Sundays Service Plays 12 / 9 !!

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goldengreek

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Docs - Paid and confirmed


3 Unit Play. #3 Take Miami +7 over Buffalo (Sunday 1:00 pm CBS) The Dolphins laid an egg last week against the Jets, but have played better in the two proceeding weeks, covering both of those games. The Bills do not do anything exceptionally well and thus will not be able to light-up the scoreboard against a decent Dolphins defense. They did not score a touchdown last week against Washington. If the Dolphins do not beat themselves with turnovers, they will stay in the game throughout and keep it within a field goal. Buffalo 20, Miami 17.



6 Unit Play. #15 Take Pittsburgh +10 ? over New England (Sunday 4:15 pm CBS) Pro Game of the Year. Many have pointed to this game as the one where the Patriots will finally stumble and suffer their first loss of the season. After the way New England played the last two weeks against average teams (Philly, Baltimore) I am now starting to believe that might be the case. New England has not come close to covering the spread in the last two weeks and this line has already moved a field goal since it opened. Pittsburgh plays the style of offense that features a strong running game to keep the powerful New England offense off of the field. Pittsburgh needs this game more if they have any thoughts of catching Indianapolis for 2nd place in the conference and will go all out to try and win it. They play with the Pats for 60 minutes, losing by just a field goal. New England 27, Pittsburgh 24.



4 Unit Play. #22 Take San Francisco +8 ? over Minnesota (Sunday 4:05 pm Fox) The 49ers will be ready for some home cooking, after playing four of their last five games on the road. During that span, they did post an impressive road victory against the Arizona Cardinals, a team with a similar record to that of Minnesota. The Vikings have a stud running back in Peterson, but QB Jackson has yet to impress me and you can be sure the 49ers will make him beat them with his arm. Just too many points to be laying on the road, since the Vikings are not an elite team. Minnesota 21, San Francisco 20.



4 Unit Play. #30 Take Baltimore +9 ? over Indianapolis (Sunday 8:15 pm NBC) The Ravens find themselves in primetime yet again after nearly shocking the world by handing the Patriots their first loss of the year last Monday. That did not happen, but they outplayed New England and now face a banged up Indy team, just trying to tread water before getting healthy once the playoffs start. Expect another low scoring game similar to that in the playoffs last year when the Ravens held Manning to just 161 passing yards. Baltimore regroups after that meltdown and wins this game straight-up. Baltimore 24, Indianapolis 23.



3 Unit Play. #31 Take New Orleans -4 over Atlanta (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) The Atlanta Falcons will have a lot of their minds Monday, as this is the day their former superstar, Michael Vick, gets sentenced for his role in a dog fighting ring. This will give the Falcons a lot of negative attention and I expect them to come out flat against the Saints. This is a must win game for New Orleans if they have visions of making the playoffs, thus they will not be able to look past this 3-9 team. The Falcons do not have any consistency at quarterback and without that it is hard for teams to win games. New Orleans has already won the first meeting and now their offense is much more powerful and has the ability to light up the scoreboard for 60 minutes. The Falcons will not be able to keep up. New Orleans 31, Atlanta 17.





Robert Ferringo

5-Unit Play. Take #122 Seattle (-7) over Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 9)

4.5-Unit Play. Take #113 Pittsburgh (+11) over New England (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 9)

4-Unit Play. Take #110 Philadelphia (-2.5) over New York Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 9)

3-Unit Play. Take #115 San Diego (Pk) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 9)

3-Unit Play. Take #103 Carolina (+11) over Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 9)

2.5-Unit Play. Take ?Over? 37.0 Kansas City at Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 9)



Take #126 New York Jets (+3.5) over Cleveland (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 9)
Everyone and their sister is on the Browns in this game ? so we?re going the other way. This is Cleveland?s fourth road game in the last five weeks and its fifth in the last seven weeks. I think they come out a bit flat here against a Jets squad that is 2-1 and playing better since its bye week.

Take #131 New Orleans (-4.5) over Atlanta (8:30 p.m., Monday, Dec. 10)
The Falcons are simply not capable of competing along the offensive and defensive lines. They have been decimated at the point of attack and shouldn?t be able to hold up against a Saints team still clinging to postseason hopes. Atlanta has turned to Chris Redman as the starter, and something tells me that isn?t going to help. I expect a weak crowd at the Georgia Dome and I?m looking for another primetime beat down for the Falcons
 

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Allen Eastmen

SEA -7 -102............................$2500.00
CLEV-3 ..................................$2400.00
MINN -8 1/2.............................$2100.00
OAK +10 1/2..........................$2000.00
KC+6 1/2.................................$200.00
3 TEAM TEASER
KC +16.5
OAK+20.5
MIN +1.....................................$200.00

NFL Regular Season 2007:

SIDES 24-27-3 -$7,518.00
TOTALS 9-8 +$3,475.00
TEASERS 6-4 -$2,010.00








EROCKMONEY


(1.) Houston (+3.5) v. Tampa Bay

I'm really impressed with the Bucs this season, as well as, the Texans. I expected the Texans to be a terrible team this season and despite their numerous injuries they have played pretty well. The Bucs are on a roll and could have easily won two of the games they lost. However, the Bucs are due for a loss and I expect the Texans to play a strong game at home.

Pick: Texans by 3

(2.) Carolina (+10.5) at Jacksonville

I love this Jacksonville team and feel they could really make some noise come playoff time. The Jags are built to play stong defense and run the ball, which rarely leads to blowouts. Carolina has been terrible of late, but I think they will hang around in this one. The Jags will get the job done and are never really be in jeopary of the loss, but the Panthers cover the number.

