SERVICE PLAYS FOR MONDAY 1/28

the duke

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WINNERS EDGE

1/28/08

NBA

2 units Utah Jazz -2


CBB

1 unit Oklahoma - 8.5

2 units Louisville + 2
 

the duke

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Brandon Lang


MONDAY

10 Dime - Jazz

5 Dime - Santa Clara

Free Pick - Oklahoma State
 

the duke

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Mr.A's

Monday, January 28th, 2008 (Eastern Time)

Games Mr. A's Selections

Dallas at Memphis, 8:00 PM
Dallas Mavericks -7?

San Antonio at Utah, 9:00 PM
Utah Jazz -2
 

the duke

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ATS Consultants Hoops

Newsletter Play

Preferred Play
Portland covers over Gonzaga 77-81
 

tnvn1994

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:0corn
What cracks me up about these SuperPicks is that he makes them before there is even a line out on them. Like this Nugget game tonight. Not to mention I think it's a horrible pick. They are in the second game of a back-to-back on the road. Losing their last 5 road games going 1-4 ATS. New Orleans is on an 8 game winning streak covering the spread in all 8. 16-2 in their last 18 straight up and ATS.

I think AR is right tonight.
 

Bootlegbobby

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Bay Area
Over the last couple of weeks I have gotten lazy and tried to make my picks almost solely based on service plays and I have been getting crushed for it. So starting this week I am going back to capping myself and using the services as more of a comparison. I am not knocking the services. I love all the work and effort people put into this site. And will personally be posting Ferringo as I always do. Good luck everyone.

-------BOOTLEGS PERSONAL PLAYS-------

-----NBA-------
(8*) New Orleans -8.5
(4*) Utah -2


-----CBB--------
(6*) Pacific -11.5
(5*) Boise St. PK



Watch out GIANTS007 you got some competition!!!
 

Bootlegbobby

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FERRINGO

3.5-Unit Play. Take #527 Louisville (+2) over Connecticut (7 p.m., Monday, Jan. 28)
Road teams have been getting it done in the Big East lately, and I liked this play even if Connecticut was at full strength. They are not, with leading scorer Andre Dyson and Doug Wiggins still out for tonight's game. Unfortunately, that?s the same reason I didn?t go with UConn over Indiana and we saw how that played out. But Indiana is a joke. Louisville is not. With a healthy compliment of players I think that UL has Top 10 talent. The Cardinals are 11-3 ATS on the road and 21-9 ATS in Big East play. UConn is still just 9-21 ATS in its last 30 overall and 1-10 ATS after an ATS win.

3-Unit Play. Take #524 Wofford (-120) over Charleston (7 p.m., Monday, Jan. 28)
Note: I do endorse this at -1.5 or -2. I don't want to take any chances.

Beware the Terriers. They are a 3-point bombing team, and as we get later in the year and everyone starts shooting better a team like Wofford becomes very dangerous. They lost to Charleston by 10 two weeks ago but they only shot 19-for-49 in that game. Since then the Terriers have shot 53.1 percent over three games, and they are nailing nearly 46 percent of their 3-pointers at home. Charleston is coming off a semi-emotional game against conference Goliath Davidson and I think they could get overwhelmed early by the Wofford barrage.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #513 Boise State (-1) over Fresno State (10 p.m., Monday, Jan. 28)
Fresno State is just 1-2 SU and ATS since losing Bryan Harvey to academic issues. Boise State is the No. 1 shooting team in the country and they are 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Further, the road team is 13-1-1 ATS in this series and the Broncos have covered nine straight at Fresno. I think this line is about four points light so we?re getting solid value on the more talented, more experienced team here.

2-Unit Play. Take #519 Cal Poly SLO (+12) over Pacific (11 p.m., Monday, Jan. 28)
Nearly 90 percent of the action is on Pacific, in a pseudo-letdown spot after a big win at UC-Santa Barbara. Pacific shot 60 percent in that game so I look for them to come back down to earth somewhat. Cal Poly is no good, but they are 10-4 ATS in Big West play and are 4-2 ATS in this series. We?re going to fade the squares today and see what happens.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #516 San Diego (+7.5) over St. Mary's (10 p.m., Monday, Jan. 28)
SORRY! THIS WAS SUPPOSED TO BE POSTED WITH THE REST! I POSTED THIS PICK FIVE MINUTES AFTER THE OTHERS!

