INDIAN COWBOY
PLAY OF THE DAY: CLEVELAND vs INDIANA
Play: Cleveland/Indiana Over 204 (NBA pod)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: Cleveland/Indiana Over 204 (NBA pod) There is a simple trend, when the Pacers are an "active dog" the games go over. In fact, I actually think the Pacers are likely to win this game, but I will lay off going against a Cavs team that has lost back to back ballgames. The Pacers come off a near 20 point loss to the Pistons, have revenge against the Cavs from an earlier season loss and the line itself indicates that this game is likely to be a close game and the public similar to the Pistons are hovering over the Cavs as the second biggest public favorite play. When the pacers played the Spurs, the magic, Houston and Detroit - all of which were 3-7 point spreads in which they were home underdogs - the games went over 194, 194, 202 and 214.5. I think much the same today as this game is likely to go over as the Cavs will look to be competitive as will the Pacers who will show up in a big way for this game as they return home. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these 2 teams and the over is 5-0 when the Cavs face a team with a losing home record.
INDIAN COWBOY: DETROI vs MILWAUKEE
Play: MILWAUKEE +6 (NBA)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY SELECTION: Milwaukee +6 (NBA) No team likes to be embarrassed by 45 points and in particular to be held to 65 points but the Bucks were. This team was truly embarrassed on the road and despite the Pistons losing yesterday to the Magic and looking to bounce-back today, I like the Bucks to show a lot of heart today - just like they did against the Hornets at home - losing, but still covering the 6 point spread. I think similar to that, they will cover the spread today. In short, I like the Bucks on revenge, on a bounce-back from a tough home loss and the public is hounding the Pistons today similar to Davidson to the tune of over 80% and I think that spells disaster for the Pistons cover. The Pistons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
INDIAN COWBOY: LA Lakers vs Phoenix
Play: LA Lakers +3.5
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY SELECTION: LA Lakers +3.5 I respect the Suns and their decision to get Shaq, and frankly, I think he will fit in well with the Suns despite some folks having some doubts. However, despite the Suns acquiring Shaq, I think Gasol is more valuable than Shaq given his play this year and his all around game of being able to score, pass, defend and his ability to get to the line and shoot free throws well. The Lakers have won every game since the coming of Gasol, except for one - on the road against the Hawks which they avenged in their last game with a big win. Now, they face a Suns team they look to also avenge their loss. The Lakers have won 9 of 10 and they were a solid team with Gasol, evidenced by their win on the road at Toronto with revenge, win at Washington, at New Jersey, at Miami, Charlotte and at Minny - all games in which they covered. I frankly think the Lakers are a better team than the Suns given their bench and I think this pushes them over the top today. The Suns will win many games with Shaq, just not today in my opinion, as the Lakers are 7-1-1 as road underdogs and the Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road at Phoenix.