SERVICE PLAYS FOR SAT. 2/2

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the duke

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cbb picks

Game: Florida at Arkansas (3:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Arkansas -4 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

This young Gator team has only ventured out on the road four times all season, and has found out life is different on the road as they have met two losses and a narrow escape in those four games. The Gators shoot over 50% on the season, but hold on! They are connecting on just 43% on the road and just 32% from behind the arc. Florida?s numbers look good, due to so much home cookin?, but the reality is the road has been completely different. They have yielded 53%, and 54% in their two road contests in the SEC. Arkansas is very tough at home, as witnessed by 20-point drubbing of Mississippi State. The Razorbacks are allowing under 40% at home and Florida hasn't found the nets as friendly on the road. Arkansas will deliver another blow to the Gators? road woes.

Game: Saint John's at South Florida (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on South Florida -5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)


Saint John's is really struggling to find their way. They have yet to find the win column on the road and are shooting just 41% on the season. The offense is Anthony Mason Jr., and four guys standing around. It has led to 296 turnovers to just 203 assists - one of the worst ratios in college basketball. South Florida has proven one thing, and that is they can't play at home against the upper half of the conference, but they sure can play anyone else. This team can move the ball much better and execute its offense better than St. John's, and also has the interior option, where St. John's gets limited looks. We would be surprised if St. John's can hang within double-digits here. Bulls in a rout!

Game: Drake at Indiana State (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Indiana State +3 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)


Drake is on an impressive 18-0 run and certainly has the look of a dangerous mid-major come tourney time. Conference play has been tilted in their favor with six of their last nine games on the home hardwood. They have shown lots of vulnerability on the road, as their last three games has been decided by OT, one point and three points. Indiana State is two different basketball teams. On the road they have been 1-10, getting blown out in virtually every game, but at home they have played like a top 25 team standing at 9-0. They hit a lot of their FT's which could be crucial down the stretch (72% as a team). The Sycamores have not failed to cover in their last five as home dog and should be amped up enough to make this one be decided in the closing minutes. Live home dog here.

Game: Bradley at Evansville (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Bradley -4 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)


Bradley had high expectations this season, but most of those disappeared when PG Ruffin went down with an injury. To that point they had lost just four games, with three of them coming against nationally-ranked teams. They proceeded to lose five straight with Ruffin out of the lineup, but he is back, playing full minutes, and suddenly the Braves have run off four straight. They beat Evansville without him at home, despite the Aces sizzling from long range connecting on 11-17 for 65%! You can be sure with Ruffin defending out on the perimeter that won't happen again and the Aces don't have much else. The Purple Aces are just 1-8 in conference play and Bradley presents some value here, as they would be coming in with a much better record than they actually have if Ruffin did not go down. We have seen the Aces output reduced to nothing when the three-pointers don't fall, as witnessed by the 39 total points they scored against Southern Illinois, and 42 against Indiana State. After the bombing in the last match, you can be sure those open looks will disappear in this one and Bradley cruises to their fifth-straight win.

Game: Arizona State at U S C (10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Arizona State +8 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The injuries are cutting into USC?s depth, and a tough stretch of games may leave them vulnerable against a competent Arizona State team. The Sun Devils are off of a major hiccup against UCLA and will regroup and bring their "A" game to Southern California. Lots of talent on the floor with lots of shooters, and the Sun Devils execute on defensive end as well. USC has played some very tough opponents, and may not bring it against this Sun Devils squad that has lost four straight. Trojans are just 4-4 in their last eight as well, have the marquis names and an inflated line. Too many points, the Sun Devils get the cover here.
 

noteworthy66

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Doc's Sports Picks For College Basketball






4 Unit Play. #730 Take Virginia Tech -4 ? over Virginia (1:00 pm ESPN Fullcourt) The Cavs have been a one man show and teams are starting to figure out that if you stop Sean Singletary, who can stop Virginia. They have lost six of their last seven and this Battle of Virginia will go the way of the Hokies, who have won two straight games.



