Thread watched CNOTES 2023-2024 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:

76ers 121, Raptors 111- Sixers had three starters score 30+ points.
Nuggets 122, Nets 117- Denver was minus-24 when Jokic was on the bench.
Heat 122, Hawks 113- Tyler Herro was 7-13 on arc, scored 30 points.
Rockets 122, Dallas 96- Rockets are 14-12, were 59-177 previous three years.
Kings 120, Suns 105- Sabonis had 28 points, 11 rebounds, 12 assists.
Warriors 129, Wizards 118- Curry was 8-13 on arc, scored 30 points.

Quote of the Day
“It is disappointing to see and hear what (Steelers WR) George Pickens talks about, because culture really is about commitment and sacrifice. You’re not just playing with one another, you’re playing for one another.”
Former Steelers coach Bill Cowher

Saturday’s quiz
Who was the last American player to win MVP in the NBA?

Friday’s quiz
When Matthew Stafford was a high school QB in Texas, Clayton Kershaw was the center on that team.

Thursday’s quiz
Joe Theismann is the all-time leader in passing yardage for the Washington Redskins/Commanders, with 25,206 yards. Sonny Jurgensen is next, with 22,585 yards.

************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday…….

— Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes is a great player; with an 86-24 career record, 11-3 in playoff games, at age 28, he is on track to become one of the NFL’s best-ever quarterbacks.

Flashback six years to the 2017 NFL Draft; Mahomes was the 10th player taken, the second QB drafted that year.

Let’s take a look at the first 10 picks that year:
1) Browns- Myles Garrett, DE
2) Bears- Traded UP (they TRADED UP!!!) to take QB Mitchell Trubisky.
3) 49ers- Solomon Thomas, DE
4) Jaguars- Leonard Fournette, RB
5) Titans- Corey Davis, WR- Acquired this pick in a trade, when Rams traded up the year before to select Jared Goff.

6) Jets- Jamal Adams, S
7) Chargers- Mike Williams, WR
8) Panthers- Christian McCaffrey, RB- why did Carolina trade him????
9) Bengals- John Ross, WR- they made up for this by drafting Joe Burrow
10) Chiefs- Patrick Mahomes, QB

This is why the NFL Draft is so interesting to study; not everyone is going at it.

— Right now, the eight NFL teams leading their division have one thing in common; their starting quarterback has started all 14 games.

— Jets will start QB Trevor Siemian against Washington Sunday; he’ll be the 4th quarterback to start a game for the Jets this season.

Houston Texans will start QB Case Keenum again Sunday, with rookie CJ Stroud still in the concussion protocol.

QB Geno Smith is going to start for the Seahawks against Tennessee.

— Los Angeles Rams scored a TD on their first drive Thursday night; it was the 5th game in a row LA scored on their first drive of a game. For the season, Rams have scored five TD’s, kicked six field goals on their 15 game-opening drives.

Georgia Tech 30, Central Florida 17
UCF led 14-0 after the first quarter.
UCF’s first two drives: 14 plays, 149 yards, 14 points.
UCF rest of the game: 55 plays, 260 yards, 3 points.
Tech outscored the Knights 13-0 in second half.

— There are 1,825 players in the college football transfer portal; college sports has become a whole different world.

QB Maalik Murphy transferred from Texas to Duke, which had its QB poached by Notre Dame. Murphy was the backup QB at Texas this year.

— Word of the Day: Dox- search for and publish private or identifying information about a particular individual on the internet, typically with malicious intent.

Never heard of this word until five minutes before I typed this sentence; fans get mad about a loss, and they post stuff about players online. Not cool.

— In the NBA, Detroit Pistons have lost 25 games in a row; they’re 7-18 ATS in those games.

— December 9th, LA Lakers won the first-ever In-Season Tournament; since then, they’ve lost five of six games.

— Milwaukee Bucks are 8-1 this month, but they haven’t played a road game in December; they visit Madison Square Garden Saturday afternoon, it’ll be their first road game since an OT loss in Chicago November 30.

Nevada 88, TCU 75- TCU coach Dixon got two technicals and was tossed in first half of this game; Horned Frogs won by 24 on Thursday, they’re in a holiday tournament in Hawaii, was just weird to see him get so heated so early in a game.

UAB 79, Drake 78 OT- Good game between solid mid-major programs; we need more games like this in the pre-conference schedule.

