THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NBA
Dallas (39-20, 24-31-4 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (41-18, 37-20-1 ATS)
The Mavericks get their first crack at the Lakers since L.A. acquired Pau Gasol as these clubs battle in a key Western Conference showdown at Staples Center.
Dallas comes in having won four of its last five (3-1-1 ATS), including Saturday?s 115-106 home victory over the Kings, pushing as a nine-point chalk. However, Avery Johnson?s squad is just 3-7 in its last 10 road games (4-6 ATS).
The Lakers had their 10-game winning streak halted in stunning fashion Friday night, losing 119-111 in Portland as a six-point road chalk. Despite the defeat, Los Angeles is still 14-3 SU and ATS in its last 17 contests, including 4-0 at home (3-1 ATS).
In the first meeting between these teams this season, the Mavericks prevailed 112-105, pushing as a seven-point home chalk. Dallas has taken the last three meetings, going 2-0-1 ATS, which comes on the heels of L.A.?s 7-1 ATS roll in the rivalry. The Lakers have been underdogs in each of the last 11 head-to-head clashes, and they?re 4-1 ATS in the last five battles on their own floor.
For the season, the Lakers are 20-7 on their home floor (16-10 ATS), while the Mavs are a sub-.500 road team at 14-17 (13-18 ATS).
Dallas is stuck in ATS ruts of 3-8 on Sunday, 5-14-3 against the Pacific Division and 3-10-1 after a SU win. Conversely, Los Angeles is on pointspread streaks of 8-1 after an outright loss, 4-0-1 after a non-cover and 8-1 when playing on one day of rest.
Los Angeles topped the total in Friday?s shootout at Portland, ending a 4-0 ?under? streak. Still the under is 7-2 in its last nine home game. Also, the under is on streaks of 15-7 for Dallas on the road, 16-5-1 for Dallas on Sunday, 6-0 for the Lakers on Sunday and 2-0 in the last two Mavs-Lakers battles at Staples Center.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. LAKERS and UNDER
Denver (35-23, 29-29 ATS) at Houston (38-20, 33-24-1 ATS)
The Rockets put the NBA?s longest winning streak of the season on the line tonight at the Toyota Center, as they host Allen Iverson, Carmelo Anthony and the Nuggets in a critical game for two teams looking to climb up the Western Conference playoff standings.
Houston has hardly missed a beat since learning the terrible news in the middle of last week that All-Star center Yao Ming (injury) was lost for the season, as the Rockets came out and crushed the Wizards and Grizzlies by 25 and 21 points, respectively. Houston is riding a 14-game winning streak, going 12-2 ATS along the way, including 6-0 ATS in the last six.
The Rockets have registered five straight double-digit blowout wins, four of which have come at home. During this five-game stretch, they?ve averaged 106.2 points per game (50.5 percent shooting) and given up 88.2 ppg (40.6 percent).
The Nuggets have rebounded from a three-game losing skid with back-to-back wins over the Sonics (138-96 on the road) and Clippers (110-104 at home). However, in Friday?s win over Los Angeles, Denver never came close to covering as a 14-point chalk, falling to 2-6 ATS in its last eight, though it was favored in seven of those contests.
Each team has protected its home floor in the first two meetings this season, with Houston winning 109-81 on Nov. 24 and the Nuggets eking out a 112-111 overtime win on Dec. 20. However, the Rockets cashed in both games, and they?re 6-1 ATS in the last seven matchups (5-2 SU). Finally, prior to this year, the visitor had won four straight in this series both SU and ATS.
During its winning streak, Houston has won nine straight home games, going 8-1 ATS. That?s boosted the Rockets? season home record to 20-9 SU and 16-12-1 ATS. Tonight, they face a Nuggets squad that?s just 12-16 SU and ATS away from the Mile High City. George Karl?s club has followed up a four-game road winning streak (3-1 ATS) by going 1-3 SU and ATS in its last four on the highway.
