Drew Gordon Writeups
Drew Gordon Writeups
Drew Gordon Writeups:
Today's Games...
1. 200,000♦ Maryland
2. 50,000♦ Duquesne
3. 50,000♦ Drake
4. 50,000♦ Warriors
1. Maryland- Shame on you if you haven't been watching this Terrapins team over their last 4 games! Since losing to Duke 93-84 on their home floor, Maryland has reeled off 4 wins in a row SUATS, including outstanding road efforts at Georgia Tech and Boston College! Now its payback time, as the Blue Devils are excellent at Cameron Indoor, and most likely win this game, but not be nearly as much as Vegas wants you to believe, and I'll prove it to you...
First and foremost, Its hard to ignore the outstanding play guard Greivis Vasquez over the Terrapins 4-game win streak. When he's not scoring 25 like he did versus Virginia or at Boston College, he's dishing out 15 assists like he did against N.C. State! Guys, this Maryland offense is firing on all cylinders because of Vasquez, averaging 82 ppg on a ridiculous 54% shooting (43% from 3-point) over their last 5 games!
Second, while both defenses are solid, I have several issues with the Blue Devils defense. First, they allow opponents to shoot almost 45% at Cameron Indoor, which against an offense like Maryland could easily cost them the game. Also, Duke does a good job of masking their weak interior with great perimeter players. But, the fact of the matter is forward James Gist and Bambale Osby should have a field day down-low on both ends of the court. Between the two of them, they have more blocks (105) than the entire Blue Devils roster combined (97)!
Finally, you know there's a couple games coach Gary Williams circles on his calendar every year - North Carolina and Duke. The Terrapins already went into Chapel Hill and beat the Tarheels outright 82-80! If oddsmakers think that a surging Maryland team, in payback mode, should be double-digit dogs in this spot, that's their prerogative. I couldn't disagree more, as I can easily see the Terrapins keeping this game competitive, especially under the circumstances mentioned above.
Bottom line, expect a high-scoring ACC showdown tonight in Durham, but in the end, the Blue Devils defense has too many holes to slow the dynamic and red-hot Terrapins offense. Also, there's no question after losing to these very same Blue Devils at College Park a little over two weeks ago, that Maryland has a strong motivational edge here. Terrapins grab the cash at Camroon Indoor Wednesday!
Take Maryland plus the points over Duke as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Duquesne- While many still remember the Flyers 14-1 record and subsequent # 14 ranking in the nation, those days are long gone for this Dayton team. Injuries to their frontline, especially F Chris Wright, have hurt this team tremendously. While they've been able to maintain defensive integrity, their offense has not been able to recover from the loss of Wright, and that'll hurt them again tonight against a red-hot Dukes squad.
Speaking of red-hot, this Duquense offense put together two of the strongest offensive performances I've seen all year in back-to-back routs of St Joseph's and at La Salle, dropping 102 & 101 points respectively! And the scary part was they scored 101 points at La Salle without second-leading scorer and leading distributor Kojo Mensah in the lineup! He'll be back tonight, and so will the Dukes offense!
Match ups are also an issue for the Flyers, who without Chris Wright have little to match up against an excellent Dukes frontline, led by ultra-athletic forward Shawn James and his 14 ppg, 7 boards/game, AND 88 blocks on the season! F Kieron Achara has also picked up his play recently, scoring 21 points and swatting 5 shots at La Salle! Brian Roberts may be the best offensive player on the court, but the Dukes have edges at almost every other position, plain and simple.
Bottom line, Dayton is clearly treading water without Chris Wright, and facing a suddenly surging Duquesne squad isn't going to help their troubles. Huge edges in the frontcourt, and the a high-octane Dukes offense led by Kojo Mensah can and will keep this game close, with the outright upset a definate possibility.
Take Duquesne plus the points over Dayton in this A-10 match up.
3. Drake- I've been listening to the media say all week: "If Drake is going to lose a conference game, its going to be at Southern Illinois Wednesday." Okay, but let me ask you one question: What has Drake done to make you think they'll lay an egg at the Salukis house tonight? Not only did they beat the Salukis by 10 in their own house, but they've won 21 straight games, going 16-5 ATS over that span, including 7-2 ATS over their last 9 road games!
Guys, if their outright road win at Illinois State 73-70 Tuesday wasn't good enough to convince you, then nothing will! Drake did it the same way they've done all season, with razor sharp offense, and rock-solid defense. Granted, the Redbirds shot 54% for the game, but in the second half, the Bulldogs came to life, limited them to 32 points, while dropping 44 of their own to get the outright road win.
Speaking of offense, therein lies the problem for the Salukis, for as good as their defense is at home, their offense is average at best, scoring just 60 ppg on 41% shooting over their last 5 games! That includes some real weak offensive efforts at home against Evansville (MVC doormat) and Creighton (not as good as Drake). Falker, Shaw, and Mullins are the core of the Salukis offense, but all three are inconsistent at times, and none of them are what you'd consider "goto" players.
Bottom line, the Bulldogs are simply the better team here. Yes, I know, they haven't won at Southern Illinois in 12 years, but when was the last time you remember a more complete, focused, and fundamentally sound Drake team coming into Carbondale?! Expect a competitive contest here, but in the end, the Bulldogs have proven time and again, trust them and they will deliver the cash!
Take Drake plus the points over Southern Illinois in this MVC match up.
4. Warriors- While we have yet to see the ramifications of the blockbuster trade made by the Suns, one thing we do know for sure is they'll miss Shawn Marion in tonight's high-octane game at Golden State.
Clearly, Marion was tired of being the "garbage man/third option" for the Suns, and he took his versatility and defensive toughness to South Beach. Now the Suns have to deal with having very little athleticism that's willing to play defense. In other words, you can count on Raja Bell, but Diaw, Stoudemire, Nash (getting old, too small), Hill (too old), and Barbosa among others are not the least bit interested in doing anything but putting up points, period.
In a game where points will be scored in bunches, its hard to imagine the Suns slowing the Warriors at any point in this game. Golden State is averaging a ridiculous 112 ppg in Oakland, and much like their last two meetings, I believe they'll simply outscore the Suns. 129-114 & 124-119 are the final scores of their last two meetings, both in Oakland, and I expect more of the same tonight.
Another huge factor to consider is the match ups, as the Suns no longer have Marion to slow down a red-hot Stephen Jackson, who dropped 41 points against a rock-solid Wizards defense two days ago. With Jackson playing well, the Warriors are extremely tough to beat, because their backcourt of Davis and Monta Ellis has been phenomenal this season.
Bottom line, this game is akin to a sprint, except the Warriors do it better, and don't have to deal with losing the most versatile player on their roster. Shawn Marion's absence is felt loud and clear tonight, stirring up speculation that the talented swingman was much more important than the Suns obviously gave him credit for. Golden State protects it's house and grabs the cash in this marquee Western Conference match up!
Take the Warriors at home over the Suns in this NBA showdown.