magic are, plain and simple.
Take the Magic plus the points over the Pistons in this NBA match up.

3. Jazz- This match up is a little different, because unlike the Pistons, the Jazz are playing rock-solid basketball of late, especially at home, where they're won 7 in a row SU & 5 of those 7 ATS! It should come as no surprise, as this Utah team has always played its best ball in Salt Lake, going 17-3 SU there and 13-7 ATS this season. More of the same tonight, as an improved, but still flawed Kings team gets into trouble in this one.
Why flawed after all their recent success? Because Sacramento is still far too inconsistent on the road, where they fall asleep on both sides of the court, scoring 95 ppg, all while allowing 102 ppg on the season. Granted, the Kings have been a solid bet on the road of late, but watching them play at the Clippers Wednesday quickly erased any hope of consistency from this Kings squad when they travel. They lost by 26-points as 2'-point favorites to a struggling Clippers team... Ugly, real ugly.
Jazz on the other hand, have apparently overcome a tough December that saw them lose plenty of road games. With some extended time back at home, they've licked their wounds, and have come out firing of late, averaging 108 ppg on 50% shooting over their last 5 games. Defensively, they're rock-solid at home, just ask the Clippers, Bucks, Suns, and Pacers, none of which scored more than 89 points in their recent games in Salt Lake!
Look guys, there's no question the Kings have been playing much better basketball now that their healthy, but that doesn't mean they're going to waltz into one of the toughest places to win and deliver. Jazz protect their home court like few other teams in the NBA, and the road-weary Kings still have a ways to go before they take Utah out at home. Jazz roll!
Take the Jazz comfortably over the Kings in this NBA match up.

 

[GIANTS007]

Michael Cannon

Friday's Plays...

15 Dime ?

CAVALIERS

Take the Cavaliers as the small home dog tonight over the Suns.

Cleveland is playing its best basketball of the season. They recorded their most lopsided win in more than 13 years in Wednesday?s 121-85 victory over the Wizards.

The Suns are coming off a loss over the lowly Timberwolves on Wednesday and could be a tired team here tonight. Phoenix is playing its fourth game in six nights and third road game in the last four.

Fatigue could be the great equalizer for the Cavaliers, as it should keep Phoenix from running all game long.

Cleveland has won five straight, going 4-1 ATS during that span. They are on ATS runs of 18-8 as a home dog, 7-3 against the West and 35-17 when playing on one day of rest.

The home team is also on a 6-1 ATS run in this series.

Take the Cavs plus the small number as they get it done at home for us tonight.

10 Dime ?

RAPTORS

Take the Raptors as the big home chalk tonight over the Bucks.

Toronto is coming off a big win at Boston Wednesday night and I think they?ll keep that momentum going against the Bucks.

Milwaukee has been a terrible road team this year, going just 5-19. This is also the Bucks? fourth game in six nights and second in the last 48 hours.

The Raptors have won four straight home games and will be looking to avenge a 112-85 loss at Milwaukee suffered back in November.

Take Toronto minus the points as they grab the home win and cover.

5 Dime ?

NUGGETS

Take the Nuggets as the home chalk tonight over the foundering Nets.

The Nets have lost a season-high seven straight and they won?t stop that slide tonight.

Denver hopes to have Carmelo Anthony back in the lineup for tonight?s game, which will only make it harder on the struggling Nets.

New Jersey is playing its fifth game in seven nights, third in the last four and second in the last 48 hours.

The Nets are an older team and now they find themselves playing in the high altitude with fatigue already set in.

Take the Nuggets as they grab the home win and cover.

 

[GIANTS007]

Winning Points Online NBA.

FRIDAY, JANUARY 25

7 pm
***BEST BET
Toronto* over Milwaukee by 24

Let's read a newspaper account of what happened
last night and translate it into a selection:

"MILWAUKEE (AP) ? Michael Redd scored 37 points
and Andrew Bogut had 17 points, leading the Milwaukee
Bucks to a 104-92 victory over the Indiana Pacers on
Thursday night. Redd scored 10 in the fourth quarter,
playing every minute of the second half and 45 minutes
overall as the Bucks won for only the second time in
eight games... Mike Dunleavy scored 22 points and
Danny Granger added 20 for Indiana, which has lost
three of four since star forward Jermaine O'Neal went
out with a knee injury. Milwaukee took charge late in the
third quarter, using a 21-6 run to open a safe lead Indiana
never threatened. The Pacers missed nine consecutive
shots to end the third and open the fourth quarter,
allowing the Bucks to pull away..."