That's it for today. Good luck.
 
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the duke

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Michael Cannon



15 Dime



HORNETS


Take the Hornets at home tonight over the Nuggets.

New Orleans has won and covered eight straight games. They are playing with supreme confidence and have had a day off, while Denver comes into this game a bit fatigued.

The Nuggets are playing their third game in four nights and second in 48 hours. They had a hard fought loss to the Mavericks last night, now must find a way to muster up the strength to take on the hard charging Hornets on the road tonight.

Denver looked like a team that is missing Carmelo Anthony in its loss to Dallas, and since he?s day-to-day, there?s no telling when he?s going to make it back.

New Orleans is on a run, playing a team that is running on fumes, so don?t be surprised if this game gets out of hand.

Denver is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 versus the NBA Southwest, while New Orleans is on an extended 38-15-1 ATS run in its last 54 games overall.

Take the Hornets as they grab the cash at home over the Nuggets.



5 Dime



Louisville-Connecticut UNDER

Take the under tonight between Louisville and UConn.

Both teams are coming from games in the Midwest on Saturday. They?ll be feeling each other out in the first 20 minutes, then will attempt to open it up in the second half.

UConn is playing much better this season under head coach Jim Calhoun, who preaches defense, defense, defense. His counterpart, Rick Pitino, will try to attack the Huskies ball handlers in an attempt to create turnovers.

Whatever method you prefer, they both look like they?re going to add up to a low-scoring game.

Take the under.
 

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Gold Medal Club

CBB:
50* ST.Marys
50* College Of Charleston ML

Ga.Southern
Fresno

NBA
Utah
New Orleans
 

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DOC'S

3 Unit Play. #512 Take Oklahoma -8 ? over Oklahoma State

(9:00 pm ESPN) The Bedlam Series is renewed basketball style when the Cowboys enter Norman looking for their second conference victory on the season. The Cowboys have been a terrible road team losing every game (0-4) and are just 1-7 in games away from Stillwater. The Sooners picked up an impressive victory at Baylor on Saturday catching the Bears in a flat spot after playing in an epic five overtime affair. Blake Griffin is beast inside the paint and will get another double-double propelling the Sooners to victory in the Bedlam Battle.



4 Unit Play. #527 Take Louisville +1 ? over Connecticut (7:00 pm ESPN)
The Huskies pulled off their biggest win of the season on Saturday winning at Indiana but they are still without Dyson and Wiggins and that will eventually catch up to them. The Big Ten is way down this season and most of the top teams in the conference have trouble scoring points, something that Louisville does not have a problem with. The Cardinals are now healthy and off to an impressive 5-2 start in the conference including a remarkable 4-1 when playing true road games. They are now starting to defend and should be able to frustrate and youthful Husky squad allowing them to win this game in the sixties.
 

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Ben Burns


Big Monday GOW
Louisville

Blue Chip
Over Spurs/Jazz

Personal Favorite
Clippers
 

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STRIKE POINT SPORTS

3-Unit Play. #513 Take Boise State PK over Fresno State (10 pm)

This year in the WAC, it's Boise State that is a very good team and flying under the radar. At 14-5, they are the play over a medicore 10-10 Fresno State team. Four of the Broncos five losses have been by four points or less, so even in defeat they have been very competitive, and surely some of these setbacks could have easily been wins. Not only is the road team 13-1-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings, but Boise State has covered eight of the last ten against the Bulldogs Here, they get the outright win. Play the Broncos in this one.
 

