Services Wed 3/5

the duke

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S Feiner Stu Feiner Crew

10,000 villanova
1,000 syracuse
1,000 duquesne
1,000 texas a&M
1,000 tenn



B Esposito


5,000 vandy
1,000 duke
1,000 tenn
1,000 baylor



E Roman


5,000 under 'cuse
1,000 baylor
1,000 flor intl



D Roberts


5,000 florida
1,000 SC
1,000 Okla St.
1,000 Texas a&m



J Burnett


10,000 Villanova
1,000 kentucky
1,000 N Texas
1,000 Miss St.
1,000 La-Laf
 

the duke

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Drew Gordon

1. 400,000♦ Louisiana State
2. 50,000♦ Temple
3. 50,000♦ La Salle
4. 50,000♦ Pistons

1. Louisiana State- Love the way the Tigers are playing of late (3-0 SUATS L3 games), and it appears as though Vegas still isn't convinced, giving us a bargain price against road-weary Alabama team in this one!
Answer me this: What has Alabama done on the SEC trail this season except lose?! Guys, the Tide are 0-7 SU and 3-4 ATS in conference road games, and I can give you plenty of reasons why. Let's start with their lack of effort on both ends of the floor (scoring 69 ppg on 43%, while allowing 74 ppg on 46%). Couple that with their lack of good point guard, thanks to the injury to senior Ron Steele, and its no surprise they don't do well in hostile SEC territory. More of the same tonight against a Tigers team that's found its chemistry and is playing like it!
Speaking of chemistry, the Tigers have found a nice inside/out attack between G Marcus Thornton (36 points, 5 for 7 3-pointers, 10 rebounds against Georgia) and big men Anthony Randolph and Chris Johnson. Thornton is coming off one of his best games of the season, and should continue to see success against a weak Alabama perimeter defense.
Biggest issue for Alabama will be scoring points against an LSU defense that's locking down opponents in Baton Rouge, allowing 60 ppg on 39% shooting there this season! The Tide rely on their frontcourt, and especially Richard Hendrix to get the job done, but that's easier said than done against the twin towers down-low for the Wolverines tonight... This is a bad match up all around for the 'Bama.
Bottom line, its hard to imagine a 12-16 team "rolling," but the fact of the matter is the Tigers are playing excellent basketball, and have the match ups necessary to dominate a road-weary Tide team in this one. Alabama has been garbage on the SEC trail this season, and facing a red-hot Tigers team won't do much to help their winless conference road record! LSU protects their house and grabs the cash in this one!
Take Louisiana State over Alabama as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Temple- While you'd expect Duquesne to come out firing tonight, in hopes of snapping their ugly 4-game losing streak, the likely absence of F Shawn James changes everything. His shoulder injury significantly effects the Dukes on both ends of the court, but especially on defense, where the shot-blocking monster has swatted 106 shots and changed countless more.
Herein lies the problem for Duquesne, because with James in the lineup, the frontcourt-heavy Owls cannot consistently attack the basket. However with James out, the paint is wide open, and you better believe forwards Christmas, Tyndale, and Allen will attack, attack, and attack some more. Remember guys, Temple averages 78 ppg on 48% shooting this season at home, while over their last 5 games the "supposedly" strong Dukes offense is dropping in just 66 ppg on 38% shooting!
We all remember the Duquesne team that was blowing away the competition with their high-powered offense, and solid interior defense achored by James, but that team is long gone. Some teams peak at the right time, but in this case, I believe the Dukes may have peaked too early, and the injury to Shawn James dooms any chances of them regrouping.
Finally, on a side note, this will be the Owls senior night, and like all senior nights across the country, the crowd will be raucous and the players will be motivated to win in front of them. I know it may seem like a lesser factor, but the fact of the matter is all signs point to another tough loss for the Dukes, especially when you consider Temple's last two wins - Crushing Charlotte at home, and an outright upset at St. Joseph's... The signs of a team on the upswing.
Bottom line, Temple takes full advantage of the absence of C Shawn James, as Christmas and company are allowed to roam free all night long. The Dukes may have every intention of ending their losing streak, but based on the injury to James and their recent play, there's little reason to believe they'll get it done at Temple tonight.
Take Temple comfortably over Duquesne in this A-10 match up.

3. La Salle- Seriously, do the guys in Vegas not watch La Salle games? We know they do, but in that case, what are they doing making the country's best college road bet a double-digit underdog in this one?! Guys, La Salle is 11-0-1 ATS this season on the highway, not only that, but they're also 5-1 SU and 4-1 ATS over their last 6 games overall!
While I'm not saying the Explorers win outright here, they're more than capable of hanging with a Massachusetts team that's not only just 4-7-1 ATS at home this season, but also doesn't have the defense to cover a bloated number in this one. The Minutemen are better at home, but their defense still allows 73 ppg on 41% shooting in Amherst... Not nearly good enough to stop an Explorers offense averaging 82 ppg on 47% shooting over their last 5 games!
Looking over the match ups, there's no significant edge one way or the other, which again only strengthens my argument for La Salle. Both teams are led by their backcourt, and while Gary Forbes may be the best player on the court, the Explorers Darnell Harris is not far behind, averaging 16 ppg and shooting 49% from beyond the arc! Slight edge to Minutemen in the frontcourt, but not enough to justify this spread.
Finally, as good as the Explorers are on the road, its important to note the Minutemen are just 2-6-1 ATS over their last 9 home games! Throw in the fact that La Salle is coming off outright road wins at Duquesne and at Fordham, and you've got all the makings of a relatively close contest here. UMASS most likely wins, but not by nearly as much as Vegas want you to believe!
Take La Salle plus the points over Massachusetts in this A-10 match up.