Pick: Jaguars by 7

(3.) Buffalo (-7) v. Miami

The Dolphins are terrible as evident by their performance last week versus the Jets. I still the Dolphins will win a game this season, but it will probably be a game that comes out nowhere. Some "experts" are giving the Dolphins a shot this week, so this won't be the one. I like the Bills to add to the horrid season of the Dolphins.

Pick: Bills by 10

(Blowout of the Week) Dallas (-10.5) at Detroit

The Lions have officially folded this season. Dallas still remebers blowing a shot at the NFC East during the last week of the season versus Detroit last year. The Cowboys will roll in this one and add to the abysmal finish of the Lions season .

Pick: Cowboys by 17

(Upset Special) Pittsburgh (+10.5) at New England

The Patriots have come back to Earth over the past few weeks. The Patriots have a lot of holes on defense and struggle to run the ball, however they may be the best passing offense the NFL have ever seen. I'm expecting the Steelers to play a great game in this one and end the Pats dream of an unbeaten season.

Pick: Steelers by 6

(Over 38) Carolina at Jacksonville

As stated above I think Carolina will show up and put a few points on the board, while the Jags will play yet another strong game at home. This combination will push the score over for the game.

(Over 35.5) Miami at Buffalo

Miami can't seem to stop anyone and the Bills are playing solid ball at this point in the season. This is a big rivalry so the Dolphins won't roll over easily and should have some fight to them. The Bills should close it out late covering the side and the total.
 

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Wild Bill


Carolina +10 1/2 (1 unit)
Miami +7 (1 unit)
Eagles -2 1/2 (4 units)
Pittsburgh +10 1/2 (1 unit)
San Fran +9 1/2 (3 units)
Kansas City +6 1/2 (1 unit)





Gator Report (Cajun-Sports)


Game: San Diego Chargers vs. Tennessee Titans

Technical Set: SAN DIEGO is 17-7 Over when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons, 6-0 Over after having won 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons, 10-2 Over in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 pointss over the last 2 seasons, 10-2 Over playing with 6 or less days rest on the road, 7-0 Over on the road after a game in which their completion percentage was at least ten pointss lower than their season to date average. TENNESSEE is 12-3 Over as a home underdog of 3 pointss or less since 1992, 15-5 Over in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 pointss over the last 2 seasons, 11-2 Over in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992, 9-0 Over within 3 of pick at home versus a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road against a non-divisional opponent, 6-0 Over when facing a team that benefited from an average of at least 2.25 turnovers per game season to date. Game 13 or later non-division road favorites have gone 45-23 Over since 1999 and the last three seasons has seen that record improve to 15-3 Over.

Selection: San Diego / Tennessee OVER 41





Gator Report NFL System Play of the Week:

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions

System:

In Games 2-14, play ON a non-Monday home underdog of 7+ s with points a TOTAL of 33+ points off a turnover margin of -3 or worse last week, 22-0 ATS since 1996.



Selection: Detroit Lions + 11










MATT FARGO


NFL:

Miami 5 units;

San Diego 2.5 units

Green Bay 2 Units
 
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goldengreek

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Burns NFL


TITANS (-3 or better)

Game: San Diego Chargers vs. Tennessee Titans Game Time: 12/9/2007 1:00:00 PM Prediction: Tennessee Titans Reason: I'm playing on TENNESSEE. The Chargers managed a win at KC last week. However, they've still been poor when playing Eastern games at 1:00 pm. Both their 2006 regular season losses cane when playing an "early" game. Prior to last week, the Chargers had lost all three games in that situation, losing at Green Bay, Minnesota and Jacksonville. Playing their second straight early game, facing what should be an extremely motivated Tennessee squad, I expect the Chargers to stumble here. In addition to having homefield advantage, I feel this game means more to the Titans. The Chargers obviously want to win. However, they can afford to lose and they'd still be in first place in the West, regardless of what the Broncos do. On the other hand, although they have the same record (7-5) as the Chargers, the Titans know they can't win their division (Colts are 10-2) and they're currently in a "dawg fight" with the Browns for the Wildcard spot, meaning that every game is extremely important. Not that they need any additional motivation, but the Titans won't have forgotten last season's embarrassing 40-7 loss, as nobody has beaten them that badly since. Note that while the Chargers' defense has allowed 23.5 points and 369.2 yards per game on the road, the Titans' defense has allowed only 16.5 points per game and a mere 263.7 yards per game. They should have star defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth in the lineup and that makes the defense and team significantly better. In fact, the Titans are 7-2 with Haynesworth in the lineup this season and 13-3 the past 16. The Titans are coming off an important win over Houston and they've fared well in that situation, going 17-6 ATS the last 23 times they were coming off a home win over a divisional opponent and 32-17 the last 49 times they were coming off a division win overall. Behind another big defensive effort, look for the Titans to earn the important victory. *Personal Favorite




EAGLES (-3 or better)