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Insider Sports Report


Oklahoma -8 over Oklahoma St. (NCAAB)



Redzone Sports


spurs-jazz over


Joe Wiz

Elon +13 over Appalachian State
Boise State



Ace-Ace


Record 26-27 -1439

Appalachian -13 -105........................$200
 

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Johnny Guild

NBA Selection

Monday, January 28th, 2008 9:00 PM EST.
San Antonio Spurs (28-14) at Utah Jazz (26-18)

San Antonio has won six of the last 7 clashes against Utah, going 6-1 ATS. However, the Spurs have playing below par as of late on offense and have been horrible away from home. San Antonio has dropped six of its last 9 road games, just 8-9 this seaon. Meanwhile, the hot Jazz have won and covered the spread in their last four games and won nine straight at home, 18-3 at EnergySolutions Arena this year. Take the Jazz in Salt Lake City. San Antonio is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road. The home team in this series is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.


Utah Jazz - 2



Portland Pilots +21.5

Oklahoma Sooners -8.5
 

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THE POWER INDEX

NBA

New Orleans* 8.5 over Denver
Dallas 5 over Memphis*
Utah* 5.5 over San Antonio
L.A. Clippers* 4 over Charlotte
 

the duke

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SportsAction365

Sport Game and Time Money Play
CBB Portland @ Gonzaga 8:00 PM EST 100* Portland +22.5
CBB Boise St @ Fresno St 10:00 PM EST 75* Fresno St -1
CBB Oklahoma St @ Oklahoma 9:00 PM EST 75* Oklahoma St +8.5
CBB Saint Mary's @ San Diego 10:00 PM EST 75* Saint Mary's -7
NBA San Antonio @ Utah 9:05 PM EST 50* Utah 2
CBB Louisville @ Connecticut 7:00 PM EST 50* Connecticut -1
 

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PHILLY CONNECTION

ST.MARY -7



NORTHCOAST COMPS



button #9...6-3 last 9 3* OKL....Spreitzer
 

the duke

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Ted Sevransky comp

Memphis Grizzlies +7.0
Mon Jan 28 '08 8:05p
From a ?spot? perspective, it doesn?t get much worse than the spot Dallas finds themselves in tonight as they travel to Memphis. The Mavs are playing on the second night of back-2-backs, coming off a tough, physical win against the Nuggets yesterday. On deck for Dallas during this East Coast swing? Three consecutive games against the three division leaders in the Eastern Conference, with Boston, Detroit and Orlando on tap. In between the tough home win against Denver and the three tough road games is this contest against a team that they?ve beaten eleven consecutive times. Clearly, we can expect a less than stellar effort from Dallas this evening.


The Mavs haven?t exactly been blowing out the Grizzlies in recent contests, despite their run of straight-up success. The first meeting this year, in Dallas, was an easy Memphis pointspread cover as they lost by only three points as 14 point underdogs. Recent home meetings show a one point Grizzlies loss and a five point loss in overtime, either of which would be enough to cover this pointspread. The Grizzlies are coming off a win over the Clippers without leading scorer Pau Gasol in the lineup. They are worthy of support again here, where Gasol ends up suiting up or not. Take the Grizzlies.





LT Profits comp


Utah Jazz -2.0 (-110)
Mon Jan 28 '08 9:05p
Things are apparently not well with the San Antonio Spurs right now, and visiting the Utah Jazz does not seem like a recipe for improvement.

The Jazz are a fantastic 18-3 straight up at home this season while winning by an impressive average of +12.8 points per game, and they are a sparkling 22-8-1 against the spread in their last 31 contests stretching back to last season. They are also a hot club right now, as they have won four straight and seven of their last nine after a 97-89 road win at Houston last night, and they have won eight straight at home.

The Spurs appeared to be in a spot to assert themselves on Saturday, as they figured to make a statement vs. a New Orleans Hornets team that owns the best record in the Western Conference. Instead, San Antonio scored a grand total of just 51 points over the last three quarters of a 102-78 blowout loss, the worst home loss of Tim Duncan?s career. They must now go on a long road trip as the rodeo comes to the Alamo Dome, and the Spurs have a losing 8-9 SU record away from home this season while going a poor 6-11 ATS.

Finally, the home team has dominated this head-to-head series while going 10-1 in the last 11 meetings, and given these clubs home/away splits this year, look for more of the same here at this cheap number.

