Big AL
At 8:15 pm, our TV Game of the Year is on the NY Giants plus the points over New England, as the G-Men fall into 86-34, 31-6, 12-0, 113-64, 27-6, 19-1 and 22-1 ATS systems of mine. Let's take a look at our 12-0 ATS system. That system plays on certain .535 or better teams in their Last Home Game who are matched up against a foe off a SU win, provided our home team is NOT favored by 3 or more points. A lot is being made of the fact that the Giants might rest some of their starters, but regardless, the Patriots are overpriced here. Consider that the teams New England has been favored by more than 2 TDs on the road this season include only Miami (-15.5), Buffalo (-15.5), and Baltimore (-19). Suffice it to day, the Giants are a much better club than either of those three aforementioned teams. Also, since 1980, .900 (or better) teams are huge money-burners in the season's final 5 games, going 11-22 ATS, including 6-15 ATS on the road. Take the points with New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss any of my College Football Bowl Winners. We're off to a 4-1 start on our Bowl selections, and will have our 5* College Football Game of the Year real soon. We're 36-12 our last 48 College Football 5* Plays (100% this Year), and we cashed our 5* Game of the Year last season on Iowa over Texas, so don't miss this huge play.
At 8 pm, on ESPN 2, our selection is on the revenging Dayton Flyers, who lost to Pitt at the Petersen Events Center last season. And, since 1990, revenging home dogs of +5 or less points are a 93% ATS play against non-conference foes off back-to-back SU/ATS wins. With Jamie Dixon's Panthers off back to back wins over Duke and Oklahoma State, we'll fade the Panthers tonight, and play on Dayton, who has won nine straight after dropping its 2nd game of the season at George Mason. Among the Flyers' victims during this nine-game win streak was then-No. 14 ranked Louisville, who Dayton beat 70-65 on the road as 12-point underdogs. Dayton has outscored its foes by an impressive 9.3 ppg during its win streak, and is led by senior guard Brian Roberts (18.2 ppg this season, and 21 in the game vs. Pitt last season). This will be an especially tough game for the Panthers to win, as it will be their first without senior Mike Cook, who tore his ACL in the waning moments of regulation vs. Duke. Cook not only was responsible for 10.4 ppg for Pitt, but he provided invaluable leadership as well, and his absence will be felt tonight. Take the points with Dayton. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my other big winner today in College Hoops. It's out of a 14-0 ATS angle, and it's on TV.
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats, who are a SUPER 14-0 ATS since 1995 as regular season underdogs of more than 3 points vs. foes off an ATS win. Last year, these two teams met in December, and the Wildcats handed Memphis its last regular season loss, 79-71 (Memphis has won 29 straight regular season games since losing to Arizona). Although Memphis has been impressive this season, it would be foolish to overlook these young Wildcats. Arizona has a very talented freshman in Jerryd Bayless, who is scoring 18.5 ppg, and sophomore center Jordan Hill has begun to emerge as well, with three 'double-doubles' in his last four games. Arizona has been especially impressive on the defensive end, of late, holding their foes to 32.4 percent shooting and just 52.3 ppg in their last three games. Kevin O'Neill, the ex-Tennessee coach, is running the team while Lute Olson is on leave, and O'Neill has always had a strong reputation as a defensive coach, so it's no surprise to see him mold the Wildcats in this fashion. I look for Arizona's defense to keep this game low-scoring, and for the Wildcats to cover the large number. Take the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my College Basketball Upset Shocker on TV.