Game: New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles Game Time: 12/9/2007 1:00:00 PM Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles Reason: I'm laying the points with PHILADELPHIA. The Giants know they can't win the division. However, they're pretty comfortable for the Wild Card. Conversely, this is truly a "must win" game for the Eagles as a loss will kill any remaining hope that they might have. They're also playing with "revenge" from a 16-3 loss at New York earlier this season. That's noteworthy as we find the Eagles at a terrific 44-22-3 ATS the last 69 times they faced a team which defeated them in the previous meeting, including 8-3 ATS since 2005. The Eagles have actually been playing very well the last four weeks. They beat Washington and Miami before losing very close games vs. the Seahawks and Patriots. Both those games could have been won if not for critical interceptions by A.J. Feeley. With McNabb expected to return, I expect the entire team to receive a boost. Note that the Eagles also expect to get back defensive tackle Brodrick Bunkley and safety Quintin Mikell, both of whom missed the Seattle game with knee injuries. This is a well-coached and experienced Philadelphia team which has gone to the Super Bowl and which knows how to win at this time of year. Despite last week's loss, the Eagles remain a healthy 13-7 SU and 11-7-2 ATS their last 20 home games played in the month of December. Playing with "revenge," playing a "must win game", playing their second straight home game vs. a Giants team playing its second straight on the road, I feel the situation calls for a convincing win and cover for the Eagles. *Situational Blowout GOW




UNDER 49ers/vikings (37 or better)

Game: Minnesota Vikings vs. San Francisco 49ers Game Time: 12/9/2007 4:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on Minnesota and San Francisco to finish UNDER the total. I lost with the Vikings "under" the total last week. However, I'm willing to give it a shot again here. Despite a really poor game from the Lions' defense, that game still would have stayed below the number if not for a 100 yard Minnesota kick-return touchdown. Despite that result, the UNDER remains a profitable 9-1 the last 10 times that the Vikings were coming off a double-digit victory and 6-1-1 the past eight times they were coming off consecutive victories. The Vikings have an excellent run defense as they are limiting teams to a league-low 70.5 rushing yards per game, having held the Lions to 23 last week. That causes many teams to abandon the run. However, the 49ers have such a conservative offense and rely so heavily on Frank Gore (one of the reason's for their struggles) that they'll continue to pound the ball on the ground, regardless of how ineffective it is. Note that the 49ers have seen the UNDER go 4-1 at home this season with those games averaging a mere 28.4 points. While the defense has been solid, San Francisco has averaged only 209 yards of offense in those games. I also played on the UNDER when the Vikings traveled here last season. That game produced a mere 12 points as the 49ers won by a score of 9-3. With a heavy dose of the run from both teams helping to chew up the clock, I'm expecting another low-scoring affair which falls below the number. *December Total of the Month





3 game exec report

JETS (+3 or better)

Game: Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets Game Time: 12/9/2007 4:15:00 PM Prediction: New York Jets Reason: I'm taking the points with the NEW YORK JETS. The Jets are starting to play their best football of the season with two wins in their past three games. Those victories were rather impressive too as one came vs. Pittsburgh and the other was a 41-13 blowout of Miami. It has been an excellent season for the Browns. However, the reality is that they've struggled on the road all season as they've gone just 2-4 while giving up 28 points per game. The two wins came at Baltimore and St. Louis and both were very fortunate. The victory at Baltimore came in overtime after the Browns hit a field goal off the upright to tie the game at the end of regulation. The win at St. Louis came vs. a severely banged up Rams team and Cleveland had to rally from a 14 point deficit and then hang on until the final seconds. With last week's loss at Arizona, the Browns are now 5-15 their last 20 road games. NONE of those five victories came by more than a touchdown and four of them came by four points or less. The point that I am trying to make is that I don't feel the Browns deserve to be favored by a field goal (or more) on the road vs. anyone, let alone an improving and revenge-minded New York team. Note that the Browns have just one win in their last eight December road games and that win came by two points at Oakland back in 2005. Meanwhile, the Jets are 4-0 ATS their last four December games and 13-7 ATS their last 20. Coming off arguably his best game as a pro, I expect Kellen Clemens to fare well against a porous Cleveland secondary which ranks 30th in the league. With the Browns playing their second straight on the road, I feel that situation favors the home underdog.



PANTHERS (+10 or better)

Game: Carolina Panthers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Game Time: 12/9/2007 1:00:00 PM Prediction: Carolina Panthers Reason: I'm taking the points with CAROLINA. The Panthers finally got the monkey off their back with a big home win last week. Conversely, the Jaguars come off a close loss to defending champion and division leader Indianapolis. The Panthers have played well on the road all season, going 4-2 SU/ATS. That brings them to a profitable 62-43-3 ATS on the road since they came into the league in 1995. During the same stretch, they've also gone a profitable 32-18 ATS in the month of December and 70-44-2 (61.4%) ATS when listed as underdogs. On the other hand, the Jaguars haven't been very profitable when listed as large favorites. In fact, they're just 7-13 ATS the last 20 times they were favored by more than eight points. A game vs. their division rivals (Colts) seems to take a toll on the Jaguars. Looking at the last few times that they were coming off a game vs. Indianapolis and we find that the Jaguars have lost by six points, lost by seven points and, most recently, won by a single point. These teams have faced each other three times since coming into the league at the same time. All three games were decided by 10 points or less and the most recent two games saw scores of 24-23 and 22-20. I feel that the Panthers are better than their record indicates and I'm expecting another close game which comes down to the wire.