This game pits one of the NBA?s highest-scoring teams (Denver averages 107.6 points per game) against one of the league?s top defensive squads (Houston gives up just 92.2 ppg). That said, the winner has scored at least 108 points in each of the last four meetings between these squads.
For Houston, the under is on streaks of 8-4 overall, 5-1 on Sunday, 4-0 against the Northwest Division and 3-1 when battling the Nuggets inside the Toyota Center. However, the over is 3-1 in the Rockets? last four at home overall, while Denver has topped the total in two straight games, five of the last six and 10 of the last 13, going 5-2 ?over? in its last seven on the road.
ATS ADVANTAGE: HOUSTON
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
Kentucky (16-10, 11-11-1 ATS) at (1) Tennessee (25-3, 14-10 ATS)
The top-ranked Volunteers, certain to be knocked from their throne when the latest polls are unveiled on Monday, look to rebound from a tough loss at Vanderbilt when they host Kentucky, which handed Tennessee its first SEC loss of the season.
Two days after upsetting then-No. 1 and previously undefeated Memphis 66-62 as a 6?-point road underdog to achieve its first No. 1 ranking in school history, Tennessee faced another instate rival in Vanderbilt, but fell short 72-69 as a two-point road chalk. The defeat snapped the Vols? nine-game winning streak (7-2 ATS) and dropped them to 11-2 in the SEC (8-5 ATS), still the best record in the conference.
Kentucky comes into this game having won four in a row and nine of its last 10, all in league action. The 9-1 SU run started with a 72-66 upset of Tennessee as a 5?-point underdog on Jan. 22, with the Wildcats most recently beating Ole Miss 58-54 on Tuesday. In that contest, Kentucky nearly blew a 22-point second-half lead and came up just short as a 4?-point home chalk.
The Wildcats have alternated spread-covers in their last six games, but are still 9-4 ATS in league play (10-3 SU). They?ve also cashed in six straight games after a non-cover.
Kentucky snapped Tennessee?s 11-game overall winning streak back in late January, improving to 8-2 SU in the last 10 series meetings (6-4 ATS).
The Wildcats are just 3-6 on the highway (4-5 ATS), though they have won and covered three of their last four SEC road contests. Meanwhile, Tennessee is 14-0 SU and 8-2 ATS on its home floor, cashing in five straight conference contests in Knoxville. Also, Bruce Pearl?s squad is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine Sunday affairs.
The under is on current streaks of 9-4 for Tennessee and 7-1 for Kentucky (4-0 last four). However, the over is 4-0 in the Vols? last four home games (all against the SEC). Also, even though the total has alternated in the last eight series meetings ? with this year?s battle in Kentucky staying under the posted price ? the over is 3-0 in the last three clashes in Knoxville.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
(12) Indiana (24-4, 12-12-1 ATS) at (19) Michigan State (22-6, 9-13-2 ATS)
The day?s only matchup of Top 25 teams comes from East Lansing, Mich., where the struggling Spartans look to get it going with a win over streaking Indiana.
Michigan State is coming off Thursday?s 57-42 loss at Wisconsin as a six-point underdog. The Spartans (10-5, 4-11 ATS in the Big Ten) have followed up a five-game winning streak by losing four of their last seven. Also, Tom Izzo?s squad has been burning money for more than two months, going 4-12 ATS in its last 12.
The Hoosiers have won seven of their last eight, including the last four in row following Tuesday?s 72-69 home win over Ohio State. Indiana (13-2, 7-8-1 ATS in the Big Ten) has posted consecutive three-point wins since former coach Kelvin Sampson was dismissed, but failed to cover in both games, falling to 3-6 ATS in its last nine.
This rivalry has belonged to the home team in recent years, as the host is 10-1 SU and ATS in the last 11 meetings. That includes Indiana?s 80-61 blowout victory as a four-point home chalk on Feb. 16. However, MSU is 5-0 ATS in the past five battles in East Lansing, and the SU winner has covered the pointspread in each of the last 11 head-to-head clashes.