6 Unit Play. #755 Take Florida +4 over Arkansas (3:00 pm ESPN Fullcourt) SEC Game of the Year. We have been waiting for a spot to use the undervalued Gators and that spot has arisen Saturday. Despite playing a cupcake non-conference schedule, the Gators have turned in on during SEC play and currently sit at 5-1 atop the SEC East Standing. The Hogs are coming off their most impressive victory of the season with a beat down of Mississippi State, but they have not been able to have much prosperity all season long. They are 4-2 in league play but both losses came against South Carolina and Georgia, two bottom feeder teams in the league. Florida has not been shy about winning on the road, already having two road victories in conference play with their lone setback coming against Ole Miss but two points. The Razorbacks do not play much defense and do not shoot it well from long range and that is something Billy Donovan teams thrive on. Donovan coached Pelphrey while he was at Kentucky and this match-up well go the way of the mentor.



4 Unit Play. #807 Take California +3 over Washington (6:00 pm FSN) It used to be impossible to come into Bank of America Arena and win, but times have changed and Washington has fallen off the college basketball radar. They were manhandled by Stanford on Thursday and expect another big team to play their way on Saturday, as the Bears will follow-up their huge win against Washington State and complete the weekend sweep of the Pacific Northwest. The Bears have fared well on the road in conference play winning two of their three affairs and they will win this one straight-up.



4 Unit Play. #829 Take Drake -3 over Indiana State (7:00 pm) The Bulldogs continue to get no respect from the odds makers despite being 19-1 and being the clear-cut favorite to win the MVC. Keep producing these low numbers and you will keep finding us taking shots with the Bulldogs.




4 Unit Play. #835 Take West Virginia -1 over Providence (7:00 pm ESPN Fullcourt) The Mountaineers are ready to hit the road after a brutal homestand that they were not able to recover from with a bad call at the buzzer against Georgetown. The Friars have dropped three straight games and expect them to have a carryover effect after losing a late lead against Notre Dame and eventually losing in overtime. Coach Huggins realizes his team needs this win if they have plans on making the tournament and they will get it in a close hard fought game.



4 Unit Play. #851 Take Illinois State +2 over Missouri State (8:00 pm) The Red Birds look to improve their standing in the MVC with a victory in Springfield, MO on Saturday. They still sit in second place despite losing three of their last four games, but that is the same trend that the Bears having accomplished. Mo State plays better at home, but they really have not beaten any good Valley teams at the Hammond Center, instead they have just beaten up on bottom feeder teams, but the schedule gets a lot harder in February starting tonight.



4 Unit Play. #853 Take Michigan State -10 over Penn State (8:00 pm Big 10 Network) Do we really need analysis with this play, hopefully you know by now that this is a fade play against Penn State.


That is it for today - Doc's Sports
 
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noteworthy66

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-Unit Play - #711 Take Charlotte +13 Over Denver (9 p.m. EST, Saturday)

The Bobcats have played well in this series lately, winning two in a row straight-up. We were not at all impressed with Denver?s recent road trip and they must play much better than to deserve to be double-digit chalk. Carmelo Anthony will be back tonight but in his own words his participation will be ?a little bit limited? and even though he should play limited minutes we question whether he will be anywhere close to 100% and sometimes players start off rusty when they have been out for several games. This Charlotte team plays with a lot of heart and they have beaten some of the NBA?s big boys like Boston, Orlando and this same Denver team in a game that was a couple weeks ago. Charlotte had five players that night score in double digits and we think that kind of team effort tonight will keep them within this huge line.





