"THE BRITISH OPEN"
- Thread starter BOBBYW
- Start date
Strokecast
Strokecast
Bluesq are doing an interesting strokecast market - so anyone for example interested in Ogilvie can take him at 50/1 outright...or 120/1 to win by 1 stroke, 180/1 by 2 strokes etc.
Worth a look, especially if u think allenby will win by 9 strokes - 8150/1
Strokecast
Bluesq are doing an interesting strokecast market - so anyone for example interested in Ogilvie can take him at 50/1 outright...or 120/1 to win by 1 stroke, 180/1 by 2 strokes etc.
Worth a look, especially if u think allenby will win by 9 strokes - 8150/1
Pharlap , Puite is very nice Badlands is ok ,you should call and ask for me at Rhodes Ranch while your in vegas just call the golf shop and ask for Scottie Scrub if im not there i will call you back ,if not have fun in vegas. Its been very hot and humid
Top american 1 unit e.w 1/4 top 4
Lehman 80-1
Beem 150-1
Low GB and Ireland 1/4 top 4
Bickerton 80-1
Donaldson 175-1
First Round leader 1/4 top 5
Owen 100-1
To Win
Allenby 100-1
Owen 200-1
Elk 350-1
Donaldson 750-1
Lehman 80-1
Beem 150-1
Low GB and Ireland 1/4 top 4
Bickerton 80-1
Donaldson 175-1
First Round leader 1/4 top 5
Owen 100-1
To Win
Allenby 100-1
Owen 200-1
Elk 350-1
Donaldson 750-1
Top Ozz and NZ Player
Andrew Buckle at 80/1 1/5 odds first 4
Threatened to win in Europe earlier in season when tour was in Asia, then got breakthrough win on Nationwide tour later in year. Twice finished 3rd in last three starts and got a real break with Immelman going off to play happy families with his new born to gain last minute place in lineup this week. Fairytale stuff once more for the Open?
KB
Andrew Buckle at 80/1 1/5 odds first 4
Threatened to win in Europe earlier in season when tour was in Asia, then got breakthrough win on Nationwide tour later in year. Twice finished 3rd in last three starts and got a real break with Immelman going off to play happy families with his new born to gain last minute place in lineup this week. Fairytale stuff once more for the Open?
KB
whalers - was available with PaddyPower but was one of headline pic on the sporting Life site so guessing price all but gone.
course is absolutely rock hard by the way.
course is absolutely rock hard by the way.
Match Ups
Geoff Ogilvy OV/Thomas Bjorn-1.15
Geoff Ogilvy OV/Sergio Garcia-1.20
Padraig Harrington OV/Sergio Ga-1.60
Chris DiMarco OV/Stewart Cink+1.90 (Just can't pass this one up)
Geoff Ogilvy OV/Thomas Bjorn-1.15
Geoff Ogilvy OV/Sergio Garcia-1.20
Padraig Harrington OV/Sergio Ga-1.60
Chris DiMarco OV/Stewart Cink+1.90 (Just can't pass this one up)
Outrights:
The essential capping is (mostly) done and my plays are (generally) in - being deliberate does NOT mean I'm organized - but piecing together some writeups will take a while.
So for now . . . my plays in the order they were added to my play sheet, rather than their rank according to my current expectations, value assessment, etc.:
1. Padraig Harrington(28/1) e.w. (my only ante-post wager)
2. Tiger Woods(+550) Win Only
3. Kenny Perry(100/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
4. Thomas Bjorn(40/1)(1/4 for1-6) e.w.
5. Rod Pampling(125/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
6. Stuart Appleby(40/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
7. Graeme McDowell(125/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
8. Ernie Els(16/1) e.w.
9. Davis Love(80/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
10. Colin Montgomerie(33/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
11. Ian Poulter(70/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
Back in a while with some explanations . . .
GL
The essential capping is (mostly) done and my plays are (generally) in - being deliberate does NOT mean I'm organized - but piecing together some writeups will take a while.
So for now . . . my plays in the order they were added to my play sheet, rather than their rank according to my current expectations, value assessment, etc.:
1. Padraig Harrington(28/1) e.w. (my only ante-post wager)
2. Tiger Woods(+550) Win Only
3. Kenny Perry(100/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
4. Thomas Bjorn(40/1)(1/4 for1-6) e.w.
5. Rod Pampling(125/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
6. Stuart Appleby(40/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
7. Graeme McDowell(125/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
8. Ernie Els(16/1) e.w.
9. Davis Love(80/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
10. Colin Montgomerie(33/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
11. Ian Poulter(70/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
Back in a while with some explanations . . .