NBA Free Pick: Jazz -2



Alex Smart comp

Dallas Mavericks -7.0
Mon Jan 28 '08 8:05p
Dallas enters into this tilt against their hosts Memphis having won 11 of their L/13 games overall. The Grizzlies are at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, having lost 14 of their L/18 overall SU. With these two teams operating at different levels right now it will be an easy decision to back the visiting team this evening. Final notes & Key Trends: The Dallas Mavericks have owned the Memphis Grizzlies in the recent past, winning 8 straight meetings in this series and have won 6 straight visits to Tennessee. Injury update: Grizz injury prone star Pau Gasol is currently suffering with a sore back, and may not play. (503) Dallas to win and cover



Larry Ness comp


Game: Cal Poly SLO at Pacific Jan 28 2008 11:00PM

Prediction: Pacific

Reason: Pacific fell to 12-19 last season, after DOMINATING the Big West the previous three seasons with 76 wins. However, it hasn't taken head coach Bob Thomason long to "reload" as the tigers enter this game 14-5 and 5-1in the conference. Two junior guards, holdover Johnson (15.4-4.7 APG) and Miami-O transfer Troyer (12.9) have led the resurgence. Up front, the 6-7 Brown (11.4-7.1), 6-8 freshman Nunnally (8.1-5.1) and the 6-6 Ford (3.8-3.7) complete the starting lineup. Freshman guard Kirby (5.1) adds depth to the backcourt, while the 6-8 LeDuc (7.5-3.3) offers help inside. Cal-Poly is struggling, having lost eight of its last 11 (7-11 on the season) and while seven players average between 7.1 and 9.2 PPG, not a single player is in double digits. While Pacific is 7-1 at home this year, Cal-Poly comes in 1-7 SU and 2-4 ATS on the road, sporting an 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS mark this year when getting points. Lay it with Pacific.



Ben Burns comp


Game: San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz Jan 28 2008 9:05PM

Prediction: San Antonio Spurs

Reason: The Spurs had yesterday off after losing 102-78 vs. New Orleans on Saturday. The Jazz, on the other hand, played last night at Houston, "upsetting" the Rockets by a 97-89 score, while listed as slight underdogs. Those results should favor the visitors this evening. The Spurs are 4-1 SU/ATS the last five times that they were coming off a double-digit loss and 18-9 SU/ATS in that situation the past three seasons. Note that the Spurs are also 32-5 SU the last 37 times they were coming off a game in which they scored 85 points or less, going 24-13 against the number. Meanwhile, the Jazz are 3-8 SU and 4-7 ATS when playing the second of back to back games this season. Looking back further and we find the Jazz at just 4-12 SU/ATS the last 16 times they played the second of back to back games. Additionally, note that the Spurs are 10-3 SU/ATS the last 13 games in this series. Consider backing the defending champs.


Robert Ross comp


Game: Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Hornets Jan 28 2008 8:05PM

Prediction: New Orleans Hornets

Reason: Denver in a tough scheduling spot having played and lost last night in Dallas. It did get the cover, its third straight. New Orleans though has won and covered eight in a row. Home clubs with six or more consecutive covers are 29-8 ATS since 1996 when playing a road team with 2 or more consecutive covers. Take New Orleans!


Tom Freese comp


Game: Cal Poly SLO at Pacific Jan 28 2008 11:00PM

Prediction: Pacific

Reason: Pacific is 22-9 ATS at home off 3 or more straight wins. The Tigers are 9-1 straight up and 8-2 ATS their last 10 home games vs. Cal Poly. The Mustangs are 1-9 ATS vs. a team that averages less then 14 turnovers a game. They are 0-4 ATS off a straight up win and they are 0-5 ATS their last 5 games vs. a team with a win percentage of over 60%. PLAY ON PACIFIC -
 

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Big Al McMordie comps

Denver Nuggets + over New Orleans Hornets

Utah Jazz - over S.A Spurs



Gamblers Data


Monday

Connecticut -1.5
 
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