Fine. Milwaukee is a bad team, off a win against a stinky
opponent, now playing its fourth game in five nights. Their
best scorer had to play 45 minutes. When they are rested,
Milwaukee guards opponents worse than a pack of poodles.
Toronto is the rested team, and they have revenge for a
112-85 defeat at Milwaukee when Chris Bosh was playing
hurt, and the Bucks shot a ridiculous 60% for the game.

Before they beat the Celtics on Wednesday, Toronto coach
Sam Mitchell said, "The last two days we've worked on
trying to get the ball up the floor quicker, get down, get into
our offense quicker, get some easier baskets. I've been on
players to attack early." The first result was 114-112,
against a better opponent, and they say that since Boston
had already beaten them three times, that win was
nothing to hang their hats on. In other words, no letdown.
TORONTO, 114-90.

 

[GIANTS007]

Keith Martin Sports

Sixers under 194.5

-also-

Keith Martin Sports

Niagara -4

Paid & Confirmed

 

[GIANTS007]

WILL SYKES FREE PLAYS ARE 40-24-1

12-6 NFL,
6-2 NCAAF
19-14-1 NBA,
2-1 NCAAB
UFC 1-0

FOR TODAY: Charlotte VS Chicago

SYKE-O-ANALYSIS: This has got to be the oddest line i've seen all season. Get ready for this folks, because you're about to witness ARMAGEDDON in Vegas. There's no way Vegas will remain after this play. Monte Carlo on fire is only the beginning of relentless torture. Lets start off by the stats of Chicago winning by double digits, ready for this? The Bulls go 1-7 SU after a double digit win. And the only win that they won SU after a DD win was against the Hornets back in 12/01/07 and ever since then the Bulls have won their next two meetings, so they're 3-0 against the Bobcats (Which puts them on a triple revenge) Do any of you even know what the line was in their first meeting on 12/01? Well it was -7, yup that's right -7 (the Bulls covered 111-95) And now the Bulls are now -3 point favorites? Maybe it might have to do with questionable injuries of Joe Smith, Ben Gordon, Chris Duhon, and Luol Deng. Let me tell you how horrible these Bulls really are. The Bulls have no had better than a two game winning streak, so pretty much after a win, they lose. So what reason does the public have to jump on this pathetic Bulls team? Hinrich scored 38 points and 10 assists, pwah he better have another monster game two win this one, because it's not going to happen. I'm not going to praise the Bobcats on this one because the Bulls will lose this game on their own. Now just take the Bobcats to win this game straight up and watch the line stay steady at -3, because Vegas will gobble up all of Bulls money and spit it out with a big check for me! Don't get psyched like the rest of public because we'll all know how hard it is to beat a team 4 straight times in one year, especially against a team that simply can't win. Just stick with Sykes as Vegas prepares for ARMAGEDDON and once again..... Sykes becomes victorious.

ARMAGEDDON GEM: Charlotte Bobcats ML

 

[GIANTS007]

Johnny Guild

Friday, January 25th, 2008 (Eastern Time)

Time Games Picks
7:00 p.m. Niagara (11-6) at Saint Peter's (4-14) Niagara Purple Eagles -4.5

9:05 p.m. Sacramento State (3-15) at Idaho State (6-12) Sacramento State Hornets +9

NBAFriday, January 25th, 2008 8:00 PM EST.

Los Angeles Clippers (13-25) at New Orleans Hornets (29-12)

The hot Hornets have won their last six games and should be able to grab a win against the Clippers tonight at New Orleans Arena. New Orleans has won and covered their last five home games and has won three of their last four versus Los Angeles in New Orleans. Take the Hornets at home. The Clippers have dropped their last five games away from home, averaging just 89.4 points per game and are a dreadful 5-11 on the road this season.

New Orleans Hornets -11

 

[GIANTS007]

ron raymond


5units - suns / cleveland Under 212 -110

 

[phitanphils]

Can

Can

anyone get Indian Cowboy or Rocketman? Thanks

 

[JOHN JAY]

atslocks.com :SIB

10 units Cleveland +2 over Phoenix
15 units Niagara -4.5 over St. Peters

 

[T-Rock]

Lovell

Lovell

Any Brandon Lovell?? He is advertising a big play tonite.