GL
Theres no way , Cink is +190 over Dimarco no way
i just played him -230
Cink over Dimarco -230 9.20 units
Els top 16- -110 5.50 units
Goosen top 18- -110 -5.50 units
Donald top 20- -110 11.00 units
Harrington top 20- 110 11.00 units
Posted my outrights last week glta
i just played him -230
Cink over Dimarco -230 9.20 units
Els top 16- -110 5.50 units
Goosen top 18- -110 -5.50 units
Donald top 20- -110 11.00 units
Harrington top 20- 110 11.00 units
Posted my outrights last week glta
I play Paiute twice a year for 10 sraight. Wolf is the best course of the 3. If you are any good ( 10 hndc or better ) Skip the Badlands.
Preliminaries:
(1) Posted in the U.S. Open thread on 6.14.06:
(2) For weeks I have heard ABC analyst Nick Faldo preach that a right to left ball flight is much preferred at Royal Liverpool, specifically referencing the prevailing winds (especially on some of the key holes), and the angle of the greens for many of the approaches. My head has been swimming a little since then regarding what he meant and what he knew about the prevailing winds at different times of the year vis-a-vis the corresponding weather forecasts, but regardless, I think this bit of conventional wisdom is not off the mark . . . I'm not so sure about the earliest takes I read regarding the advantages of bombing it over the bunkers off the tee, but I think the championship could well play out as rewarding those that are consistently aggressive and in a good funk with the big stick . . . And it's hard to suggest a premium this week for players with a reputation when wind and/or foul weather are featured ingredients.
(3) Quickly, these are among my favorite reads this week: (a) Mike Weir: "There's not a lot of practising for this kind of golf. You can go to the range all you want, but the ball's bouncing all over the place, so you're not getting too much out of it. All you want to do is get a feel for your swing, and to me, what I'm figuring out, is the more I play, the better it is . . . The more you can get on the course and hit those shots, the better off you are;" and (b) Graeme McDowell:
Link ; and (c) Harry Emanuel at sportinglif.com: "This is just the way the R&A want it; "hard fast links conditions". They are not worried about a winning score and if it's low so be it. They feel that the fast conditions require more skill as it's harder to keep the ball in play and requires greater skill to manufacture shots into the greens . . . The hot weather has resulted in the rough dying back and it has become light and wispy and will not penalise the players. That is going to be very important this week. Players in rough will have little problem getting to green even if getting close to the pin may be more troublesome."
(4) As the season has unfolded I have anticipated some big time challenges this week from multiple players among an aging generation of unfulfilled stalwarts of European golf, complemented by a credible mix of serious challenges (at least early on) coming from among Europe's career journeymen and/or the next generation of Europe's world class golfers, and nothing at Winged Foot or since has led me to think matters are portending otherwise.
(5) I've looked at the players and odds among all my available specialty markets, Top Ten markets, etc., and I can't say any of them jumped out as a better value or opportunity than I found among my too many selections in the "more customary e.w. markets", so other than at least one obligatory and still pending play on 1st Round Leader, I've got nothing whatsoever worth mentioning going on in those markets, which is unusual.
(6) A link to the excellent microsite of sportinglife.com:
microsite
Outrights:
(1) Padraig Harrington(28/1) e.w.
- - My only ante-post wager, and I should have backed him earlier - that's a fact . . . I thought Padraig had turned the corner on his season during the Masters, and the evidence grows that he's gone way beyond where he was before the Masters. I didn't need to wait until I knew more about the weather forecast or more about the links to commit to this selection. Last year Padraig was MIA for this championship, and this go round I see a heady mix of patience and experience that knows quite well what needs doing and can fashion the doing to feature in a strong Euro bid for an elusive prize . . . I believe all the Irish victories in this championship have come at Hoylake.
(2)Tiger Woods(+550) Win Only
- - In the wake of the carnage of the Tiger Slam Plus (i.e., he was amazing enough to include The Players Championship crystal for good measure), in major championships I've always included this wager on my card as "insurance" against.
(3) Ian Poulter(70/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - I've seen enough to have wagers on him several times during the last two months. He has a pretty fair record close to home and in this championship. He was right there with Ogilvy going out on Sunday at Winged Foot. And his name keeps popping up all week long in the various on site reports I've been reading, to the point I can look past an unattractive draw with Seve and see him tapping into his level best and making considerable noise through the weekend.
(4) Thomas Bjorn(40/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - I certainly prefer Bjorn when he is being somewhat overlooked.