Brown 71, Siena 67- Siena led by 18 early in second half; they’re 2-10, having been ravaged by the transfer portal- their starting guards from last year are now playing at Oklahoma, George Mason.

Milwaukee 85, Chattanooga 83 OT- Visiting Mocs were 10-13 on foul line; Milwaukee was 26-37. Both teams took 30+ 3-pointers. Playing on the road can be difficult.

Maryland 69, UCLA 60— Bruins shot 1-14 on arc, were down 15 at the half- they’ve lost four in row, six of last seven D-I games.

Miami OH 70, Vermont 69- Kid on Miami banked in a 3-pointer at the buzzer to win a game they trailed 63-54 with 3:31 left to play.

Illinois 97, Missouri 73- Third straight loss for Mizzou, which gave up 87.7 points/game in the three losses.

Colorado State 76, LMU 67- Rams are 11-1, they start four seniors, are shooting 61.6% inside the arc (#5). Colorado State already has five top 100 wins.
 

Udog

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MILWAUKEE is 8-0 Under (8 Units) in road games after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

LA CLIPPERS are 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

INDIANA is 8-0 Over (8 Units) against Southeast division opponents in the current season.

CHARLOTTE is 8-0 Under (8 Units) in home games off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after playing a home game in the current season.

DETROIT is 80-112 ATS (-43.2 Units) when the total >=220 since 1996.

UTAH is 8-0 Over (8 Units) in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in December games in the current season.

LA LAKERS are 7-0 Over (7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 in the current season.

SAN ANTONIO is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games off 2 or more consecutive road losses in the last 3 seasons.

PORTLAND is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA

Saturday, December 23


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Trend Report
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Milwaukee @ New York
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New York
New York is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Boston @ LA Clippers
Boston
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

Orlando @ Indiana
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Orlando's last 12 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indiana's last 12 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indiana's last 12 games at home

Denver @ Charlotte
Denver
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte
Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games

Houston @ New Orleans
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Houston is 16-5-2 ATS in its last 23 games
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

Utah @ Toronto
Utah
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home

Memphis @ Atlanta
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Memphis's last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Atlanta's last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing at home against Memphis

Detroit @ Brooklyn
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games on the road
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Brooklyn is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit

LA Lakers @ Oklahoma City
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

Cleveland @ Chicago
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

San Antonio @ Dallas
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio

Portland @ Golden State
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

Minnesota @ Sacramento
Minnesota
Minnesota is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


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Udog

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NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 23


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Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 23

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIL at NY12:30 PMNY +2.0
U 243.0
+500 +500
BOS at LAC03:30 PMBOS -2.5
U 231.0
+500 +500
ORL at IND07:00 PMORL +1.5
O 242.5
+500 +500
DEN at CHA07:00 PMDEN -8.5
U 226.5
+500 +500
HOU at NO07:00 PMHOU +7.0
U 224.0
+500 +500
UTA at TOR07:30 PMTOR -5.5
U 232.5
+500 +500
DET at BK07:30 PMBK -9.5
O 233.0
+500 +500
MEM at ATL07:30 PMMEM +1.0
O 237.5
+500 +500
LAL at OKC08:00 PMOKC -3.5
U 239.0
+500 +500
CLE at CHI08:00 PMCLE +4.5
O 216.5
+500 +500
POR at GS08:30 PMGS -8.0
U 232.5
+500 +500
SA at DAL08:30 PMSA +7.0
O 239.0
+500 +500
MIN at SAC10:00 PMMIN +3.0
O 233.5
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/23/202314-10-058.33%+1500Detail
12/22/20235-6-145.83%-800Detail
12/21/20235-11-031.25%-3550Detail
12/20/202311-7-061.11%+1650Detail
12/19/20234-4-050.00%-200Detail
12/18/202312-10-054.55%+500Detail
12/17/20234-6-040.00%-1300Detail
12/16/202311-9-055.00%+550Detail
12/15/20238-7-153.13%+150Detail
12/14/20236-7-146.43%-850Detail
12/13/202310-8-055.56%+600Detail
12/12/20235-5-050.00%-250Detail
12/11/202310-16-038.46%-3800Detail
12/09/20230-2-00.00%-1100Detail
12/08/202312-12-050.00%-600Detail
12/07/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
12/06/202312-10-054.55%+500Detail
12/05/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
12/04/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
12/02/202310-12-245.83%-1600Detail
12/01/20239-3-075.00%+2850Detail
 

Cnotes53

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DECEMBER'S NBA BEST BETS !

