Sony Open

sports student

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5dimes:

field -110 over Choi

Not a big fan of Choi and this is risky as he always finds a way to screw me but I have to believe having the whole field for the last 2 rounds has to be a good play
 

abc

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5dimes:

field -110 over Choi

Not a big fan of Choi and this is risky as he always finds a way to screw me but I have to believe having the whole field for the last 2 rounds has to be a good play

I am on the other side of this one..I would post it but i am getting good odds that i wont post another play for the week :mj07: One of us will be collecting our winnings come sunday night. Choi is the cream of this leaderboard. The other guys aren't in the same ball park as him. He has been playing beautifully his last 4 rounds on tour. Huge Korean following in Hawaii as well. Marino and Na have shown me nothing in their career as far as closing events out go. But good luck :0corn
 

Whalers Rule

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Found this on an internet blog
One of my donors got at me on AIM and i told him how much I liked Choi at 4.5/1. Unfortunately, I didn't play it. However, I have to bite when there is + odds. The leaderboard is gross. Choi is so much better than everyone on there. Give me him at +110 to win the Sony Open. Thanks..

KJ Choi to win +110 Risking 1 unit

I don't think the odds said a play posted here.
 

abc

on probation
Dec 30, 2006
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Found this on an internet blog
One of my donors got at me on AIM and i told him how much I liked Choi at 4.5/1. Unfortunately, I didn't play it. However, I have to bite when there is + odds. The leaderboard is gross. Choi is so much better than everyone on there. Give me him at +110 to win the Sony Open. Thanks..

KJ Choi to win +110 Risking 1 unit

I don't think the odds said a play posted here.

That is an excellent writeup. :mj06:
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Huh

MDF Status for a player stands for "Made Cut, Did Not Finish". These players were affected by the new 2008 cut line rule.
 

sharky17

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4th ROUND MATCHUP (@ Pinnacle)

CHAD CAMPBELL (-105) over KJ CHOI
I think KJ can put it in cruise control and head for home, so he should be fairly conservative on Sunday.....Campbell is 2nd in Driving Accuracy through 3 rounds and is #1 in Greens in Regulation - if the putter wakes up, he should be able to post a pretty decent number....
 
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Cie

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4th ROUND MATCHUP (@ Pinnacle)

CHAD CAMPBELL (-105) over KJ CHOI
I think KJ can put it in cruise control and head for home, so he should be fairly conservative on Sunday.....Campbell is 2nd in Driving Accuracy through 3 rounds and is #1 in Greens in Regulation - if the putter wakes up, he should be able to post a pretty decent number....

I like this play, but not sure if I'll have it as an option. GL :weed:
 

LA Burns

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4th round:


Funk +140 over Rory


That's a lot of juice to lay for a guy that most likely will be hitting from the long stuff a lot more than Freddie. Also like the progression of scores, with Rory firing 66-69-66 and Funk carding 69-64-69.


Jesper E over Pettersson


Petterson finding less than 30% of his fairways!!!!


GL - LA Burns
 

Stanley

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4th round plays (1pt)

K.J. Choi to beat Tim Wilkinson -188 @ Sportingbet WON by 7
Always difficult to follow up such a low round and it should be too much for Wilkinson who managed to do just once in his Nationwide Tour career. Choi is an excellent front runner and will force Wilkinson to take chances to close the gap and that rarely works

K.J. Choi to beat Chad Campbell -105 @ Pinnacle WON by 2
In each of the last EIGHT times that Choi has held the lead heading into the 4th round, he has won the tournament. On the PGA Tour, he is four out of four with final round scores of 67, 68, 66 and 67. Campbell has broken 70 just once in the six occasions over the last two years that he has entered the final round between 5 and 7 shots behind the leader, averaging 71.67 and never moving up the leaderboard

Rory Sabbatini to beat Jay Williamson -138 @ Sportingbet WON by 7
Sabbatini, by contrast, is much better when in contention: in the last six times he has entered the final round 4th or 5th, he has finished in the top-3 every time, winning once. Williamson hasn't been in that position on the PGA Tour since 2004 and the only time in the last three years (2007 Athens Regional Foundation Classic, Nationwide Tour) saw him fall down the leaderboard to 29th.

Rory Sabbatini to beat Stephen Ames +105 @ Five Dimes WON by 3
Opposed Ames in the final round last week as a poor final round player and lost, but will oppose him again on the same basis. It will help that he is two shots further back than Sabbatini and with very less chance of winning

Steve Stricker to beat Stephen Ames -135 @ Carib WON by 1
Stricker is one shot closer to the lead than Ames, but he is much more proven in this situation, falling out of a top-10 position in only one of eleven final round starts since 2006

Heath Slocum to beat Pat Perez -105 @ Carib LOST by 1
Perez has broken 70 just once in twelve final round starts when in the top-10 in the last three years; Slocum has done in five out of seven attempts over the same period


Overall
This week: 10-3; +6.47pts
This year: 17-14; +0.64pts
 
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abc

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The golf course seems to be playing a lot harder today. Not many under par rounds.. hopefully that trend continues. :0corn
 

CANADA MAN

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2008 Record: 5-4-1 (+0.48 units)

Sony Open Round 4 Matchup:

CHOI over CAMPBELL -105 WINNER


Pending: (To win Tournament)

Furyk +757 ($10 to win $75.70)
Stricker +1012 ($10 to win $101.20)
K.J. Choi +2098 ($10 to win $209.80)
:mj09:

:canada1
 
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abc

on probation
Dec 30, 2006
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Choi is playing awful if not for 3 long putts he could easily be 4 or 5 over thru 3 :mad:
 

abc

on probation
Dec 30, 2006
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Sabbo is making this a lot more interesting than what i was hoping for :0corn
 

abc

on probation
Dec 30, 2006
2,238
25
0
4th round plays (1pt)

K.J. Choi to beat Tim Wilkinson -188 @ Sportingbet
Always difficult to follow up such a low round and it should be too much for Wilkinson who managed to do just once in his Nationwide Tour career. Choi is an excellent front runner and will force Wilkinson to take chances to close the gap and that rarely works

K.J. Choi to beat Chad Campbell -105 @ Pinnacle
In each of the last EIGHT times that Choi has held the lead heading into the 4th round, he has won the tournament. On the PGA Tour, he is four out of four with final round scores of 67, 68, 66 and 67. Campbell has broken 70 just once in the six occasions over the last two years that he has entered the final round between 5 and 7 shots behind the leader, averaging 71.67 and never moving up the leaderboard

Rory Sabbatini to beat Jay Williamson -138 @ Sportingbet
Sabbatini, by contrast, is much better when in contention: in the last six times he has entered the final round 4th or 5th, he has finished in the top-3 every time, winning once. Williamson hasn't been in that position on the PGA Tour since 2004 and the only time in the last three years (2007 Athens Regional Foundation Classic, Nationwide Tour) saw him fall down the leaderboard to 29th.

Rory Sabbatini to beat Stephen Ames +105 @ Five Dimes
Opposed Ames in the final round last week as a poor final round player and lost, but will oppose him again on the same basis. It will help that he is two shots further back than Sabbatini and with very less chance of winning

Steve Stricker to beat Stephen Ames -135 @ Carib
Stricker is one shot closer to the lead than Ames, but he is much more proven in this situation, falling out of a top-10 position in only one of eleven final round starts since 2006

Heath Slocum to beat Pat Perez -105 @ Carib
Perez has broken 70 just once in twelve final round starts when in the top-10 in the last three years; Slocum has done in five out of seven attempts over the same period

That's what Im talking about chief!
 
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