SERVICE PLAYS FOR THURSDAY 2/14

White_tiger

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Burns HOCKEY

CAROLINA
Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Carolina Hurricanes Game Time: 2/14/2008 7:05:00 PM Prediction: Carolina Hurricanes Reason: I'm laying the price with CAROLINA. Both teams played Boston in their last game. Carolina beat the Bruins on Tuesday, while Pittsburgh lost against them last night. That's worth mentioning as we find the Penguins at just 6-14 the last 20 times that they played the second of back to back games. Note that the Penguins have also lost three of their last four road games, giving up four goals in each of the losses. A look at the standings shows that the Hurricanes "need" this game more than their guests. Although they've got the Devils breathing down their necks, the Penguins still sit on top of the Atlantic. They're also still tied for the second most points in the Eastern Conference. Conversely, Carolina is currently tied for the tenth spot in the conference, with division rival Atlanta. However, playing in the Southeast division helps, as the Hurricanes are tied for the division lead, with both the Thrashers and the Capitals. In fact, they were on top of the division before both Atlanta and Washington earned points yesterday. My point about their poisition in the standings is that there should be no "complacency" on Carolina's part. As Sergei Samsonov said after the Boston win: "We're battling for a playoff spot. For us, it's almost a playoff game..." The Hurricanes lost their last two games at Pittsburgh. However, they've won three straight against the Penguins here in Carolina, outscoring the Pens by a 13-5 margin. Looking back further and we find that the Hurricanes have won six of the last seven series meetings here. They're also 19-11 (+5.7) when facing a team which defeated them in their previous meeting. Looking back a bit further and we find that the Hurricanes are 66-41 the past three seasons when playing a home game with an over/under line of six or greater. During the same stretch, the Pens were just 35-59 when playing a road game with an over/under line of six or great. I expect the Hurricanes to continue their home ice success in this series, earning another important two points. *Personal Favorite
 

White_tiger

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Bob Akmens

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Free Plays.
Stan-ariz.st Under
T.b. Lightening.
 

intelsource

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John Ryan

Game: Eastern Illinois at SE Missouri St.
Prediction: Eastern Illinois

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Eastern Illinois - Eastern Illinois has won just 4 games, but they are in a solid opportunity to get a rare road upset win tonight. AiS shows a 77% probability that EI will lose this game by 7 or fewer points. When you have a 4-20 record your defense is nearly always a weak spot. That is certainly the case with EI as they have allowed 45% shooting and 70 PPG on the season. This weakness though has rarely been exploited by SE Missouri State. SEMST is 4-15 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons; 5-14 ATS versus poor defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage defense of >=45% after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. SEMST is coming off 3 straight losses and in their last game they lost at Eastern Kentucky by 11 points failing to cover the 9 points they were given. Note that SEMST is just 4-15 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Take Eastern Illinois.
 

Bootlegbobby

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Mr A

Thursday, February 14th, 2008 (Eastern Time)


Miami at Chicago, 8:00 PM Chicago Bulls - 2

Dallas at Phoenix, 10:30 PM Phoenix Suns - 6?
 

Bootlegbobby

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Tom Freese Blue Line Club College Hoops


South Alabama at Middle Tennessee St (8:30pm)

South Alabama is in a 42-14 ATS System that says to Play On favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 if they are out rebounding their opponents by 4 or more rebounds a game if they are off 4 straight games where they out rebounded by 10 or more. The Jaguars are 17-6 ATS off a double digit win. Middle Tennessee St is 3-8 ATS when playing off an ATS loss and they are 2-5 ATS on Thursday. The Blue Raiders are 1-4 ATS their last 5 home games vs. the Jaguars. PLAY ON #729 SOUTH ALABAMA
 

Bootlegbobby

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Johnny Guild

Thursday, February 14th, 2008 (Eastern Time)

7:00 p.m. Youngstown St. (8-16) at No. 10 Butler (22-2) Butler Bulldogs - 18

7:00 p.m. Rutgers (10-15) at West Virginia (16-7) Rutgers Scarlet Knights + 18

10:30 p.m. No. 7 Stanford (20-3) at Arizona St. (15-7) Stanford Cardinal - 3
 

Bootlegbobby

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****BOOTLEGS PERSONAL PLAYS****

---CBB----
(8*) BOISE ST -2
(7*) OREGON -6.5
(6*) ILL-CHICAGO -3
(6*) E. KENTUCKY -6
(6*) SOUTH ALABAMA -6


WILL UPDATE MY STANDINGS IN A LITTLE WHILE. GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!! IT'S GOOD TO BE BACK!!!
 

Bootlegbobby

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Steam Plays

753 Stanford -3
777 Weber State +1
705 Rutgers +18
703 Dallas Under 206
735 Nevada +3
738 Florida State -6
711 Youngstown State +18
769 Morehead State +3
779 Idaho State +12
715 New Orleans U +2
 

Bootlegbobby

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Gina from Sports Rumble

Thursday, February 14th, 2008 8:00 p.m. est.

Miami Heat (9-42) at Chicago Bulls (20-31)

Both Miami and Chicago are two disappointing teams, The Heat have dropped eight straight and their last five road games, while the Bulls have lost seven of its last 10 and three of its last four at home. Despite that, the Bulls have been the better of the two, winning the last five meetings, going 5-0 ATS. Go with Chicago in the windy city. Miami is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road and the injury-riddled Bulls have won and covered the spread in the last four meetings, 8-2 ATS in its last 10 against them at the United Center.