12/23/2023.......................12 - 8.......................60.00%.......................+ 16.00
12/21/2023......................3 - 10........................23.07%......................- 40.00
12/20/2023........................9 - 5............................64.28%.....................+ 17.50
12/19/2023........................4 - 4............................50.00%.....................- 2.00
12/18/2023........................7 - 10..........................41.17%.....................- 20.00
12/17/2023........................4 - 6............................40.00%......................- 13.00
12/16/2023........................7 - 6............................53.84%.......................+ 2.00
12/15/2023........................6 - 6............................50.00%.......................- 3.00
12/14/2023........................3 - 7............................30.00%........................- 23.50
12/13/2023........................6 - 8............................42.85%........................- 14.00
12/12/2023........................5 - 3............................62.50%........................+ 8.50
12/11/2023.....................10 - 11...........................47.61%........................- 10.50
12/09/2023..........................0 - 2...........................00.00%........................- 11.00
12/08/2023..........................8 - 9...........................42.85%.......................- 14.00
12/07/2023..........................1 - 3..........................25.00%.........................- 11.50
12/06/2023........................10 - 5.........................66.00%.........................+ 22.50
12/05/2023..........................3 - 1.........................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
12/04/2023..........................3 - 1.........................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
12/02/2023..........................4 - 5.........................44.44%.........................- 7.50
12/01/2023..........................3 - 3.........................50.00%.........................- 1.50

TOTALS.............................98 - 108.........................47.57%..........................- 86.00
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Bucks 130, Knicks 111- This was Milwaukee’s first road game in December.
— Celtics 145, Clippers 108- Boston made 25 of 53 3-point shots.
— Nuggets 102, Bulls 95- Denver outscored Bulls 30-9 in third quarter.
— Magic 117, Pacers 110- Orlando’s five subs were a combined +56.
— Rockets 106, Pelicans 104- Sengun scored 37 points, had 11 rebounds.
— Grizzlies 125, Hawks 119- Memphis outscored Atlanta 75-59 in second half.

Thought of the Day
“You do not need to parachute to go skydiving………
……..you do need a parachute if you want to go skydiving twice.”

Thursday’s quiz
Giants’ rookie QB Tommy DeVito played college football at which two schools?

Saturday’s quiz
James Harden was the last American player to win MVP in the NBA, six years ago.

Friday’s quiz
When Matthew Stafford was a high school QB in Texas, Clayton Kershaw was the center on that team.

***************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

Steelers 34, Bengals 11
QB Rudolph threw an 86-yard TD pass on the Steelers’ 2nd play of game.
WR Pickens caught four passes for 195 yards, two TD’s.
Steelers in first half: 33 plays, 263 yards; they led 24-0 at the half.
since 2018, Steelers are 10-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Bengals are 0-5 SU vs AFC North rivals, 8-2 vs everyone else.
Cincinnati turned ball over twice on its first four drives.
Bengals’ only TD was 80-yard pass to Higgins on first play of third quarter.
Six of Bengals’ last seven games went over the total.

Bills 24, Chargers 22
Buffalo kicked a 29-yard FG with 0:28 left for the win.
Bills were 5-10 on third down, Chargers 4-14.
Buffalo scored 28.2 ppg in five games since firing their OC.
Buffalo won/covered four of those five games.
Chargers lost despite being +3 in turnovers.
Bolts scored six times, but it was 5 field goals, only one TD.
Chargers have only six TD’s on their last 56 drives.
Chargers lost six of their last seven games.

— Florida Atlantic 96, Arizona 95 2OT
Arizona led 19-5 early on.
Owls shot 58.3% inside the arc.
FAU is 10-2 this season, vs schedule #28.
Arizona out-rebounded FAU, 52-39.

— Providence 75, Butler 65 OT
Friars led 15-0 out of the box, but……..
…….Friars forced OT on a 3-point shot with 0:02 left.
Seven players in this game played 39+ minutes.

— UConn 69, St John’s 65
Red Storm led 32-26 at halftime.
Teams combined to shoot 9-36 on the arc.
Newton scored 15 points, had 9 rebounds, 6 assists for UConn.