Thanks

 

[goldengreek]

anyone get Indian Cowboy or Rocketman? Thanks

Indian cowboy

Raptors (POD) -9.5

Promos (automatic on POD selections): Winning 4 of 5 days, winning 17 of 24 days (71%), winning 18 of 25 days (72%) and 7-3 this week. 6 of 7 POD Winners and 21 of 28 POD Winners of late (75%) and 17-7 POD (71%) in January. Still 60% in Basketball 2007 after 166 plays:

There is good reason for this line to be this high as although the Raps come off a great win on the road against Boston and this could be a let down against Boston, I think otherwise as this team had the wood laid on them at Milwaukee back on November 6th. What people don't understand is that the NBA is like a network of puzzles, each selection and each pick stems off something that happened in the past. In essence, it is like a soap opera that feeds off each other and allows for motivation and easier wagers to hit down the road. For example what happens today, affects and sets up a wager for a month from now. This was similar to me taking the Hornets who had lost back to back games in the Rose Garden and were looking to avoid losing 3 in a row to the Blazers at home and they pulled out the double-digit win in the end. Similar to that, the Raptors got beat 112-85 and certainly that did not sit well with this team who is a very proud team and coached very well by Sam Mitchell - a coach whom I have personally during my mascot days here in Georgia. The bottom line is this, this is a good spot for the Raptors given the revenge angle and this team has the potential to blow out teams at home given by their 116-91 beating of Sacramento at home. Sure, the Bucks can squeak in for the cover here, but I'll take the Raps at the "Air" Arena tonight as the last time they got beat by the Bucks, they went on the road to beat them by 15 and now are at home with a single-digit spread - the Bucks are 0-5 ATS following a straight up win by 10 or more points showing their inconsistency and the Raptors are 10-1 ATS as home favorites of 5-10.5 points.

Knicks/Sixers Over 194.5

You might not want to keep up with this game simply because it is likely to give you heart burn with these 2 teams. However, there are a lot of positive trends that support the over here and I like the spot that both teams are in. First off, the Sixers come off a very disappointing loss at home to the Pistons at home by 8, a game they frankly should have covered but failed to do so. They put up less than 80 points in that game. The last few games my spreadsheet shows that the put up less than 85 points, they come back the following game with a differential of +10 putting up somewhere around 95 points. And, this does make sense considering against the Knicks both times they have put up 105 and 101 points this year. In fact, the last time these 2 teams played, the Knicks dropped just 77 points on the road at Philly and lost by 26 points and you can bet that this Knicks team will be fired up today. However, I don't trust the Knicks although I do expect them to win and cover here. The Knicks put up 93 against Boston at home who is a strong defensive team and dropped 111 at New Jersey and 105 against Washington at home. I have this game at 204 to 205 today and that 10 point differential is worth it for me to take the over here. I have this game at 104-100 Knicks. The over is 4-0 for the Knicks following a double-digit home loss and the over is 5-2 for the Sixers as a road dog of late.

Twolves +13

Sure, the Celtics can blow this team out, but I will "Gonad" up and take the Twolves today. There is a lot going on in this game including the fact that the Celtics do come off a loss and fired up. However, keep in mind what the Twolves have going for them here. They went on the road to Golden State and won outright - a team that they had played very close previously in several contests. They came back home and did not have a let down against the Suns who they beat as well - a game that I was on the over because I wanted to avoid the let down because I did predict they would be an active underdog which they were. Now, they go on the road to Boston, a team that is not in a good mood. However, what comprises the Twolf team? They are comprised of ex-Boston Celtics players. Remember, the likes of Gomes, Jefferson and others were once Celtics players that were traded for the Big Ticket. Now, these players come back home to prove the talent that they got rid of. Heck, Al Jefferson put up 39 points in his last contest against the Suns. I will take a shot here with the young Timberwolves here who have a lot of guys with a lot to prove and that incentive and motivation is enough for me to take a shot on them today. Professional sports are all about motivation, on any given night, anything can happen. The Twolves are 5-0 ATS against the Eastern Conference and 8-3 ATS when facing a team with a 60% home winning percentage meaning they get up for the better teams and the Celtics are 0-4 ATS as 11 points or greater home faves.

 

[ROQQIN RIQ]

CAN ANYONE GET BOBBY MAXWELL....SAME SITE CANNON AND DREW GORDON ARE ON BUT ONLY HOTTER....THANKS A LOT

 

[THE HITMAN]

Thanks alot for all the input.

 

[quanjin]

just a question....for GIANTS007

just a question....for GIANTS007

you wrote:
JOHN RYAN

Monster Conf GOM

Niagara



**His site says that his play is on a Dog.
Niagara is the Fav.


Thanks for the info.
I just wanted to make sure of the play.