LIONS (+10 or better)

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions Game Time: 12/9/2007 1:00:00 PM Prediction: Detroit Lions Reason: I'm taking the points with DETROIT. I successfully played on the Cowboys in their win over Green Bay. Off that monumental victory, and with rival Philadelphia (Owens' old team) on deck, I expect them to find it difficult to get emotionally "fired up" for the lowly Lions. Conversely, I expect a passionate effort from the Lions, as they've been embarrassed one too many times and are in danger of falling below the 500 mark and out of the wildcard race. Note that the Lions are a perfect 4-0 ATS the last four times they were listed as double-digit underdogs, winning two of those games outright. The most recent of those victories came against these same Cowboys last season, 39-31 at Dallas. That result should give the Lions confidence that they can compete with and beat this year's team. The Lions have only been beaten by more than 10 points once in their last 11 December home games. Look for them to give their guests all they can handle here, improving to 19-7 ATS the last 26 times they were coming off three or more consecutive losses.
 

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Spritzer's 2007 **NFL Game of the Year!


My GOY is a play on the Colts, minus points over Baltimore. The Ravens' players themselves, basically billed last week's game against New England as their Super Bowl. The meltdown at the end of the game, following a chain of numerous bad breaks was all I needed to see to lift the level of this game to the highest it could be. I was set to wager on the Colts, whether the Ravens won or lost that game. But the manner that they lost in should have this team's already fractured psyche in the dumper. It's pretty safe to say that the current roster couldn't be any more frustrated with their coaching staff than they already are. No one seems to see eye-to-eye with Billick any longer. The defense is not aging well and the secondary is a shell of what it was last season. The defense as a whole, is no longer intimidating. Peyton Manning, with TE Dallas Clark bringing back another dimension to this offense, will drill this once-proud stop-unit. Clark grabbed seven Manning passes last week and really opened things up for Reggie Wayne who finished with 158 receiving yards. Defensively, the Colts rank in the top-5 in points allowed, passing yardage allowed, and total yards allowed (277 per game). The Ravens got a huge game out of McGahee last week, yet still couldn't get over the top. They're 23rd in the league in total offense, and still don't have a true starting QB on the roster. Baltimore is averaging just 16 PPG during their current 6-game losing skid, and have been held to 14 points or less in four of those games. Off a physically and emotionally draining Monday night loss...and a draining season for that matter, I believe Baltimore will be as flat as they've been in seasons. I believe the Colts will cruise throughout on Sunday night with an easy win and cover. Colts 31 Ravens 9. The Colts are my NFL Game of the Year. Thanks! GL!.
 

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LARRY NESS ' LEGEND Play-NFL

My LEGEND Play is on the Sea Seahawks at 4:05 ET. The 6-6 Cards are tied with the Lions and Vikings for the final wild card spot in the NFC. That's heady territory considering the team has made the postseason just ONCE (in 1998) since moving to the desert in 1988. Meanwhile, with a win here, the Seahawks (who have won four straight games), can clinch their FOURTH straight NFC West title. Seattle is playing well, as Hasselbeck has thrown two TD passes in SIX of his last seven games, while averaging 275 YPG through the air. In the four-game winning streak, he's completed 62.2% with a 7-3 ratio. RB Morris averaged 84.3 YPG on the ground in the three games Alexander missed and added 5-for-64 LW, as Alexander returned (Shaun had 20-65). Arizona escaped LW with just a 27-21 win (almost lost it!), despite forcing four Cleveland TOs and enters this game with a 'ton' of key injuries. QB Warner is always a "hit away" from the sidelines, while his starting WRs are questionable. Boldin (likely to miss with a toe problem) and Fitzgerald (will be a game-time decision with a groin injury The Seattle pass D is 2nd in sacks with 36 (Warner better be careful), plus has allowed a league-low seven TDs (15 INTs). The Arizona D is without its best player in safety Adrian Wilson, starting CB Green and its best pass rusher (Berry). Seattle fell behind Arizona (Week 2) on the road 17-0 but took a 20-17 lead before losing 23-20. The Seahawks have been an excellent home team while making the playoffs these past four seasons and have won three straight at home coming in, outscoring opponents, 87-29. Seattle "smells blood" here. LEGEND on the Sea Seahawks.
Good Luck...





LARRY NESS' Las Vegas Insider-NFL Week 14

My Las Vegas Insider is on the Ten Titans at 1:00 ET. Head coach Norv Turner was on the "hot seat" at SD after a 1-3 start but is now expected to be offered a multi-year deal with the Chargers at 7-5. I'm NOT sold on the 7-5 Chargers "being back" just yet, as the team's lone quality win came against the Colts (23-21), a game in which SD had two kick return TDs, Peyton threw six INTs plus Indy's Vinatieri missed a 29-yard game-winning FG at the end! The team's other six wins have come against teams with a combined record of 28-44 (.389) entering Week 14! Rivers has thrown for less than 200 yards in FIVE of his last seven games and is nowhere near LY's form. Tomlinson's averaging 26 YPG less, has just 12 TDs through 12 games (had 29 LY) and his YPC is down from 5.2 to 4.4! Overall, the offense is averaging just 23.8 PPG, after averaging a league-best 30.8 LY! For the Titans, Vince Young is really coming on at QB, averaging 264 YPG through the air the last four games, after averaging a pathetic 122.1 through his first seven starts. He's also added 176 rushing yards (6.8 per) the last four weeks. The Titans broke a three-game losing streak LW, as DT Albert Haynesworth returned. In his absence, the team allowed 97 points (32.3 per) and 160 YPG rushing, going 0-3. With him, the Titans are 7-2 in '07, allowing 16.0 PPG and 71.9 YPG rushing (which would rank them 2nd in the NFL!). SD is just 2-4 SU on the road, losing at NE, GB, Min and Jax. The defense has allowed 32 PPG in those losses and like the offense, has not played anywhere near its '06 form. SD has some "wiggle room" in the weak AFC West, a luxury the 7-5 Titans don't have in the AFC South, where the Colts are 10-2 and the Jags are 8-4. On the sidelines, Fisher vs Turner is a complete mismatch. SD is also not helped by traveling again for the second straight week, while the Titans play their second straight at home. Las Vegas Insider on the Ten Titans.
 
