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miss-reb

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Mar 28, 2007
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Tom Stryker's Pointsettia Bowl Blowout - 7-0 ATS Situation!
#304 UTAH (-) over Navy by 21 at 9 PM EST
Since the 1981 season, service academies have posted a respectable 14-4 ATS record as underdogs in college bowl games. That performance is certainly respected but it won't be enough to keep me off Utah in this post season contest.

Offensively, both the Utes and Midshipmen are capable of putting points on the board. It's on the defensive side of the ball where the biggest difference between these two bowlers exists. Out of the 119 FBS teams, Navy is ranked 99th allowing an average of 438.2 yards per game. In comparison, Utah checks in at No. 15 surrendering an average of only 319.4 yards per game!

Even though the Midshipmen won't admit it, not having head coach Paul Johnson on the sideline will be a huge factor. Johnson was the catalyst behind Navy's high-octane spread offense attack and, even though longtime offensive assistant Ken Niumatalolo is more than capable of directing the "O", it just won't be the same.

Technically speaking, the Middies are locked into one of their worst roles too. off back-to-back straight up wins and matched up against a winning foe, Navy is a stunning 3-15 SU and 4-14 ATS including 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS in this set priced as a pup of +4.5 or more!

During the season, the Midshipmen faced four teams with a .500 or better won/loss percentage. Navy posted a 1-3 SU record in those games with its lone victory coming at home against Air Force. Against the other three winning opponents (Ball State, Wake Forest and Rutgers), the Middies posted an 0-3 SU and ATS record and lost by an average of 13.3 points per game!

In non-conference action, the Utes own a sparkling 23-8-1 ATS record in their last 32 tries including a perfect 7-0 ATS when rested. Utah head coach Kyle Whittingham has an offense that can match Navy's point-for-point and the Utes own the better "D". Take Utah. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.




Tom Stryker's NFL Non-Conference Super Play - 33-16 ATS System!
#301 PITTSBURGH (-) over St. Louis by 21 at 8:15 PM EST
Off back-to-back straight up losses to New England and Jacksonville and currently tied with Cleveland in the AFC North, Pittsburgh will be elated to see St. Louis (3-11 SU) and Baltimore (4-10 SU) on its schedule.

The Rams aren't exactly the best defensive team in the league. St. Louis is ranked 27th in points allowed (24.9 ppg) and 19th in rushing yards allowed (111.1 ypg). Rest assured, after facing the Patriots and Jaguars, the Steelers will have no trouble at all moving the football. Let's take a look inside the numbers.

According to my NFL database, greater than .600 road favorites priced at -7 or more are a profitable 33-16 ATS provided they lost by 10 points or more to the pointspread last. If our guest is matched up against an opponent that got dusted by 18 points or more last, this situation zips to a nearly perfect 9-1 ATS. Pittsburgh fits the general situation and the tightener.

Off a straight up loss and battling a losing team, the Steelers have been awesome notching a 44-21 ATS record. In this role priced as an underdog or a favorite of -7' or less, the Men of Steel improve to a stellar 37-12 ATS. On the flip side, St. Louis is a miserable 3-18 ATS when matched up against a greater than .375 foe that arrives off back-to-back straight up losses.

The Steel Curtain "D" got embarrassed last weekend by Jacksonville. Rest assured, that stop unit which is currently ranked 1st in the league in total yards allowed (258.0 ypg) will respond. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
 
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