4. Pistons- While the Celtics "appear" to be back on track, the Pistons never lost track, and come into this game winners of 5 of their last 6 games (4-2 ATS), and looking for more. I say "appear," because Boston's numbers ATS haven't improved, losing 6 of their last 8 ATS, including failing to cover in three straight home games.
Several reasons for the Celtics return to Earth, including the injury to Kevin Garnett, which definitely slowed this Boston team down. He's back and healthy, but the Celtics lost a lot of that confidence they had going into the All-Star Break, and appear a hell of a lot more vulnerable right now. Boston just hasn't been able to close out their opposition, and if you don't believe me: Pop in the tape of either Cleveland, Charlotte, or Atlanta and you'll see for yourself!
Looking over the numbers, these two teams have almost identical statistics over their last 5 games, with both team averaging about 102 ppg, while allowing 90 ppg on the defensive end over that span. Not that that's 100% concrete proof of the Pistons covering, but its definitely food for thought. Remember the Pistons already beat the Celtics at home once this season, and that was when Boston was rolling. (They had won 9 straight up to December 19th, and won 9 straight after their loss to Detroit). Not the same Boston team tonight, plain and simple.
Finally, let me dispel the fatigue factor in this game, because clearly the Pistons haven't been bothered by getting no rest, having gone 9-4-1 ATS this season in the tail end of back-to-back games! You know damn well the reason they failed to cover at Seattle last night was because they were wholly concentrated on winning tonight's marquee contest, and I expect they play accordingly!
Take the Pistons plus the points over the Celtics in this NBA match up.
 

the duke

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Steam Plays


Denver Under 230
New Orleans Over 197
LA Clippers Under 201
Utah Over 203
Miami Under 199
 

walter98

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Maddux Sports

Maddux Sports

NCAA

Kentucky +2 1/2 3*
LSU -2 1/2 3*
Oklahoma St -4 3*

NBA

Boston -4 1/2 (Eastern Conf. GOY) 5*
Phoenix +5 1/2 4*

Good luck guys..
 

the duke

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Tony Karpinski

Washington Capitals vs. Buffalo Sabres (NHL) - 7:35 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -125 Buffalo Sabres Play Title:

Pick on BUFFALO



Tennessee vs. Florida (NCAAB) - 9:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 2.5/-102 Florida Play Title:

Pick on FLORIDA. Take Florida as the home dog tonight when they host Tennessee. The Gators are not quite locked into the Big Dance, so expect them to come out supremely motivated in front of their home crowd. Florida will be out to avenge their 22-point blowout loss at Knoxville back in February. They have worked extensively on shutting down the oppositions perimeter game during a recent six-day layoff, and they went out and held Georgia and Mississippi State to 9 of 35 shotting from beyond the arc. Florida need another quality win heading into the SEC Tournament next week. Take the points with Florida tonight at home as they pull off the big win


Seattle Supersonics vs. Milwaukee Bucks (NBA) - 8:05 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -9/-112 Milwaukee Bucks Play Title: NBA Inter Conference Game of the Year

Pick on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS. The Bucks had a closed door meeting on Sunday after losing to the Pacers. Head Coach Larry Krystkowiak, was concerned with his team's defense. The Bucks have allowed their opponents to score in triple figures in five of six games. Expect a huge effort tonight at home against Seattle, who also does not play much defense. Seattle also played last night and will be winded in the 2nd half of the game. Not only will the Milw Bucks step up on defense, but in their previous game they only shot 33% and 16% from behind the arc. Expect to see better numbers and shot selections tonight as they Bucks should cruise to a double digit victory.


Duquesne vs. Temple (NCAAB) - 7:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 5.5/-101 Duquesne Play Title:

Pick on Duquesne. We are going to take the points here in what is a must win for both teams. Temple is coming off the huge come from behind win over their huge rival St.Joes on Sunday. I expect them to be a little flat here, and Duquesne is their cross state rival that can score. If Duquesne can jump out early they might cruise to victory tonight and either way this will be a tight game.
 