— Memphis 77, Vanderbilt 75
Vandy led by 8 points with 7:56 left in game.
Vandy’s team was 17-22 on the foul line.
Memphis star Jones was 12-18 on foul line, scored 28 points.
Vanderbilt is 1-8 vs teams ranked in top 200.

— Nets 126, Pistons 115
Detroit has lost 26 games in a row (7-19 ATS)
Pistons were +6 in the 35:00 with PG Ivey on the floor.

Word of the Day: Continuity- when something keep happening or existing, with no great changes or interruptions.
College basketball teams with better continuity have an advantage; they’re used to playing together.

— Duke 17, Troy 10
Duke has now won/covered its last five bowl games.
Blue Devils led this game 14-0 at halftime.
Troy ran ball 26 times for only 89 yards.
Both head coaches had already bolted to bigger $$$ jobs.

— Northern Illinois 21, Arkansas State 19

Ark State scored a TD with 1:14 left, but 2-point conversion failed.
NIU’s first four drives: 30 plays, 220 yards, 21 points.
NIU rest of game: 44 plays, 201 yards, no points.
Huskies snapped a 7-game losing streak in bowl games.

— Air Force 31, James Madison 21
Falcons ran ball 63 times for 351 yards.
Air Force led 21-7 at half; they threw 5 passes the whole game.
Eight of Air Force’s nine I-A wins were by 10+ points.
Falcons won their last five bowl games, scoring 33.6 ppg.

— Georgia State 45, Utah State 22
Georgia State in first half: 40 plays, 396 yards, 31 points.
QB Grainger was 19-22/257 passing, with three TD’s.
Panthers outgained Utah State, 643-347.
RB Brock carried ball 24 times for 276 yards and a TD.

— South Alabama 59, Eastern Michigan 10
Jaguars led 38-3 at halftime.
USA’s first six drives: 36 plays, 296 yards, 31 points.
Freshman QB Lopez threw for 192 yards, ran for 88 more.
This was South Alabama’s first win in four bowl games.

— Northwestern 14, Utah 7
Northwestern drove 53 yards, scored game-winning TD with 6:19 left.
Wildcats finish season on a 4-game winning streak.
Utah is 6-12-1 ATS in last 19 non-league games.
Utah lost its last five bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.
 

Udog

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MILWAUKEE is 9-0 Under (9 Units) in road games after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 19-41 ATS (-26.1 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) off a road win in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 42-24 ATS (15.6 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

PHOENIX is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in December games in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Monday, December 25


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NBA

Monday, December 25


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Trend Report
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Milwaukee @ New York
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

Golden State @ Denver
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver
Denver is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Boston @ LA Lakers
Boston
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games

Philadelphia @ Miami
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Dallas @ Phoenix
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Dallas's last 17 games on the road
Phoenix
Phoenix is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games


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Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:

Scoring leaders in the NHL:
57 points— Kucherov, TB (23 goals, 34 assists)
54— MacKinnon, Colo (18 goals, 36 assists)
48— Miller, Van (15 goals, 23 assists)
45— Nylander, Tor (16 goals, 29 assists)
44— Pastrnak, Bos (20 goals, 24 assists)
44— Panarin, NYR (18 goals, 26 assists)
44— McDavid, Edm (12 goals, 32 assists)
44— Hughes, Van (10 goals, 34 assists)

Quote of the Day
“When you stop learning, you have to stop coaching.”
Rick Pitino

Monday’s quiz
The first time the Denver Broncos played in a Super Bowl, who was their QB?

Sunday’s quiz
Giants’ rookie QB Tommy DeVito played college football at Syracuse, Illinois.

Saturday’s quiz
James Harden was the last American player to win MVP in the NBA, six years ago.

************************************

Wrapping up Week 16 in the NFL

Lions 30, Vikings 24
— Lions clinch their first division title since 1993.
— Detroit led 17-14 at halftime.
— Lions’ first two drives of 2nd half: 27 plays, 163 yards, two TD’s.
— Detroit is 5-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— Vikings lost four of their last five games (the win was 3-0).
— Minnesota only ran the ball 11 times, for 17 yards.
— Mullens threw for 411 yards, but also threw four INT’s.
— Minnesota is 6-8 in one-score games this year (11-0 LY)

Seahawks 20, Titans 17
— Seattle drove 53 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:57 left.
— Seattle in first half: 27 plays, 93 yards, 3 punts, 3 points.
— Seattle in second half: 34 plays, 180 yards, no punts, 17 points.
— Second week in row Seahawks scored game-winning TD in last 1:00.
— Titans lost six of their last eight games.
— Tennessee averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Titans are 4-1 scoring 27+ points, 1-8 scoring 17 or less.
— Under is 9-4 in Tennessee’s last 13 games.