The Hoosiers have been road warriors all season, going 8-2 in road/neutral-site venues (6-4 ATS). Today they face a Michigan State squad that?s 17-0 at home, but only 5-8 ATS. In fact, the Spartans have failed to cash in seven of their last nine in East Lansing. On the bright side for Michigan State, it is 3-0 ATS as a favorite of seven points or less this season
The over is 6-1-1 in the last eight Indiana-Michigan State tussles, with last month?s meeting hurdling the posted price. Furthermore, the over is on runs of 7-1 for Indiana (5-0 last five), 7-4 for Michigan State overall and 9-4 for Michigan State at home.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
(4) UCLA (25-3, 17-8-2 ATS) at Arizona (17-11, 13-12-1 ATS)
UCLA can move a step closer to wrapping up its third straight Pac-10 regular-season title with a victory over struggling Arizona, a team the Bruins have dominated recently.
UCLA heads south to Tucson, Ariz., after Thursday?s 70-49 destruction of Arizona State as a 6?-point road favorite. The Bruins, who have won four in a row (3-1 ATS) and nine of 10 (8-2 ATS), sit atop the conference standings at 13-2 (11-4 ATS).
Arizona got dumped 70-58 by USC on Thursday, failing as a 5?-point home chalk. The Wildcats (7-8 SU and ATS in the Pac-10) have followed up a four-game winning streak by losing five of their last seven both SU and ATS to put themselves squarely on the NCAA Tournament bubble. The winner has cashed in each of Arizona?s last 11 contests, including each of the last six at home.
The Bruins destroyed Arizona 82-60 as a nine-point home favorite on Feb. 2, their sixth straight win in this series (5-1 ATS). Two of those wins and covers have come in Tucson, including last year?s 81-66 rout as a one-point road underdog. Going back further, UCLA has cashed in six of its last seven visits to Tucson.
UCLA has been virtually unstoppable on the road the last two years, going 25-7 SU (including NCAA Tournament games). This year, Ben Howland?s squad is 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS as a visitor, and going back several years, the Bruins are on a 35-16-1 ATS tear on the road.
Conversely, Arizona is 11-5 SU at home this year, but 8-17 ATS in its last 25 at the McKale Center.
The over is 6-1 in the last seven head-to-head meetings in Arizona and 6-2 in the ?Cats last eight at home. However, the under is 4-1 in UCLA?s last five overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UCLA
Villanova (17-10, 9-15 ATS) at (13) Louisville (23-6, 15-11-1 ATS)
In need of a signature win to enhance its NCAA Tournament resume, Villanova invades Freedom Hall looking to become the first team to defeat Louisville in more than a month.
The Wildcats had three-game SU and four-game ATS winning streaks snapped in their most recent game Monday, falling 85-75 to Marquette as a 1?-point home underdog. A Top 25 team not long ago, Villanova is just 7-8 in the Big East (5-10 ATS).
Louisville has soared up the Big East standings, courtesy of an eight-game winning streak, all in league play. That includes Thursday?s 90-85 home win over Notre Dame. However, the Cardinals misfired as a 7?-point home favorite against the Irish, ending a seven-game ATS tear.
These teams have met three times in the last two years, with Villanova coming away victorious every time. However, the Cardinals got the cash in the last two, including barely covering as a five-point road underdog in ?Nova?s 57-53 victory last year.
Louisville opened Big East play with a one-point home loss to Cincinnati on Jan. 5. Since then, the Cardinals have won seven straight home games (all in conference), going 5-2 ATS. Also, the team is on ATS streaks of 4-0 on Sundays and 22-6-2 against Big East foes.
?Nova has lost six of its last eight road games (3-5 ATS), all in conference action. Also, the Wildcats are mired in ATS funks of 1-5 on Sunday, 2-10 following a non-cover and 0-7 off a double-digit home loss.
Villanova had a six-game ?under? streak end when Monday?s contest against Marquette easily hurdled the posted total. Still, the under is 15-6 in the Wildcats? last 17 overall, as well as 10-4 in Louisville?s last 14 at home. Conversely, the over is 4-1 in Louisville?s last five overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: LOUISVILLE