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goldengreek

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Norm Hitzges

Double Plays
Dallas -11 vs Detroit
Pittsburgh +10.5 vs New England
Minnesota -8.5 vs San Francisco
Miami/Buffalo Under 36.5
Green Bay -10 vs Oakland


Single Plays
Jacksonville -10.5 vs Carolina
Philadelphia -3 vs New York Giants
Arizona +7 vs Seattle
San Diego pk vs Tennessee
Indianapolis -9 vs Baltimore





Nick Bogdanovich
BI TEAM LINE
105 Cowboys -11
110 Eagles -3
113 Steelers +10.5
115 Chargers +1
120 Texans +3
124 49ers +8
Best Bet:
126 Jets +3.5





Marc Lawrence
BI TEAM LINE
116 Titans -1
107 Dolphins +7
130 Ravens +9
124 49ers +8
126 Jets +3.5
103 Panthers +10.5
Best Bet:
113 Steelers +10.5





Erin Rynning
BI TEAM LINE
106 Lions +11
106 Lions UN51
107 Dolphins +7
124 49ers +8
126 Jets +3.5
132 Falcons +3.5
Best Bet:
116 Titans -1





Paul Sonner
BI TEAM LINE
103 Panthers UN38
107 Dolphins UN36
105 Cowboys OV51
126 Jets +3.5
120 Texans +3
123 Vikings UN39
Best Bet:
113 Steelers OV47








Doug Williams

New England ? Pittsburgh UNDER 49.5
The leagues best offense verses its best defense, and you see how the Pats O has been struggling?

Seattle to COVER -7 at home versus Arizona
Seattle is back in a big way?.and the Hawks love to win big at home

Houston to COVER +3 at home against Tampa Bay
Houston has some of their offense back and look to finish strong

Cleveland to COVER -3.5 against the New York Jets
Even though the Jets have won two of their last three, the Browns are clearly the better team






JEFFERSONSPORTS

Been recording his record and posting his plays since
October 6th. RECORD is (98-63) in all sports.

"EARLY RELEASE FOR SUNDAY
SEATTLE-6.5 (line will move to 7 or more. Value is now)"










Malinsky
12/9/2007 NFL Carolina Panthers at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00 PM ET Carolina Panthers 10.5
12/10/2007 NFL New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons 8:30 PM ET under 43.5








Pixfield's NFL plays

Dal/Det over51
NY Giants +3
Pitt +10.5








Cto's 11*

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Only lost 1 game in the nfl this year
Green Bay ( THE 11* 'S)





HANDICAPPER ...RECORD... BEST BET.....
Teddy Covers .....11-1-1... Giants +3 .....









HANDICAPPER......RECORD .....BEST BET ......LAST WEEK

David Jones......... 10-3...... Steelers +14.5........ (W) Tennessee +7.5










Joey Gaffney -- HILTON CONTEST CO - LEADERS

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GAFFNEY ( 43-19-1 ) :

CAROLINA
NY GIANTS
MINNESOTA
KANSAS CITY

CHICAGO (thursday 0-1)



BLONDIE89103:


Tied with GAFFNEY for first place

TAMPA BAY
SEATTLE
CLEVELAND
DENVER

CHICAGO ( loser thursday )
 

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Tout~House

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NFL Carolina vs. Jacksonville
Take Jacksonville Jaguars
1* on Jacksonville Jaguars -10.5 Jacksonville will get back to their dominant winning ways this weekend as they take on the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers are suffering from QB issues with the loss of Jake Delhomme early this season. Vinny Testaverde can't muster up enough offense to compete with the Jags on Sunday. The Panthers aren't running the ball effectively which also hampers their passing game. They have dropped 5 out of their last 6 games overall and are just 1-5 ATS during that span. The Jags are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Jags are scoring over 28 points a game in their last 3 games which will be more than enough to cover this spread against Carolina Sunday. David Garrard is playing great football at QB passing for over 241 yards a game in his last 3 games as the Jags' starter. Jacksonville's balance on offense makes them a very formidable opponent to stop. Carolina is 2-13 ATS in their last 15 games played on a grass field. The Jags' running game is at it's best on grass fields so look for Jacksonville to run wild on the Panthers' defense Sunday. Take Jacksonville and lay the points.

NFL Minnesota vs. San Francisco
Take Under
1 Unit on Vikings/49ers UNDER 39 The 49ers are scoring only 10 points a game at home but they are giving up just 18.6 points a game, keeping the opposing offenses in check. Minnesota is scoring just 19 points a game on the road this season and that is even with their 41 point outburst against the Giants a few weeks back. This will be a low scoring affair with two teams who focus on running the ball. Each team has great rush defenses that will contain opposing backs, even Adrian Peterson. Minnesota is 7-0 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The UNDER is 5-1 in the 49ers last 6 games as a home underdog. Cash in with the UNDER 39 points.