Packers 33, Panthers 30
— Packers drove 61 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:22 left.
— Packers first 4 drives: 32 plays, 243 yards, no punts, 23 points.
— Packers in second half: 27 plays, 126 yards, 3 punts, 10 points.
— Green Bay outscored last five foes 82-42 in first half.
— Green Bay led 30-16 with 8:00 left in game.
— Panthers had TD drives of 63-70 yards, tied game with 4:15 left.
— Rookie QB Young was 23-35/312 passing, with two TD’s.
— Carolina’s 8.1 yards/pass attempt was by far their best this season.

Jets 30, Commanders 28
— Zuerlein kicked 54-yard FG with 0:10 left for the win.
— Jets’ first three drives: 10 plays, 68 yards, 17 points.
— Jets’ first three drives all started in Washington territory.
— Jets are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Washington lost six in row, 11 of last 13 games (3-6 ATS last nine)
— QB Brissett was 10-13/100 passing off bench, with one TD pass.
— Washington is 3-1 giving up 17 or less points, 1-10 giving up more than 17.
— Last five games, Commanders allowed 35.8 ppg.

Falcons 29, Colts 10
— Colts drove 62 yards for a touchdown on their first drive.
— Rest of game, Colts ran 55 plays, gained 201 yards, scored 3 points.
— Colts are 0-6 giving up 29+ points, 8-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
— Favorite covered the Colts’ last eight games.
— Atlanta scored two TD’s, kicked five FG’s on its drives.
— Falcons ran for 177 yards, outgained Colts 406-262.
— Atlanta scored 28-23-29 points in Heinicke’s three starts.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.

Browns 36, Texans 22
— Flacco threw for 368 yards and three more TD’s.
— WR Cooper caught 11 passes for 265 yards and two TD’s.
— Cleveland won/covered six of last eight games.
— Browns are 6-0 giving up less than 24 points, 3-5 allowing 24+.
— Houston’s first TD was a 98-yard kickoff return by Pierce.
— Texans in first half: 28 plays, 75 yards, 5 punts and an INT.
— Cleveland led the game 22-7 at halftime.
— Texans are 13-16-1 ATS in last 30 games as a home underdog.

Buccaneers 30, Jaguars 12
— Bucs’ first six drives: 56 plays, 289 yards, 30 points.
— Tampa was 10-19 on third down, Jaguars were 3-9.
— Bucs won their last four games, scoring 21-29-34-30 points.
— Tampa Bay covered seven of its last nine games.
— Jacksonville lost its last four games, giving up 34-31-23-30 points.
— Jaguars turned ball over four times, ran for only 37 yards.
— Last five weeks, Jaguars ran ball for only 64.4 yards/game.
— QB Lawrence was already banged up; he hurt his shoulder today.

Bears 27, Cardinals 16
— Bears’ first four drives: 29 plays, 236 yards, 21 points.
— Chicago won/covered four of last six games.
— QB Fields threw for 170 yards, ran for 97 more.
— Bears converted 8-15 third down plays.
— Arizona is 2-10 SU/4-8 ATS in its last dozen games
— Arizona’s first three drives: 15 plays, 36 yards, three punts.
— Last two games, Cardinals are 24-49 on third down.
— Cardinals are 0-10 SU when they score less than 25 points.

Dolphins 22, Cowboys 20
— Miami drove 64 yards, kicked 29-yard FG with 0:02 left.
— Miami scored only one TD; Sanders kicked five FGs, three of them 50+ yards.
— Dolphins won six of last eight games SU, clinched a playoff spot.
— Last five games, Miami converted 34-70 third down plays.
— On their first series, Dallas lost a fumble on the 1-yard line.
— Cowboys have scored 37.2 ppg in wins, 15.8 ppg in losses.
— Cowboys are 6-10 ATS last 16 games as a road dog (0-4 TY).
— Dallas lost five of its last seven road games SU.

