Sony Open

[Stanley]

Had stayed away from early 18-hole plays myself because of awful matchup record so far this year. Having a 100/1 winner this week does help to bring the confidence back though

3rd round update:

The four 72-hole matchups survived the cut and are currently split. Appleby trails Allenby by three as does Perry to Chalmers, but Franco has a two-shot lead over Parry and a three-shot lead over Sabbatini. In the outrights, Maggert is back in 49th place, but Els lies just three shots behind Faxon in 2nd place and Huston overcame an opening hole double-bogey to climb back to 6th place, one-shot out of a place finish.

4th round plays:

Chris DiMarco to beat Brad Faxon -115 @ Carib [3 units]
Ernie Els to beat Brad Faxon -180 @ Moneyplays [3 units]
Tom Lehman to beat Brad Faxon -135 @ Five Dimes [3 units]
Franklin Langham to beat Bradley Hughes -140 @ Five Dimes

 

[Stanley]

Adding 72-hole continuation play:

Davis Love to beat Vijay Singh -154 @ DAS (Love has 2-shot lead)

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Agree with your opposing Faxon but going to take different avenue in 3ball with what I am considering basically 6/5 odds on Els over Lehman.

3balls @ first stake
Els 6/5 vs Faxon and Lehman
3ball combo
Els-Roberts-Dunlop @ 10/1

 

[wannabe whale]

Adding 4th R Continuation:

Els -170 Over Lehman 3 units
Pavin -120 Over Lickliter 3 units

 

[Ian]

DTB
You betting on tyres in your combo?

 

[Ian]

I shall not be betting here again

Last year I won big on Azinger this year I gave most of it back
Each of the last 4 winners had missed the cut the year before check out the leaderboard this year
Faxon
Andrade
Roberts
Chalmers
Need I say more all - of them missed the cut here last year
Perhaps there is a suggestion for next year

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

4th round results and recap

72 hole cont. @ Oly
Sluman beats Hart by 7
C Perry loses to Chalmers by 9

4th round matches
Mize loses to Maruyama by 3
Funk beats Glasson by 7

Matches for week go 6-5 ytd 14-6
Tie ommitted due to no play status

Exotics
Outrights Huston and Quigley both fail E/W
-4 units week and ytd.

3ball combos Hit 8 out of 11 matches including one combo.While playing Els as single also will deduct unit as if combo.
3balls +20.75 units for week and ytd.

Note: Since playing outrights and 3balls at 2 different places one in pounds and one in dollars will count each as one unit for accounting purposes.For the record I personally play these exotics for minimum bet 5 pounds and $10.

Added notes.Hope Els didn't throw away old putter-Spike bust top 15

and last but certainly not least great job on outrights this week Stan.

 

[Stanley]

4th round update: 1-4 and -11.30 units; 3-6-0 and -14.70 units for the week

The incredibly bad matchup performance continues

Lost all four round four plays with Faxon defying my expectations that he would crumble. He eagled the last to beat Lehman by one, Els by four and DiMarco by seven. Langham lost out by one to Hughes, while the only success of the day was Love's ability to hold on to his lead against Singh; he finished 3 ahead. The 72-hole plays remained split with Franco defeating Parry by one and Sabbatini by four, while Appleby lost to Allenby by one and Perry lost to Chalmers by nine.

Update on outright plays: 0-3 and -3.00 units

Els disappointed and never looked to threaten Faxon even before he double-bogeyed the 8th; he finished 3rd. Huston similarly had an early double-bogey to kill his chances of a payoff; he finished 14th, while Maggert finished in 37th place.

Interesting stuff Ian about the unpredictability. Hopefully, things will settle down by February and I might even reach 50% one week

Will update ytd stats after conclusion of Seniors events, Doyle has a chance of a place finish, but he has just bogeyed the 13th ...

 

[Stanley]

PGA Tour ytd:
Matchups/props: 10-18; -26.95 units
Outright plays: 0-8; -9.00 units

All Tours ytd:
Matchups/props: 23-41; -48.90 units
Outright plays: 4-27; +51.13 units

Wow! I'm breaking even! Can't remember ever having a month like this - quite a feat

You know you're in trouble when you need 100/1 winners to break even

Roll on the mainland

 

[Ian]

Advance prediction for the winner of the Sony Open in 2002, don't forget all you have to do is pick a player who missed the cut here this year but has played well here before, on that basis next years winner will be ...........
PARNEVIK
Don't forget you read it here first

 

[wannabe whale]

Matchups 3-3 with **best bet winner 1-0

On to Phoenix