Service Plays Tuesday 4/22/08

the duke

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Winning Points Online

MLB. 8-13 (-835)


NY METS (Figueroa) +105 over CHICAGO CUBS (Lilly)

After notching a win with the Cubs on this page
yesterday, we will now change course and come
back with the visiting Mets. Ted Lilly has stumbled
badly to start the '08 campaign (-$285, 9.17 ERA)
and the Mets check in here with an 8-1 record vs.
southpaws (+$650 with 5.6 runs per game). NY
starter Nelson Figueroa has been a nice addition
to the visitors' rotation (+$200, 2.77 ERA in his
two outings) and looks like an excellent value as
an underdog in this afternoon matchup. Chicago
has lost money (-$195) in day games vs. righties
here at Wrigley.


NBA

7 pm
**PREFERRED
New Orleans* over Dallas by 11

What's Dallas' edge? That they flew home in between
games, and they won road games in prior post-seasons
by leaving town, making adjustments, and then returning?

Isn't that special? Jason Kidd's addition to the Mavericks
hasn't elevated their play since he got there, so with an
opportunity to make up for the Game 1 mistake pick on
Dallas, the question of how he elevates them at this point
needs an answer.

If you have it, send it along. Otherwise, consider that Byron
Scott's hatred of Kidd might be more effective than Kidd's
hatred of Scott, given that Scott -- in position to have the
best scouting report against Kidd as his ex-coach -- has
already ordered several effective defensive maneuvers against
him: Forcing Kidd to turn his back to receive entry passes
instead of catching them on the run, and guarding the long
upcourt passes in transition. When you make a halfcourt player
out of Jason Kidd, you create something more along the lines
of Joe Forte. Or Smush Parker.

This is the first game on the TNT double-header card tonight,
in front of Phoenix-San Antonio. So, expect physicality with
fewer fouls than in Game 1, when Dallas attempted 38 free
throws and New Orleans 26 (thinking Under) in a game that
went Over by ''only'' 3 points.

NEW ORLEANS 99-88
 

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2-Minute Warning

PHOENIX SUNS





Purelock



Premium Play
MLB
PHILADELPHIA @ COLORADO
PLAY ON: PHILADELPHIA (MYERS/FRANCIS) LISTED

Comp Play
MLB
MINNESOTA @ OAKLAND
PLAY ON: OAKLAND (HERNANDEZ/BLANTON) LISTED
 

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BIG AL McMORDIE

NATIONAL LEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK WINNER. $35.00
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Colorado Rockies
 

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ER Sports

American League Playmaker (+39.35 MLB 2 Yrs): $29
ER is about to break out in a big way in MLB and there is no better time to get on board. ER's success over the past two years (+39.35 units in MLB) speaks to that. His American League Playmaker is $29 and must win or tomorrow's baseball play is free.

KC Royals
 

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Scott Sprietzer

Scott swept on the bases last night, his second diamond sweep in four nights. The winning card included his VALUE GOM win and the two games won by a combined, 17-4! It's BLOWOUT CITY again on Tuesday. Grab the **AFTERNOON** Matchup Mismatch and cruise to another DIAMOND DOMINATING WIN with Scott!
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Major Mismatch
St. Louis Cardinals




MLB **AFTERNOON** TUESDAY TKO!

Promo:
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TKO
New York Mets
 

the duke

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Robert Ferringo

1-Unit Play. Take #901 St. Louis (+110) over Milwaukee (1 p.m., Tuesday, April 22)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #923 Cleveland (-125) over Kansas City (7 p.m., Tuesday, April 22)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #914 Colorado (-115) over Philadelphia (8 p.m., Tuesday, April 22)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #920 Detroit (-160) over Texas (7 p.m., Tuesday, April 22)

1-Unit Play. Take #911 San Diego (-150) over Houston (8 p.m., Tuesday, April 22)

2-Unit Play. Take #916 Arizona (-1.5, +115) over San Francisco (9:40 p.m., Tuesday, April 22)

Today's totals:
1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 10.5 New York Mets at Chicago Cubs (2 p.m. Tuesday, April 22)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.0 Los Angeles Angels at Boston (7 p.m., Tuesday, April 22)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 7.5 San Francisco at Arizona (9:40 p.m., Tuesday, April 22)
 

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Comps

NBA

Phoenix at SAN ANTONIO (-2) Michael Cannon

Take the Spurs minus the small number over the Suns in Game 2 of their playoff series.

The first game was a classic battle between heavyweights. A double-overtime thriller in which San Antonio finally prevailed when the Suns got into foul trouble.

It wouldn?t surprise me if it was another nail biter tonight, but I fully expect the Spurs to defend their home court and to walk away with the win and cover when all is said and done.

I know the Spurs haven?t been good against the spread recently, but this line is much more manageable for them in that they really only need to win and most likely they will cover, or at least push.

There?s just no substitute for the big-game experience players like Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili bring to the table in matchups like this one. This team has been through all the battles before, so there?s nothing that may happen tonight that they can?t deal with.

Take the Spurs as the small home chalk for the Game Two win.

3♦ SAN ANTONIO


Phoenix (+2) at SAN ANTONIO Joel Tyson

Not much needs to be said about this match up tonight. The Suns know heading into the evening they gave the Spurs a gift Saturday, as they blew a late lead and eventually lost in overtime. The Suns also know a repeat performance tonight could spell doom for their 2008 playoff appearance.