Patriots 26, Broncos 23
— New England kicked a 56-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
— Patriots scored two TD’s in a 0:06 span of the third quarter.
— Teams combined to convert 7-26 third down plays.
— Zappe is now 4-2 as an NFL starting QB.
— Denver trailed 23-7 in 4th quarter, tied game on TD drives of 83-88 yards.
— Patriots won/covered four of last five visits to Denver.
— Broncos are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite (1-5 TY).
— Last five weeks, Denver converted only 20-67 on third down.

Sunday’s college basketball:
Temple 55, Portland 54
Owls outscored Portland 15-6 over the final 6:31.
Temple was 10-18 on foul line, Pilots were 4-9.
Owls were +11 in turnovers (7-18)

UMass 87, Old Dominion 65
UMass shot 59.6% inside the arc.
Minutemen are grabbing 36.3% of their missed shots (#26)
Old Dominion lost five of its last six games.

TCU 65, Hawai’i 51
Rainbows shot 33.3% from floor, turned ball over 19 times.
TCU’s three subs all played 20+ minutes.
Horned Frogs improve their record to 10-2.

Nevada 72, Georgia Tech 64
Wolf Pack shoots 61% inside arc, wins the Diamond Head Classic.
Nevada starts four seniors, Georgia Tech doesn’t start any.
Wolf Pack is 12-1; they’ve got the #35 eFG% defense in country.
 

Cnotes53

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MONDAY, DECEMBER 25

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIL at NY12:00 PMMIL -3.0
O 241.0
+500 +500
GS at DEN02:30 PMGS +6.5
O 233.5
+500 +500
BOS at LAL05:00 PMBOS -3.0
O 234.5
+500 +500
PHI at MIA08:00 PMPHI -2.0
U 225.5
+500 +500
DAL at PHO10:30 PMPHO -4.5
U 235.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/25/20235-5-050.00%-250Detail
12/23/202315-11-057.69%+1450Detail
12/22/20235-6-145.83%-800Detail
12/21/20235-11-031.25%-3550Detail
12/20/202311-7-061.11%+1650Detail
12/19/20234-4-050.00%-200Detail
12/18/202312-10-054.55%+500Detail
12/17/20234-6-040.00%-1300Detail
12/16/202311-9-055.00%+550Detail
12/15/20238-7-153.13%+150Detail
12/14/20236-7-146.43%-850Detail
12/13/202310-8-055.56%+600Detail
12/12/20235-5-050.00%-250Detail
12/11/202310-16-038.46%-3800Detail
12/09/20230-2-00.00%-1100Detail
12/08/202312-12-050.00%-600Detail
12/07/20231-3-025.00%-1150Detail
12/06/202312-10-054.55%+500Detail
12/05/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
12/04/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
12/02/202310-12-245.83%-1600Detail
12/01/20239-3-075.00%+2850Detail
 

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DECEMBER'S NBA BEST BETS !

12/25/2023.........................4 - 5.........................44.44%......................- 7.50
12/23/2023.......................12 - 8........................60.00%.......................+ 16.00
12/21/2023........................3 - 10........................23.07%......................- 40.00
12/20/2023........................9 - 5............................64.28%.....................+ 17.50
12/19/2023........................4 - 4............................50.00%.....................- 2.00
12/18/2023........................7 - 10..........................41.17%.....................- 20.00
12/17/2023........................4 - 6............................40.00%......................- 13.00
12/16/2023........................7 - 6............................53.84%.......................+ 2.00
12/15/2023........................6 - 6............................50.00%.......................- 3.00
12/14/2023........................3 - 7............................30.00%........................- 23.50
12/13/2023........................6 - 8............................42.85%........................- 14.00
12/12/2023........................5 - 3............................62.50%........................+ 8.50
12/11/2023.....................10 - 11...........................47.61%........................- 10.50
12/09/2023..........................0 - 2...........................00.00%........................- 11.00
12/08/2023..........................8 - 9...........................42.85%.......................- 14.00
12/07/2023..........................1 - 3..........................25.00%.........................- 11.50
12/06/2023........................10 - 5.........................66.00%.........................+ 22.50
12/05/2023..........................3 - 1.........................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
12/04/2023..........................3 - 1.........................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
12/02/2023..........................4 - 5.........................44.44%.........................- 7.50
12/01/2023..........................3 - 3.........................50.00%.........................- 1.50