NFL Miami vs. Buffalo
Take Miami Dolphins
3* on Miami Dolphins +7 This may be the Dolphins' best shot at ending their dreadful losing streak. Miami won't cash in their season due to not wanting the embarrassment of being an 0-16 team this year. Buffalo is a very beatable team that the Dolphins had on the ropes earlier this year. They held a 10-2 lead in the 4th quarter only to piss it away late. Miami can beat the Bills and we fully expect them to do so Sunday. The Bills are only scoring 15.3 points a game. Oddsmakers cannot justify this spread with those putrid offensive numbers. This game will be decided by a field goal as it comes down to the wire. The Dolphins are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Dolphins are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Bet Miami on the road.





MARC LAWRENCE NFL PHONE picks

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4* UNDER DOG GOY Pittsburgh +10.5
3* carolina +10.5
3* jets +3.5









VICTOR KING'S NFL O/U TOTALS from TIPSHEET --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3* Chargers @ Titans Go Over The Total
2* Cardinals @ Seahawks Go Over The Total
2* Ny Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles Go Over The Total
2* Minnesota @ San Francisco Go Under The Total









Ethan Law
1* Texans

Monday Night Goy Goes This Monday
 

Sparta

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I'm posting Pixfield's NFL plays, but play at your own risk.

ALSO PLEASE NOTE: LAST WEEK THEY WENT 2-1 AND THEY ARE EMAILING AND ADVERTISING THEY WENT 3-0.

Dal/Det over51
NY Giants +3
Pitt +10.5
 
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Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Nov 14, 2000
24,365
90
48
Vegas
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Ron Jaworski

Jacksonville 27 - Carolina 17

Dallas 31 - Detroit 21

Buffalo 17 - Miami 10

Philadelphia 20 - NY Giants 17

Green Bay 24 - Oakland 10

New England 34 - Pittsburgh 28

San Diego 21 - Tennessee 17

Cincinnati 30 - St. Louis 21

Tampa Bay 24 - Houston 21

Seattle 27 - Arizona 20

Minnesota 21 - San Francisco 13

Cleveland 20 - NY Jets 17

Denver 17 - Kansas City 16

Indianapolis 21 - Baltimore 13
 

Senor Capper

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EARLY LOOK FOR MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Mike Rose


New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons u43.5 (-110)
Mon Dec 10 '07 8:30p
It?s Monday again, and since we had a good game last week between New England and Baltimore, it?s safe to say this will be of the snoozer variety like so many have this season on Monday night. The NFC South battle finds the (5-7) New Orleans Saints taking on the (3-9) Atlanta Falcons in a match-up that looked much better on paper before the season actually started.

New Orleans has been a major disappointment this season. It all started back on September 6th when they opened up their 2007-08 season at Indianapolis with a deflating loss at the hands of the defending champs. They then went on to lose their next three games before picking up their first win of the season at Seattle in mid October. They rattled off three more wins after that, but then inexplicably dropped back-to-back games to St. Louis and Houston. The Saints found themselves with an excellent opportunity to get back into the NFC South race last week when they hosted the division leading Tampa bay Buccaneers. The Saints held a one-point lead at the half, but then got outscored by five in the second half en route to the 27-23 home loss. RB Reggie Bush suffered ligament damage in his knee that could keep him out for the rest of the season.

As for Atlanta, this season started off on the wrong foot when former QB Michael Vick got nailed in a dog fighting scandal. This immediately put new HC Bobby Petrino?s offense behind the proverbial 8-ball, and the team has suffered on a weekly basis. The Falcons come into this game losers of three in a row, and six of their last eight overall. Inconsistency at the QB position has seen their offense only muster 14 PPG, and that number has dropped to 12 PPG over the L/3 weeks.

I'm expecting this to be a low scoring game much like these clubs first match-up of the year when the Saints won by a 22-16 final count in New Orleans. The 'Under' is 6-2 ATS the L/8 meetings, while the 'Under' has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS the L/4 times the Falcons were installed as underdogs between 3.5-10 points. It's also cashed 8 of the L/10 times the Falcons played within their division. As for the Saints, the 'Under' is 3-2 ATS off a SU loss this season, but a solid 10-3 ATS after allowing their opponent to rip them apart through the air (250+) the week before.

With QB Chris Redman leading the Falcons attack and the Saints without another key cog on offense (RB Bush), I expect to see a lot more FG's than TDs in this spot, so hit the lowside of the 'Total' for another MNF winner!!!
 

agkil12

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Power Sweep plays hitting 77% last 11 weeks:

4 Jags
4 SD
2 Clev
2 Giants

System play: Jags over

Early Bird: Seattle
Total of Week: Dalls over
underdog play: Giants
Economy Club #2: GB
 
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goldengreek

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BIG AL's NFL MONSTER BLOWOUT WINNER.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincy Bengals minus the points over St. Louis. The Rams season has been a nightmare due to injuries. Marc Bulger, Steven Jackson, and a host of offensive linemen have all missed significant time this year. Now, on Sunday, it looks like St. Louis will not only be without Bulger (concussion), but also its #2 quarterback, Gus Frerotte. So, Scott Linehan will be forced to play the Rams' 3rd-stringer, Brock Berlin. That just won't cut it against an offensive-minded Bengals squad that should put up a lot of points. Berlin has never attempted a pass in a regular-season game, and behind a makeshift offensive line, he will be in a lot of trouble vs. a Bengals defense that has forced 13 turnovers in its last five games. The Rams like to blitz a lot, but Carson Palmer is good at getting his passes away, so Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh could have big days. Look for a breakout offensive performance by the Bengals on Sunday. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.