With this being said we will take the couple of points and back this Suns team as I feel another hard fought game will take place tonight, but I also feel that Phoenix will find a way to come out on top, as they steal this win and even the series at one before heading back to Phoenix for game three.

Even with the latest loss the Suns have beaten the spurs three of their five meetings this year. With Shaq in foul trouble limiting him to just 13 minutes in the first two quarters hurt the Suns as they had little presence on the inside. Then when Tim Duncan hit the three-pointer to send this game to OT again, this seemed to put the Suns defense, that had played very well over the last couple weeks, back on their heels, and in turn tilted the momentum towards the Spurs.

With this all being said the Suns are still scoring 108.0 on the road, compared to the Spurs that average 98.4 at home. I like the Suns to rebound tonight and get the win and cover.

3♦ SUNS


Toronto at ORLANDO (-5') Drew Gordon

Sorry Toronto backers, but your team is in BIG trouble once again tonight. The Magic proved two things in Game 1: A. why they're the best scoring team in the East, dropping in 114 point on a blazing 53% shooting. And B. when at home, that they can dominate you defensively, allowing the Raptors 100 points on just 37% shooting! The disparity stastistically in Game 1 was staggering in and of itself, but you know I'm not going to rely on just stats for Game 2...

You also have to consider match ups, which clearly favor the Magic. First of all, starting Bargnani over Moon to better guard Turkoglu in the post sounds like a good idea, but it didn't really turn out that way, as Hedo went 9 of 15 for 21 points and looked damn comfortable doing it. Its also clear that Toronto has no answer for Howard, who when motivated is far and away the best center in the league.

While their assist to turnover ratio was great, TJ Ford and Jose Calderon struggled mightily against this Orlando perimeter defense, going a combined 4 of 20 for 14 points. Hard to believe Jameer Nelson won that match up, but there's no question he did. With Maurice Evans bombing away from beyond the arc, the Raptors defense will be tested early and often tonight.

Finally, there's some strong trends that back my play here, including the fact the Raptors are just 1-10 ATS over their last 11 road games & went a dismal 16-26 SU & 17-24 ATS away this season! Consider this: The last game the Raptors won on the road was against Charlotte March 31st, the next SU road win after that... March 5th against the sorry Heat! Raptors can't beat anyone on the road, let alone the Magic!

Take Orlando comfortably over Toronto in Game 2 of this Eastern Conference Playoff series.

3♦ ORLANDO
 

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Psychic Sports



NBA
3 units Dallas +3.5
3 units Orlando -5
4 units San Antonio -2 (Major)

MLB
1 unit Texas +152



DA STICK


NHL
5 units Calgary +160
MLB
10 units Ny Yankees -131
 

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Karl Garrett

20 DIMER
ORLANDO MAGIC

10 DIMER
SAN ANTONIO SPURS

10 DIMER
COLORADO ROCKIES

10 DIMER
NY YANKEES
 

the duke

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FRANK ROSENTHAL

NBA PLAYOFFS *
505 MAVS+4 SB+
OVER 193 SB
508 MAGIC-5.5 SB
OVER 198 SB+
509 SUNS+2.5 SB
UNDER 191.5 SB+


MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
901 CARDS+110 SB
903 NYM+105 SB
908 REDS UNDER 9 SB+
910 BRAVES-205 SB
911 PADRES-145 SB
916 DBACKS-235 SB
918 BOSOX-170 SB
923 TRIBE-125 SB+
928 A'S-145 SB
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO.
 

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ATS Lock Club


Basketball
4 units Suns
3 units Magic

Hockey
3 units Washington
 

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Chuck Franklin comp

Toronto at ORLANDO (-6)


The Cubs and Carlos Zambrano easily shut down the Mets last night as my Free Pick winner. That's now six of the last eight Free Picks in the bank! Huge Profits with the Inside Edge on the Odds!

How is this point spread not in double-digits? The Raptors are a .500 team and the Magic finished the regular season 22 games above the .500 mark!

Just like in Game One this will be no contest. Toronto coach Sam Mitchell decided to make changes in his line-up and insert some new plays for the playoffs. Too late for adjustments Sam, that's what the previous 82 games were for. If you are relying on Andrea Bargnani to be the difference for your team, you are in trouble. The Raptors are in trouble!

Toronto has covered only seven of their last 27 games played. They are 1-10 ATS the last 11 road games and 0-9 ATS the last nine as a road underdog. The Magic are on an 11-1-2 ATS run when playing at home against a team with a less than .400 road record. They have covered 13 of the last 16 home games when they are favored by at least five points but less than 11 points.

This will be an absolute blowout!

3♦ ORLANDO
 

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Mr. A

New Orleans Hornets - 4
Orlando Magic -6

April 22nd, 2008 8:35 p.m. est.
Philadelphia Phillies (10-10) at Colorado Rockies (9-10)
(R) Brett Myers (2-1) vs. (L) Jeff Francis (0-2)

Go with the Phillies with right-hander Brett Myers on the hill. Myers has been a terror for the Rockies. He is 6-0 with a 2.29 ERA in six career games (5 starts) against Colorado, 4-0 with a 2.63 ERA. in four starts at Colorado.

Philadelphia Phillies + 110



JB'S COMPUTER PLAYS

Major League Baseball

Boston Red Sox - 170
Atlanta Braves - 220 * * * Best Bet
San Diego Padres - 150
 
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