TOTALS............................102 - 113.........................47.44%..........................- 93.50
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Receiving yardage leaders in the NFL:
1,641— Tyreek Hill, Miami
1,424— CeeDee Lamb, Dallas
1,327— Puka Nacua, Rams
1,314— AJ Brown, Phil
1,281— Amon-Ra St. Brown, Lions
1,250— Amari Cooper, Clev

Quote of the Day
“Could we have done things better? I’m talking about myself and the coaching staff, with regards to, ‘All right, this is our worst-case scenario, now what?’ Absolutely, and it’s something that we will make sure that we do a heck of a lot better with in 2024.”
Jets coach Robert Saleh

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Lamar Jackson play his college football?

Monday’s quiz
The first time the Denver Broncos played in a Super Bowl, Craig Morton was their QB.

Sunday’s quiz
Giants’ rookie QB Tommy DeVito played college football at Syracuse, Illinois.

*********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Wrapping up Week 16 in the NFL

Raiders 20, Chiefs 14
— Raiders scored two defensive TD’s 0:07 apart in second quarter.
— Not often an NFL team has 48 passing yards and wins, but the Raiders did.
— Last two games, Raiders have scored four defensive TD’s.
— Under is 11-4 in Raider games this season.
— Chiefs are 3-5 in their last eight games, after a 6-1 start.
— In those eight games, Chiefs are minus-9 in turnovers (5-14)
— Chiefs’ first three drives: 11 plays, minus-10 yards, three punts.
— Kansas City lost its last three home games SU.

Eagles 33, Giants 25
— Eagles led this game 20-3 at halftime.
— Giants scored defensive TD late in 3rd quarter to make score 20-18.
— Eagles’ last three drives: 24 plays, 172 yards, 13 points.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 5-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Giants changed QB’s at half; Tyrod Taylor was 7-16/133 in 2nd half.
— Eagles outgained Big Blue, 465-292.
— Giants were held under 300 TY in seven of last eight games.
— Giants are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 NFC East road games.

Lions 30, Vikings 24
— Lions clinch their first division title since 1993.
— Detroit led 17-14 at halftime.
— Lions’ first two drives of 2nd half: 27 plays, 163 yards, two TD’s.
— Detroit is 5-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— Vikings lost four of their last five games (the win was 3-0).
— Minnesota only ran the ball 11 times, for 17 yards.
— Mullens threw for 411 yards, but also threw four INT’s.
— Minnesota is 6-8 in one-score games this year (11-0 LY)

Seahawks 20, Titans 17
— Seattle drove 53 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:57 left.
— Seattle in first half: 27 plays, 93 yards, 3 punts, 3 points.
— Seattle in second half: 34 plays, 180 yards, no punts, 17 points.
— Second week in row Seahawks scored game-winning TD in last 1:00.
— Titans lost six of their last eight games.
— Tennessee averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Titans are 4-1 scoring 27+ points, 1-8 scoring 17 or less.
— Under is 9-4 in Tennessee’s last 13 games.

Packers 33, Panthers 30
— Packers drove 61 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:22 left.
— Packers first 4 drives: 32 plays, 243 yards, no punts, 23 points.
— Packers in second half: 27 plays, 126 yards, 3 punts, 10 points.
— Green Bay outscored last five foes 82-42 in first half.
— Green Bay led 30-16 with 8:00 left in game.
— Panthers had TD drives of 63-70 yards, tied game with 4:15 left.
— Rookie QB Young was 23-35/312 passing, with two TD’s.
— Carolina’s 8.1 yards/pass attempt was by far their best this season.

Jets 30, Commanders 28
— Zuerlein kicked 54-yard FG with 0:10 left for the win.
— Jets’ first three drives: 10 plays, 68 yards, 17 points.
— Jets’ first three drives all started in Washington territory.
— Jets are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Washington lost six in row, 11 of last 13 games (3-6 ATS last nine)
— QB Brissett was 10-13/100 passing off bench, with one TD pass.
— Washington is 3-1 giving up 17 or less points, 1-10 giving up more than 17.
— Last five games, Commanders allowed 35.8 ppg.