BIG AL's 81-38 ATS NFL DIVISION GAME OF THE MONTH -- Sunday
At 1 pm, our AFC East Game of the Month is on the Miami Dolphins plus the points over Buffalo. Miami's winless on the year, but fall into an 81-38 ATS system of mine that plays on certain winless teams at Game 5 of the season or later vs. foes with a win percentage greater than .250. These two teams met earlier this year, and Buffalo eked out a 3-point win, 13-10. Miami is 11-6 ATS vs. the Bills since 1980 off a SU/ATS loss, including 6-1 ATS with revenge. The weather is expected to be miserable, with a temperature around 32 degrees, and possible freezing rain. That will especially hamper offenses, and getting this large of an underdog is a solid play under these circumstances. Miami's defense is better than Buffalo's, to the extent the Bills' defense doesn't get much pressure on the QB (the Bills have managed just 5 sacks and 2 interceptions over the last 5 games). And Buffy allows a league-worst 49 percent conversion rate on third down. Miami's defense is a lot more active, with 11 sacks, 2 interceptions, a fumble recovery and a TD in just its last 2 games, so look for Trent Edwards to be in trouble somewhat in these poor weather conditions, and to be pressured into some bad decisions. Take the points with the Dolphins. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
 

goldengreek

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STEVE BUDIN


SUNDAY'S PICKS

50 DIME PLAY

PHILADELPHIA

50 DIME 3-TEAM TEASER

JACKSONVILLE

INDIANAPOLIS

NEW ENGLAND

Reduce the points you are laying with Jacksonville, Indianapolis, and New England.

Note from buttin:

These are two SEPARATE 50 Dime selections.

Let's address the play on PHILADELPHIA first:

Guys, since we're up 772 dimes with these releases I want you to spend a little extra coin and buy down the 1/2 point in the following scenarios: This line has been a solid 3 all week long. So if you've got Philadelphia at -3 I want you to buy them down to -2 1/2 so you still win if they prevail by a field goal. And if you get stuck with Philadelphia at -3 1/2, buy down to -3 so you get a push with a field goal.


Take it from a former bookmaker and the guy who fathered the offshore sportsbook industry that too many gamblers and handicappers needlessly buy half points on all types of numbers. But the ONLY number that matters from a bookmaker's perspective is 3 because of overtime and that's why its the only number they (bookmakers) charge the extra juice for. Once again, we're using the power of money - our profit of 772 dimes - against the bookmaker in this case.

Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.

Next, let's address the THREE-TEAM TEASER on Jacksonville, Indianapolis, and New England:

Using the traditional 10 points you get in a three-team teaser, this Laughlin, Nevada-based group wants you to reduce the points you are laying with Jacksonville at home versus Carolina, reduce the points you are laying with Indianapolis at Baltimore, and reduce the number of points you are laying with New England at home versus Pittsburgh.
 

the duke

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Pointwise Phones

4* Carolina
3* Pitt
3* Minn
3* Tampa Bay
3* Tenn
2* New Orleans
2* Buffalo
2* Green Bay
 

the duke

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JWhip

NFL Side Double-Dime Bet

DEN -6.5 (-110) vs KAN

Broncos -6.5 (2 Unit)



The Chiefs have been horrible on offense as they own the 3rd-worst offense in the league in total yards and points. They are averaging just 14 points per game, and havent even scored a point in the fourth quarter in four straight games.

QB Brodie Croyle has looked ok in his last three games, but has failed to put up the points and yards. In those three games he is averaging around 150 passing yards, with ONLY 1 touchdown pass.

The Broncos offense simply has the power to out score the Chiefs. They are averaging 29 points per game over their last four, and Jay Cutler has been a different quarterback at home. He is averaging 240 passing yards per game and has a stellar QB rating of 98 on the season.

The Broncos gave the Raiders 24 points last week on turnovers, and also gave the Bears a win with kicking to Hester. The players "know they have to play better" to get into the playoffs. Before those games take a look at them against the Titans and Chiefs: dominating performances and according to team insiders "they will return to that form" now back at home.

The Broncos shut down this Chiefs team a few weeks ago, and Selvin Young rushed for 109 yards on the day. Young is expected to be highly involved in offense and with the temperature in the low 20's look for the Broncos to dominate this lonely KC team again
 

the duke

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Winning Points

NFL

****BEST BET

Carolina over *Jacksonville by 10
There?s one thing the Panthers can do and that?s win away from home.
Carolina has knocked off Arizona,Atlanta,New Orleans and St. Louis on the
road this year.The Panthers are at their best as a road underdog, especially
in December where they have covered 13 of the past 15 times in this role.
Consequently, Jacksonville is at its worst laying a big price.The Jaguars have
been double-digit chalk four times during the last three years.They?ve failed
to cover every time, including laying 10 this season to the Falcons.
Jacksonville managed only to beat Atlanta, 13-7.The Jaguars are a conservative
team that wins playing good defense, running the ball and limiting mistakes.
That means taking few shots downfield.This philosophy fits their personnel,
but is not necessarily good for covering a large pointspread. The
Panthers are not devoid of talent. Julius Peppers is an elite defensive end.
Linebacker Jon Beason is a candidate for defensive rookie of the year. Steve
Smith remains a dangerous playmaker. After fiddling around with totally
ineffective David Carr, Panthers coach John Fox fully realizes 44-year-old
Vinny Testaverde gives his team the best opportunity to win.The Panthers
had no confidence when the battered Carr was under center.They have a
much better attitude and downfield threat with Testaverde. Smith plays better.
So do running backs DeShaun Foster and DeAngelo Williams. One reason
why the Panthers play better on the road is less pressure.The onus is
on Jacksonville. Don?t be surprised if the Jaguars don?t respond well this
week. Jacksonville played well at Indianapolis last Sunday, but still lost.That
defeat, in all probability, ended the Jaguars?AFC South Division title hopes.
The Jaguars have a key road tilt next week at Pittsburgh.This interconference
matchup isn?t big on their radar screen. CAROLINA 24-14.