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PHILLY CONNECTION

3* OKLA ST -5.5

3* MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES + 3.5

3* OVER 208.5 MILW / SEA

FREE PICK : 2* DUQUESNE + 6.5
 

the duke

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Paul Leiner

10* Over 199 Atl/NO
10* Baylor -2
5* Over 130 Kentucky/So Carolina
 

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Rob Veno


Blue Chip
Houston Over 150.5 -110

Indiana -8.5

Vanderbilt Under 144 -110

Cal-Riverside Over 128 -110

Florida Atlantic Over 140 -110
 

Deano's Free B

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Deano's Free B

Deano's Free B

Josh Dean

3/5/08

Hitting last 11 out of 12 top pick days!


Record: 95-69 OA-- -- >44-35-2 NBA<

Top Picks: 38-19-2



5* Vandy -3.5

5* Wizards +1.5
---------------------------


FREE B: Raptors
 

the duke

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Cajun-Sports


Free Selection for Wednesday

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators

Time: 9:00 PM EST

Line: Florida Gators +3

Rating: TWO-Star

Selection: (778) FLORIDA GATORS +3

Analysis: We head down to Florida for what will likely be one hell of a game in Gainesville tonight. A month ago this Vols team put the worst loss on the Gators this season and scored more points on the Gators than any conference team since the 80?s. Florida is not locked into the Big Dance and would love nothing better than helping themselves by getting a little revenge on this Tennessee team. The Gator?s have been working on their three point defensive schemes and that work has paid recent dividends as evidenced in the games against Georgia and Mississippi State where they were held to a combined 9 of 35 from behind the arc. The Vols hit 13 of 29 treys in their first meeting but duplication of that feat will be next to impossible here. We are getting a highly motivated Gator squad against a Vols team that has only won four games on the SEC road by a combined 16 points and only one of those wins was versus a quality opponent. We also know the Gators are 8-1 SU in their last home game of the season and the Vols are 2-8 ATS as SEC road chalk. Florida is 13-3 ATS off a SU loss and going under in their last game when playing at home. Tennessee qualifies in a few negative technical situations, first we know that teams off two ATS losses and are now installed as division road favorites are 43-69 ATS. Teams off a SU win and ATS loss facing a division foe as an away favorite are 42-64-1 ATS. Teams that are off an ATS loss at home and now installed as a division road favorite are 64-109-2 ATS and if they are a 3 to 6.5 point favorite that records drops to 25-49-1 ATS. Take the points here as the Gators get their revenge with a possible straight up win over the Vols tonight.
 

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Wunderdog

comp

Game: Alabama at L S U (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: L S U -2.5 (-110)


The Cajun Cats are on the improve after dropping their first five games in SEC play. LSU has now won three straight, while also on a 7-2 ATS run. LSU began the season searching for answers bankrupting backers to the tune of 2-12 ATS along the way. The Cats dropped their first three SEC home games by an average of 15 points per game. They lost at home to Tennessee by just two and a hot Kentucky team by four points while winning impressively at Florida, and Ole Miss at home. A net scoring deficit of -72 in the first half of SEC play has become a +14 over the second half (seven games each). The Tide started 10-3, but has since been just 5-11, and has broken through on the road just once all season. They are just 2-6 ATS on the road, and it took scoring 19 points in the last two minutes against Ole Miss to squeeze out a cover, in a game that was never in doubt on the scoreboard. They also eked out a 1.5-point cover at Mississippi State. These teams are heading in different directions, so we like the Cats at home.
 

taipans

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Erin Renning--
3/5/08 NBA Seattle +9.5 (713)


3/5/08 NBA Playmaker: LA Clippers +2.5 (724)


Duke,
Are those confirmed and do you have his 20*?
 

the duke

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Sports Monitor


MATCHUP

Indiana Pacers (24-36) at Houston Rockets (39-20)


Houston -10.5 total 202

TRENDS:

The Rockets have covered 21 of their last 28 games. The Pacers
have covered six of their last eight against the Western Conference.
Houston has covered 10 of the last 11 when favored. The home team
has covered four of the last five meetings. The under is 9-4 in
Houston's last 13 games. The under is 5-1 in Indiana;s last six
on the road.

GAME SUMMARY:

The Houston Rockets are perfect since their last game of January.
More importantly, they're perfect since they lost their leading
scorer and rebounder for the season.

SPORTS MONITOR
PREDICTION:

Houston and Indiana under the total
 

the duke

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Gina's

Wednesday March 5th, 2008 8:00 p.m. est.
Atlanta Hawks (24-34) at New Orleans Hornets (40-19)

The struggling Atlanta Hawks have lost 10 of its last 13 games and 10 of its last 11 on the road. Meanwhile, the New Orleans Hornets have won eight of its last 12 games and 11 of its last 14 at home.

Go with the Hornets to sting the Hawks for the fourth straight time. The Hawks have been dreadful on the road, just 7-22 away from home this season and have lost 11 of the last 13 on the road against the Hornets. New Orleans is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.

New Orleans Hornets



Cleveland Cavaliers - 4
New Orleans Hornets - 9?





Mr. A's


Cleveland Cavaliers - 4
New Orleans Hornets - 9?
Houston Rockets - 10?


Johnny Guild


Temple Owls - 5.5
South Florida Bulls + 9.5
Wisconsin Badgers - 18.5
 
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