Best of Luck -- Doc's Sports
 

the duke

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Jeffersonsports

ncaa hoops
n. texas-10
texas tech-5
uab-11
west virg-1
bradley-4
ill st.+1.5
unlv-6
 

GIANTS007

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Saturday, February 2nd, 2008 (Eastern Time)
Time Games Daily Picks

1:00 p.m. Virginia (11-8) at Virginia Tech (13-8) Virginia Tech Hokies - 5

1:45 p.m. Baylor (16-3) at No. 10 Texas (16-4) Baylor Bears + 7.5

3:30 p.m. No. 2 Kansas (20-1) at Colorado (9-11) Kansas Jayhawks - 20

5:00 p.m. Auburn (12-7) at No. 18 Vanderbilt (17-4) Auburn Tigers + 11.5
 
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T-Rock

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1000 unit CBB Purdue +5.5
 

intelsource

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SPECIAL K

Special K has these picks for Saturday:

10* Marquette
10* Washington State
10* Mississippi State
 
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GIANTS007

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Stan Sharp

triple-dime bet832 William & Mary -2.5 (-110) BetUS vs 831 N.C.-Wilmington
Analysis: Stan and all 3 of his Top College Bettors all agree that William & Mary will win in a BLOWOUT today. TAKE WILLIAM & MARY as STAN'S COLONIAL CONFERENCE BIG BET OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.
 
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3-Unit Play Take #789 South Alabama Jaguars -7 over Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks. (Saturday, February 2, 4:00 pm EST ESPN-2).

The Jags have become one of the mid-major darlings of college basketball. They're 11-6 ATS this season, but an amazing 5-1 vs. the number on the road. At 17-4 overall they lead the Sun Belt East with a 17-4 record. The Jags fell to North Texas on Thursday night snapping their winning streak at 13, one shy of the school record. South Alabama has won four straight games in the series, covering each time. With Thursday?s loss, Head Coach Ronnie Arrow has indicated a change in the starting lineup for Saturday. Domonic Tilford is expected to replace B.J. Ford in the opening group. The switch is the first in 14 games for the Jaguars and, in fact, matches a trend of lineup changes following each of the four losses. Today?s group has started on three previous occasions, holding a 2-1 record. South Alabama is limiting its opponents to just 41.0 percent shooting this season and ten of the 21 opponents this year have shot less than 40 percent from the field with only two teams reaching 50 percent. ULM (8-13, 2-7 Sun Belt) will look to bounce back from a 92-71 loss against Troy on Thursday evening.
 

Bootlegbobby

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FERRINGO full card

1.5-Unit Play. Take #731 Kent State (-6.5) over Toledo (Noon, Saturday, Feb. 2)
Toledo has to be feeling pretty low about itself after blowing a 14-point lead against rival Akron on Wednesday. They were outscored 40-19 in the second half and that is tough to bounce back from ? especially against the best team in the conference. Not counting Buffalo, the MAC East is 7-3 ATS against the West. Also, Kent State is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, 35-17 ATS in conference play, and Toledo is 2-7 ATS in conference play.

2-Unit Play. Take #726 Connecticut (-4) over Pittsburgh (1 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 2)
Unranked team favored over a ranked team has become an automatic play for me. It?s been highly successful over the past two seasons, hitting around 65 percent, and I kick myself every time I don?t play one of these games.. I think Pittsburgh?s injuries have finally caught up with them and that this team is slowing down.

3-Unit Play. Take #830 Indiana State (+3) over Drake (7 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 2)
Wrong team is favored here. Indiana State is a strong home team, posting a 5-2 ATS mark at home this season and a sensational 10-2 SU and ATS record as a home dog. I think the Sycamores are going to win this game outright. Drake?s last four road games were an overtime win at Creighton, a one-point win at struggling Bradley, a three-point win over pathetic Evansville, and an eight-point win over poor Wichita State. In other words, the Bulldogs have been less than impressive away from home. They are coming off an emotional win over Creighton at home on Wednesday and facing a good shooting team off one of its worst shooting nights of the year. This is just ISU?s third home game since Jan. 3 and they have won their last three by an average of nearly 17 points per. I think ISU wins outright and scores a nice cover for us.

4.5-Unit Play. Take #737 Baylor (+7) over Texas (1:45 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 2)
Note: This is our Game of the Week.