***BEST BET

*Green Bay over Oakland by 27
The combination of Green Bay having four extra days to game-plan and get
healthy, the Raiders coming into cold weather and drawing an early start
time puts us in the Packers? corner. Brett Favre should be fine to start, but
even if he isn?t the Packers have enough to cover this spread with Aaron
Rodgers.The Raiders entered Week 13 with the worst run defense in the
league.The Packers are particularly tough when they can get their ground
attack going, which makes their play-action passes and frequent slant patterns
even more effective. The Raiders have a decent secondary, but not
nearly enough depth to cover Donald Driver, Greg Jennings and rookie
James Jones. Green Bay is 3-0 SU and ATS versus AFC West teams this season.
Favre played his worst game of the season last Thursday against Dallas.
So did the Packers? defense. Some of this, of course,was because of Dallas,
the class of the NFC so far. But some also was injury-related.More than likely
the Packers will get back their two key defensive players that didn?t play
against the Cowboys, cornerback Charles Woodson and pass rusher Kabeer
Gbaja-Biamila. Justin Fargas has been running well for the Raiders, but the
team still turns the ball over too much (26 giveaways) and commits too
many penalties to hang with an elite team like the Packers at such a tough
road venue. The Raiders? quarterback situation consists of Daunte
Culpepper,who isn?t 100 percent and still doesn?t have a full grasp of the
offense, perennial backup Josh McCown and rookie JaMarcus Russell, who
is just beginning to get his feet wet. The Packers are out for redemption
after a rare poor showing. They are a well-coached, fundamentally sound
team with plenty of big-play ability.The Raiders have yet to exhibit any of
these traits. GREEN BAY 37-10.



**PREFERRED



*Tennessee over San Diego by 10
The Chargers have seized control of the weak AFC West, but have yet to
establish a consistent passing attack and have covered just two of their last
eight away contests. Vince Young is the kind of quarterback San Diego?s
speed pass rushers can?t catch up to. Young?s passing is getting sharper
every week.The Titans have an inside-outside rushing tandem of LenDale
White and Chris Brown to keep the Chargers on their heels. Star defensive
lineman Albert Haynesworth returned last Sunday for Tennessee after missing
three games with a groin injury.The difference was amazing when he
wasn?t in the lineup.The Titans surrendered 97 points in the three games
Haynesworth missed. Their run defense is top-notch when Haynesworth
plays, which is crucial in bottling up LaDainian Tomlinson. Philip Rivers
isn?t enough of a playmaker to lead San Diego to a road victory unless he?s
getting a major contribution from Tomlinson. Flying from the West Coast to
Nashville for an early start time is a major negative for the Chargers.The last
time they had to do that was three weeks ago at Jacksonville and they were
flat in a 24-17 loss. The Titans also have a huge coaching edge with Jeff
Fisher going against Norv Turner.TENNESSEE 20-10.


*San Francisco over Minnesota by 4
Unlike most seasons, there is more of a gap in the NFL this season between
the haves and the have-nots.The 49ers definitely are a have-not.They?ve lost
nine of their past 10 games. Frank Gore has rushed for 100 yards once this
season. San Francisco has broken the 20-point barrier only one time. But
the Vikings are not a ?have? team yet.Yes, they have won four of their past
five. Adrian Peterson is a dominating running back. Even Tarvaris Jackson
has picked up his play, completing 45-of-58 passes for 504 yards and three
touchdowns during the past three games. However, Minnesota is traveling
to the West Coast in the rare spot of being a road favorite.The game is on
grass. The Vikings are used to playing indoors on carpet. Their pass rush
isn?t going to be as effective because of this. The Vikings, under Brad
Childress, aren?t used to playing under this kind of pressure.They are shooting
for a wild-card spot and expected to win. It?s a division sandwich, too,
for Minnesota.The Vikings just hosted the Lions and are home to the Bears
the following Sunday.The 49ers have nothing to lose.They can play loose.
Veteran quarterback Trent Dilfer has decent receiving targets.The Vikings
went into last week ranked last in pass defense. SAN FRANCISCO 21-17.
 
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the duke

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The Sports Reporter

NFL Selections

Super Best Bet = Houston over Tampa Bay by 21

Best Bet = Jacksonville over Carolina by 24

Best Bet = Minnesota over SF 49ers by 18

Recommended = Dallas over Detroit by 21

Recommended = Tennessee over San Diego by 8

Recommended = Arizona over Seattle by 3

College Hoops

Recommended = Temple over Villanova by 6

NBA Selections

Best Bet = Toronto over Houston by 13

Recommended = Washington over New Jersey by 14
 

the duke

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Northcoast Economy Club

NYG +3 (Top Play)
GB -10
TB -3
Seattle -7
NE -10
 
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