Falcons 29, Colts 10
— Colts drove 62 yards for a touchdown on their first drive.
— Rest of game, Colts ran 55 plays, gained 201 yards, scored 3 points.
— Colts are 0-6 giving up 29+ points, 8-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
— Favorite covered the Colts’ last eight games.
— Atlanta scored two TD’s, kicked five FG’s on its drives.
— Falcons ran for 177 yards, outgained Colts 406-262.
— Atlanta scored 28-23-29 points in Heinicke’s three starts.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.

Browns 36, Texans 22
— Flacco threw for 368 yards and three more TD’s.
— WR Cooper caught 11 passes for 265 yards and two TD’s.
— Cleveland won/covered six of last eight games.
— Browns are 6-0 giving up less than 24 points, 3-5 allowing 24+.
— Houston’s first TD was a 98-yard kickoff return by Pierce.
— Texans in first half: 28 plays, 75 yards, 5 punts and an INT.
— Cleveland led the game 22-7 at halftime.
— Texans are 13-16-1 ATS in last 30 games as a home underdog.

Buccaneers 30, Jaguars 12
— Bucs’ first six drives: 56 plays, 289 yards, 30 points.
— Tampa was 10-19 on third down, Jaguars were 3-9.
— Bucs won their last four games, scoring 21-29-34-30 points.
— Tampa Bay covered seven of its last nine games.
— Jacksonville lost its last four games, giving up 34-31-23-30 points.
— Jaguars turned ball over four times, ran for only 37 yards.
— Last five weeks, Jaguars ran ball for only 64.4 yards/game.
— QB Lawrence was already banged up; he hurt his shoulder today.

Bears 27, Cardinals 16
— Bears’ first four drives: 29 plays, 236 yards, 21 points.
— Chicago won/covered four of last six games.
— QB Fields threw for 170 yards, ran for 97 more.
— Bears converted 8-15 third down plays.
— Arizona is 2-10 SU/4-8 ATS in its last dozen games
— Arizona’s first three drives: 15 plays, 36 yards, three punts.
— Last two games, Cardinals are 24-49 on third down.
— Cardinals are 0-10 SU when they score less than 25 points.

Dolphins 22, Cowboys 20
— Miami drove 64 yards, kicked 29-yard FG with 0:02 left.
— Miami scored only one TD; Sanders kicked five FGs, three of them 50+ yards.
— Dolphins won six of last eight games SU, clinched a playoff spot.
— Last five games, Miami converted 34-70 third down plays.
— On their first series, Dallas lost a fumble on the 1-yard line.
— Cowboys have scored 37.2 ppg in wins, 15.8 ppg in losses.
— Cowboys are 6-10 ATS last 16 games as a road dog (0-4 TY).
— Dallas lost five of its last seven road games SU.

Patriots 26, Broncos 23
— New England kicked a 56-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
— Patriots scored two TD’s in a 0:06 span of the third quarter.
— Teams combined to convert 7-26 third down plays.
— Zappe is now 4-2 as an NFL starting QB.
— Denver trailed 23-7 in 4th quarter, tied game on TD drives of 83-88 yards.
— Patriots won/covered four of last five visits to Denver.
— Broncos are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite (1-5 TY).
— Last five weeks, Denver converted only 20-67 on third down.

Sunday’s college basketball:

Temple 55, Portland 54
Owls outscored Portland 15-6 over the final 6:31.
Temple was 10-18 on foul line, Pilots were 4-9.
Owls were +11 in turnovers (7-18)

UMass 87, Old Dominion 65
UMass shot 59.6% inside the arc.
Minutemen are grabbing 36.3% of their missed shots (#26)
Old Dominion lost five of its last six games.

TCU 65, Hawai’i 51
Rainbows shot 33.3% from floor, turned ball over 19 times.
TCU’s three subs all played 20+ minutes.
Horned Frogs improve their record to 10-2.

Nevada 72, Georgia Tech 64
Wolf Pack shoots 61% inside arc, wins the Diamond Head Classic.
Nevada starts four seniors, Georgia Tech doesn’t start any.
Wolf Pack is 12-1; they’ve got the #35 eFG% defense in country.
 

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ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games after 2+ road games over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 10-2 Over (7.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) as a road underdog of 6 points or less in the last 3 seasons.

SAN ANTONIO is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) off 2 or more consecutive road losses in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

ATLANTA is 35-64 ATS (-35.4 Units) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 19-4 ATS (14.6 Units) off a home loss over the last 2 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or less in the last 3 seasons.
 
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