The Bears brought back five starters from the team that on three occasions almost took down the Longhorns last year. Baylor lost those three games by an average of less than four points per game and never lost by more than five. I think they can hang with UT. A.J. Abrams continues to struggle for the Horns, and until he finds his stroke from deep (he is shooting 28.8 percent since Dec. 22) I don?t think UT is a very good team. They are on a 2-6 ATS slide while Baylor is on a 20-8 rush in conference play. Baylor is also 16-5 ATS on the road and 4-1 ATS in the last five in this series.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #775 Wisconsin-Green Bay (-3) over Detroit (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 2)
Wisconsin-Green Bay has been a disappointment this year, but they have also been very consistent. The Phoenix have won the games they were supposed to against teams they are more talented than and lost to teams they are less talented than. Detroit has lost eight of 10 games overall, is 2-7 ATS overall, and is 5-17-1 ATS in league play. UW-GB has been a solid bounceback team, going 13-5-1 ATS after a loss. They are also 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven trips to Detroit and 6-3-1 ATS overall in the series.

2-Unit Play. Take #883 Cal State-Fullerton (+4.5) over Cal State-Northridge (10 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 2)
This is a battle for first place in the Big West and I?m taking the puppy. I think the Titans are a better, more experienced team. The Matadors are 3-8-1 ATS as a small favorite in this range and the Titans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. Fullerton has won seven straight in this series (5-2 ATS) and I think they can steal a ?W? on the road this evening.

2-Unit Play. Take #903 Davidson (-5.5) over Chattanooga (7 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 2)
Davidson is 21-7 ATS in its last 28 road games and we?re getting strong odds on them against an inferior team. Yes, if the Wildcats are going to lose in conference play it?s either going to be in this game or at UNC-Greensboro. But Davidson has won six of seven in this series with the average margin of victory near 20 points.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #756 Arkansas (-4) over Florida (3 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 2)
Has Arkansas finally turned the corner? I?m hoping so. They aren?t shooting well but they are defending and they have posted back-to-back blowouts. The Hogs are 10-2 at home this year and even though I may be foolish for betting against a Florida team on a 7-0 run I still don?t think that the Gators are that good of a team.

1.5-Unit Play. First Half: Take #768 Illinois (-2.5) over Purdue (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #768 Illinois (-4.5) over Purdue (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 2)
The home team is 4-1 ATS in this series and this line is the strangest one on the board. You would think the Boilers would be favored over a sub-.500 team, but because they are not I?m led to believe something strange is afoot. This is just Illinois? third home game in its eight games and just Purdue?s fourth road game since Christmas. I think this one ?shocks? a lot of analysts and Illinois wins in a rout.

1-Unit Play. Take #873 Arizona (+8.5) over UCLA (9 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 2)
Arizona?s win over USC was certainly no fluke ? they are that good.

Here's the deal with the leans. These are games that either I'm betting, personally, or systems that I am tracking. I don't expect you to play all of them and they aren't rated. But I'm offering them to you as sort of a bonus. If you like a game, or if it matches up with a feeling you had, then go for it. If not, I have more than enough selections to keep you happy! I've underlined my favorite leans on Saturday and these are the games I'm going to be personally playing for at least one Unit.

My leans for Saturday: Iowa (+5), Washington State (-4.5), Illinois State (+2), Rhode Island (-7.5), New Mexico (+6), Mississippi State (Pk), Georgia (-2), Gonzaga (-7.5), Miami, OH (-5.5), Bowling Green (+11.5), Texas Tech (-5), Youngstown State (+9.5), SMU (+14.5), St. Louis (+3), and Georgia State (+11).
 

GIANTS007

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FULL CARD

villy under
kent st under
rhode island over
duquesne over

cal poly under
wkentucky under
hawaii under

ottawa in hockey
 

Bootlegbobby

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*****BOOTLEGS PERSONAL PLAYS*****

----CBB------
(8*) PURDUE +5
(8*) UTAH ST. -3
(8*) CAL POLY -3
(8*) WEST VIRGINIA -1
(7*) GEORGIA -2
(7*) UMASS -3.5
(7*) RIDER +4
(6*) KENT ST. -6
(6*) SOUTH ALABAMA -7.5
(6*) DRAKE -3
(6*) MICHIGAN ST. -10.5
(6*) ILLINOIS-CHICAGO -9.5
(6*) UAB -10.5
(5*) WISC-GB -3
(5*) BAYLOR +7

OVERALL
22 - 18 - 1
+20 UNITS

Wow I went so crazy on college BB today that I am just gonna lay off of the NBA all together. GOOD LUCK everyone!!!
 