Chicago Bulls
 

Bootlegbobby

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WILL SYKES FREE PLAYS 52-29-1

31-19-1 NBA,
2-1 NCAAB

12-7 NFL,
6-2 NCAAF
UFC 1-0


FOR TODAY:

MIAMI vs CHICAGO

SYKE-O-ANALYSIS: All season I've been emphasizing how much of a mess the Bulls, and how much they tend to lose games on their own. Chicago already took one game away from them just about a month ago, beating the Heat by 30 points in Miami, just about embarrassing them in their own building. After watching glimpses of the Miami game two nights ago against the Nuggets, they showed me that they are committed to winning, and that they just ran out of gas and couldn't pull of the win. We won't have to worry about that problem tonight as the Bulls do it almost every game, that including their previous game against the Hornets, where they caught themselves leading the whole only to find out they lose the game at the end. This Denver Nugget team that the Heat gave a good contest too, is a much better team than then Bulls and to give them a good run like they did is a good sign. Gordon, Deng, and Wallace is expected to miss tonight's game but they're still on the questionable, game time decision list, but from what I'm seeing in the line movements they'll most likely not play. A little more of the public are jumping on the Bulls, but with the Heat playing well, and the Bulls hurting, I'll take the team that is playing better every time, over the team that is hurt. Tonight we will witness what revenge really is and make this play a 3*. We won't go crazy on this play because we already punished Vegas this whole week and we won't give them any chance to take back anything. Don't get psyched by the odds makers just because the Bulls embarrassed the Heat and winning by 30 points, thing is, it only riled up the Heat wanting to beat them bad. Just stick with Sykes and you won't be psyched.

Miami Heat +2
 

Bootlegbobby

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AAA

NCAAB: Cleveland State Vikings at Valparaiso Crusaders - Over 131 (Heavy Hitter) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 2/14/2008
Note: Both of these schools possess mid-line pace but both are the situations tonight where they play higher than normal scoring games. The first metting this year was a 132 affair that actually went Under the Posted Total of 134. We have a much line tonight with a Cleveland State team that has struggled with D while traveling and the primary reason why they have played many more OVERS this year while doing so. Valpo has had outstanding offensive efficiency on their homecourt and even against some of the slower tempos that this conference offers, and their are a lot in this conference that do, they have been able to net a lot of points. That is why the numbers of these two squads have been held down this year with 5 of the 10 schools competing in this group having tempo's in the bottom 15% of the country. Despite that, Valpo home contests have averaged right at 138. The first meeting this year saw less than average shooting percentages and much less than average free throw attempts. With any improvement tonight we should have an easy winner and with the same, we should have a great chance of winning. Play up to 133.



NCAAB: New Orleans Privateers at Arkansas State Indians - Under 149.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 2/14/2008
Note: With the exception of Denver and Arkansas Little Rock, this conference is one of the highest paced in the country. New Orleans is one of those teams that like to push the ball and they will do that if you let them. The Indians are less than average pace and they are what I call a play-along squad, or one that usually takes the pace of the team they are playing. Against Troy, North Texas, Florida Atlantic, and others they have taken that road has ammassed a 12-8 OVER mark this year. But that has been primarily on the road, and they do play a more controlled game here in Jonesboro. Despite the teams that are in this group of teams that each play often, both have an away/home average of about 140 and this line is just simply too high. In fact, the last 7 road games for New Orleans have see regulation time production of 72, 62, 66, 83, 57, 62, and 67. The 83 point effort was at North Texas, who is in the Top 17% of fastest tempo teams in the country. And despite that, we saw a total of just 144 scored in that game. The fact is, only once is 10 road games this year has a New Orleans played game reach this Posted Total, excluding an OT affair with MTS where we saw just 132 regulation time points. This game offers extreme value and I would play it all the way down to 145.

NCAAB: South Alabama Jaguars at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Mid Tennessee State +6 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 2/14/2008
Note: Middle Tennessee had high hopes for the return of senior Adam Vogelsberg from last season's foot injury but he finally decided not to return for his final season in August. With senior G Calvin O'Neil out for the season due to the knee injury he suffered in the season opener, the Blue Raiders are playing without one player who would have been their best sharpshooter (Vogelsberg) and one who would have been their best on-ball defender (O'Neil). In recent weeks, starting C Theryn Hudson missed three games with a foot injury, starting F Desmond Yates played through a knee injury, freshman G Josh Sain and junior F Uriah Hethington both missed a game due to suspensions, Sain missed another because he was sick and starting Guard Kevin Kanaskie and Demetrius Green played sick in the win at Louisiana-Lafayette on Jan. 31. With all, this team continues to compete well. Both Sain and Hethington were not in the lineup verses Fla Int and it showed as they first conference loss in 5 tries. They will be back tonght for what will be the most important game this year for the Raiders. These two teams have played some great games over the years and in 7 of the last 10, the visitor has come out the winner. That is the kind of series this has been and tonight is going to be a good one. These 6 points are very big considering that. MTS is one of the best coached teams in the country under Kermit Davis. They have shown incredible toughness under a lot of adversity, as well as an ability to make shots, make the extra pass and defend. South Alabama will step onto this court tonight and know that they are in for a real contest. The early part of this year was a challenge for the Blue Raiders and they were pretty much left for dead when O'Neil went down. They are right now performing as well as anyone in this league. That is to the credit of Coach Davis and he is going to have these boys ready to play tonight. An outright win is very possible, a cover is very probable so I will grab these points.
 
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