(5) Rod Pampling(125/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - - - If that early conventional wisdom regarding advantages for the big hitters fails to materialize, this man offers serious potential among the plotting and patient ball strikers. His name came up early in my U.S. Open capping, but his record in that event had me immediately drop the notion, although he acquitted himself quite well. Way back then is when his name came up in my capping for this event, and this time the notion stuck with the man who fashioned some history in this championship in 1999 when he went from 1st round leader to missing the cut.
(6) Graeme McDowell(125/1(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - I've noted favorable signs for many weeks in someone I see as a streaky player, and there's this link
Link in addition to the link above.
(7) Stuart Appleby(40/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - Aussie Aussie Aussie! Oi oi oi! His career suggests and his season portends a real possibility of the right stuff for this moment on these scorched links, although I confess to finding these skinny odds as holding very little "value" under the most favorable circumstances (whatever they may actually be).
(8) Ernie Els(16/1) e.w.
- - The class is all there for taming these links as well as anyone, but not without a serious spark that blasts him toward the forefront and it all comes back easy to him.
(9) Colin Montgomerie(33/1)(1/4 for 1/6) e.w.
- - He's done an excellent job of dropping the right hints since Winged Foot for making a case this week.
(10) Kenny Perry(100/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - Because whatever could be salvaged this season seemed to be pointing squarely toward enjoying his week at Hoylake, and because the course should suit his eye with driver in hand and the ball flight noted by Faldo, I was leaning to a play when Dave Tindall at sportinglife.com noted his quote from Perry: "A couple of years ago he revealed: "I'm not playing for the money anymore, I'm playing for history . . . "I want to have a chance to come over and compete and try to win this tournament. It's starting to mean a lot to me. I enjoy playing it. I love the people over here. And I've just had a blast. So to me, it's been fun. I don't put a lot of pressure on myself anymore." . . . I confess I've cooled on this pick, but in waiting too long I gained 6 places as a consolation for missing the 125/1.
(11) Davis Love(80/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - See the analysis for Ernie Els, and then tone it down a few degrees to see my capping of this one; rightfully below Kenny Perry and at the bottom for my ranking of my plays on the eve of the championship. And back to Dave Tindall at sportinglife.com and his Open blog: "the last time Hoylake staged an Open was in 1967. I've just logged on to the 'This Day in Music' website and the No.1 back then was the Beatles with 'All You Need Is Love'."
GL
*****************************
Don't believe everything you think.
*****************************
(1) Posted in the U.S. Open thread on 6.14.06:
Geoff Ogilvy(80/1) at Winged Foot sure turned my U.S. Open record around in a hurry. And along with Stephen Ames(150/1) in The Players Championship and Phil Mickelson(+650) in The Masters . . . giving some back this week seems more realistic than forging closer to a calendar year Grand Slam Plus. Or not.lostinamerica said:
(2) For weeks I have heard ABC analyst Nick Faldo preach that a right to left ball flight is much preferred at Royal Liverpool, specifically referencing the prevailing winds (especially on some of the key holes), and the angle of the greens for many of the approaches. My head has been swimming a little since then regarding what he meant and what he knew about the prevailing winds at different times of the year vis-a-vis the corresponding weather forecasts, but regardless, I think this bit of conventional wisdom is not off the mark . . . I'm not so sure about the earliest takes I read regarding the advantages of bombing it over the bunkers off the tee, but I think the championship could well play out as rewarding those that are consistently aggressive and in a good funk with the big stick . . . And it's hard to suggest a premium this week for players with a reputation when wind and/or foul weather are featured ingredients.
(3) Quickly, these are among my favorite reads this week: (a) Mike Weir: "There's not a lot of practising for this kind of golf. You can go to the range all you want, but the ball's bouncing all over the place, so you're not getting too much out of it. All you want to do is get a feel for your swing, and to me, what I'm figuring out, is the more I play, the better it is . . . The more you can get on the course and hit those shots, the better off you are;" and (b) Graeme McDowell:
Link ; and (c) Harry Emanuel at sportinglif.com: "This is just the way the R&A want it; "hard fast links conditions". They are not worried about a winning score and if it's low so be it. They feel that the fast conditions require more skill as it's harder to keep the ball in play and requires greater skill to manufacture shots into the greens . . . The hot weather has resulted in the rough dying back and it has become light and wispy and will not penalise the players. That is going to be very important this week. Players in rough will have little problem getting to green even if getting close to the pin may be more troublesome."
(4) As the season has unfolded I have anticipated some big time challenges this week from multiple players among an aging generation of unfulfilled stalwarts of European golf, complemented by a credible mix of serious challenges (at least early on) coming from among Europe's career journeymen and/or the next generation of Europe's world class golfers, and nothing at Winged Foot or since has led me to think matters are portending otherwise.