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the duke

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INDIAN COWBOY


INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: NEW JERSEY vs ATLANTA
Play: ATLANTA -6 (NBA POD)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: ATLANTA -6 (NBA POD) ^^^Automatic POD Promo: Winning 20 of 30 Days (66%), +24 Units & 26% ROI, January POD Run: 19-11-1 (63%) - Doing 1 POD per Day, January Game of the Months (5 units): College & NBA: 2-0, Only handicapper in the nation to hit 64 of 100 NBA Plays in the Nation - Documented. Winning 4 of 6 Months, Never had back to back losing months and still haven't lost back to back Days since January 4th/5th. ^^^^ I like the home town team here for a couple of reasons as they are typically a fade on the road but at home, they have played very well which explains that more than 2/3rds of their wins come at home. Something that has gone under the radar in this game is that the Hawks have not beat the Nets in the last 2 years, they have lost the last 4 times they have played including a tight ballgame that they lost on the road at Jersey earlier this year. The Hawks come off a brutal road trip where they played well at times but came up short, but in this game today, they will look to bounce-back and get revenge all at once. I've always said, the NBA Is about motivation and the Hawks have that plus some today as they will be fired up to get to their 20th win of the season and they will do that with revenge in their minds as they desperately need a win and it comes at the expense of the Nets who come off a back to back ballgames so I expect their lack of bench to be a factor in the second half. The Nets are 1-4 ATS as underdogs and the Hawks are 7-3 ATS at home.


INDIAN COWBOY: LA CLIPPERS vs CLEVELAND
Play: LA CLIPPERS +8.5 (NBA)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY SELECTION: LA CLIPPERS +8.5 (NBA) ^^^ As a side note, I am furious for not getting this play out earlier and missing the 12.5 line, but I didn't make this game my POD for a specific reason as here is a game that can make me look like a stud or a dud depending on the results. However, are many things that work in the Clippers favor here, they were up on the Cavs in L.A. as small road dogs and were actually leading until the Cavs do what they do - come back late in the ballgame and let Lebron take over and they won outscoring the Clips 31-20. Well, the Clips played well in the first half without Kaman and Magattee against the Twolves, in fact, they were winning that game outright going into half before collapsing late. The Cavs are not a team to typically be trusted with big spreads as when it comes down to it, this is very much like a Spurs or Pistons team that prefers a half court offense much more than running up and down. I just don't see them blowing out a Clippers team that comes off an ugly loss, is learning to play without injuries and has revenge against the Clips in this game without Lebron. The Clippers are 10-2 ATS after a straight up loss and 6-1 ATS after a loss of 10 points or more.

INDIAN COWBOY: ORLANDO vs INDIANA
Play: MAGIC / PACERS OVER 214.5 (NBA)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY SELECTION: MAGIC / PACERS OVER 214.5 (NBA) This is my third favorite play today but similar to yesterday, I am riding the Pacer over again. Why not? Every trend yesterday favors that same trend today as they face a Magic team that they defeated on the road earlier this year and now the Magic come rolling in with revenge. Does this mean the Magic blow the Pacers out of the building? Possibly with revenge, but the fact that the Pacers are in the midst of a tough losing streak, they will be fired to put up the points and look for a win here as well as an active dog as the public is on the Magic by over 65% which favors the home dog and consequently the over. The Pacers dropped 104 against the likes of the Pistons and Rockets - both defensive teams - why can they not drop 110 on a Magic team in an up and down ballgame. The last time these 2 played each other, the game went to 220, the over is 4-0-1 in the Pacers last 5 home ballgames and the over is 8-1 in the Pacers last 9 home games against a team with a winning road record (most important stat for this play) - meaning the likes of the Pistons and Rockets - meaning the Pacers get up for the better teams at home and are active dogs such as against the Warriors.
 
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