(5) I've looked at the players and odds among all my available specialty markets, Top Ten markets, etc., and I can't say any of them jumped out as a better value or opportunity than I found among my too many selections in the "more customary e.w. markets", so other than at least one obligatory and still pending play on 1st Round Leader, I've got nothing whatsoever worth mentioning going on in those markets, which is unusual.
(6) A link to the excellent microsite of sportinglife.com:
microsite
Outrights:
(1) Padraig Harrington(28/1) e.w.
- - My only ante-post wager, and I should have backed him earlier - that's a fact . . . I thought Padraig had turned the corner on his season during the Masters, and the evidence grows that he's gone way beyond where he was before the Masters. I didn't need to wait until I knew more about the weather forecast or more about the links to commit to this selection. Last year Padraig was MIA for this championship, and this go round I see a heady mix of patience and experience that knows quite well what needs doing and can fashion the doing to feature in a strong Euro bid for an elusive prize . . . I believe all the Irish victories in this championship have come at Hoylake.
(2)Tiger Woods(+550) Win Only
- - In the wake of the carnage of the Tiger Slam Plus (i.e., he was amazing enough to include The Players Championship crystal for good measure), in major championships I've always included this wager on my card as "insurance" against.
(3) Ian Poulter(70/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - I've seen enough to have wagers on him several times during the last two months. He has a pretty fair record close to home and in this championship. He was right there with Ogilvy going out on Sunday at Winged Foot. And his name keeps popping up all week long in the various on site reports I've been reading, to the point I can look past an unattractive draw with Seve and see him tapping into his level best and making considerable noise through the weekend.
(4) Thomas Bjorn(40/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - I certainly prefer Bjorn when he is being somewhat overlooked.
(5) Rod Pampling(125/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - - - If that early conventional wisdom regarding advantages for the big hitters fails to materialize, this man offers serious potential among the plotting and patient ball strikers. His name came up early in my U.S. Open capping, but his record in that event had me immediately drop the notion, although he acquitted himself quite well. Way back then is when his name came up in my capping for this event, and this time the notion stuck with the man who fashioned some history in this championship in 1999 when he went from 1st round leader to missing the cut.
(6) Graeme McDowell(125/1(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - I've noted favorable signs for many weeks in someone I see as a streaky player, and there's this link
Link in addition to the link above.
(7) Stuart Appleby(40/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - Aussie Aussie Aussie! Oi oi oi! His career suggests and his season portends a real possibility of the right stuff for this moment on these scorched links, although I confess to finding these skinny odds as holding very little "value" under the most favorable circumstances (whatever they may actually be).
(8) Ernie Els(16/1) e.w.
- - The class is all there for taming these links as well as anyone, but not without a serious spark that blasts him toward the forefront and it all comes back easy to him.
(9) Colin Montgomerie(33/1)(1/4 for 1/6) e.w.
- - He's done an excellent job of dropping the right hints since Winged Foot for making a case this week.
(10) Kenny Perry(100/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - Because whatever could be salvaged this season seemed to be pointing squarely toward enjoying his week at Hoylake, and because the course should suit his eye with driver in hand and the ball flight noted by Faldo, I was leaning to a play when Dave Tindall at sportinglife.com noted his quote from Perry: "A couple of years ago he revealed: "I'm not playing for the money anymore, I'm playing for history . . . "I want to have a chance to come over and compete and try to win this tournament. It's starting to mean a lot to me. I enjoy playing it. I love the people over here. And I've just had a blast. So to me, it's been fun. I don't put a lot of pressure on myself anymore." . . . I confess I've cooled on this pick, but in waiting too long I gained 6 places as a consolation for missing the 125/1.
(11) Davis Love(80/1)(1/4 for 1-6) e.w.
- - See the analysis for Ernie Els, and then tone it down a few degrees to see my capping of this one; rightfully below Kenny Perry and at the bottom for my ranking of my plays on the eve of the championship. And back to Dave Tindall at sportinglife.com and his Open blog: "the last time Hoylake staged an Open was in 1967. I've just logged on to the 'This Day in Music' website and the No.1 back then was the Beatles with 'All You Need Is Love'."
GL
*****************************
Don't believe everything you think.
*****************************
Last edited:
:iagree:scrub said:
By the way, Scrub, did you check out the lightning storm this week....Geez, what a show. I left Vegas just after that and went down to Laughlin where it's a chilly 113 degrees... :scared
Too hot for golf, playing poker and running the boat. I'll be heading for home soon, and I'll be glued to the British Open all weekend.
Best of luck on your plays....
